There’s a polymarket for whether Jesus returns this year
| Violet spectacular lodge | 11/18/25 | | Violet spectacular lodge | 11/18/25 | | Haunting curious native | 11/18/25 | | Violet spectacular lodge | 11/18/25 | | Floppy indigo brunch | 11/18/25 | | Heady zombie-like national security agency | 11/18/25 | | Violet spectacular lodge | 02/04/26 | | copper 180 chapel main people | 02/04/26 | | Violet spectacular lodge | 02/04/26 | | Violet spectacular lodge | 02/04/26 | | copper 180 chapel main people | 02/04/26 | | copper 180 chapel main people | 02/04/26 | | fart nigger | 02/18/26 | | .,.,,...,...,..,....,...,...,... | 02/18/26 | | "'''''"'''"""''''" | 02/18/26 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: February 4th, 2026 10:43 AM Author: copper 180 chapel main people
What’s crazy is that the price of Yes is basically driven by real interest rates, so it’s logical for it to be a positive number and not zero. A No contract is like a risk free bond.
Put another way, as the Fed lowers interest rates, the probability of Jesus’ return will increase. If the feds raise interest rates, the probability that Jesus will return goes down.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5799676&forum_id=2],#49646005) |
 |
Date: February 18th, 2026 6:57 PM
Author: .,.,,...,...,..,....,...,...,...
Not quite risk free because Polymarket is not FDIC insured. But I had the same thought when I heard about this market. Has someone actually plotted the data and shown that it tracks changes to the Federal Funds Rate?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5799676&forum_id=2],#49678995) |
|
|