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LOL, Nate Silver, never not DONE HERE, says 80% chance libs will take Congress

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-f...
rambunctious nudist tanning salon liquid oxygen
  09/19/18
This seems too low.
Exciting corner doctorate
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Mark Wohlers ...
rambunctious nudist tanning salon liquid oxygen
  09/19/18
LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your...
Chest-beating free-loading idiot theater
  09/19/18
...
rambunctious nudist tanning salon liquid oxygen
  09/19/18
data seems skewed right?
thirsty point
  09/19/18
...
rambunctious nudist tanning salon liquid oxygen
  09/19/18
What is the actual percentage?
thirsty point
  09/19/18
Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right....
Vivacious casino
  09/19/18
(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)
thirsty point
  09/19/18
I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unles...
Vivacious casino
  09/19/18
Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect unders...
thirsty point
  09/19/18
Explain how I have incorrect understanding?
Vivacious casino
  09/19/18
I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is &qu...
thirsty point
  09/19/18
Lol what?
Vivacious casino
  09/19/18
Technically, that’s completely wrong
shimmering public bath roommate
  09/19/18
Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes ...
jet-lagged trump supporter
  09/19/18
Grow a beard
fiercely-loyal wonderful hominid
  09/19/18
...
shimmering public bath roommate
  09/20/18
any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their...
Heady Flushed Pisswyrm
  09/19/18
180 sub thread would read again
elite twinkling uncleanness spot
  09/20/18
lmfao
twisted hell
  09/20/18
"technically"
cerebral arrogant dog poop ticket booth
  09/20/18
...
shimmering public bath roommate
  09/19/18
"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislatur...
jet-lagged trump supporter
  09/19/18
can't believe we've come to this.
Spruce stead
  09/20/18
Hey! This is law bort!
cerebral arrogant dog poop ticket booth
  09/20/18
Do you?
cerebral arrogant dog poop ticket booth
  09/20/18
He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the s...
Haunting multi-colored house personal credit line
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Dickey Simpkins ...
rambunctious nudist tanning salon liquid oxygen
  09/19/18
Cons will never listen to this. Also silver gave trump a...
concupiscible mad-dog skullcap lay
  09/20/18
Cons: Not understanding how probability works
dun weed whacker
  09/20/18
Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot
concupiscible mad-dog skullcap lay
  09/20/18
...
dun weed whacker
  09/20/18
...
cerebral arrogant dog poop ticket booth
  09/20/18
His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting ...
cerebral arrogant dog poop ticket booth
  09/20/18
Libs were going INSANE on him.
concupiscible mad-dog skullcap lay
  09/20/18
days without jewish tricks: 0
Appetizing fear-inspiring base blood rage
  09/19/18
Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vo...
Galvanic orchid faggot firefighter national
  09/20/18
What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choos...
hyperactive big gunner
  09/20/18
This is probably a figment of your imagination
concupiscible mad-dog skullcap lay
  09/20/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 AM
Author: rambunctious nudist tanning salon liquid oxygen

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=rrpromo

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838246)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM
Author: Exciting corner doctorate

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:14 AM
Author: rambunctious nudist tanning salon liquid oxygen

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM

Author: Mark Wohlers

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838272)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 AM
Author: Chest-beating free-loading idiot theater

LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your "average." That shit been red since the 90s. The only way it comes out blue on "average" is of you reach back another 70 years LJL

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838262)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:15 AM
Author: rambunctious nudist tanning salon liquid oxygen



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838274)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: thirsty point

data seems skewed right?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840795)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:54 PM
Author: rambunctious nudist tanning salon liquid oxygen



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840739)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:58 PM
Author: thirsty point

What is the actual percentage?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840774)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:00 PM
Author: Vivacious casino

Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right.

Senate, GOP is 70% favorite.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840785)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: thirsty point

(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840790)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: Vivacious casino

I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unless they take both houses of congress.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840794)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:02 PM
Author: thirsty point

Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect understanding of the word?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840803)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:03 PM
Author: Vivacious casino

Explain how I have incorrect understanding?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840809)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: thirsty point

I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is "Congress" and the Senate is the Senate.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840815)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: Vivacious casino

Lol what?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840819)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:05 PM
Author: shimmering public bath roommate

Technically, that’s completely wrong

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840825)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: jet-lagged trump supporter

Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes shit up)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840830)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: fiercely-loyal wonderful hominid

Grow a beard

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840831)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:36 AM
Author: shimmering public bath roommate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846400)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:37 PM
Author: Heady Flushed Pisswyrm

any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their understanding of american poritics with the bort?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36841047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:53 AM
Author: elite twinkling uncleanness spot

180 sub thread would read again

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846930)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:35 AM
Author: twisted hell

lmfao

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847006)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: cerebral arrogant dog poop ticket booth

"technically"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847041)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: shimmering public bath roommate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840817)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: jet-lagged trump supporter

"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the Federal government of the United States. The legislature consists of two chambers: the House of Representatives and the Senate."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840828)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:55 AM
Author: Spruce stead

can't believe we've come to this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846931)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: cerebral arrogant dog poop ticket booth

Hey! This is law bort!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847042)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: cerebral arrogant dog poop ticket booth

Do you?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847040)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM
Author: Haunting multi-colored house personal credit line

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:29 PM
Author: rambunctious nudist tanning salon liquid oxygen

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM

Author: Dickey Simpkins

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840986)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:40 AM
Author: concupiscible mad-dog skullcap lay

Cons will never listen to this.

Also silver gave trump a 35% chance and wrote an article two days before about how overconfident the media was.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847021)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:43 AM
Author: dun weed whacker

Cons: Not understanding how probability works

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847026)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:44 AM
Author: concupiscible mad-dog skullcap lay

Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847028)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:45 AM
Author: dun weed whacker



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847029)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:57 AM
Author: cerebral arrogant dog poop ticket booth



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:56 AM
Author: cerebral arrogant dog poop ticket booth

His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting called out hardcore for that before the election.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847045)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:59 AM
Author: concupiscible mad-dog skullcap lay

Libs were going INSANE on him.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847052)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 PM
Author: Appetizing fear-inspiring base blood rage

days without jewish tricks: 0

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840863)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:38 AM
Author: Galvanic orchid faggot firefighter national

Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vote

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846412)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:49 AM
Author: hyperactive big gunner

What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choose not to tell their rabid shitlib pollsters that they'll be voting for pro-TRUMP candidates

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846927)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:41 AM
Author: concupiscible mad-dog skullcap lay

This is probably a figment of your imagination

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847024)