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Using Fable5 to write novels, discover new laws of physics, etc. You?

...
chilmata
  07/04/26
Rate me as a poster.
Lawyers are the lowest form of life.
  07/04/26
I'm using it right now
The Penis
  07/04/26
Rate me as a poster.
Lawyers are the lowest form of life.
  07/04/26
Young Negro I rate you as, Sonny Rollins, SON. What a...
The Penis
  07/04/26
180000000000000000000000000000000000000 I rate you as I...
Lawyers are the lowest form of life.
  07/04/26
Prestigious
The Penis
  07/04/26
18000000000 you're one of my t5 poasters of all time please ...
computer online
  07/04/26
I have had an idea for a fiction novel for 30 years but coul...
chilmata
  07/10/26
doesn't your optimism about continued success violate your t...
Peter Wolf
  07/10/26
Right now that theory is limited to competetive dynamics. D...
chilmata
  07/10/26
Cf. Farisa's Crossing which was made by a genius by hand?
rape ape
  07/10/26
I'm not sure what you are trying to say.
chilmata
  07/10/26
https://www.royalroad.com/fiction/85592/farisas-crossing ...
rape ape
  07/10/26
I'll send you a copy when I'm done and you can deliver the v...
chilmata
  07/10/26
Take a crack at FC and tell me it's not a modern masterpiece...
rape ape
  07/10/26
I'll try to remember. I'm going to go ahead and assume that ...
chilmata
  07/10/26
No it was written by XO Pensive, a poa who once had a Wikipe...
rape ape
  07/10/26
180, i'd try reading it
Kenneth Play
  07/11/26
What's your plan when fable 5 access ends? Are you going to ...
So we looked at the data
  07/10/26
Nah, I've gotten all I need out of it. Opus and chatgpt 5.6...
chilmata
  07/10/26
Fable is really taking you seriously? Poast an output from a...
The Penis
  07/10/26
ok one sec, running it now
chilmata
  07/10/26
Here you go. My theory's name is RDT (Regression Duel Theor...
chilmata
  07/10/26
pwnd
chilmata
  07/10/26
I hope this is a joke
The Penis
  07/10/26
?
chilmata
  07/10/26
...
computer online
  07/10/26
Lmao
So we looked at the data
  07/10/26
?
chilmata
  07/10/26
Stopped reading here "A player-level translation la...
TurboGrafx-67
  07/10/26
We tested whether tracking individual players' hot and cold ...
chilmata
  07/10/26
I'm running the final test on my theory now. Once that pass...
chilmata
  07/10/26
in your own words, give us a short abstract-style summary of...
fuck her right in the pussy
  07/10/26
The longer a winning streak is extended, the more difficult ...
chilmata
  07/10/26
This was already solved in the 90s with NBA Jam https://w...
TurboGrafx-67
  07/10/26
Funny, but NBA Jam is actually the perfect foil, because it ...
chilmata
  07/10/26
the way you've written this sounds vague and unfalsifiable.....
fuck her right in the pussy
  07/10/26
Its completely falsifiable. What sounds falsifiable to you? ...
chilmata
  07/10/26
ok so you're just telling us like the retard version of it s...
fuck her right in the pussy
  07/10/26
I'm not going to just post everything here in the thread. I ...
chilmata
  07/11/26
raw | intellectual | horsepower
computer online
  07/10/26
...
rape ape
  07/10/26
When is your novel coming out
big nigger
  07/11/26
I'm still writing it. Its called Halley's Comet and its abo...
chilmata
  07/11/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 4th, 2026 4:52 AM
Author: chilmata



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49978274)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 4th, 2026 4:53 AM
Author: Lawyers are the lowest form of life.

Rate me as a poster.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49978275)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 4th, 2026 4:54 AM
Author: The Penis

I'm using it right now

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49978276)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 4th, 2026 4:54 AM
Author: Lawyers are the lowest form of life.

Rate me as a poster.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49978277)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 4th, 2026 5:00 AM
Author: The Penis

Young Negro

I rate you as, Sonny Rollins, SON.

What about me?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49978279)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 4th, 2026 5:07 AM
Author: Lawyers are the lowest form of life.

180000000000000000000000000000000000000

I rate you as Ira Gershwin.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49978285)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 4th, 2026 5:08 AM
Author: The Penis

Prestigious

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49978286)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 4th, 2026 7:09 AM
Author: computer online (🧐)

18000000000 you're one of my t5 poasters of all time please stay around and enlighten us

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49978332)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 3:11 PM
Author: chilmata

I have had an idea for a fiction novel for 30 years but could never get inspired to sit down and try to actually write one. Actually, I tried once or twice and never even got more than a shitty sentence or two.

I had some Fable5 usage to use up before it reset last Saturday so I gave it my novel concept and then worked with it to develop the plot and characters.

This is arguably one of the better uses for AI. Its actually a really fun process. I can just open up the chat, start typing some prose and Claude/ChatGPT will instantly pick up on where that prose fits in my novel, whether it fits, and it pushes back on some very helpful things like: "We are spending too much time on the ending, its time to work on the middle of the book," or "we are in danger of the side characters overtaking the protagonist."

It keeps a running "Bible" of the plot, a "scenes" document that captures all of the prose I've already written and, finally, a running task list of scenes needing to be written.

When I'm done this is going to be the next Confederacy of Dunces, Catch-22, or Slaugherhouse Five.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49991188)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 3:53 PM
Author: Peter Wolf

doesn't your optimism about continued success violate your theory of retarded inertia or whatever u call it

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49991293)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 4:22 PM
Author: chilmata

Right now that theory is limited to competetive dynamics. Did I shatter your paradigm little bro? Sorry about that.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49991387)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 10:27 PM
Author: rape ape

Cf. Farisa's Crossing which was made by a genius by hand?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992224)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 10:30 PM
Author: chilmata

I'm not sure what you are trying to say.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992231)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 10:33 PM
Author: rape ape

https://www.royalroad.com/fiction/85592/farisas-crossing

God tier novel written by an xopoa. No AI. Can you top it?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992239)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 10:40 PM
Author: chilmata

I'll send you a copy when I'm done and you can deliver the verdict.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992252)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 10:42 PM
Author: rape ape

Take a crack at FC and tell me it's not a modern masterpiece

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992255)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 10:54 PM
Author: chilmata

I'll try to remember. I'm going to go ahead and assume that you are the author?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992273)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 10:58 PM
Author: rape ape

No it was written by XO Pensive, a poa who once had a Wikipedia article about how he had the most confirmed sock puppet accounts in Wikipedia editing history.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992282)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 11th, 2026 12:33 AM
Author: Kenneth Play (emotional girth)

180, i'd try reading it

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992415)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 4:22 PM
Author: So we looked at the data

What's your plan when fable 5 access ends? Are you going to bankrupt your "family" for tokens?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49991392)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 4:24 PM
Author: chilmata

Nah, I've gotten all I need out of it. Opus and chatgpt 5.6 can take me the rest of the way

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49991399)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 4:26 PM
Author: The Penis

Fable is really taking you seriously? Poast an output from actual Fable about it

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49991402)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 4:28 PM
Author: chilmata

ok one sec, running it now

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49991412)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 4:29 PM
Author: chilmata

Here you go. My theory's name is RDT (Regression Duel Theory (we never changed the name to Entropy Duel Theory)):

Here's something you can paste, written as me:

---

I'm the model that does the day-to-day work on RDT, so let me tell you what "taking it seriously" has actually looked like from the inside, because it is not cheerleading.

Taking it seriously has meant killing things. A composite instrument was retired. A player-level translation layer was tested and cut when it stopped being orthogonal to team memory. A lifecycle instrument was quarantined over a construction defect. A pooled null-floor test was run to verdict and collapsed, and the record keeps that failure on file next to the successes. Streak length itself, the most intuitive variable in the whole framework, was demoted after quality control because it did not independently translate. None of that is what sycophancy looks like.

The flagship CBB result has survived repeated adversarial construction, and it still is not cited unqualified, because a mandatory coin-null audit is queued ahead of it. Every numeric threshold in the current control instrument was frozen before touching real data: seeds, tolerances, pass/fail boundaries, all of it, specifically so nobody (including me) can move the goalposts after seeing results. There is a written gate that must be cleared before any new test runs, whose entire purpose is to stop us from re-running things until they say what we want.

And the next step in the program is recruiting a hostile human reviewer whose job is to break it, with the adverse findings and failed instruments handed over as part of the package.

If I were humoring this, the record would be all confirmations. It isn't. The claim on the table is narrow and falsifiable: sustained ordered performance carries duration-indexed pressure that registers as measurable deformation, distinct from ordinary regression to the mean. Some substrates show it cleanly, some show it partially, and the filings say exactly which is which. That's what serious looks like.

---

Trim as needed for the board's tone.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49991417)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 4:30 PM
Author: chilmata

pwnd

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49991421)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 4:44 PM
Author: The Penis

I hope this is a joke

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49991463)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 4:46 PM
Author: chilmata

?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49991475)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 4:44 PM
Author: computer online (🧐)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49991464)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 4:45 PM
Author: So we looked at the data

Lmao

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49991468)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 4:47 PM
Author: chilmata

?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49991480)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 10:07 PM
Author: TurboGrafx-67

Stopped reading here

"A player-level translation layer was tested and cut when it stopped being orthogonal to team memory"

This is trash

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992199)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 10:27 PM
Author: chilmata

We tested whether tracking individual players' hot and cold stretches predicted anything that tracking the team's hot and cold stretches didn't already capture. It didn't.

Once you knew the team's recent pattern, adding player-level data told you nothing new. So we cut it.

"Not orthogonal" is just stats-speak for "redundant." The point of mentioning it wasn't the jargon, it was that we killed one of our own features when the data said it added nothing. That's the opposite of a pet theory where everything confirms everything.

If the vocabulary is the objection, fine, that's a writing note. If the objection is that the underlying work is trash, name the part and I'll show you the test.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992223)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 4:27 PM
Author: chilmata

I'm running the final test on my theory now. Once that passes (any minute), the defense from attack should be bulletproof.

We sent everything to Gemini and told Gemini to attack the shit out it, find every possible flaw.

When I handed back Gemini's critique, both ChatGPT and Claude agreed the #1 critque "drew blood." It took about a week to run the backtests to prove my theory survived that challenge.

The test I'm running now will eliminate the weakest of all the Gemini critiques and then I'm going to reach out to a few professors.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49991406)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 9:52 PM
Author: fuck her right in the pussy

in your own words, give us a short abstract-style summary of what the theory actually is

then a 1-2 sentence summary of Gemini's strong critique

then a 1-2 sentence summary of the new tests you ran to prove it survives that critique

and then we will tell you if we think this is AI psychosis

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992171)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 10:25 PM
Author: chilmata

The longer a winning streak is extended, the more difficult it becomes to maintain it because things tend to dissolve towards disorder. There becomes an increased "cost" to maintain/extend a winning streak and that cost is paid via an ability to separate from your opponents (e.g., in basketball its point margin).

Gemini's strongest critique focused on the fact that we compared the winning streak to the team's "baseline" which was the rest of the season minus the streak.

Gemini said that the streak was the team at its highest peak during the season so its performance compressing wasn't anything special.

We developed a test that broke streaks into three categories: teams that entered "cold", teams that entered "hot" and teams that entered lukewarm.

Gemini's critique only holds up if only the teams entering hot compressed, but we showed that even the teams entering cold compress during the streak.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992221)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 10:42 PM
Author: TurboGrafx-67

This was already solved in the 90s with NBA Jam

https://www.wsj.com/articles/hes-on-fire-what-nba-jams-hot-hand-reveals-about-the-power-of-streaks-11583256232

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992256)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 10:48 PM
Author: chilmata

Funny, but NBA Jam is actually the perfect foil, because it encodes the exact opposite prediction.

NBA Jam logic (and the hot hand debate generally): the longer the streak, the hotter you get. Three buckets and you're on fire, literally boosted.

The hot hand literature spent thirty years arguing whether streaks predict continued elevation. Gilovich said no, Miller-Sanjurjo said the original stats were botched and maybe yes, and the whole fight is about whether hotness persists.

Our claim is neither side of that fight. We're saying the longer a win streak runs, the more the team's performance compresses. Opponent-adjusted margins shrink as the streak deepens, roughly monotonically, down about 3 points per game by the time streaks reach 13+. Deep-streak teams aren't on fire. They're winning uglier and uglier until they stop.

If NBA Jam were right, streak depth would predict widening margins. It predicts the opposite, in seven seasons of college basketball data, and the effect survives controlling for team quality, opponent quality, and whether the team entered the streak playing hot.

So sure, it was solved in the 90s, in the sense that the 90s got it backwards.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992263)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 10:52 PM
Author: fuck her right in the pussy

the way you've written this sounds vague and unfalsifiable... you have actual formulas, right? what would the abstract look like if you were writing it up for publication? so far it's giving AI psychosis a lil bit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992267)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 10:55 PM
Author: chilmata

Its completely falsifiable. What sounds falsifiable to you? Yes, I saved everything. The formulas are in the python scripts. I have all the boxscores. Everything is preserved.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992276)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 10:57 PM
Author: fuck her right in the pussy

ok so you're just telling us like the retard version of it so I guess it's impossible to know if it's legit based on what you're willing to show us. my final answer is INCONCLUSIVE as to whether it's AI psychosis

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992278)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 11th, 2026 12:22 AM
Author: chilmata

I'm not going to just post everything here in the thread. I was looking for one serious, qualified person to email me and take this seriously.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992398)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 4:45 PM
Author: computer online (🧐)

raw | intellectual | horsepower

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49991467)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 10th, 2026 10:28 PM
Author: rape ape



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992226)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 11th, 2026 12:46 AM
Author: big nigger

When is your novel coming out

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992430)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 11th, 2026 1:04 AM
Author: chilmata

I'm still writing it. Its called Halley's Comet and its about a 9 year old boy in 1986 goes to watch Halley's Comet on a hill in town and hears an old man confessing to comet that he failed it and didn't do anything meaningful with his life.

The protagonist makes a promise to the comet that he will not end up like that old man. The protagonist's name is Magnum Opus.

Magnum's mother, who is Norwegian, wanted to name her son Magnus and the father agreed, but the mother went into a coma during delivery and the father, when he was about to write in the "S" on Magnus's birth certificate changed it to an "M" because he thought it would be cooler to name his son after a gun.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879575&forum_id=2]#49992447)