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Recent crude oil price shifts bad for Iran - link

https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price ...
German pumo
  04/13/26
https://x.com/miadmaleki/status/2043456536454836467
gibberish (?)
  04/13/26
That's what the Israeli government funded think tank has to ...
..,.,.,.,.,.,.,,,,.....
  04/13/26
imo, the ceasefire and blockade are distractions and stall t...
wangfei
  04/13/26
I don't know about Kharg but one thing is for sure. The Geor...
..,.,.,.,.,.,.,,,,.....
  04/13/26
bush carrier group is estimated to arrive this weekend. char...
wangfei
  04/13/26
The blockade removes the need to take Kharg and is a much sm...
German pumo
  04/13/26
then why amass even more military assets. 4 US carrier group...
wangfei
  04/13/26
Gives options- taking the UAE-claimed islands still makes a ...
German pumo
  04/13/26


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Date: April 13th, 2026 10:05 AM
Author: German pumo

https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price

Right now Brent at $101/barrel, which is well below what it was at times last week. This shows that imposing Iran-specific oil sanctions or blockades doesn't cause the price of oil to skyrocket. Fear of it doing so is what caused Trump to previously allow Iran to sell their oil. Given the modest market reaction to the blockade, I see no reason why Trump won't continue it indefinitely.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5856583&forum_id=2).#49813973)



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Date: April 13th, 2026 10:12 AM
Author: gibberish (?)

https://x.com/miadmaleki/status/2043456536454836467

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5856583&forum_id=2).#49814029)



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Date: April 13th, 2026 11:19 AM
Author: ..,.,.,.,.,.,.,,,,.....

That's what the Israeli government funded think tank has to say and is giddy. But what does it mean for consumers here? I don't want to pay $1,000 more this year just to advance the fucking Israeli national interest.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5856583&forum_id=2).#49814177)



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Date: April 13th, 2026 11:07 AM
Author: wangfei

imo, the ceasefire and blockade are distractions and stall tactics. trump is still moving military assets after announcing ceasefire and blockade, so is france surprisingly. i think he is taking kharg this weekend.

something is not right. dated brent quoted $131 last friday. that is a huge gap. next week, brent crude and vix are going to spike if kharg happens.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5856583&forum_id=2).#49814154)



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Date: April 13th, 2026 11:20 AM
Author: ..,.,.,.,.,.,.,,,,.....

I don't know about Kharg but one thing is for sure. The George Bush carrier group has destroyers loaded with missiles that can intercept missiles headed to Israel. I think that is the major reason for the ceasefire. Israel right now is defenseless against Iranian missiles.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5856583&forum_id=2).#49814181)



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Date: April 13th, 2026 11:22 AM
Author: wangfei

bush carrier group is estimated to arrive this weekend. charles de gaulle is in the eastern med this week.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5856583&forum_id=2).#49814186)



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Date: April 13th, 2026 11:37 AM
Author: German pumo

The blockade removes the need to take Kharg and is a much smarter way to accomplish the goal of controlling stopping Iranian oil exports. Stops imports too.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5856583&forum_id=2).#49814242)



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Date: April 13th, 2026 11:41 AM
Author: wangfei

then why amass even more military assets. 4 US carrier groups are in/on the way to the middle east. there is nothing in the pacific today. seems odd. if i was china i would be testing taiwan to see where US allocates carrier groups.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5856583&forum_id=2).#49814263)



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Date: April 13th, 2026 11:43 AM
Author: German pumo

Gives options- taking the UAE-claimed islands still makes a good bit of sense, assuming they agree to garrison them after we take them.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5856583&forum_id=2).#49814267)