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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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Frozen chest-beating point idiot
  07/21/18
0%
Motley garrison
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
henna dead philosopher-king forum
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
slimy fuchsia abode
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Bossy Emerald Nowag
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
swashbuckling hairy legs black woman
  07/21/18
jfc
Grizzly swollen parlor
  07/21/18
90%
Sable sanctuary
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
bat shit crazy ivory elastic band cumskin
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
French Site Rigpig
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
Gay Stain
  07/21/18
...
Lascivious Newt Trump Supporter
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Bossy Emerald Nowag
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
Histrionic maize azn yarmulke
  07/21/18
45%
Carnelian soul-stirring multi-billionaire keepsake machete
  07/21/18
75%
Excitant hairless useless brakes stock car
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
Concupiscible Laser Beams
  07/21/18
...
Lilac mood rehab
  07/21/18
80%
Histrionic maize azn yarmulke
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: Frozen chest-beating point idiot



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: Motley garrison

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: henna dead philosopher-king forum

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: slimy fuchsia abode

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Bossy Emerald Nowag

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: swashbuckling hairy legs black woman

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Grizzly swollen parlor

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: Sable sanctuary

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: bat shit crazy ivory elastic band cumskin

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: French Site Rigpig

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: Gay Stain

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Lascivious Newt Trump Supporter



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Bossy Emerald Nowag

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Histrionic maize azn yarmulke

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Carnelian soul-stirring multi-billionaire keepsake machete

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Excitant hairless useless brakes stock car

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: Concupiscible Laser Beams

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: Lilac mood rehab



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Histrionic maize azn yarmulke

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)