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Where is the IRAN war headed at this point?

It seems like escalation is impossible, as any attempt to es...
snowy dashing menage
  05/09/26
you mean the special military operation?
Cobalt wonderful heaven candlestick maker
  05/09/26
Sex with men for money
Talking Gunner
  05/09/26
Blockade right up until the last minute for midterms (August...
Slap-happy institution boltzmann
  05/09/26
I'll chime in here that the US is also making out like a ban...
erotic sickened range deer antler
  05/09/26
Supposedly France and the UK are sending ships now (now that...
Insanely creepy cerise pistol
  05/09/26
Energy is important because AI is energy = computation. But ...
Slap-happy institution boltzmann
  05/09/26
Why are fuel prices so high in America?
avocado tantric office mediation
  05/09/26
He never said anything to make this question relevant.
Slap-happy institution boltzmann
  05/09/26
Because refinery owners in CHYNA and to a lesser extent the ...
erotic sickened range deer antler
  05/09/26
So it doesn't matter whether the oil comes from America. Ira...
avocado tantric office mediation
  05/09/26
Iran can't export, and they can't meaningfully hurt America....
erotic sickened range deer antler
  05/09/26
Now you're trying to change the subject🤣
avocado tantric office mediation
  05/09/26
ur a kike. hth
internet-worthy stage blood rage
  05/09/26
I'm a well documented Irish-Italian papist who should probab...
erotic sickened range deer antler
  05/09/26
XO posters are desperate to believe Iran is winning for some...
Insanely creepy cerise pistol
  05/09/26
Sadly it's the entire brown underclass who believes this. Ha...
erotic sickened range deer antler
  05/09/26
...
comical gaped halford cuckold
  05/10/26
or some people believe in facts and the real world
internet-worthy stage blood rage
  05/09/26
There is no winning for Iran because they aren't the game. T...
Slap-happy institution boltzmann
  05/09/26
I know posters think Iran is some sort of based paradise tha...
Insanely creepy cerise pistol
  05/09/26
The despite having very similar resources and population in ...
Slap-happy institution boltzmann
  05/09/26
Iran just escalated by seizing undersea Internet cables. lol...
avocado tantric office mediation
  05/09/26
Didn't he poast supporting what you just said?
Slap-happy institution boltzmann
  05/09/26
Nope
avocado tantric office mediation
  05/09/26
Rc score?
Slap-happy institution boltzmann
  05/09/26
100% correct
avocado tantric office mediation
  05/09/26
Lol
Slap-happy institution boltzmann
  05/09/26
How was Fordham?
avocado tantric office mediation
  05/09/26
COLUMBIA LAW
Slap-happy institution boltzmann
  05/10/26
Didn't you used to claim you went there?
avocado tantric office mediation
  05/10/26
OP here--yes this was the point of my OP.
snowy dashing menage
  05/09/26
Thanks for confirming that I'm right about Iran seizing unde...
avocado tantric office mediation
  05/09/26
Iran destroying desalinization plants is in the same thread ...
Slap-happy institution boltzmann
  05/09/26
Gotcha
avocado tantric office mediation
  05/09/26
You're welcome
Slap-happy institution boltzmann
  05/09/26
greater israel
Autistic appetizing pit corn cake
  05/09/26
...
mewling senate
  05/09/26
Iran gaining financial control of the Strait, worth tens of ...
internet-worthy stage blood rage
  05/09/26
🚨🇮🇷 Iran is moving to take control of 7 undersea in...
avocado tantric office mediation
  05/09/26
Please God let them cut India off from the developed world's...
erotic sickened range deer antler
  05/09/26
Take your meds
avocado tantric office mediation
  05/09/26
you are talking to a jew... hope you know that
internet-worthy stage blood rage
  05/09/26
You fuck men for sport, idk why you think I'm a heeb but you...
erotic sickened range deer antler
  05/09/26
the leadership of both sides alternately taking massive long...
Histrionic den
  05/09/26
...
Slap-happy institution boltzmann
  05/10/26
Peace through insider trading. #TrumpEffect
Excitant associate locus
  05/10/26
Israel really wants to see the nuclear program gone and Trum...
Rose box office travel guidebook
  05/09/26
...
Excitant associate locus
  05/10/26
Update from Polymarket. I guess they think this is significa...
avocado tantric office mediation
  05/09/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 6:53 PM
Author: snowy dashing menage

It seems like escalation is impossible, as any attempt to escalate will just cause Iran to destroy more of the middle east -- including desalination plants. Iran isn't going to give up nuclear materials. So at this point, what exactly is Trump et al. going to do?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877270)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:05 PM
Author: Cobalt wonderful heaven candlestick maker

you mean the special military operation?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877292)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:13 PM
Author: Talking Gunner

Sex with men for money

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877302)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:21 PM
Author: Slap-happy institution boltzmann

Blockade right up until the last minute for midterms (August?), followed by drummed up bullshit that results in some massive attack that sets the country on fire. Gas prices drop in the fall. 2 things: the blockade will continue as long as the US consumers can stomach it, and the Trump will have to fuck up Iran because that's what Americans want. The last part is sad and unnecessary but its the only politically viable option.

I hope people understand that Iran has been allowed to act tough because the US doesn't want to disrupt oil infrastructure. The US military could level the country in 6 hours. The IRCG could continue to fight but it would be for nothing at that point. The US has actually let empty tankers through the blockade to prevent Iranian wells from getting total fucked. Each empty tanker is like 3% of Irans storage capacity.

Also while I'm here, Iran is poor as fuck. Their GDP per cap is half of Saudi arabia. The Iranian regime has been the worst thing for the Iranian people. It's a totally artificial hindrance.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877312)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:47 PM
Author: erotic sickened range deer antler

I'll chime in here that the US is also making out like a bandit by supplying the world with Oil. The real losers here are EUROPE and CHINA, because they lack the capacity to OPEN UP DAT HORMUSSY and choose to do nothing about it. $5/gal might be the market clearing price in the US, but eurocucks are paying double and lots of Chinese refineries are going to be assfucked because running out of oil and shutting down is an absolute DISASTER for them. Just imagine you have a pipe full transporting super glue, it's fine as long as the glue keeps moving but once its allowed to sit still it will harden and ruin the pipe.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877365)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:49 PM
Author: Insanely creepy cerise pistol

Supposedly France and the UK are sending ships now (now that the US has made it safe to do so)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877372)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:51 PM
Author: Slap-happy institution boltzmann

Energy is important because AI is energy = computation. But the US is now the only supplier of the helium needed to manufacturer high end chips. China is pretty far behind in the AI game.

Lots of countries that entertained belt and road efforts now realize China doesn't have the ingredients needed for the future. GDP as a percentage of US peaked in 2022 and it's not ever getting that close again.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877374)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:56 PM
Author: avocado tantric office mediation

Why are fuel prices so high in America?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877389)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:04 PM
Author: Slap-happy institution boltzmann

He never said anything to make this question relevant.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877410)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:21 PM
Author: erotic sickened range deer antler

Because refinery owners in CHYNA and to a lesser extent the rest of asia will pay ANYTHING for a barrel of crude right now in order to avoid shutting down. US producers know this situation is temporary so are being cautious about firing up more production. We know there are plenty of plays profitable only above $80/barrel out there sitting idle, but it costs to reopen and then shut them down again and producers don't think it makes sense yet.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877419)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:25 PM
Author: avocado tantric office mediation

So it doesn't matter whether the oil comes from America. Iran still wins

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877423)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:33 PM
Author: erotic sickened range deer antler

Iran can't export, and they can't meaningfully hurt America. How are they winning? Europe and China are losing here.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877427)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:34 PM
Author: avocado tantric office mediation

Now you're trying to change the subject🤣

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877429)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:37 PM
Author: internet-worthy stage blood rage

ur a kike. hth

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877437)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:43 PM
Author: erotic sickened range deer antler

I'm a well documented Irish-Italian papist who should probably have been deported just for being an Ellis Islander descendant.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877445)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:41 PM
Author: Insanely creepy cerise pistol

XO posters are desperate to believe Iran is winning for some reason, even now - it's ridiculous

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877441)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:42 PM
Author: erotic sickened range deer antler

Sadly it's the entire brown underclass who believes this. Hart-Cellar was an unmitigated disaster and probably the end of the US in retrospect.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877443)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 10th, 2026 4:50 AM
Author: comical gaped halford cuckold



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49878194)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:44 PM
Author: internet-worthy stage blood rage

or some people believe in facts and the real world

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877446)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 11:46 PM
Author: Slap-happy institution boltzmann

There is no winning for Iran because they aren't the game. That makes the shits rooting for them two levels of stupid away from what's really being played.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877836)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:37 PM
Author: Insanely creepy cerise pistol

I know posters think Iran is some sort of based paradise that's winning and pwning the US but Iran is a joke at this point. They've been treated with kid gloves and are still totally screwed. They have no real military capability left. They made all these grandiose statements they haven't backed up and have been embarrassed multiple times. They will have to make some sort of deal and they'll be stuck with being a pariah state in a worse position than North Korea

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877334)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 11:49 PM
Author: Slap-happy institution boltzmann

The despite having very similar resources and population in the 70s Iran has massively underperformed compared to their Arab neighbors. It's really tragic. So much wealth and treasure wasted on pointless endeavors while the people live in poverty.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877841)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:38 PM
Author: avocado tantric office mediation

Iran just escalated by seizing undersea Internet cables. lol@ OP (it's a pumo of course)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877336)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:41 PM
Author: Slap-happy institution boltzmann

Didn't he poast supporting what you just said?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877341)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:42 PM
Author: avocado tantric office mediation

Nope

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877343)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:43 PM
Author: Slap-happy institution boltzmann

Rc score?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877348)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:44 PM
Author: avocado tantric office mediation

100% correct

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877350)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:46 PM
Author: Slap-happy institution boltzmann

Lol

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877362)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:48 PM
Author: avocado tantric office mediation

How was Fordham?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877366)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 10th, 2026 1:03 AM
Author: Slap-happy institution boltzmann

COLUMBIA LAW

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877978)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 10th, 2026 1:06 AM
Author: avocado tantric office mediation

Didn't you used to claim you went there?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877989)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:48 PM
Author: snowy dashing menage

OP here--yes this was the point of my OP.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877368)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:50 PM
Author: avocado tantric office mediation

Thanks for confirming that I'm right about Iran seizing undersea cables

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877373)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:52 PM
Author: Slap-happy institution boltzmann

Iran destroying desalinization plants is in the same thread as them destroying Internet cables. Jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877377)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:52 PM
Author: avocado tantric office mediation

Gotcha

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877378)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:53 PM
Author: Slap-happy institution boltzmann

You're welcome

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877385)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:45 PM
Author: Autistic appetizing pit corn cake

greater israel

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877361)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:52 PM
Author: mewling senate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877379)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:17 PM
Author: internet-worthy stage blood rage

Iran gaining financial control of the Strait, worth tens of billions annually.

UAE/Saudi split growing even more.

US traded $100b in war costs plus losing Saudi, Qatar, Kawait as allies plus giving Iran tens of billions of dollars annually in free money in exchange for destroying Iran's current military.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877417)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:38 PM
Author: avocado tantric office mediation

🚨🇮🇷 Iran is moving to take control of 7 undersea internet cables in the Strait of Hormuz...

The details are remarkable.

Under the new policy being considered, foreign operators would be required to obtain permits to use these cables, pay fees, follow Iranian law, and all management and maintenance would be handled by Iranian companies.

The IRGC has previously warned it could physically target these same cables.

This is the same Hormuz playbook applied to digital infrastructure.

Iran already passed parliamentary legislation establishing toll collection on shipping.

Now Tehran is preparing to apply identical leverage to the data cables that carry traffic between Europe, Asia, and the Gulf.

The strait isn't just a chokepoint for oil anymore.

Iran is positioning it as a chokepoint for global communications.

The strategic implications are MASSIVE.

These cables carry an enormous share of data traffic between Asian economies and European markets.

Banking transactions. Stock trading. Cloud services. Government communications.

The same infrastructure that powers global commerce runs through waters Iran is now claiming jurisdiction over.

For Tehran, this is the next iteration of the leverage strategy that has worked all war.

Block oil shipping until you get sanctions relief.

Now propose to control data flows until you get more concessions.

Each new chokepoint Iran formalizes creates additional pressure that the U.S. has to address in any final deal.

The IRGC's warning that it could target the cables physically is the velvet glove on the iron fist.

Pay the fees, follow Iranian law, accept Iranian management, or risk the entire global communications architecture between Europe and Asia going dark.

That's the kind of asymmetric threat that doesn't require nuclear weapons or even particularly sophisticated military capability.

https://x.com/i/status/2053254237836972235



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877439)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:45 PM
Author: erotic sickened range deer antler

Please God let them cut India off from the developed world's Internet forever I'm begging you!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877448)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:48 PM
Author: avocado tantric office mediation

Take your meds

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877451)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:50 PM
Author: internet-worthy stage blood rage

you are talking to a jew... hope you know that

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877454)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:52 PM
Author: erotic sickened range deer antler

You fuck men for sport, idk why you think I'm a heeb but you need to get right with Jesus before you lose the opportunity.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877456)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 9:10 PM
Author: Histrionic den

the leadership of both sides alternately taking massive long & short positions into the weekend before announcing peace negotiations or new attacks on monday, every week, forever

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877466)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 10th, 2026 8:37 AM
Author: Slap-happy institution boltzmann



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49878246)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 10th, 2026 11:51 AM
Author: Excitant associate locus

Peace through insider trading. #TrumpEffect

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49878468)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 11:18 PM
Author: Rose box office travel guidebook

Israel really wants to see the nuclear program gone and Trump can't refuse them because blackmail held by Israel is the reason why we are in this war in the first place. I think there might be another special operations raid on the nuclear enrichment site. This time likely larger than the last. 500 rather 100 troops.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877784)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 10th, 2026 8:13 AM
Author: Excitant associate locus



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49878228)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 11:42 PM
Author: avocado tantric office mediation

Update from Polymarket. I guess they think this is significant

https://x.com/i/status/2053297239250878565

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877816)