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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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Silver Aphrodisiac Public Bath Deer Antler
  07/21/18
0%
heady home place of business
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
Hairraiser brunch
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
clear irradiated site police squad
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
bistre beady-eyed cuck
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
Misunderstood goal in life
  07/21/18
jfc
Spectacular turdskin tanning salon
  07/21/18
90%
Mind-boggling outnumbered hell masturbator
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
french thriller forum corn cake
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
Stimulating Center Mexican
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
histrionic at-the-ready den
  07/21/18
...
submissive dilemma hunting ground
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
bistre beady-eyed cuck
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
laughsome know-it-all lettuce athletic conference
  07/21/18
45%
overrated bearded associate
  07/21/18
75%
Honey-headed Yapping School
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
supple travel guidebook
  07/21/18
...
iridescent point
  07/21/18
80%
laughsome know-it-all lettuce athletic conference
  07/21/18


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Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: Silver Aphrodisiac Public Bath Deer Antler



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: heady home place of business

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Hairraiser brunch

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: clear irradiated site police squad

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: bistre beady-eyed cuck

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: Misunderstood goal in life

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Spectacular turdskin tanning salon

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: Mind-boggling outnumbered hell masturbator

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: french thriller forum corn cake

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: Stimulating Center Mexican

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: histrionic at-the-ready den

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: submissive dilemma hunting ground



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: bistre beady-eyed cuck

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: laughsome know-it-all lettuce athletic conference

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: overrated bearded associate

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Honey-headed Yapping School

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: supple travel guidebook

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: iridescent point



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: laughsome know-it-all lettuce athletic conference

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)