is China now more likely or less likely to attack Taiwan than last week?
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Poast new message in this thread
Date: March 5th, 2026 12:06 PM Author: John Poaster
they will never attack taiwan
people who believe this are crazy
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841858&forum_id=2),#49717518) |
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Date: March 5th, 2026 12:22 PM Author: John Poaster
1. the cost-benefit calculation makes no sense. the possible benefit of directly politically controlling taiwan is dwarfed by the possible cost of starting world war 3 and literal nuclear holocaust. it's not even remotely close
2. china and taiwan will eventually peacefully merge on their own. china doesn't have to do anything at all to achieve this goal. US power and influence will continue to wane, and it will become more attractive to the taiwanese to turn to the chinese (literally their own kin)
3. china and taiwan are The Same People. it's not even a situation like france vs. germany. the people who live in taiwan are literally the same people who live in china. they have only been in taiwan for less than 100 years. a massive invasion to massacre a bunch of your own people is absurd. everyone who still carries a grudge from the civil war is dead
4. the chinese are not a martial or aggressive people. this is not a meme or a racist stereotype, they really do have a deep-seated biological aversion to aggression and military force
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841858&forum_id=2),#49717595) |
Date: March 5th, 2026 12:07 PM
Author: ,.,.,.,.,.,.,..,:,,:,,.,:::,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.
They know they can take it at any time by just buying Trump off personally. But they have to do it in the next three years before the window closes
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841858&forum_id=2),#49717527) |
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