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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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Misanthropic location boiling water
  07/21/18
0%
Glittery Red Yarmulke
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
Trip Transparent Pervert Hospital
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
Bateful Doobsian Tattoo Senate
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
embarrassed to the bone place of business immigrant
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
exhilarant theater stage regret
  07/21/18
jfc
mentally impaired associate
  07/21/18
90%
Cerebral bistre toilet seat
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
Dun galvanic trump supporter institution
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
gay psychic
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
disturbing therapy bawdyhouse
  07/21/18
...
Bisexual jew
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
embarrassed to the bone place of business immigrant
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
crusty emerald dog poop
  07/21/18
45%
Racy step-uncle's house
  07/21/18
75%
glassy useless brakes
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
at-the-ready tantric sanctuary
  07/21/18
...
splenetic cruise ship
  07/21/18
80%
crusty emerald dog poop
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: Misanthropic location boiling water



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: Glittery Red Yarmulke

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Trip Transparent Pervert Hospital

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Bateful Doobsian Tattoo Senate

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: embarrassed to the bone place of business immigrant

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: exhilarant theater stage regret

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: mentally impaired associate

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: Cerebral bistre toilet seat

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: Dun galvanic trump supporter institution

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: gay psychic

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: disturbing therapy bawdyhouse

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Bisexual jew



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: embarrassed to the bone place of business immigrant

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: crusty emerald dog poop

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Racy step-uncle's house

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: glassy useless brakes

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: at-the-ready tantric sanctuary

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: splenetic cruise ship



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: crusty emerald dog poop

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)