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Trumpmos - do u honestly think Trump can win again in 2020?
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:18 PM Author: Hot azn u really think a democrat won't win PA/WI/MI if they actually advertised in those states this time? and for that matter, u think he can win all of AZ/GA/NC/OH/FL/IA as well? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467320) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 6:55 PM Author: maniacal garrison you faggots are going to get crushed in every election where trump is on the ballot. hth. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467915) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 6:59 PM Author: Thirsty theater stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467933) |
Date: July 20th, 2018 5:19 PM Author: Nubile diverse sanctuary I think Trump would not be favored to win, but I could see him winning under certain circumstances. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467326) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:19 PM Author: Hot azn with the same combination of states or different one? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467330) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:20 PM Author: Nubile diverse sanctuary pretty similar combination (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467333) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:21 PM Author: Hot azn he won MI by 10k votes even though Hillary completely ignored the state (and it was Hillary). A baseline democrat that pumps even $1 mil into voter turnout in Detroit would win there. Similar case in WI w/ Milwaukee. The only state I could see him holding is PA, but that seems like a stretch too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467343) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:22 PM Author: Nubile diverse sanctuary I could see him holding all 3 of those states and adding MN if things go a certain way. Or I could see him losing all of those plus GA/NC/FL.
It really depends on, among other things, the economy and who exactly the Dems nominate. I think there are Dem contenders who would not win WI/PA/MI. |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:23 PM Author: Hot azn Who do you think wins those states if the nominee is Biden? (assuming conditions are similar to today). (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467352) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:24 PM Author: Nubile diverse sanctuary I think Trump would beat the shit out of Joe Biden. I really think Biden is the opponent Trump wants.
I think Kamala Harris would win 300+ EVs against Trump. |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:25 PM Author: Harsh Crackhouse No way re Harris. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467367) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:32 PM Author: Opaque mind-boggling regret house cr what is this guy smoking (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467441) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:34 PM Author: Crawly beady-eyed party of the first part Agreed. She's way too angry and would turn off independents. Maybe as VP.
And Biden is old as fuck. |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:34 PM Author: Nubile diverse sanctuary elections are not about pleasing independents. they're about driving out your base. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467461) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:35 PM Author: Crawly beady-eyed party of the first part Great. I hope you guys nominate her. PLEASE. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467471) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:27 PM Author: curious area they need to go full on one way or the other.
Biden would win back a bunch of midwestern states that already hate Trump over tariffs now.
Harris would win back Florida and North Carolina and probably Georgia based on black turnout.
Hillary was too wishy washy. She didn't swing a lot of midwestern women nor did she get high black turnout. |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:30 PM Author: Nubile diverse sanctuary If Biden is the nominee, a lot of POC voters and young DSA voters will stay home. The base will not be energized. His past history of being a creepy old man will haunt him with young women.
If it's somebody diverse and far-left like Harris, the voters who stayed home and helped Trump win will come out in droves.
Trump needs the Democrats to nominate a boring old white man. One like Biden, who is old and white AND has skeletons in the closet, would be perfect. |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:32 PM Author: Marvelous sapphire center There's no way Biden makes it out of the primary. Biden is the Hillary 08 of the 2020 cycle. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467442) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:31 PM Author: Lake death wish university kamala might not do as well as you might guess among blacks in the deep south. they obv wouldn’t go for trump but she wouldn’t generate the kind of turnout obama did.
personally i think the democrats should nominate a good looking youngish white guy because americans are stupid and tribal and will use that as a proxy for substantive policy positions |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:35 PM Author: Supple balding wrinkle lol you corny niggerfaggot
yeah the dems should just nominate some peterman |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:35 PM Author: Lake death wish university aren’t you literally gay? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467474) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:41 PM Author: Marvelous sapphire center Uh, yes she would. Obama had huge issues early in the 08 cycle and a bunch of the black establishment Dem pols were attacking him as not actually black i.e. not a descendant of slaves, and were all talking like they were going to support Hillary. Obama was the nom because white hipsters coalesced around him in like March of 2007 and they showed up in droves to work for him and that took everyone by surprise in Iowa.
Harris, OTOH, will blow through all those southern primaries unless somehow Cory Booker sticks around. Even if Obama doesn't come out in support of her, I think he at worst stays neutral and the story is he won't endorse his own VP. I also think Biden's not running and if he does run he gets worked in NH And NV and SC knocks him out.
The more interesting question is what happens if and when both Warren and Sanders run. Does that split Bernie's voters or would Warren pick up a lot of the Hillary tacklebox full of buttplugs, etc. voters. I think Bernie's in a tough spot and it will be really interesting to see if he goes after Warren hard.
The good news for Trump is that they're all terrible on TV, terrible on the stump and he can definitely beat any of them if the economy hasn't tanked by 2020. |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:51 PM Author: razzmatazz ruddy potus philosopher-king Laughed out loud at the "Hillary tacklebox full of buttplugs" reference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467568) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 12:16 AM Author: jet aromatic corner What makes you all think trump won’t get black votes? Mark me, trump will get a decent amount of black votes he has the record now to go on and not all blacks are ghetto thugs. The hard working ones who hate niggers but can’t say anything will be the shy Tory’s of this election. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36469215) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:19 PM Author: purple hospital Lmao (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467331) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:20 PM Author: Titillating rough-skinned orchestra pit sure, god knows what is going to happen between now and then (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467335) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:20 PM Author: Aqua Lodge Clown if not impeached, he'll get 300 EVs. if he is impeached, he'll get 350 EVs (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467338) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:21 PM Author: purple hospital (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467344) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:21 PM Author: Hot azn stfu - keep this shitty flame out of here (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467345) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:22 PM Author: Aqua Lodge Clown u stfu (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467347) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:23 PM Author: Hot azn gtfo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467354) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:29 PM Author: Supple balding wrinkle gbti (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467407) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:23 PM Author: Supple balding wrinkle yeah
the democratic party is a dumpster fire that will only get worse once you get your ass stuffed in the midterms |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:23 PM Author: Thriller Copper Step-uncle's House Yes. He won in 2016. Why not? Very few people who are inclined to vote for him give a shit about any of this noise. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467351) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:25 PM Author: Hot azn yes but the problem for him is that there are less Republicans than Democrats (particularly now). So as long as they don't do a shit job w/ black turnout in Detroit/Milwaukee/Philly like last time the Dems should win in even a neutral environment. Also, GA/AZ demographics have shifted rapidly since 2016. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467366) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:30 PM Author: bronze institution Independents agree with Trump more often than not and outnumber one or both parties in lots of states. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467421) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:33 PM Author: Supple balding wrinkle if dems nominate some candidate meant to increase minority turnout its going to just lead to more white people leaving the party--who actually vote (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467447) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:33 PM Author: Nubile diverse sanctuary (guy who was assuring us that 2008 was the start of a 40-year permanent majority for the Democrats) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467448) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:49 PM Author: Citrine Vigorous Meetinghouse Weed Whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467554) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:56 PM Author: sooty ticket booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467592) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 12:19 AM Author: jet aromatic corner What the fuck are you talking about “republicans” and “democrats” ? Are you a boomer? There is no such thing anymore. Your either pro trump or anti trump. That’s it. Those are the party’s now grandpa. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36469227) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:23 PM Author: Harsh Crackhouse Just lol. Of course we do especially with the phrasing you gave. But you're an elite smart know it all lib. Why even have an election. We should just listen to you. I guess he's done. America is doomed. Sad. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467355) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:25 PM Author: Hot azn anyone with an IQ over 90 is an "elite smart know it all lib" to you. you are a disease. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467372) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:23 PM Author: Cracking church not a trumper, but yeah he could win. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467356) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:24 PM Author: sooty ticket booth No I believe that working class voters in those Midwest states will decide that illegal immigration is good in 2020 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467362) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:26 PM Author: curious area or perhaps they'll decide that the tariffs and tax cuts fucked them over, which is an objective fact.
why are Iowa farmers coming to DC to protest Trump? hmm. |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:28 PM Author: Supple balding wrinkle bc they want to abolish ICE obviously (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467392) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:28 PM Author: sooty ticket booth Cr the working class also doesn’t like to see their taxes cut
And we all know how much they love nafta and free trade |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:29 PM Author: curious area the working class didn't get their taxes cut. but they did get tariffs that fucked over mostly red states. see the problem with people like you is that objective facts are meaningless. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467410) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:30 PM Author: Supple balding wrinkle yeah I guess normal white people will just have to cave to the party of open porders and 8 year old drag queens now (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467422) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:31 PM Author: sooty ticket booth Cr they won’t have to but they will choose to (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467429) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:31 PM Author: appetizing national security agency trailer park what is the relationship between bonerless police and boner police? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467431) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:35 PM Author: sooty ticket booth The former posts exactly as you would expect someone bonerless to (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467464) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:34 PM Author: sooty ticket booth *makes objectively false claim about tax cuts*
*says facts don’t matter to you* |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:47 PM Author: Marvelous sapphire center If you think the tax cuts are a winning issue for the GOP/Trump you're very uninformed. GOP is running scared from the tax cuts and Dems are using them in every ad in the mid-terms. And that's while U.S. corps are blowing through tax cut money like Trump buying hotels in AC circa 1989. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467539) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:49 PM Author: sooty ticket booth You wrote: the working class didn't get their taxes cut and that that is an objective fact
That is an objectively false statement. Their tax rate went down in nearly all cases.
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:48 PM Author: Hideous Naked Tattoo Lmao. Its why no one takes libs seriously anymore (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467542) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:51 PM Author: Citrine Vigorous Meetinghouse Weed Whacker I’m saving $7K in taxes this year. I guess I’m not working class. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467566) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:50 PM Author: Citrine Vigorous Meetinghouse Weed Whacker “Tax cuts fucked me!” said no one ever. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467556) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:25 PM Author: Big rehab you guys keep asking this question in the negative form. how about: Who is going to BEAT Trump? Ocasio-Cortez? lol |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:27 PM Author: appetizing national security agency trailer park I got off the proverbially "Trump Train" as soon as he said pussy ("locker room talk"? Please). Nonetheless, I predict he will win. The man simply has a magnetism that can't be matched. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467382) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:28 PM Author: curious area yes, he is a magnet for shit (see shit posters above). but there's not enough shit in this country to elect him again now that the civilized population sees what kind of garbage elected him. Dems will take back the house this year and subpoena the shit out of this Russia thing. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467401) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:30 PM Author: appetizing national security agency trailer park Hadn't considered the House angle. Do you have any periodicals or twitter feeds you could recommend? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467415) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:30 PM Author: Charcoal deer antler idk but i hope the dems nominate avenatti just to make it interesting. its really hard to beat an incumbent so why not take a flier on a guy like this who can hit back and shake things up. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467416) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:31 PM Author: Marvelous sapphire center The crazy part about this is that the whole question comes down to what a bunch of 95 IQ midwesterners retain of whatever garbage they come across via the MSM, Fox and the internet. Like SCOTUS for a generation, the future of NATO, likely also the Middle East, the fate of millions of illegal immigrants, it's all up to like 100k people in 4 states. He's so perfectly polarizing that 50% of the country hates him no matter what, 40% of the country loves him no matter what, and the other 10% seem to vote and answer polls based on how annoyed they get by the 50% v the 40%. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467430) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 10:34 PM Author: hairraiser nudist volcanic crater national (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36468885) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:32 PM Author: Pungent associate address With a solid economy and having turned most Americans against SJW nut jobs by then, very easily. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467435) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:33 PM Author: Opaque mind-boggling regret house yes but continue to make this thread every other day (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467446) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:34 PM Author: Nubile diverse sanctuary yeah it's crazy how this pumo is constantly thinking about politics (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467454) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:44 PM Author: wonderful property easily. also, daily reminder that it's late july 2018, and the democrats have ZERO viable candidates who could realistically beat trump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467521) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:46 PM Author: Cream excitant patrolman dem turnout will obv be better, but the primary will require them to *completely* tear the mask off and alienate even more ordinary whites than Hillary did. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467530) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 6:05 PM Author: Supple balding wrinkle dem turnout will be even lower (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467629) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 6:06 PM Author: Cream excitant patrolman dem turnout among base/minorities*
overall may be lower of further alienated white that cant bring themselves to vote trump just sit out altogether.
it really depends on the primary and candidate. |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 6:56 PM Author: Emerald spectacular public bath coffee pot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467918) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 7:04 PM Author: obsidian razzle-dazzle stag film community account can't wait for their convention. Trun out is entirely the key. Dems have been dropping likes stones since Obama 08. 2012 was decidedly lower and Hillary on 16 was off a cliff. Same turn out as 08, Trump loss. But who the fuck knows. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467953) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:58 PM Author: Citrine Vigorous Meetinghouse Weed Whacker This thread will be getting bumped in 2020. Hope I’m clearing 200K by then. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467604) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 6:56 PM Author: maniacal garrison (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467919) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 6:07 PM Author: Lilac Startled Skinny Woman Native I still don't think he can win in 2016. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467645) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 6:56 PM Author: razzmatazz ruddy potus philosopher-king Yes, and probably by a larger margin. Working class whites are never going to vote Democratic again. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467920) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 6:57 PM Author: maniacal garrison (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467927) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 7:54 PM Author: Marvelous sapphire center It’s more of a question of whether they bother to vote. They were fired up and genuinely hated Hillary in 2016. Not sure Trump will get them going the same way the second time around and facing a basically unknown Dem pol with 2% national name rec. The problem of having the poorly educated as your base is that they’re less reliable, take it from the Dems and their 50% chunk of their base that’s non college grad URMs. And the GOP has not had to address that problem in their GOTV strategy in the past when their base was college educated and post grads. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36468211) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 12:18 AM Author: Poppy Trip Forum You’re not good at this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36469224) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 7:05 PM Author: khaki chapel hominid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467961) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 7:39 PM Author: maroon aphrodisiac new version Ljl the dems will have to campaign on open borders marxism to get through the primary. There's still enough whites left for the next cycle that this will make it insanely difficult for them to win the general election (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36468137) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 7:48 PM Author: motley bbw Yes. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36468193) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 8:07 PM Author: Floppy glassy tanning salon are you really making this thread now? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36468290) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 8:13 PM Author: stirring personal credit line partner Trump will easily win re-election. Obeezy and WLMAS finally will kill themselves, and we all will bask in the glory of MAGA. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36468317) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 12:19 AM Author: Poppy Trip Forum (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36469228) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 8:17 PM Author: Swashbuckling casino “bonerless police” might be the dullest faggot alive (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36468350) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 10:34 PM Author: Frum french chef fortuitous meteor can and WILL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36468890) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 11:25 PM Author: Translucent hairy legs sneaky criminal I made the case for this before, but assuming the economy is strong and he does not have any REAL major fuck ups - not these media made controversies where they are outraged he didn't talk shit to Putin's face (which is a big if considering he's a complete loose cannon), Trump will sail to victory.
He's going to have a much bigger support from his base. Mainstream Republicans will be far more likely to vote for him because he'll have proven for 4 years that the lib hysterics are nonsense. He'll have passed tax reform.
His base will love him even more. They won't see that his tariffs and tax cuts aren't working, but they'll see he is TRYING to protect them - which is more than any politician has done for them in the past 30 years. |