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I’ve been all-cash since March 2019, time to admit defeat and buy in?
Poast new message in this thread
Date: December 7th, 2019 12:01 PM Author: slimy abnormal bawdyhouse french chef Or should I stick it out and wait for a retracement.
I have like 300k in 401ks invested in the market, but 700k cash just sitting in a ally account. |
Date: December 7th, 2019 12:04 PM Author: Impressive Center Shitlib Um.....never go all in on any one strategy dumbass and (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228685) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 12:09 PM Author: slimy abnormal bawdyhouse french chef Yes I realize that NOW. Question is what do I do now. When is the market going to have a dip? Any dip? I need something to save face. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228704) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 12:13 PM Author: Impressive Center Shitlib JFC.
Just divserify and hodl and stop trying to play the market you fucking retaed.
This has been very very well studied. If you try to play the market you lose. |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 12:15 PM Author: slimy abnormal bawdyhouse french chef All of the conventional “advice” saying you can’t time the market are from brokers and advisors that just want to churn and earn advisory fees. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228729) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 12:30 PM Author: Dashing kitty cat wtf are you talking about. you've conflated multiple things.
churning and advisory fees are two different things. asset-based advisory fees are irrespective of how much you transact. churning is something brokers are incentivized to do as they're paid per transactions--if anything, their incentive is to increase your activity.
yes, it's possible to time the market (maybe), but you're doing the opposite of what you should be doing. markets exhibit momentum, so all things equal you should be buying into strength and selling into weakness, as counterintuitive as that sounds.
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Date: December 7th, 2019 12:12 PM Author: diverse misanthropic boltzmann https://sidoxia.files.wordpress.com/2014/05/stocks-for-the-long-run.jpg (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228717) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 12:21 PM Author: Embarrassed to the bone black ticket booth this will surely continue forever (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228746) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:42 PM Author: diverse misanthropic boltzmann not sure if serious, but it basically will--see CAPM (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230024) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:43 PM Author: Dashing kitty cat CAPM doesn't prove that at all, bro (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230029) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 12:25 PM Author: Passionate people who are hurt what do you see the world being like in 10 years, and what position would you like to be in? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228771) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 1:01 PM Author: underhanded yapping plaza knife Hmm when suckers like the OP are ready to buy back in it's probably time to sell. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228904) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 1:04 PM Author: Passionate people who are hurt they offer no signal either way. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228917) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 1:10 PM Author: underhanded yapping plaza knife Link?
Seems like when the masses think the stock market is going to crash any moment it continues to rise (see last 10 years).
Whenever they think the market is going to rise forever it crashes (2007 and dotcom bubble) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 7:03 PM Author: Passionate people who are hurt what makes you think "the masses" believed that. and why does OP represent "the masses"? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230307) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 8:26 PM Author: Aphrodisiac multi-billionaire Mark, you are the only one in this thread that has any market sense. These other MF'ers are gonna get got. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230714) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 1:46 PM Author: Beta Turquoise Organic Girlfriend Theatre Marker buy ethereum with the whole stack and you'll gain at least 50% immediately (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39229052) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:35 PM Author: Dashing kitty cat *tezos (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230006) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:43 PM Author: Rose Twisted Church You should know better than to post this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230026) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:46 PM Author: Adventurous chocolate piazza 1. Internet posters just buy VTI and give themselves pats on the back, nobody knows anything 2. Buffett has like $120 billion in cash, why doesn't he use that cash to buy VTI? Is he an IDIOT? Discuss. |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:48 PM Author: Impressive Center Shitlib Again, the option is not all cash or all stocks.
OP should have some real estate. Some cash. Some stocks. Some notes. Etc. |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:50 PM Author: provocative chapel Stocks will crash but real estate won't? Or vice versa? the idea of a diversified portfolio is a 1970's trope. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230062) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:52 PM Author: Adventurous chocolate piazza It's not flame, you can hedge risk without hurting alpha supposedly. IRL of course you can still get fucked because your RE investments won't be diversified, they'll all be in one georgraphic area most likely.
Souce: I majored in Econ (though my passion is Film) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:52 PM Author: Impressive Center Shitlib Please state your credentials (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230068) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:54 PM Author: Adventurous chocolate piazza He is over 6`00`` (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230073) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:52 PM Author: citrine marketing idea buy some $325 January 2020 SPY calls on the next red day (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230067) |
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Date: December 16th, 2019 9:41 PM Author: violent hall persian why 325? why not 340 bc its cheaper (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39275407) |
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Date: December 17th, 2019 12:14 PM Author: violent hall persian (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39278088) |
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Date: December 17th, 2019 12:16 PM Author: Curious shaky windowlicker Where's Julia when we need her? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39278108) |
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Date: December 17th, 2019 12:17 PM Author: Shivering Stimulating Locale Coldplay Fan lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39278115) |