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This dodger team has the same pythagorean win% as last years (102-60)
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Date: October 21st, 2018 12:14 AM Author: copper famous landscape painting and considering how poorly they started the season thats really impressive
Red sox are 103-59 pythagorean btw |
Date: October 21st, 2018 12:15 AM Author: Sable state quadroon ROberts alone is worth -8 WAR seriously
his horrible bullpen management was the problem |
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Date: October 21st, 2018 12:17 AM Author: copper famous landscape painting Cr but theyll keep him cause "chemistry"
Baseball.doesnt even need managers just put a computer in the dugout |
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Date: October 21st, 2018 12:22 AM Author: Sable state quadroon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4111596&forum_id=2#37065439) |
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Date: October 21st, 2018 6:14 PM Author: Carmine wonderful library (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4111596&forum_id=2#37068139) |
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Date: October 21st, 2018 7:48 PM Author: provocative keepsake machete institution Correct. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4111596&forum_id=2#37068677) |
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Date: October 21st, 2018 8:23 PM Author: demanding bawdyhouse fortuitous meteor didn't watch MLB regular season, examples of his horrible bullpen management? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4111596&forum_id=2#37068856) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2018 2:06 PM Author: Sable state quadroon One off the top of my head:
MEts vs. Dodgers, Degrom vs. Wood starting.
Now it's hard to beat degrom - it's true. But Dodgers took an early lead, and MEts tied it up in the 5th. 1-1
Top of the 6th, Roberts takes out Wood. Fine - it's September after all, and Wood has been shaky all year.
Puts in Baez. Gets the first guy out. The Baez gives up a single.
THEN he puts in Zac Rosscup after Baez faced 2 batters, who then gets a groundout.
He then puts in Dylan Floro to face Frazier, who eneds the inning with a groundout.
All good right?
Except he burned through 3 relievers there
Then makes Scott Alexander go 7th, who gets the 1st out, walk, single, groundout, single, then groundout, barely escaping a jam
HE then ran out of pitchers, and put in Kenta fucking Maeda in the 8th, who gets 3 easy outs. (he's been money as a reliever last postseason but has been on and off) Roberts then leaves in Kenta to get 6 OUTS TOTAL in the 9th - and fails spectacularly, as he gives up a 3 run homer in the top of the 9th.
Playing matchups is good- especially in the postseason where there's no tomorrow. But he ran the marathon that is the pennant like it's a sprint, and gave up games like this way too easily AFTER burning thru his bullpen.
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Date: October 23rd, 2018 5:53 PM Author: demanding bawdyhouse fortuitous meteor ty, good illustration (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4111596&forum_id=2#37080869) |
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Date: October 21st, 2018 12:23 AM Author: hairless ladyboy ceo *gives everyone ITT a swirlie* (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4111596&forum_id=2#37065442) |
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Date: October 21st, 2018 12:27 AM Author: copper famous landscape painting *calculates best time to place head in toilet to acheive maximum swirl motion* (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4111596&forum_id=2#37065464) |
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Date: October 21st, 2018 12:23 AM Author: Red space codepig why is pythagorean so highly regarded, seems it could easily be skewed by a few outlier games (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4111596&forum_id=2#37065446) |
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Date: October 21st, 2018 12:27 AM Author: copper famous landscape painting Evens out over 162 games (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4111596&forum_id=2#37065466) |
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Date: October 21st, 2018 12:28 AM Author: Sable state quadroon true - even w/ other undderlying stats like WAR though the two teams are not 16 wins apart - Dodgers underperformed by like 6~10 wins and Sox overperformed by like 3-6 wins imo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4111596&forum_id=2#37065469) |
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Date: October 21st, 2018 12:30 AM Author: copper famous landscape painting also got to factor in that the red sox beat up in the orioles
Red sox win% vs playoff teams in reg season is pretty bad
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Date: October 21st, 2018 5:44 PM Author: Sable state quadroon Also somehow the Dodgers have the best wRC+ in the league and is the best equipped to deal with the existence of the DH - they literally could not give enough A/Bs to fucking Freese aka postseason god
Literally 0 below average hitters in the lineup.
The two are basically even according to Fangraphs odds based on current season stats - 51.5 vs. 48.5% in favor of Red Sox
LOLing at the 4-1 Sox predictions tbh |
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Date: October 21st, 2018 10:42 PM Author: black degenerate Is this surprising? They were great last year and this year. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4111596&forum_id=2#37069736) |
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Date: October 23rd, 2018 5:07 PM Author: Sable state quadroon ZiPS actually has The Dodgers as slight favorites interesting
538's ELO is flame for baseball projections
Fangraphs has them at either 43% underdogs if done by pre-season projections or if using season-to-date stats, as 48% veeery close underdogs
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