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LOL, Nate Silver, never not DONE HERE, says 80% chance libs will take Congress

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-f...
Insecure pit persian
  09/19/18
This seems too low.
vigorous house striped hyena
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Mark Wohlers ...
Insecure pit persian
  09/19/18
LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your...
Snowy deranged private investor
  09/19/18
...
Insecure pit persian
  09/19/18
data seems skewed right?
Razzle-dazzle Cuckold Location
  09/19/18
...
Insecure pit persian
  09/19/18
What is the actual percentage?
Razzle-dazzle Cuckold Location
  09/19/18
Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right....
big library queen of the night
  09/19/18
(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)
Razzle-dazzle Cuckold Location
  09/19/18
I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unles...
big library queen of the night
  09/19/18
Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect unders...
Razzle-dazzle Cuckold Location
  09/19/18
Explain how I have incorrect understanding?
big library queen of the night
  09/19/18
I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is &qu...
Razzle-dazzle Cuckold Location
  09/19/18
Lol what?
big library queen of the night
  09/19/18
Technically, that’s completely wrong
henna address
  09/19/18
Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes ...
multi-colored jewess
  09/19/18
Grow a beard
Fragrant costumed telephone gunner
  09/19/18
...
henna address
  09/20/18
any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their...
bright karate fat ankles
  09/19/18
180 sub thread would read again
Sadistic Forum Faggotry
  09/20/18
lmfao
sooty nighttime corn cake
  09/20/18
"technically"
Magical whorehouse blood rage
  09/20/18
...
henna address
  09/19/18
"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislatur...
multi-colored jewess
  09/19/18
can't believe we've come to this.
Arousing greedy genital piercing cruise ship
  09/20/18
Hey! This is law bort!
Magical whorehouse blood rage
  09/20/18
Do you?
Magical whorehouse blood rage
  09/20/18
He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the s...
Fluffy depressive
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Dickey Simpkins ...
Insecure pit persian
  09/19/18
Cons will never listen to this. Also silver gave trump a...
Submissive Canary Stain Toilet Seat
  09/20/18
Cons: Not understanding how probability works
Iridescent startling point goyim
  09/20/18
Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot
Submissive Canary Stain Toilet Seat
  09/20/18
...
Iridescent startling point goyim
  09/20/18
...
Magical whorehouse blood rage
  09/20/18
His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting ...
Magical whorehouse blood rage
  09/20/18
Libs were going INSANE on him.
Submissive Canary Stain Toilet Seat
  09/20/18
days without jewish tricks: 0
Metal business firm alpha
  09/19/18
Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vo...
low-t coldplay fan gaming laptop
  09/20/18
What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choos...
Fantasy-prone comical knife jew
  09/20/18
This is probably a figment of your imagination
Submissive Canary Stain Toilet Seat
  09/20/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 AM
Author: Insecure pit persian

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=rrpromo

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838246)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM
Author: vigorous house striped hyena

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:14 AM
Author: Insecure pit persian

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM

Author: Mark Wohlers

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838272)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 AM
Author: Snowy deranged private investor

LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your "average." That shit been red since the 90s. The only way it comes out blue on "average" is of you reach back another 70 years LJL

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838262)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:15 AM
Author: Insecure pit persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838274)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle Cuckold Location

data seems skewed right?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840795)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:54 PM
Author: Insecure pit persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840739)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:58 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle Cuckold Location

What is the actual percentage?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840774)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:00 PM
Author: big library queen of the night

Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right.

Senate, GOP is 70% favorite.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840785)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle Cuckold Location

(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840790)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: big library queen of the night

I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unless they take both houses of congress.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840794)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:02 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle Cuckold Location

Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect understanding of the word?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840803)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:03 PM
Author: big library queen of the night

Explain how I have incorrect understanding?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840809)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle Cuckold Location

I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is "Congress" and the Senate is the Senate.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840815)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: big library queen of the night

Lol what?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840819)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:05 PM
Author: henna address

Technically, that’s completely wrong

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840825)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: multi-colored jewess

Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes shit up)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840830)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: Fragrant costumed telephone gunner

Grow a beard

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840831)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:36 AM
Author: henna address



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846400)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:37 PM
Author: bright karate fat ankles

any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their understanding of american poritics with the bort?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36841047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:53 AM
Author: Sadistic Forum Faggotry

180 sub thread would read again

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846930)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:35 AM
Author: sooty nighttime corn cake

lmfao

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847006)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: Magical whorehouse blood rage

"technically"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847041)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: henna address



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840817)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: multi-colored jewess

"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the Federal government of the United States. The legislature consists of two chambers: the House of Representatives and the Senate."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840828)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:55 AM
Author: Arousing greedy genital piercing cruise ship

can't believe we've come to this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846931)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: Magical whorehouse blood rage

Hey! This is law bort!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847042)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: Magical whorehouse blood rage

Do you?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847040)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM
Author: Fluffy depressive

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:29 PM
Author: Insecure pit persian

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM

Author: Dickey Simpkins

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840986)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:40 AM
Author: Submissive Canary Stain Toilet Seat

Cons will never listen to this.

Also silver gave trump a 35% chance and wrote an article two days before about how overconfident the media was.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847021)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:43 AM
Author: Iridescent startling point goyim

Cons: Not understanding how probability works

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847026)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:44 AM
Author: Submissive Canary Stain Toilet Seat

Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847028)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:45 AM
Author: Iridescent startling point goyim



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847029)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:57 AM
Author: Magical whorehouse blood rage



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:56 AM
Author: Magical whorehouse blood rage

His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting called out hardcore for that before the election.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847045)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:59 AM
Author: Submissive Canary Stain Toilet Seat

Libs were going INSANE on him.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847052)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 PM
Author: Metal business firm alpha

days without jewish tricks: 0

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840863)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:38 AM
Author: low-t coldplay fan gaming laptop

Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vote

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846412)



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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:49 AM
Author: Fantasy-prone comical knife jew

What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choose not to tell their rabid shitlib pollsters that they'll be voting for pro-TRUMP candidates

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846927)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:41 AM
Author: Submissive Canary Stain Toilet Seat

This is probably a figment of your imagination

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847024)