The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
|
 |
 
|
This whole Strait of Hormuz shit is so ridiculous
Poast new message in this thread
Date: August 12th, 2026 3:26 PM Author: Stirring massive shrine They're clearly going to drag it out and keep baiting the administration for the rest of the year and probably beyond, so what's the plan here? They'll meet in Switzerland, sign something, then tell everyone they didn't sign shit and it's all a zionist lie, Trump will tweet that they're dishonest goatfuckers and then they'll resume talks, rinse and repeat. Is the admin even aware that they're being baited? |
 |
Date: August 12th, 2026 3:28 PM Author: lake trust fund codepig "open up the strait!!! This isn't fair!!!" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50063891) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 3:29 PM Author: ruby motley brethren it's all to create more middle east NOISE which will lead to more goyim dollars flowing to KIKE Koffers
until it doesn't! then the final solution begins |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 3:59 PM Author: nofapping onyx hell associate 981982123 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50063988) |
Date: August 12th, 2026 3:28 PM Author: hairraiser olive library plan is iran is going to get everything they want when the asian economy craters and they all start dumping treasuries to buy oil at $200/bl. alternatively, if america wants to keep fucking around iran is going to bomb gulf oil facilities until they all kick us out and stop selling in USD, which is probably going to happen even if the war stops. it's a real shit sandwich. we took a good shot at them, but it failed, and now they're going to be stronger and madder than ever. it's hard not to conclude that we should go for total war right now, rather than in 5 years when they're fortified. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50063893) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 3:30 PM Author: beta irradiated personal credit line Literally none of that is going to happen (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50063904) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 4:01 PM Author: lake trust fund codepig Date: August 12th, 2026 3:28 PM Author: UhOh
plan is iran is going to get everything they want when the asian economy craters and they all start dumping treasuries to buy oil at $200/bl. alternatively, if america wants to keep fucking around iran is going to bomb gulf oil facilities until they all kick us out and stop selling in USD, which is probably going to happen even if the war stops. it's a real shit sandwich. we took a good shot at them, but it failed, and now they're going to be stronger and madder than ever. it's hard not to conclude that we should go for total war right now, rather than in 5 years when they're fortified.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2#50063893) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 4:01 PM Author: hairraiser olive library (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50063990) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 7:05 PM Author: chocolate spot clown petrodollar is probably dead, China has divested 50% of their US treasuries over the past ten years, and we literally just gave Japan (the single largest foreign holder of US bonds) $$$ to keep the JPY carry trade skkkam going. But JPY finna sink again and they'll have to raise interest rates, making the JPY carry trade no longer viable, cratering the US bond market
lmao undiversified birdshit maga |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 11:13 PM Author: Razzle yellow milk center I welcome the chance to Buy Low (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064899) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 3:28 PM Author: drab godawful ticket booth how fucking embarrassing that Trump used all the military’s ammo and the strait is still closed (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50063896) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 3:29 PM Author: chartreuse knife Trump and Hegeseth scratching their heads wondering how this happened to them (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50063901) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 3:30 PM Author: Lemon principal's office travel guidebook They have no options except to de facto surrender and they're trying to figure out how to do that successfully without Israel sabotaging it (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50063908) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 3:31 PM Author: hairraiser olive library the jews are going to false flag us into this, no way they just let it go. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50063910) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 4:03 PM Author: lake trust fund codepig Why would they need to conceal and false flag anything? They're being pretty overt and in your face about it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50063996) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 4:04 PM Author: azure messiness address The strait being closed is absolutely a nightmare for the Iranians. The blockade has decimated their economy. Obviously it's life or death literally for the regime so no hold bared, but shit is really really bad. This is on top of constant bombing to their infrastructure. Not good.
The US has never made more money off of oil. We're now the safe place to get oil along with our Venezuelan shell corp company. The war has really shifted global energy to the Americans. Lol remember opec?
What's worse for Iran is that their adversaries would gladly fund new pipelines over paying a toll. In the long-term Iran can't really play the same card again. If I was Iran I would think a nuke is the only remaining cars to play. |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 4:20 PM Author: beta irradiated personal credit line (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064047) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 4:31 PM Author: lake trust fund codepig then why does the US give a shit if the strait is closed? ljl (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064077) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 4:33 PM Author: azure messiness address I don't know it's almost like they aren't really trying that hard to get it open. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064082) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 4:35 PM Author: khaki old irish cottage Cr, we're getting richer than ever. Sorry libs. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064086) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 4:40 PM Author: Free-loading Twinkling Pistol This is genuinely impressive in how utterly wrong every single sentence is. You’ve managed to post a complete manifesto on global energy while lacking even a middle-school level understanding of geography, international law, or basic economics.
The idea that adversaries can just "fund new pipelines" to replace the Strait of Hormuz proves you have zero concept of scale. Hormuz moves roughly 20 million barrels of oil a day. There isn't a pipeline network on Earth that can absorb that volume, no matter how much money you throw at it.
The rest of your post is pure unhinged fanfiction. Venezuela isn't a "US shell corp.” it’s a state-owned oil industry, and Chevron having a temporary license to operate there doesn't mean America owns the country. And "remember OPEC?" OPEC+ controls 80% of the world's proven reserves. Oil is a fungible global commodity, meaning when supply gets choked, prices skyrocket for everyone, including us.
Log off, delete this embarrassing garbage, and go read a book before you inflict your opinions on the internet ever again. Or just kill yourself |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 4:41 PM Author: heady sandwich filthpig Post removed by moderator for violating The Law of The Land. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064108) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 4:45 PM Author: Free-loading Twinkling Pistol What was modded (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064114) |
|
Date: August 13th, 2026 10:27 AM Author: heady sandwich filthpig I don't remember. curious about it myself.
|
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 4:43 PM Author: beta irradiated personal credit line He's right (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064110) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 4:53 PM Author: Lemon principal's office travel guidebook love gibberish but yeah cr
the claim that the hormuz closure hurts iran more than it hurts the US is....really something |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 4:54 PM Author: azure messiness address Lol I hope you're being sarcastic here (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064136) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 4:57 PM Author: Lemon principal's office travel guidebook i am honestly flabbergasted that anyone could believe that iran is somehow being harmed by the closure of the strait of hormuz more than the US is. iran is *choosing* to keep the strait closed. they are trying to drag this out as long as they can because they know it hurts the US more than it hurts them. it's literally their entire strategy
if they were being harmed by it more than we were, they would just....open the strait and make peace, a peace that the US has desperately been trying to achieve for a long time now |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 5:05 PM Author: azure messiness address Ok harm is relative here. The Iranians depend on oil revenue for 80% of their gdp. For their economy this is a death sentence. However, the relative threat to them is dramatic. This is an existential issue for the regime so any price is worth it. If the US was being harmed proportionally, you realize we could escalate the conflict to open the straight. We have a giant army and nuclear weapons etc.
For the Iran this is how long can we live in the bunker or die, but for us it's how long can we handle people bitching about gas prices. |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 5:12 PM Author: Lemon principal's office travel guidebook there is only one point of comparison that matters: which side is advantaged by the closure of the straight, and which side is disadvantaged. everything else is irrelevant
yes, iran can live in their bunker longer than the politicians who control the actions of the US army can handle people bitching about gas prices. that's the whole point. the US won't invade or nuke iran because that would harm the US politicians more than making a disadvantageous peace would |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 5:15 PM Author: azure messiness address I don't know that the first question is answered. I think bottling up Iran's oil was a key target of the entire operation. Americans had higher prices under Biden.
Edit: and in real terms the closure is definitely hurting Iran more. I don't think people appreciate just how bad things are there. They had Internet blackout since January that fucked the economy. That was before their oil exports went to near zero and half of their critical infrastructure was destroyed. That's all very bad shit that doesn't get fixed overnight. |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 5:22 PM Author: Lemon principal's office travel guidebook well this will be pretty easy to figure out. we'll just wait for iran to open the straight back up, since it's entirely up to them, and they can unilaterally do so at any time
any day now, i'm sure! |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 5:30 PM Author: azure messiness address https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Davidson_window
I have to go, but here is the real reason for the war. Don't get lost in the news. |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 5:35 PM Author: Lemon principal's office travel guidebook china is never invading taiwan, brother. if that's what you're basing all of this on, i can see how/why you ended up where you are by working backwards from that assumption (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064228) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 5:44 PM Author: azure messiness address It doesn't actually say China WILL invade, they just have to be ready to by next year. A bunch of their other diplomatic efforts are built on the assumption they would have a credible threat to take the island by force. Don't discount that. And it's more complicated than that. I don't think China will ever invade either, but the likelihood isn't zero.
Taiwan is critical to the AI future, which is the panacea to population decline targets for 2050 and 2100, and so forth. ..
|
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 5:17 PM Author: cruel-hearted vibrant nursing home private investor Are you a loyal Fox News viewer? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064198) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 5:19 PM Author: azure messiness address I don't watch the 'news' (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064204) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 6:58 PM Author: khaki old irish cottage Your reasoning is that the Iranians chose a "death sentence" for their regime?
Mr. Trump is right yet again -- they're not only evil, but Very Stupid compared to Him. |
|
Date: August 13th, 2026 10:42 AM Author: azure messiness address I guess I wasn't very clear. Cutting off oil exports is a death sentence for the Iranian economy. The war is the existential crisis for the regime. However, the regime is a theocratic dictatorship so there is no economic accountability.
I also don't think regime change was ever on the table. Iran purged it's dissidents right before the US/Israel strikes, so the people to actually overthrow the current government were killed and no population is going to rally around an invading army, especially with Jews involved. But the US already knew this. Israel was hoping for basically chaos and for the country to split apart. That's not what the US wanted. |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 5:01 PM Author: azure messiness address Lol international law!
They are funding new pipelines and I bet overall added capacity over the next decade exceeds 20 million barrels. It won't happen overnight but arabs have a lot of two things; money and hate for Shia Persians. Some of the pipelines make sense already. That's why I said Iran only gets to use this card once.
Oil is fungible but only on the petrodollar system. Iranian and Russian oil was making it to Chinese markets off the books. That can't be allowed. The US is the world's top producer of energy today. That makes us rich here but also expands the industry reach. This isn't the 90s when we were terrified of opec. Opec now fears the mid level fracking outfits in the US Midwest...they price the oil ceiling now. Price too high and they kick up production. That's death for opec. |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 5:04 PM Author: violent mother dysfunction you're talking to bottom IQ retards (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064160) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 5:07 PM Author: supple half-breed range Chatgpt 🥴 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064167) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 7:08 PM Author: hyperventilating primrose laser beams (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064411) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 4:05 PM Author: razzle-dazzle school we are 100% locked in to hundreds of thousands of american troops invading iran (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064004) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 4:14 PM Author: azure messiness address ? Why? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064030) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 4:31 PM Author: Jet athletic conference stage this is what happens when u elect a 60 IQ birdshit birdbrain POTUS who's arrogant while being totally retarded with no long term, or even medium term, thinking at all
its hilarous to me dubya took hell for years from media and society for iraq debacle but this is 10x worse stragetically but somehow trump isnt even getting that much blame for what really is the dumbest furking foreign policy decision by a POTUS since WW2 |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 7:12 PM Author: hyperventilating primrose laser beams titcr. Back in the GWB days there was still a mainstream media that could reach everyone with a clear narrative. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064417) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 4:36 PM Author: violent mother dysfunction http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892458&mc=1&forum_id=2 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064089) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 4:39 PM Author: khaki old irish cottage I predict that nothing very exciting will happen, and Drumpf will just keep doing this through the end of his term. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064095) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 5:51 PM Author: Coral 180 dog poop international law enforcement agency cr, people in his condition show a lot of repetitive behavior (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064263) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 7:05 PM Author: boyish blue lettuce it's the final nail in the coffin of American hegemony 1917-2024, RIP (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064405) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 7:20 PM Author: hyperventilating primrose laser beams The admin doesn't have any good options. Looks like it's going to be back and forth cold conflict. If we get lucky the blockade fuels underground opposition in the country. The regime has looked like it was close to the brink a few times in the past 20 years. But more likely we'll be paying this retarded "Hormuz Tax" for a long time to come. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064430) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 7:28 PM Author: histrionic opaque cuckoldry karate they can just withdraw and Trump could lie to his Boomer base that we "won". they will believe him because they are retarded. end of story, movin' on. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064444) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 7:29 PM Author: Lemon principal's office travel guidebook (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064445) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 7:36 PM Author: Fluffy Trip Senate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064461) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 11:03 PM Author: drab godawful ticket booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064885) |
|
Date: August 13th, 2026 9:54 AM Author: Jet athletic conference stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50065249) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2026 7:38 PM Author: passionate greedy son of senegal mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064469) |
|
Date: August 13th, 2026 12:27 AM Author: Thirsty Corn Cake Israel and Jewish power want the war to continue. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50064951) |
|
Date: August 13th, 2026 9:50 AM Author: chartreuse knife Is Israel doing anything to attack Iran or resolve the war that they started for their survival? Seems like they just attacked Iran, talked us into joining, then left. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50065241) |
|
Date: August 13th, 2026 10:23 AM Author: cruel-hearted vibrant nursing home private investor Yeah that’s what they did. Pretty fucking funny if you step back and look at it. Every antisemitic trope is 100% true. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50065294) |
|
Date: August 13th, 2026 1:23 PM Author: lake trust fund codepig you can always count on Zion Don (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50065660) |
|
Date: August 13th, 2026 9:53 AM Author: Floppy fat ankles Many people here literally voted for this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50065244) |
|
Date: August 13th, 2026 10:04 AM Author: Mind-boggling national The plan is to make the GOP congress so unpopular they get voted out in November and replaced by a Dem Congress that grabs Trump by the balls until he capitulates and ends the war unilaterally.
The plan is working.
Iran has outmaneuvered Israel by far. So much for Jews being high IQ. |
|
Date: August 13th, 2026 10:24 AM Author: cruel-hearted vibrant nursing home private investor They aren’t so much high iq as tribalistic and devious/dishonest (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5892443&forum_id=2),#50065295) |