Reminder: "Scientists" literally believe monkeys rafted to SA
| robot daddy | 02/23/26 | | lib quotemo=literally WLMAS=dumb nigger | 02/23/26 | | '"''"'''" | 02/23/26 | | robot daddy | 02/23/26 | | '"''"'''" | 02/23/26 | | lib quotemo = literally WLMAS = dumb nigger | 02/23/26 | | robot daddy | 02/23/26 | | '"''"'''" | 02/23/26 | | robot daddy | 02/23/26 | | '"''"'''" | 02/23/26 | | robot daddy | 02/23/26 | | '"''"'''" | 02/23/26 | | robot daddy | 02/23/26 | | cowgod | 02/23/26 | | Westside L.A. Guy | 02/23/26 | | '"''"'''" | 02/23/26 | | lib quotemo = literally WLMAS = dumb nigger | 02/23/26 | | robot daddy | 02/23/26 | | '"''"'''" | 02/23/26 | | robot daddy | 02/23/26 | | '"''"'''" | 02/23/26 | | robot daddy | 02/23/26 | | '"''"'''" | 02/23/26 | | Like Clavicular but maxing annoying screeds | 02/24/26 | | robot daddy | 02/24/26 | | Like Clavicular but maxing annoying screeds | 02/24/26 | | robot daddy | 02/24/26 | | Like Clavicular but maxing annoying screeds | 02/24/26 | | Westside L.A. Guy | 02/23/26 | | robot daddy | 02/23/26 | | cowgod | 02/23/26 | | lib quotemo=literally WLMAS=dumb nigger | 02/23/26 | | Shlomo Dreidlowitz | 02/23/26 | | '"''"'''" | 02/23/26 | | incel adams | 02/23/26 | | SkaddenArse | 02/23/26 | | Westside L.A. Guy | 02/23/26 | | '"''"'''" | 02/23/26 | | robot daddy | 02/23/26 | | barnabyjones | 02/24/26 | | robot daddy | 02/23/26 | | '"''"'''" | 02/23/26 | | MAHA Movement | 02/23/26 |
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Date: February 23rd, 2026 12:36 PM Author: lib quotemo=literally WLMAS=dumb nigger
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(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5837536&forum_id=2!#49689054) |
Date: February 23rd, 2026 12:16 PM Author: '"''"'''"
when you see stuff like this it makes sense
https://youtu.be/9Rp2ZfYnifQ?si=tY8btkmXH8Gx7hdh
run that same experiment thousands of times over millions of years with different size rafts during different seasons and weather conditions. monkeys aren’t going to suicide by jumping into the ocean
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5837536&forum_id=2!#49688953) |
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Date: February 23rd, 2026 12:35 PM Author: robot daddy
New World monkeys (monkeys found in South and Central America) are closely related to African monkeys based on genetic and fossil evidence. The problem is that South America and Africa were already separated by the Atlantic Ocean by the time these monkeys appear in the fossil record, around 35-40 million years ago.
The leading hypothesis for how they got there is that a small group of African primates accidentally floated across the Atlantic on a "vegetation mat"-- essentially a tangled mass of trees, roots, and debris that gets swept into the ocean during storms and floods. The idea is that some monkeys got stranded on one of these mats, drifted on ocean currents, and somehow survived the journey to reach South America. That founding population then evolved into all the New World monkey species we see today.
My issue with this is its ridiculous and that there is no way this happened. I don't know how it happened but it wasn't that. I think the most likely explanation has to be that the timelines for when Africa and SA separated and when primates emerged have to be wrong. People argue there are hard limits on the primate emergence timeline and on continental drift, but I see them as more guesswork than they are willing to admit.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5837536&forum_id=2!#49689039) |
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Date: February 24th, 2026 9:41 AM Author: Like Clavicular but maxing annoying screeds (gunneratttt)
everything about evolution and pre-history is unfalsifiable until we invent a time machine and can go observe what happened.
but if we know that they're genetically related and that they didn't cross some land bridge, what is the alternative explanation?
we've observed animals rafting on landmasses after the hurricanes and such. over the course of millions of years the chance of this happening doesn't seem super far-fetched. less far-fetched than all the insane morphology and evolutionary traits that happened spontaneously in animals that we know happened.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5837536&forum_id=2!#49691289) |
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Date: February 24th, 2026 9:55 AM Author: robot daddy
The grand narrative parts of Evolutionary theory and adaptationism are unfalsifiable, yes. But there are fields that fall under "evolutionary theory" that are real science. Phylogenetics is real and makes specific predictions that can be falsified. Lumping that together with "a small group of animals floated across an ocean 35 million years ago" to say "well it's all equally unfalsifiable" is intellectually dishonest, even if unintentionally so.
The "we've observed animals rafting after hurricanes" point I think is weak, because it scales a local observation to an extraordinary claim without accounting for the compounding probabilities. Seeing iguanas on debris after a Caribbean hurricane is not evidence for a transoceanic founding event. The gap between those two things is enormous and gesturing across it isn't an argument.
I think the honest alternative is to say "we don't know". The burden isn't on the skeptic to produce a better story, it should be on the hypothesis to meet evidentiary standards. If you want to know what I honestly think, its that the timelines for continental separation and fossil records are off, and the two landmasses separated at a time where primates had already emerged on Africa. You have two uncertain timelines being cross-referenced to produce a confident conclusion, and when they don't match, instead of questioning either timeline, the field invents a mechanism to bridge the gap.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5837536&forum_id=2!#49691327) |
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Date: February 24th, 2026 10:21 AM Author: Like Clavicular but maxing annoying screeds (gunneratttt)
i didn't say it was all "equally unfalsifiable" (although unfalsifiable is binary, so it is, but i get what you mean that some unfalsifiable things have more evidence than others).
maybe it's weak evidence but it's still evidence. creatures can travel on debris and make it to a non-native landmass, survive, and procreate that's evidence. sure, crossing the atlantic is significantly less likely, but if we're talking about millions of years, low probability events can become probable.
i think inherent in the landmass theory is that it's the best guess considering the evidence available. i doubt proponents would claim they "know" it happened. i assume people do question the timeline, but that the evidence in favor of it is very strong, so they think it's more likely *something* happened to get them here, and without evidence that they migrated some other way this is their best guess. i think you're jumping the gun here by assuming no one questions the timeline. with every theory there are experts who are skeptical of it. there are climate scientists who don't believe in anthropogenic climate change, but most do and that's why it's the predominant theory. but you can't say no one questions it.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5837536&forum_id=2!#49691399) |
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Date: February 24th, 2026 10:38 AM Author: robot daddy
I think you are right that I probably am slightly underweighting that serious researchers do contest the timelines. Fields aren't as monolithic as textbook versions suggest. But I stand by my statement that the hypothesis is treated with more confidence than the evidence warrants. I think you are right that "best available guess given current models" is a defensible position if held with appropriate humility. The fight is really about whether that humility actually exists institutionally, and I don't really think it does to the extent that it should. Thats the thing, I don't think it does, because this is just one anomaly among a huge number of them that come up when it comes to reconstructing geologic timelines, evolutionary timelines, plate tectonics, human and animal migrations etc. and a lot of the reason for that is the entire thing relies on modeling choices across disciplines and noone wants to break anything so stuff gets duct taped together and people basically just pray nothing pops out that can't be explained or patched over.
This is something you always see with complex interdisciplinary modeling, when enough of the models become mutually load-bearing, each individual field will sit there and say "our models are correct", while the duct taped composite of geology, phylogenetics, paleontology, plate tectonics, paleooceanography is far more fragile than any individual component admits. The anomalies get absorbed at the joints, which is exactly where nobody has clear disciplinary ownership. The rafting hypothesis lives at one of those joints. So does the Cambrian explosion. So does the Out of Africa timeline which keeps getting pushed back every few years as new fossil finds break it. So does Polynesian settlement chronology. So does the timing of domestication for various species. Every one of these is a joint where models from different disciplines had to be reconciled and the reconciliation required some patch that nobody wants to fully scrutinize. And the incentive structure actively selects against scrutiny. Careers are built on specific modeling frameworks. Grant funding assumes the surrounding models are stable. So yeah, its Bad for Scholarship.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5837536&forum_id=2!#49691439) |
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Date: February 24th, 2026 10:55 AM Author: Like Clavicular but maxing annoying screeds (gunneratttt)
i agree with all that 100%. i've seen this happen very frequently in the fields of SCHOLARSHIP that i'm an expert in. few things are as cut and dry as they are made out to be. only the experts really know or care about the myriad of patchwork and duct tape that is holding together grand interdisciplinary dogma.
however, i think this is more of a problem with how science is interpreted by/told to the masses than a problem with scholarship itself. few people even know about this, so when it's disseminated to the masses there's only enough bandwidth for "this is what the predominant theory is" without "but here's all the evidence that cuts against it and alternative theories." this is true for every discipline, which is why when someone reads a newspaper reporting something they're an expert in they get the Gell-Mann amnesia effect of scoffing at all the ways the reporting oversimplified or just being wrong about the science.
but you're right that even within SCHOLARSHIP there tends to be dogmatic adherence to the predominant interdisciplinary model, with the model being so broad that no one could possibly be an independent expert in everything, so anomalies get absorbed in the joints. it was jarring to me when i saw firsthand how emotionally invested academics can get in the correctness of predominant theories. as much as we want people to be unbiased truthseekers, that's not human nature.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5837536&forum_id=2!#49691485) |
Date: February 23rd, 2026 12:37 PM Author: lib quotemo=literally WLMAS=dumb nigger
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(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5837536&forum_id=2!#49689056) |
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