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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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Self-absorbed Electric Furnace Space
  07/21/18
0%
big amber puppy stag film
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
Vigorous high-end den jewess
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
Odious yarmulke
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
exciting green trailer park messiness
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
kink-friendly idea he suggested
  07/21/18
jfc
Claret step-uncle's house
  07/21/18
90%
canary senate
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
Fragrant Dysfunction Kitty
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
rusted bat-shit-crazy tanning salon windowlicker
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
arousing property
  07/21/18
...
bearded umber double fault
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
exciting green trailer park messiness
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
dashing learning disabled death wish knife
  07/21/18
45%
irradiated twisted internal respiration mad cow disease
  07/21/18
75%
Excitant orchestra pit
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
Mahogany Titillating Point
  07/21/18
...
Wonderful toaster school cafeteria
  07/21/18
80%
dashing learning disabled death wish knife
  07/21/18


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Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: Self-absorbed Electric Furnace Space



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: big amber puppy stag film

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Vigorous high-end den jewess

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Odious yarmulke

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: exciting green trailer park messiness

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: kink-friendly idea he suggested

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Claret step-uncle's house

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: canary senate

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: Fragrant Dysfunction Kitty

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: rusted bat-shit-crazy tanning salon windowlicker

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: arousing property

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: bearded umber double fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: exciting green trailer park messiness

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: dashing learning disabled death wish knife

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: irradiated twisted internal respiration mad cow disease

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Excitant orchestra pit

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: Mahogany Titillating Point

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: Wonderful toaster school cafeteria



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: dashing learning disabled death wish knife

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)