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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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nubile theater antidepressant drug
  07/21/18
0%
Narrow-minded Community Account
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
Free-loading Mother Sandwich
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
Ultramarine effete box office
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Ocher Slippery Foreskin
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
vivacious school coffee pot
  07/21/18
jfc
exhilarant senate
  07/21/18
90%
Mildly autistic coiffed milk
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
provocative public bath
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
Amber Angry Pit Codepig
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
Pink property
  07/21/18
...
blathering buff black woman
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Ocher Slippery Foreskin
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
Rose jet-lagged juggernaut
  07/21/18
45%
Diverse Idiotic Station
  07/21/18
75%
sinister topaz location
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
laughsome bossy center
  07/21/18
...
Contagious Mischievous Travel Guidebook
  07/21/18
80%
Rose jet-lagged juggernaut
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: nubile theater antidepressant drug



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: Narrow-minded Community Account

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Free-loading Mother Sandwich

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Ultramarine effete box office

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Ocher Slippery Foreskin

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: vivacious school coffee pot

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: exhilarant senate

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: Mildly autistic coiffed milk

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: provocative public bath

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: Amber Angry Pit Codepig

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: Pink property

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: blathering buff black woman



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Ocher Slippery Foreskin

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Rose jet-lagged juggernaut

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Diverse Idiotic Station

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: sinister topaz location

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: laughsome bossy center

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: Contagious Mischievous Travel Guidebook



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Rose jet-lagged juggernaut

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)