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will bet 0.5 eth that my portfolio rapes icx over any time period
Poast new message in this thread
Date: January 25th, 2018 5:17 PM Author: indigo histrionic yarmulke doctorate watching people continue to discuss icx and ven for the past month feels like the twilight zone. what the fuck? prime minister of korea + others effectively say fuck cryptos and you decide the best move is to parse their language till it makes sense to throw money at korea again?
i want to bet that my portfolio (80% xlm/10% eth/ 10% ada) rapes your collection of random asian coins over the next several months. will bet 2 ppl max or you guys can split the pot amongst yourselves. i’m done shilling now i just want to monetize your bad decision making |
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Date: January 25th, 2018 5:55 PM Author: arrogant milk u picked and advocated xlm even above this price
wish u the best ofc but ICX has paid me bigly |
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Date: January 25th, 2018 6:54 PM Author: Odious Flickering Trust Fund (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3870887&forum_id=7#35238211) |
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Date: January 25th, 2018 6:55 PM Author: Odious Flickering Trust Fund Brother, tbf, you are acting like ven and icx havent 4x’ed in the last month or so. You must be flame. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3870887&forum_id=7#35238229) |
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Date: January 25th, 2018 7:11 PM Author: indigo histrionic yarmulke doctorate that’s fine i’m talking about them going forward in light of regulatory uncertainty. every coin has fucking killed over the last few months (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3870887&forum_id=7#35238376) |
Date: January 25th, 2018 6:09 PM Author: trip karate garrison ven is not korean, retard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3870887&forum_id=7#35237758) |
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Date: January 25th, 2018 6:15 PM Author: indigo histrionic yarmulke doctorate Nigga I don’t give a fuck and didn’t bother to check. That shit is shit b.
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Date: January 25th, 2018 6:17 PM Author: arrogant milk huh, what is it? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3870887&forum_id=7#35237855) |
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Date: January 25th, 2018 6:29 PM Author: indigo histrionic yarmulke doctorate Lmao it’s fucking Chinese that bastion of procrypto policymaking.
http://youtu.be/Nc_-l5zpTWE |
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Date: January 25th, 2018 6:09 PM Author: Beady-eyed violent regret Post your eoy prices for
ETH XLM ADA VEN ICX |
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Date: January 25th, 2018 6:16 PM Author: indigo histrionic yarmulke doctorate Bro I don’t have a crystal ball you might as well ask a random number generator. I just know some of those names will fair better than others.
Unless you’re taking me up on my bet and want us to revisit these prices later this year |
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Date: January 25th, 2018 6:19 PM Author: Beady-eyed violent regret Just post relative market caps/rankings then. Is XLM gonna be top 3? How far will ICX and VEN fall? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3870887&forum_id=7#35237872) |
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Date: January 25th, 2018 7:47 PM Author: wine potus site he didnt even know ven was a chinese project. his predictions will be shit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3870887&forum_id=7#35238699) |
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Date: January 25th, 2018 7:55 PM Author: indigo histrionic yarmulke doctorate I desperately want to bet with you specifically. As much money as you’d like. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3870887&forum_id=7#35238751) |
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Date: January 25th, 2018 9:31 PM Author: indigo histrionic yarmulke doctorate By December 31, 2018, these coins will rank as follows:
ETH (will address scaling issues and likely remain platform of choice for ICOs)
XLM (will have overtaken ada (unless it makes huge progress relatively soon), bitcoin cash AND maybe even ripple (which i expect to drop dramatically) ADA
ICX VEN |
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Date: January 25th, 2018 8:14 PM Author: sable idiot i understand your intuitions and support xlm 100%, but it's retarded to make this sort of bet.
it completely ignores the irrationality of crypto, market cap size and potential to grow, among other things. |
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Date: January 25th, 2018 8:25 PM Author: indigo histrionic yarmulke doctorate Your first factor (irrationality of crypto) is at war with every other factor you listed (potential negative considerations that should matter in an efficient, remotely sophisticated market). Plus market cap matters way less than the supply of coins actively circulating in exchanges. the scariest thing for me is actually that xlm may have a huge velocity precisely because it’s so fast at moving coins around (reducing the value of any one coin) but I’m banking that folks will hoard it for a while as it becomes an ico platform and eventually a store of value (why store it in bitcoin if stellar let’s you automatically flip into other coins and fiat easier than any other coin via fairx)
I do have a knack for picking stories that are likely to catch on more broadly, often using what amount to high level theses. But here what are usually vague intuitions feel more like 500 pound gorillas violently shaking me screaming “buy you fucking moron!”
XLM = numerous catalysts for explosive growth. Asia coins = scary if so many investors fear losing their money due to regulation. You’re correct about the riskiness of this bet but I could not be more confident in making it. |
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Date: January 25th, 2018 8:38 PM Author: sable idiot market cap exerts a silent pressure, it's like physics.
what you think is going to be the dominant narrative may not turn out to be.
betting on this is not risky at all in the context of crypto, it's more that this doesn't have the same upside as other coins. and by being safe, in essence tethering itself to real world results in the eyes of more intelligent and hence skeptical buyers, it is thereby RISKIER in the larger scheme because crypto as a whole can implode at any moment. |
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Date: January 25th, 2018 9:25 PM Author: indigo histrionic yarmulke doctorate look i’m 100% on board with the “swing for the fucking fences because all this fugazi internet monopoly money share the same systemic risk of total implosion” school. it’s how i justified going all in on cardano and xvg instead of hedging with bitcoin and ether.
i think we just disagree about (1) XLM’s potential upside (i think $4 by year end isn’t inconceivable) and (2) whether trying to play armchair venture capitalist hunting for 100000x returns is a smart expected value play |
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Date: January 26th, 2018 11:23 AM Author: sable idiot $4 by end of year is what, 6x gains?
you're here crowing about potential 6x gains in ONE YEAR, when this crypto bubble has only been around for ONE YEAR, and is just as likely to completely fucking implode in the next 6 months as it is to not? and you are staking your reputation in a euphoric bet based on these expectations of a 6x gain? fucking shameful |
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Date: January 25th, 2018 8:26 PM Author: impertinent wild rigor kitchen isnt xlm growth kinda t apped out? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3870887&forum_id=7#35239065) |
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Date: January 25th, 2018 8:31 PM Author: indigo histrionic yarmulke doctorate I dunno man it just jumped 25% in a week. in the stock market this would be plastered on the wsj as the year’s biggest growth story. Hardly indicative of a tapped out coin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3870887&forum_id=7#35239122) |
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Date: January 25th, 2018 8:35 PM Author: impertinent wild rigor kitchen yea but that literally happens every day to a random coin, not fornt page news (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3870887&forum_id=7#35239160) |
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Date: January 25th, 2018 8:36 PM Author: talented indian lodge legend To be fair
it rose 25% this week after crashing 25% the week before that. i actually bought in at 0.66 as my first buy and then watched it crash to 0.4 and now come back to 0.6 |
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Date: January 30th, 2018 4:35 PM Author: arrogant milk lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3870887&forum_id=7#35279262) |
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Date: January 30th, 2018 5:40 PM Author: fragrant reading party The more I read about ICX the more tempted I am to load up some more
Currently have 1,500 and I have .6 BTC I could sell and get like 700 more ICX for |
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Date: February 3rd, 2018 3:51 PM Author: indigo histrionic yarmulke doctorate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3870887&forum_id=7#35314502) |
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Date: February 3rd, 2018 3:50 PM Author: indigo histrionic yarmulke doctorate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3870887&forum_id=7#35314499) |
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Date: February 3rd, 2018 4:33 PM Author: arrogant milk title is not true for most time periods in the past month and a half (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3870887&forum_id=7#35314725) |