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5-10 years... "biglawyers" = lamplighters out of work

...
Bull Headed Jet Plaza
  07/18/25
God willing
Obsidian heaven
  07/18/25
Inshallah
Bull Headed Jet Plaza
  07/18/25
...
abnormal tattoo stain
  07/18/25
...
Bull Headed Jet Plaza
  07/18/25
nickel endimed
Talented slippery piazza
  07/18/25
What happens next though? Clearly we still have lawyers ...
Appetizing opaque voyeur
  07/18/25
Interesting point. Here in shitlaw, I have people calling m...
Translucent vibrant sweet tailpipe senate
  07/18/25
What is the bulk of your business
duck-like roommate theater
  07/18/25
The single biggest area is rural real estate law. Evictions...
Translucent vibrant sweet tailpipe senate
  07/18/25
lol 180
rough-skinned blathering space
  07/18/25
180
duck-like roommate theater
  07/18/25
...
Violet Location Juggernaut
  07/19/25
prole squabbles, llp
Pale spectacular azn university
  07/18/25
UBI is a must and these gains in income (from LLM technologi...
Floppy dilemma
  07/18/25
...
Bull Headed Jet Plaza
  07/18/25
how about we just have billionaires who "lord" ove...
Maroon Bossy Marketing Idea Area
  07/18/25
Don't count on a 10 year horizon. Get your retirement money ...
Flickering Crotch National Security Agency
  07/18/25
...
Bull Headed Jet Plaza
  07/18/25
I’ve used Lexis and westlaw’s AI. Still not impr...
Pungent Bright Hunting Ground Water Buffalo
  07/18/25
I'm not sure what sort of tools biglaw is using, but AI capa...
Abusive becky
  07/18/25
It’s pretty crap right now and often in law there&rsqu...
pontificating set electric furnace
  07/18/25
Yeah I think this is horseshit cope tbh. Models like o3 pro ...
Abusive becky
  07/18/25
It pushes out shit legal work product riddled with hallucina...
pontificating set electric furnace
  07/18/25
Also, the law isn’t just pure logic or even complex lo...
pontificating set electric furnace
  07/18/25
Coping fag hello
pontificating set electric furnace
  07/18/25
You're just wrong about AI capabilities and AI's ability to ...
Abusive becky
  07/18/25
Not only that but it basically only has to be good enough to...
multi-colored internet-worthy giraffe
  07/18/25
Why don’t you explain why I’m wrong instead of s...
pontificating set electric furnace
  07/19/25
Just respond to chatgpt and ask it for the pro-legal AI argu...
Stubborn skinny woman
  07/19/25
Current reality supports the anti-AI argument. AI law produ...
pontificating set electric furnace
  07/19/25
OP also thought Excel would eliminate accountants
pea-brained grizzly selfie parlour
  07/18/25
...
blue kitchen
  07/19/25
I wish.
Lake trailer park clown
  07/18/25
Its barely any better than a google search was 6 years ago. ...
Beta Business Firm
  07/18/25


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 4:16 AM
Author: Bull Headed Jet Plaza



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111109)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 4:23 AM
Author: Obsidian heaven

God willing

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111113)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 4:53 AM
Author: Bull Headed Jet Plaza

Inshallah

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111128)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 5:46 PM
Author: abnormal tattoo stain



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49112809)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:49 PM
Author: Bull Headed Jet Plaza



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49113496)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 4:53 AM
Author: Talented slippery piazza

nickel endimed

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111131)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 6:33 AM
Author: Appetizing opaque voyeur

What happens next though?

Clearly we still have lawyers and law firms, but perhaps the firm headcount drops to 10% the current headcount, and AI/software picks up the slack.

In that world, is the firm owned by just a handful of partners? Do law firms start to act like lean software companies? When does a U.S. firm IPO?

The counterpoint btw is that we just do a lot more work that was prohibitively expensive before. For example, I probably see 25+ cease and desist letters for every lawsuit, because letters cost $5-10k and lawsuits cost $100k to initiate and $5M+ to litigate through summary judgment. If cost of litigation drops [80%] people may file many more lawsuits. There could be an analogous dynamic on the corporate/business side.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111194)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 9:00 AM
Author: Translucent vibrant sweet tailpipe senate

Interesting point. Here in shitlaw, I have people calling me virtually every day because their "friend" cheated them out of $300 or something. I tell them it doesn't make financial sense to pursue that and they start crying. There's a big untapped market out there for adjudicating squabbles among proles.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111342)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 9:28 AM
Author: duck-like roommate theater

What is the bulk of your business

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111384)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 9:43 AM
Author: Translucent vibrant sweet tailpipe senate

The single biggest area is rural real estate law. Evictions, construction disputes, zoning issues. Tons of lawsuits over exactly who owns some piece of land, often with a rotting mobile home sitting on it. Average client expenditure is about $3000, but that varies wildly.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111405)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 9:54 AM
Author: rough-skinned blathering space

lol 180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111430)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:15 AM
Author: duck-like roommate theater

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111461)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 19th, 2025 7:10 AM
Author: Violet Location Juggernaut



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49113902)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:19 AM
Author: Pale spectacular azn university

prole squabbles, llp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111464)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 9:46 AM
Author: Floppy dilemma

UBI is a must and these gains in income (from LLM technologies)for the technologists or corporations replacing people with chatbots needs to be scrutinized and tracked ASAP to start determining the amount owed to the american citizenry

it's critical

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111414)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:50 PM
Author: Bull Headed Jet Plaza



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49113498)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:56 PM
Author: Maroon Bossy Marketing Idea Area

how about we just have billionaires who "lord" over us and poors who you could say serve or maybe "serf" them and then anyone who doesn't go along with this gets to die

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49113524)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 9:47 AM
Author: Flickering Crotch National Security Agency

Don't count on a 10 year horizon. Get your retirement money as soon as you fucking can

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111417)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:50 PM
Author: Bull Headed Jet Plaza



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49113499)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 9:50 AM
Author: Pungent Bright Hunting Ground Water Buffalo

I’ve used Lexis and westlaw’s AI. Still not impressed. It helps, it certainly makes us more productive, but major reductions in headcount? Also, everyone keeps saying wait another year. But we’re a couple of years in and the capabilities (at least as applied to law) seem about the same.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111420)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 9:57 AM
Author: Abusive becky

I'm not sure what sort of tools biglaw is using, but AI capabilities have skyrocketed over the past two years and there's no reason that wouldn't apply to law if it applies subjects that are at least as complex.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111435)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:33 AM
Author: pontificating set electric furnace

It’s pretty crap right now and often in law there’s no objectively correct answer unlike coding or whatever. Here’s a better explanation why law is harder to master for AI than coding.

Coding is governed by strict syntax and deterministic rules. A given input in a programming language will always produce the same output if the code is correct.

• Legal analysis involves ambiguous language, conflicting authorities, policy tradeoffs, and context-sensitive reasoning—skills that require human judgment and real-world understanding.

AI has been trained on massive open-source code repositories like GitHub, with clear labels, documentation, and results. This data is abundant, consistent, and high-quality.

• Legal data is more fragmented:

• Case law is often behind paywalls.

• Court decisions may be long, inconsistent, or involve complex procedural postures.

• Outcomes are not always “correct” or universally agreed upon.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111495)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:34 AM
Author: Abusive becky

Yeah I think this is horseshit cope tbh. Models like o3 pro can absolutely handle textual nuance and complex questions.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111500)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:44 AM
Author: pontificating set electric furnace

It pushes out shit legal work product riddled with hallucinations or misstatements of the law.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111526)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 11:24 AM
Author: pontificating set electric furnace

Also, the law isn’t just pure logic or even complex logic, unlike coding, there’s no single correct answer to the important questions that get litigated, the legal background is often contradictory and nuanced so you can’t just train it easily.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111634)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 12:04 PM
Author: pontificating set electric furnace

Coping fag hello

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111710)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 12:10 PM
Author: Abusive becky

You're just wrong about AI capabilities and AI's ability to generate responses when there isn't an objectively correct answer, there isn't much else to say. If anything law being subjective bullshit will make it easier to automate. When I deal with ai skeptics these days I mostly just wait for reality to prove them wrong.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111715)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 5:46 PM
Author: multi-colored internet-worthy giraffe

Not only that but it basically only has to be good enough to replace paralegals and juniors to have an enormous impact, which it pretty much already has

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49112807)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 19th, 2025 7:23 AM
Author: pontificating set electric furnace

Why don’t you explain why I’m wrong instead of saying “I’m just wrong” with no explanation?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49113912)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 19th, 2025 7:26 AM
Author: Stubborn skinny woman

Just respond to chatgpt and ask it for the pro-legal AI argument to the answer it just gave you

(delete the em dash next time you retard)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49113914)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 19th, 2025 2:45 PM
Author: pontificating set electric furnace

Current reality supports the anti-AI argument. AI law products are pretty shit for any complex practice.

No doubt that people who rely on making money through teams of 20 paralegals filling out forms and doing rote tasks will change a lot but automating such repetitive thoughtless tasks is entirely different than writing a compelling brief based on nuanced and complex facts in an uncertain area of law.

It most likely will be similar to how word processing eliminated a lot of support positions.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49114500)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 9:58 AM
Author: pea-brained grizzly selfie parlour

OP also thought Excel would eliminate accountants

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111438)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 19th, 2025 1:33 AM
Author: blue kitchen



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49113713)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:23 AM
Author: Lake trailer park clown

I wish.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111468)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 12:24 PM
Author: Beta Business Firm

Its barely any better than a google search was 6 years ago. Add on top that people using it are dumber. All AI is going to do is maybe help the few smart people left do stuff

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2)#49111741)