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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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doobsian disgusting indian lodge haunted graveyard
  07/21/18
0%
bipolar associate
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
histrionic opaque stage
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
Vigorous Sooty Hairy Legs Set
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
offensive self-centered pisswyrm
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
Arousing partner
  07/21/18
jfc
Passionate narrow-minded nibblets azn
  07/21/18
90%
Drunken lodge
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
autistic university
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
french vivacious sandwich trust fund
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
walnut dopamine senate
  07/21/18
...
Mind-boggling Chad Site
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
offensive self-centered pisswyrm
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
Frisky awkward ratface sweet tailpipe
  07/21/18
45%
massive sex offender party of the first part
  07/21/18
75%
Filthy lay toilet seat
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
tripping locale
  07/21/18
...
electric buff digit ratio
  07/21/18
80%
Frisky awkward ratface sweet tailpipe
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: doobsian disgusting indian lodge haunted graveyard



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: bipolar associate

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: histrionic opaque stage

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Vigorous Sooty Hairy Legs Set

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: offensive self-centered pisswyrm

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: Arousing partner

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Passionate narrow-minded nibblets azn

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: Drunken lodge

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: autistic university

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: french vivacious sandwich trust fund

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: walnut dopamine senate

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Mind-boggling Chad Site



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: offensive self-centered pisswyrm

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Frisky awkward ratface sweet tailpipe

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: massive sex offender party of the first part

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Filthy lay toilet seat

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: tripping locale

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: electric buff digit ratio



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Frisky awkward ratface sweet tailpipe

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)