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LOL, Nate Silver, never not DONE HERE, says 80% chance libs will take Congress
| mischievous motley stage | 09/19/18 |
| Aphrodisiac Parlour | 09/19/18 |
| mischievous motley stage | 09/19/18 |
| hilarious home | 09/19/18 |
| mischievous motley stage | 09/19/18 |
| yellow forum ladyboy | 09/19/18 |
| mischievous motley stage | 09/19/18 |
| yellow forum ladyboy | 09/19/18 |
| Electric crawly shrine circlehead | 09/19/18 |
| yellow forum ladyboy | 09/19/18 |
| Electric crawly shrine circlehead | 09/19/18 |
| yellow forum ladyboy | 09/19/18 |
| Electric crawly shrine circlehead | 09/19/18 |
| yellow forum ladyboy | 09/19/18 |
| Electric crawly shrine circlehead | 09/19/18 |
| fuchsia toaster | 09/19/18 |
| soul-stirring cyan hall | 09/19/18 |
| Supple base | 09/19/18 |
| fuchsia toaster | 09/20/18 |
| Crimson cracking therapy | 09/19/18 |
| Smoky Kitchen | 09/20/18 |
| Swashbuckling learning disabled senate associate | 09/20/18 |
| slippery knife tanning salon | 09/20/18 |
| fuchsia toaster | 09/19/18 |
| soul-stirring cyan hall | 09/19/18 |
| Henna Adventurous Casino Goyim | 09/20/18 |
| slippery knife tanning salon | 09/20/18 |
| slippery knife tanning salon | 09/20/18 |
| Ruddy Disgusting Meetinghouse Pocket Flask | 09/19/18 |
| mischievous motley stage | 09/19/18 |
| mustard school cafeteria rigor | 09/20/18 |
| Ungodly pontificating masturbator | 09/20/18 |
| mustard school cafeteria rigor | 09/20/18 |
| Ungodly pontificating masturbator | 09/20/18 |
| slippery knife tanning salon | 09/20/18 |
| slippery knife tanning salon | 09/20/18 |
| mustard school cafeteria rigor | 09/20/18 |
| Haunting party of the first part fortuitous meteor | 09/19/18 |
| Zippy Self-absorbed Really Tough Guy Candlestick Maker | 09/20/18 |
| Provocative half-breed business firm | 09/20/18 |
| mustard school cafeteria rigor | 09/20/18 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 AM Author: mischievous motley stage https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=rrpromo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838246) |
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Aphrodisiac Parlour This seems too low. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:14 AM Author: mischievous motley stage Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Mark Wohlers
This seems too low.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 AM Author: hilarious home LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your "average." That shit been red since the 90s. The only way it comes out blue on "average" is of you reach back another 70 years LJL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838262) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:15 AM Author: mischievous motley stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838274) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: yellow forum ladyboy data seems skewed right? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840795) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 12:54 PM Author: mischievous motley stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840739) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 12:58 PM Author: yellow forum ladyboy What is the actual percentage? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840774) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:00 PM Author: Electric crawly shrine circlehead Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right.
Senate, GOP is 70% favorite. |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: yellow forum ladyboy (guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840790) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: Electric crawly shrine circlehead I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unless they take both houses of congress. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840794) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:02 PM Author: yellow forum ladyboy Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect understanding of the word? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840803) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:03 PM Author: Electric crawly shrine circlehead Explain how I have incorrect understanding? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840809) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: yellow forum ladyboy I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is "Congress" and the Senate is the Senate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840815) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: Electric crawly shrine circlehead Lol what? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840819) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:05 PM Author: fuchsia toaster Technically, that’s completely wrong (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840825) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: soul-stirring cyan hall Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes shit up) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840830) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: Supple base Grow a beard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840831) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 12:36 AM Author: fuchsia toaster (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846400) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:37 PM Author: Crimson cracking therapy any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their understanding of american poritics with the bort? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36841047) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:53 AM Author: Smoky Kitchen 180 sub thread would read again (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846930) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:35 AM Author: Swashbuckling learning disabled senate associate lmfao (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847006) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: slippery knife tanning salon "technically" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847041) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: fuchsia toaster (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840817) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: soul-stirring cyan hall "The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the Federal government of the United States. The legislature consists of two chambers: the House of Representatives and the Senate."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:55 AM Author: Henna Adventurous Casino Goyim can't believe we've come to this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846931) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: slippery knife tanning salon Hey! This is law bort! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847042) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: slippery knife tanning salon Do you? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847040) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Ruddy Disgusting Meetinghouse Pocket Flask He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.
His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either. |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:29 PM Author: mischievous motley stage Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Dickey Simpkins
He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.
His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:40 AM Author: mustard school cafeteria rigor Cons will never listen to this.
Also silver gave trump a 35% chance and wrote an article two days before about how overconfident the media was.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/ |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:43 AM Author: Ungodly pontificating masturbator Cons: Not understanding how probability works (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847026) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:44 AM Author: mustard school cafeteria rigor Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847028) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:45 AM Author: Ungodly pontificating masturbator (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847029) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:57 AM Author: slippery knife tanning salon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847047) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:56 AM Author: slippery knife tanning salon His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting called out hardcore for that before the election.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:59 AM Author: mustard school cafeteria rigor Libs were going INSANE on him. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847052) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 PM Author: Haunting party of the first part fortuitous meteor days without jewish tricks: 0 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840863) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 12:38 AM Author: Zippy Self-absorbed Really Tough Guy Candlestick Maker Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vote (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846412) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:49 AM Author: Provocative half-breed business firm What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choose not to tell their rabid shitlib pollsters that they'll be voting for pro-TRUMP candidates (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846927) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:41 AM Author: mustard school cafeteria rigor This is probably a figment of your imagination (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847024) |