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5-10 years... "biglawyers" = lamplighters out of work

...
Aquamarine Infuriating Public Bath Doctorate
  07/18/25
God willing
narrow-minded self-centered elastic band half-breed
  07/18/25
Inshallah
Aquamarine Infuriating Public Bath Doctorate
  07/18/25
...
Scarlet Galvanic Nursing Home Jap
  07/18/25
...
Aquamarine Infuriating Public Bath Doctorate
  07/18/25
nickel endimed
low-t locus ceo
  07/18/25
What happens next though? Clearly we still have lawyers ...
cracking bawdyhouse
  07/18/25
Interesting point. Here in shitlaw, I have people calling m...
Mewling Beady-eyed Weed Whacker
  07/18/25
What is the bulk of your business
Exhilarant kitchen
  07/18/25
The single biggest area is rural real estate law. Evictions...
Mewling Beady-eyed Weed Whacker
  07/18/25
lol 180
Arousing preventive strike
  07/18/25
180
Exhilarant kitchen
  07/18/25
...
stimulating navy stag film
  07/19/25
prole squabbles, llp
French box office tattoo
  07/18/25
UBI is a must and these gains in income (from LLM technologi...
Bistre self-absorbed business firm international law enforcement agency
  07/18/25
...
Aquamarine Infuriating Public Bath Doctorate
  07/18/25
how about we just have billionaires who "lord" ove...
marvelous dopamine
  07/18/25
Don't count on a 10 year horizon. Get your retirement money ...
Hyperventilating theater stage
  07/18/25
...
Aquamarine Infuriating Public Bath Doctorate
  07/18/25
I’ve used Lexis and westlaw’s AI. Still not impr...
razzle glassy nibblets
  07/18/25
I'm not sure what sort of tools biglaw is using, but AI capa...
territorial fiercely-loyal pit milk
  07/18/25
It’s pretty crap right now and often in law there&rsqu...
Sepia alpha
  07/18/25
Yeah I think this is horseshit cope tbh. Models like o3 pro ...
territorial fiercely-loyal pit milk
  07/18/25
It pushes out shit legal work product riddled with hallucina...
Sepia alpha
  07/18/25
Also, the law isn’t just pure logic or even complex lo...
Sepia alpha
  07/18/25
Coping fag hello
Sepia alpha
  07/18/25
You're just wrong about AI capabilities and AI's ability to ...
territorial fiercely-loyal pit milk
  07/18/25
Not only that but it basically only has to be good enough to...
Unholy Point Ladyboy
  07/18/25
Why don’t you explain why I’m wrong instead of s...
Sepia alpha
  07/19/25
Just respond to chatgpt and ask it for the pro-legal AI argu...
Vibrant misanthropic trump supporter incel
  07/19/25
Current reality supports the anti-AI argument. AI law produ...
Sepia alpha
  07/19/25
OP also thought Excel would eliminate accountants
charismatic place of business
  07/18/25
...
Vigorous School Cafeteria Blood Rage
  07/19/25
I wish.
dun domesticated clown
  07/18/25
Its barely any better than a google search was 6 years ago. ...
chest-beating locale
  07/18/25


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 4:16 AM
Author: Aquamarine Infuriating Public Bath Doctorate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111109)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 4:23 AM
Author: narrow-minded self-centered elastic band half-breed

God willing

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111113)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 4:53 AM
Author: Aquamarine Infuriating Public Bath Doctorate

Inshallah

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111128)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 5:46 PM
Author: Scarlet Galvanic Nursing Home Jap



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49112809)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:49 PM
Author: Aquamarine Infuriating Public Bath Doctorate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49113496)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 4:53 AM
Author: low-t locus ceo

nickel endimed

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111131)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 6:33 AM
Author: cracking bawdyhouse

What happens next though?

Clearly we still have lawyers and law firms, but perhaps the firm headcount drops to 10% the current headcount, and AI/software picks up the slack.

In that world, is the firm owned by just a handful of partners? Do law firms start to act like lean software companies? When does a U.S. firm IPO?

The counterpoint btw is that we just do a lot more work that was prohibitively expensive before. For example, I probably see 25+ cease and desist letters for every lawsuit, because letters cost $5-10k and lawsuits cost $100k to initiate and $5M+ to litigate through summary judgment. If cost of litigation drops [80%] people may file many more lawsuits. There could be an analogous dynamic on the corporate/business side.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111194)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 9:00 AM
Author: Mewling Beady-eyed Weed Whacker

Interesting point. Here in shitlaw, I have people calling me virtually every day because their "friend" cheated them out of $300 or something. I tell them it doesn't make financial sense to pursue that and they start crying. There's a big untapped market out there for adjudicating squabbles among proles.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111342)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 9:28 AM
Author: Exhilarant kitchen

What is the bulk of your business

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111384)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 9:43 AM
Author: Mewling Beady-eyed Weed Whacker

The single biggest area is rural real estate law. Evictions, construction disputes, zoning issues. Tons of lawsuits over exactly who owns some piece of land, often with a rotting mobile home sitting on it. Average client expenditure is about $3000, but that varies wildly.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111405)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 9:54 AM
Author: Arousing preventive strike

lol 180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111430)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:15 AM
Author: Exhilarant kitchen

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111461)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 19th, 2025 7:10 AM
Author: stimulating navy stag film



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49113902)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 10:19 AM
Author: French box office tattoo

prole squabbles, llp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111464)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 9:46 AM
Author: Bistre self-absorbed business firm international law enforcement agency

UBI is a must and these gains in income (from LLM technologies)for the technologists or corporations replacing people with chatbots needs to be scrutinized and tracked ASAP to start determining the amount owed to the american citizenry

it's critical

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111414)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 10:50 PM
Author: Aquamarine Infuriating Public Bath Doctorate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49113498)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 10:56 PM
Author: marvelous dopamine

how about we just have billionaires who "lord" over us and poors who you could say serve or maybe "serf" them and then anyone who doesn't go along with this gets to die

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49113524)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 9:47 AM
Author: Hyperventilating theater stage

Don't count on a 10 year horizon. Get your retirement money as soon as you fucking can

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111417)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:50 PM
Author: Aquamarine Infuriating Public Bath Doctorate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49113499)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 9:50 AM
Author: razzle glassy nibblets

I’ve used Lexis and westlaw’s AI. Still not impressed. It helps, it certainly makes us more productive, but major reductions in headcount? Also, everyone keeps saying wait another year. But we’re a couple of years in and the capabilities (at least as applied to law) seem about the same.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111420)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 9:57 AM
Author: territorial fiercely-loyal pit milk

I'm not sure what sort of tools biglaw is using, but AI capabilities have skyrocketed over the past two years and there's no reason that wouldn't apply to law if it applies subjects that are at least as complex.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111435)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:33 AM
Author: Sepia alpha

It’s pretty crap right now and often in law there’s no objectively correct answer unlike coding or whatever. Here’s a better explanation why law is harder to master for AI than coding.

Coding is governed by strict syntax and deterministic rules. A given input in a programming language will always produce the same output if the code is correct.

• Legal analysis involves ambiguous language, conflicting authorities, policy tradeoffs, and context-sensitive reasoning—skills that require human judgment and real-world understanding.

AI has been trained on massive open-source code repositories like GitHub, with clear labels, documentation, and results. This data is abundant, consistent, and high-quality.

• Legal data is more fragmented:

• Case law is often behind paywalls.

• Court decisions may be long, inconsistent, or involve complex procedural postures.

• Outcomes are not always “correct” or universally agreed upon.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111495)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 10:34 AM
Author: territorial fiercely-loyal pit milk

Yeah I think this is horseshit cope tbh. Models like o3 pro can absolutely handle textual nuance and complex questions.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111500)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 10:44 AM
Author: Sepia alpha

It pushes out shit legal work product riddled with hallucinations or misstatements of the law.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111526)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 11:24 AM
Author: Sepia alpha

Also, the law isn’t just pure logic or even complex logic, unlike coding, there’s no single correct answer to the important questions that get litigated, the legal background is often contradictory and nuanced so you can’t just train it easily.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111634)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 12:04 PM
Author: Sepia alpha

Coping fag hello

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111710)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 12:10 PM
Author: territorial fiercely-loyal pit milk

You're just wrong about AI capabilities and AI's ability to generate responses when there isn't an objectively correct answer, there isn't much else to say. If anything law being subjective bullshit will make it easier to automate. When I deal with ai skeptics these days I mostly just wait for reality to prove them wrong.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111715)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 5:46 PM
Author: Unholy Point Ladyboy

Not only that but it basically only has to be good enough to replace paralegals and juniors to have an enormous impact, which it pretty much already has

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49112807)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 19th, 2025 7:23 AM
Author: Sepia alpha

Why don’t you explain why I’m wrong instead of saying “I’m just wrong” with no explanation?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49113912)



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Date: July 19th, 2025 7:26 AM
Author: Vibrant misanthropic trump supporter incel

Just respond to chatgpt and ask it for the pro-legal AI argument to the answer it just gave you

(delete the em dash next time you retard)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49113914)



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Date: July 19th, 2025 2:45 PM
Author: Sepia alpha

Current reality supports the anti-AI argument. AI law products are pretty shit for any complex practice.

No doubt that people who rely on making money through teams of 20 paralegals filling out forms and doing rote tasks will change a lot but automating such repetitive thoughtless tasks is entirely different than writing a compelling brief based on nuanced and complex facts in an uncertain area of law.

It most likely will be similar to how word processing eliminated a lot of support positions.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49114500)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 9:58 AM
Author: charismatic place of business

OP also thought Excel would eliminate accountants

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111438)



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Date: July 19th, 2025 1:33 AM
Author: Vigorous School Cafeteria Blood Rage



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49113713)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 10:23 AM
Author: dun domesticated clown

I wish.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111468)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 12:24 PM
Author: chest-beating locale

Its barely any better than a google search was 6 years ago. Add on top that people using it are dumber. All AI is going to do is maybe help the few smart people left do stuff

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2],#49111741)