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Nate Silver: "Odds are 50/50. Either Trump wins or he doesn't"
| Fighting purple queen of the night party of the first part | 10/23/20 |
| clear trust fund striped hyena | 10/24/20 |
| Dashing burgundy really tough guy home | 10/24/20 |
| Trip sound barrier ceo | 10/24/20 |
| vigorous office factory reset button | 10/24/20 |
| passionate magical gunner stead | 10/23/20 |
| Fighting purple queen of the night party of the first part | 10/24/20 |
| orchid cracking site | 10/24/20 |
| Electric abode | 10/24/20 |
| clear trust fund striped hyena | 10/24/20 |
| Navy Bossy Immigrant Hell | 10/24/20 |
| impertinent partner idea he suggested | 10/24/20 |
| Chartreuse vivacious indian lodge | 10/24/20 |
| clear trust fund striped hyena | 10/24/20 |
| orchid cracking site | 10/24/20 |
| Hideous Headpube Rehab | 10/24/20 |
| Seedy ticket booth voyeur | 10/24/20 |
| Dashing burgundy really tough guy home | 10/24/20 |
| Canary cerebral nursing home boiling water | 10/24/20 |
| carmine bawdyhouse jewess | 10/24/20 |
| Cerise Godawful Trump Supporter | 10/24/20 |
| carmine bawdyhouse jewess | 10/24/20 |
| Fighting purple queen of the night party of the first part | 10/24/20 |
| Seedy ticket booth voyeur | 10/26/20 |
| Razzmatazz charcoal mood | 10/24/20 |
| Trip sound barrier ceo | 10/24/20 |
| Razzmatazz charcoal mood | 10/24/20 |
| carmine bawdyhouse jewess | 10/24/20 |
| Fighting purple queen of the night party of the first part | 10/24/20 |
| frisky rigor | 10/24/20 |
| boyish mint step-uncle's house | 10/24/20 |
| maize talented sweet tailpipe | 10/24/20 |
| concupiscible set boistinker | 10/24/20 |
| Fighting purple queen of the night party of the first part | 10/24/20 |
| passionate magical gunner stead | 10/24/20 |
| cyan location | 10/24/20 |
| Pontificating spruce hospital | 10/24/20 |
| orchid cracking site | 10/24/20 |
| Fragrant rough-skinned friendly grandma | 10/24/20 |
| Fighting purple queen of the night party of the first part | 10/27/20 |
| Fighting purple queen of the night party of the first part | 10/28/20 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: October 23rd, 2020 5:35 PM Author: Fighting purple queen of the night party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41174689) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 1:01 AM Author: clear trust fund striped hyena I can't stand him anymore for obvious reasons - but if you've ever read through the comments - it's INSANE, and you really start to get a sense of what his business model actually is..... it's providing therapy for a large group of people.
Moldbug earlier on Twitter posted an interview w/ Silver today and screenshot showed color coordinated bookshelf that MM always points out about people - saying that it reveals a tendency to discard the knowledge and purpose within and repurpose it for show and decoration" ie he uses information to 'make it pretty'
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:32 AM Author: Dashing burgundy really tough guy home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177836) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:59 AM Author: Trip sound barrier ceo lol at this pseudoscience horseshit. Maybe his bookshelf is color coordinated because he’s working remotely and it’s the backdrop for all the video interviews he gives. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177955) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 11:02 AM Author: vigorous office factory reset button Cr. He’s rich and probably got a stylist or designer to set up his place. They are always recommending color coordinating a bookshelf and/or organizing by subject (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177964) |
Date: October 23rd, 2020 5:36 PM Author: passionate magical gunner stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41174693) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 12:25 AM Author: Fighting purple queen of the night party of the first part https://twitter.com/natesilver538/status/1319787685758861313?s=21
One way to think about Trump's chances: if the polls move toward Trump in the closing days rather than Biden (50/50 chance) *and* there's a polling error in Trump's favor (50/50 chance) then he's 50/50 to win. That gets you to his 1 in 8 odds in our current forecast. |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 12:39 AM Author: orchid cracking site Lmao jfc (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176663) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 12:41 AM Author: Electric abode (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176668) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 12:44 AM Author: clear trust fund striped hyena LMFAO! Man, knew it was just a matter of time...
jfc -ty brother |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 12:46 AM Author: Navy Bossy Immigrant Hell lmao at the replies (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176691) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 12:57 AM Author: impertinent partner idea he suggested (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176728) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 12:58 AM Author: Chartreuse vivacious indian lodge Just do treat those probabilities as completely independent. Nate Silver has a future ahead of him in assessing default risk for mortgage backed securities. After all, foreclosures aren’t correlated! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176734) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 1:03 AM Author: clear trust fund striped hyena DEVASTATING (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176749) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 1:30 AM Author: orchid cracking site (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176834) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 1:32 AM Author: Hideous Headpube Rehab (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176840) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:33 AM Author: Seedy ticket booth voyeur (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177841) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 12:59 AM Author: Dashing burgundy really tough guy home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176738) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 9:45 AM Author: Canary cerebral nursing home boiling water Lmao (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177639) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:37 AM Author: carmine bawdyhouse jewess This takes 50/50 outcome theory to a NEW LEVEL. Quantum leap here guys. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177857) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:54 AM Author: Cerise Godawful Trump Supporter it's '50/50' all the way down. 50/50s nested inside of 50/50s. |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:56 AM Author: carmine bawdyhouse jewess (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177934) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 11:24 AM Author: Fighting purple queen of the night party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41178089) |
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Date: October 26th, 2020 7:13 AM Author: Seedy ticket booth voyeur (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41188648) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:42 AM Author: Razzmatazz charcoal mood (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177878) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:52 AM Author: Trip sound barrier ceo 50% unintentionally obtuse and 50% intentionally obtuse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177906) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:52 AM Author: Razzmatazz charcoal mood (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177911) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:56 AM Author: carmine bawdyhouse jewess (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177937) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 11:24 AM Author: Fighting purple queen of the night party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41178092) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:56 AM Author: frisky rigor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177933) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 12:26 AM Author: boyish mint step-uncle's house (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176619) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 12:59 AM Author: maize talented sweet tailpipe this guy is a fraud (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176739) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:58 AM Author: concupiscible set boistinker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177954) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 9:36 AM Author: Fighting purple queen of the night party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177612) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 9:41 AM Author: passionate magical gunner stead reminder: DBG and Upset Jew look up to this guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177630) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:04 AM Author: cyan location (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177688) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:59 AM Author: Pontificating spruce hospital Already starting his lol just jump before the election (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177956) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 2:48 PM Author: orchid cracking site (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41179213) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 6:44 PM Author: Fragrant rough-skinned friendly grandma Nate Plastic
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Date: October 27th, 2020 3:50 PM Author: Fighting purple queen of the night party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41198989) |
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Date: October 28th, 2020 11:19 PM Author: Fighting purple queen of the night party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41210100) |