There’s a polymarket for whether Jesus returns this year
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Date: February 4th, 2026 10:43 AM Author: plum scourge upon the earth
What’s crazy is that the price of Yes is basically driven by real interest rates, so it’s logical for it to be a positive number and not zero. A No contract is like a risk free bond.
Put another way, as the Fed lowers interest rates, the probability of Jesus’ return will increase. If the feds raise interest rates, the probability that Jesus will return goes down.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5799676&forum_id=2],#49646005) |
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Date: February 18th, 2026 6:57 PM
Author: .,.,,...,...,..,....,...,...,...
Not quite risk free because Polymarket is not FDIC insured. But I had the same thought when I heard about this market. Has someone actually plotted the data and shown that it tracks changes to the Federal Funds Rate?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5799676&forum_id=2],#49678995) |
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