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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?
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Poast new message in this thread
Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM Author: cobalt erotic incel parlour (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544) |
Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: Smoky karate 0% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578) |
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Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM Author: Gold curious cruise ship international law enforcement agency Reply Favorite
Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)
0%
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578) |
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Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM Author: Frozen center black woman http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2
Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM Author: ...,.........,.........,....
I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported. Gillum is doing too well in central florida.
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Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM Author: Cordovan Haunted Graveyard Forum I would be shocked if they don't.
1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.
2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.
3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.
4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.
5. Democratic base is far more energized.
6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.
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Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM Author: flickering cerise patrolman http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2 https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM Author: trip milky jewess theater stage jfc (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM Author: Plum feces reading party 90% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM Author: pale bearded faggotry them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM Author: Stubborn nighttime pit boistinker They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM Author: Stirring sable address pisswyrm 65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM Author: Excitant quadroon theatre (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM Author: Cordovan Haunted Graveyard Forum Correct. It's 90%+. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM Author: Deranged Den Mexican You need to get a life outside xo bro (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM Author: mahogany hideous digit ratio pistol 45% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM Author: Galvanic death wish corner 75% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM Author: buck-toothed national security agency business firm Every single day the same thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM Author: dead sneaky criminal house (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM Author: Deranged Den Mexican 80% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986) |