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Good chance this Polymarket pays out a 25% return tonight
| glassy round eye shrine | 11/04/25 |
| Slippery gaping business firm | 11/04/25 |
| glassy round eye shrine | 11/04/25 |
| Slippery gaping business firm | 11/04/25 |
| glassy round eye shrine | 11/04/25 |
| Slippery gaping business firm | 11/04/25 |
| glassy round eye shrine | 11/04/25 |
| Slippery gaping business firm | 11/04/25 |
| glassy round eye shrine | 11/04/25 |
| vermilion concupiscible den weed whacker | 11/04/25 |
| glassy round eye shrine | 11/04/25 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: November 4th, 2025 9:12 AM Author: glassy round eye shrine https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-sweep?tid=1762265487843
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met:
- Democrats win the Virginia Governor, the Virginia House of Delegates, and the New Jersey Governor elections - Mamdani wins the New York City Mayor election - California referendum "Proposition 50" passes |
Date: November 4th, 2025 9:15 AM Author: Slippery gaping business firm nj governor's race is the only thing that could conceivably not go D which is why the polymarket is about even between the two.
might as well just bet on that rather than adding the other black swan parlays in there |
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Date: November 4th, 2025 9:35 AM Author: glassy round eye shrine “about even”
“could conceivably not go D”
https://polymarket.com/event/new-jersey-governor-election-winner-2025?tid=1762266923759 |
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Date: November 4th, 2025 9:43 AM Author: Slippery gaping business firm sweep is currently at 80%
sherrill is currently at 83%
how does this not confirm what i just wrote? |
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Date: November 4th, 2025 9:48 AM Author: glassy round eye shrine we’ll see if you turn out to be right 👍 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793325&forum_id=2Reputation#49400595) |
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Date: November 4th, 2025 9:52 AM Author: Slippery gaping business firm i don't think you understand what i'm saying.
the sweep win condition is the outcome of the nj governor race plus several other conditions. the other conditions are close to a sure thing, which is why these two markets are about even. |
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Date: November 4th, 2025 9:59 AM Author: glassy round eye shrine 👍 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793325&forum_id=2Reputation#49400616) |
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Date: November 4th, 2025 10:00 AM Author: Slippery gaping business firm i'm not even making a prediction so there's nothing for me to be right about. if i had to bet it'd be on a dem sweep. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793325&forum_id=2Reputation#49400619) |
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Date: November 4th, 2025 11:42 AM Author: glassy round eye shrine we’ll see (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793325&forum_id=2Reputation#49400944) |
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Date: November 4th, 2025 9:37 AM Author: vermilion concupiscible den weed whacker I appreciate the "earnest politics reporting, you decide" pumo schtick. It's very underrated imo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793325&forum_id=2Reputation#49400566) |
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Date: November 4th, 2025 9:22 PM Author: glassy round eye shrine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793325&forum_id=2Reputation#49402434) |