There’s a polymarket for whether Jesus returns this year
| rebellious aqua church building weed whacker | 11/18/25 | | rebellious aqua church building weed whacker | 11/18/25 | | low-t heady idea he suggested crotch | 11/18/25 | | rebellious aqua church building weed whacker | 11/18/25 | | Crimson Nighttime Regret | 11/18/25 | | demanding hairy legs theatre | 11/18/25 | | rebellious aqua church building weed whacker | 02/04/26 | | Talented sandwich | 02/04/26 | | rebellious aqua church building weed whacker | 02/04/26 | | rebellious aqua church building weed whacker | 02/04/26 | | Talented sandwich | 02/04/26 | | Talented sandwich | 02/04/26 | | fart nigger | 02/18/26 | | .,.,,...,...,..,....,...,...,... | 02/18/26 | | "'''''"'''"""''''" | 02/18/26 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: February 4th, 2026 10:43 AM Author: Talented sandwich
What’s crazy is that the price of Yes is basically driven by real interest rates, so it’s logical for it to be a positive number and not zero. A No contract is like a risk free bond.
Put another way, as the Fed lowers interest rates, the probability of Jesus’ return will increase. If the feds raise interest rates, the probability that Jesus will return goes down.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5799676&forum_id=2,#49646005) |
 |
Date: February 18th, 2026 6:57 PM
Author: .,.,,...,...,..,....,...,...,...
Not quite risk free because Polymarket is not FDIC insured. But I had the same thought when I heard about this market. Has someone actually plotted the data and shown that it tracks changes to the Federal Funds Rate?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5799676&forum_id=2,#49678995) |
|
|