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LOL, Nate Silver, never not DONE HERE, says 80% chance libs will take Congress
| coiffed spruce church internal respiration | 09/19/18 |
| exciting lake range | 09/19/18 |
| coiffed spruce church internal respiration | 09/19/18 |
| insanely creepy maize home | 09/19/18 |
| coiffed spruce church internal respiration | 09/19/18 |
| Medicated slate meetinghouse elastic band | 09/19/18 |
| coiffed spruce church internal respiration | 09/19/18 |
| Medicated slate meetinghouse elastic band | 09/19/18 |
| Indecent angry piazza voyeur | 09/19/18 |
| Medicated slate meetinghouse elastic band | 09/19/18 |
| Indecent angry piazza voyeur | 09/19/18 |
| Medicated slate meetinghouse elastic band | 09/19/18 |
| Indecent angry piazza voyeur | 09/19/18 |
| Medicated slate meetinghouse elastic band | 09/19/18 |
| Indecent angry piazza voyeur | 09/19/18 |
| at-the-ready corner party of the first part | 09/19/18 |
| jet dashing messiness | 09/19/18 |
| Sooty electric furnace | 09/19/18 |
| at-the-ready corner party of the first part | 09/20/18 |
| concupiscible seedy weed whacker faggotry | 09/19/18 |
| Topaz floppy alpha | 09/20/18 |
| Fishy House-broken Antidepressant Drug Trump Supporter | 09/20/18 |
| Brilliant twinkling uncleanness spot | 09/20/18 |
| at-the-ready corner party of the first part | 09/19/18 |
| jet dashing messiness | 09/19/18 |
| Galvanic Violet Tank Locale | 09/20/18 |
| Brilliant twinkling uncleanness spot | 09/20/18 |
| Brilliant twinkling uncleanness spot | 09/20/18 |
| Bearded stain degenerate | 09/19/18 |
| coiffed spruce church internal respiration | 09/19/18 |
| Nofapping Location Multi-billionaire | 09/20/18 |
| orchid philosopher-king | 09/20/18 |
| Nofapping Location Multi-billionaire | 09/20/18 |
| orchid philosopher-king | 09/20/18 |
| Brilliant twinkling uncleanness spot | 09/20/18 |
| Brilliant twinkling uncleanness spot | 09/20/18 |
| Nofapping Location Multi-billionaire | 09/20/18 |
| Pearly Public Bath Doctorate | 09/19/18 |
| cruel-hearted stirring cruise ship | 09/20/18 |
| Twisted Pozpig Box Office | 09/20/18 |
| Nofapping Location Multi-billionaire | 09/20/18 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 AM Author: coiffed spruce church internal respiration https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=rrpromo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838246) |
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: exciting lake range This seems too low. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:14 AM Author: coiffed spruce church internal respiration Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Mark Wohlers
This seems too low.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 AM Author: insanely creepy maize home LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your "average." That shit been red since the 90s. The only way it comes out blue on "average" is of you reach back another 70 years LJL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838262) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:15 AM Author: coiffed spruce church internal respiration (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838274) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: Medicated slate meetinghouse elastic band data seems skewed right? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840795) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 12:54 PM Author: coiffed spruce church internal respiration (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840739) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 12:58 PM Author: Medicated slate meetinghouse elastic band What is the actual percentage? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840774) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:00 PM Author: Indecent angry piazza voyeur Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right.
Senate, GOP is 70% favorite. |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: Medicated slate meetinghouse elastic band (guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840790) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: Indecent angry piazza voyeur I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unless they take both houses of congress. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840794) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:02 PM Author: Medicated slate meetinghouse elastic band Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect understanding of the word? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840803) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:03 PM Author: Indecent angry piazza voyeur Explain how I have incorrect understanding? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840809) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: Medicated slate meetinghouse elastic band I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is "Congress" and the Senate is the Senate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840815) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: Indecent angry piazza voyeur Lol what? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840819) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:05 PM Author: at-the-ready corner party of the first part Technically, that’s completely wrong (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840825) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: jet dashing messiness Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes shit up) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840830) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: Sooty electric furnace Grow a beard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840831) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 12:36 AM Author: at-the-ready corner party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846400) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:37 PM Author: concupiscible seedy weed whacker faggotry any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their understanding of american poritics with the bort? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36841047) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:53 AM Author: Topaz floppy alpha 180 sub thread would read again (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846930) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:35 AM Author: Fishy House-broken Antidepressant Drug Trump Supporter lmfao (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847006) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: Brilliant twinkling uncleanness spot "technically" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847041) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: at-the-ready corner party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840817) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: jet dashing messiness "The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the Federal government of the United States. The legislature consists of two chambers: the House of Representatives and the Senate."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:55 AM Author: Galvanic Violet Tank Locale can't believe we've come to this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846931) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: Brilliant twinkling uncleanness spot Hey! This is law bort! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847042) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: Brilliant twinkling uncleanness spot Do you? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847040) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Bearded stain degenerate He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.
His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either. |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:29 PM Author: coiffed spruce church internal respiration Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Dickey Simpkins
He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.
His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:40 AM Author: Nofapping Location Multi-billionaire Cons will never listen to this.
Also silver gave trump a 35% chance and wrote an article two days before about how overconfident the media was.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/ |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:43 AM Author: orchid philosopher-king Cons: Not understanding how probability works (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847026) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:44 AM Author: Nofapping Location Multi-billionaire Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847028) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:45 AM Author: orchid philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847029) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:57 AM Author: Brilliant twinkling uncleanness spot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847047) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:56 AM Author: Brilliant twinkling uncleanness spot His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting called out hardcore for that before the election.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:59 AM Author: Nofapping Location Multi-billionaire Libs were going INSANE on him. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847052) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 PM Author: Pearly Public Bath Doctorate days without jewish tricks: 0 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840863) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 12:38 AM Author: cruel-hearted stirring cruise ship Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vote (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846412) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:49 AM Author: Twisted Pozpig Box Office What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choose not to tell their rabid shitlib pollsters that they'll be voting for pro-TRUMP candidates (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846927) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:41 AM Author: Nofapping Location Multi-billionaire This is probably a figment of your imagination (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847024) |