\
  The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
BackRefresh Options Favorite

what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

...
lilac overrated knife
  07/21/18
0%
bonkers queen of the night hospital
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
trip legend
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
Awkward Laughsome Clown
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Appetizing dark ticket booth
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
Mischievous Stage Foreskin
  07/21/18
jfc
self-absorbed people who are hurt trust fund
  07/21/18
90%
chartreuse rehab
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
Green Idiot Native
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
Infuriating apoplectic address factory reset button
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
Frisky theater stage
  07/21/18
...
swashbuckling orchestra pit tank
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Appetizing dark ticket booth
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
orchid house sweet tailpipe
  07/21/18
45%
exhilarant box office
  07/21/18
75%
Navy center
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
Hateful pit hairy legs
  07/21/18
...
Multi-colored Sickened Striped Hyena
  07/21/18
80%
orchid house sweet tailpipe
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: lilac overrated knife



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: bonkers queen of the night hospital

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: trip legend

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Awkward Laughsome Clown

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Appetizing dark ticket booth

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: Mischievous Stage Foreskin

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: self-absorbed people who are hurt trust fund

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: chartreuse rehab

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: Green Idiot Native

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: Infuriating apoplectic address factory reset button

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: Frisky theater stage

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: swashbuckling orchestra pit tank



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Appetizing dark ticket booth

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: orchid house sweet tailpipe

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: exhilarant box office

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Navy center

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: Hateful pit hairy legs

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: Multi-colored Sickened Striped Hyena



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: orchid house sweet tailpipe

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)