\
  The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
BackRefresh Options Favorite

Taking bets on whether the Iranian government will collapse in the next year

In order to the my bet you must say "I'll that that bet...
French kitchen persian
  01/08/26
TDNW-free thread
French kitchen persian
  01/08/26
...
French kitchen persian
  01/08/26
...
French kitchen persian
  01/08/26
...
French kitchen persian
  01/08/26
...
French kitchen persian
  01/08/26
...
French kitchen persian
  01/08/26
Jews think they can do all of this and face no consequences,...
indecent black woman dragon
  01/08/26
There are people protesting all over the country and the cro...
brindle shitlib
  01/08/26
You're afraid to take my bet, you faggot pumo
French kitchen persian
  01/08/26
https://x.com/mikepompeo/status/2007180411638620659 gosh ...
indecent black woman dragon
  01/08/26
ljl what a dipshit
underhanded gay ceo nursing home
  01/08/26
have you just realized that muzzies are endless victims as w...
Razzle piazza
  01/09/26
They also start wars that they claim they won, but also they...
stimulating whorehouse
  01/09/26
...
Razzle piazza
  01/09/26
Musbros are so violent that they constantly attack each othe...
stimulating whorehouse
  01/08/26
yeah the jews made them mismanage their water and blow all o...
Soul-stirring Magenta Library
  01/10/26
Define "collapse"
stimulating whorehouse
  01/08/26
Use any definition you want.
French kitchen persian
  01/08/26
Be filled w Iranians
thirsty sadistic national pocket flask
  01/08/26
You're still not taking my bet
French kitchen persian
  01/08/26
That's the difference
thirsty sadistic national pocket flask
  01/08/26
You won't take my bet either you pussy ass faggot
French kitchen persian
  01/08/26
r we pretending like u have money and will pay when u lose?
thirsty sadistic national pocket flask
  01/08/26
You fear me, kike
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
No change to US military posture in the Middle East in respo...
French kitchen persian
  01/08/26
yes, our troops in the ME are ALWAYS ready to bomb a muzzie ...
Razzle piazza
  01/09/26
RSF is afraid take my bet at 4:45am
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
Anyone?
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
Anyone?
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
...
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
Wow, this seems like an easy win for cons. You realize if th...
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
...
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
Dude, nobody cares. You are just noise.
adulterous abode knife
  01/09/26
...
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
...
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
...
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
take my bet, you fucking lying pussy
purple soggy forum
  01/09/26
Take mine first since I poasted it first
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
i already did. stop playing games, scumbag. u seem jewish.
purple soggy forum
  01/09/26
Whatever kike
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
u got assraped delete your account, fraud
purple soggy forum
  01/09/26
You can't delete your account on this platform, FRAUD
stimulating whorehouse
  01/09/26
it's an expression, you overliteral autist
purple soggy forum
  01/09/26
The XO version is SCRAMBLE YOUR PASSWORD. You've been expos...
stimulating whorehouse
  01/10/26
...
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
Anyone?
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
I'll take your bet!
contagious hyperactive newt
  01/09/26
It's "I'll take that bet." Please edit
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
No
contagious hyperactive newt
  01/09/26
https://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5820121&mc=...
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
i accepted. you pussied out like the F-R-A-U-D you are
purple soggy forum
  01/09/26
Anyone?
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
Maybe if you want more people to take your bets you shouldn'...
contagious hyperactive newt
  01/09/26
I'm actually afraid of being wrong. Maybe the Iranian govern...
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
You're afraid that if people take your bets you won't have a...
contagious hyperactive newt
  01/09/26
https://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5820121&mc=...
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
Saving this before monikers get scrambled. He goes by "...
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
I'm Jared Baumeister
contagious hyperactive newt
  01/09/26
Witness report from Tehran: "Tehran, January 9, 202...
French kitchen persian
  01/09/26
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nayirah_testimony
thirsty sadistic national pocket flask
  01/09/26
Update?
French kitchen persian
  01/10/26
Anyone?
French kitchen persian
  01/10/26
...
French kitchen persian
  01/10/26
https://x.com/i/status/2010044292707090892
French kitchen persian
  01/10/26
It’s going to collapse in a few days
Domesticated Bawdyhouse
  01/10/26
Then why won't you take my bet?
French kitchen persian
  01/10/26
Because you’re a retarded clown unworthy of respect
Domesticated Bawdyhouse
  01/10/26
That makes a lot of sense, kike
French kitchen persian
  01/10/26
🇮🇷 If you’re wondering why I think the regime wo...
French kitchen persian
  01/10/26
Cons it's not too late to take my bet
French kitchen persian
  01/10/26
come hell of high water, that place is going nowhere but dow...
Vivacious autistic sanctuary
  01/10/26
So 2 million people are rebelling against the mullahs but co...
French kitchen persian
  01/10/26
...
French kitchen persian
  01/10/26
Anyone?
French kitchen persian
  01/11/26
Anyone?
French kitchen persian
  01/21/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 5:10 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

In order to the my bet you must say "I'll that that bet." You may not add/modify/delete any words.

I bet it won't.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573349)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 5:20 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

TDNW-free thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573386)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 5:22 PM
Author: French kitchen persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573394)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 5:32 PM
Author: French kitchen persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573423)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 5:35 PM
Author: French kitchen persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573433)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 5:35 PM
Author: French kitchen persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573436)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 5:35 PM
Author: French kitchen persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573438)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 5:36 PM
Author: indecent black woman dragon

Jews think they can do all of this and face no consequences, as if they aren't surrounded on all sides by people that hate them for what they did to them. The hubris on these people is at all-time highs, and listen we're talking 109 hello who just joined

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573441)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 5:39 PM
Author: brindle shitlib

There are people protesting all over the country and the crowds look pretty big. Weird to jump to “the Jews did this” conclusions under the circumstances

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573447)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 5:40 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

You're afraid to take my bet, you faggot pumo

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573450)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 5:40 PM
Author: indecent black woman dragon

https://x.com/mikepompeo/status/2007180411638620659

gosh you people are naive

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573451)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 5:45 PM
Author: underhanded gay ceo nursing home

ljl what a dipshit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573478)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 4:44 AM
Author: Razzle piazza

have you just realized that muzzies are endless victims as well as being one trick ponies?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49574936)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 9:18 AM
Author: stimulating whorehouse

They also start wars that they claim they won, but also they were genocided by the jews as a result. Islam is a multi-faceted religion, it's not just about raping children (although it is mostly about raping children)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49575134)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 6:27 PM
Author: Razzle piazza



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577105)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 6:26 PM
Author: stimulating whorehouse

Musbros are so violent that they constantly attack each other and somehow this is the fault of jews? Okay brother

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573592)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 10th, 2026 4:44 PM
Author: Soul-stirring Magenta Library

yeah the jews made them mismanage their water and blow all of their money fighting enemies they could never possibly defeat. that's why khomeini only has $7 to bribe his way out of getting lynched.

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/05/world/europe/iran-protests-payments.html

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49579237)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 6:25 PM
Author: stimulating whorehouse

Define "collapse"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573589)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 6:34 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

Use any definition you want.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573607)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 6:35 PM
Author: thirsty sadistic national pocket flask

Be filled w Iranians

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573611)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 6:38 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

You're still not taking my bet

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573626)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 6:42 PM
Author: thirsty sadistic national pocket flask

That's the difference

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573633)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 6:44 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

You won't take my bet either you pussy ass faggot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573639)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 7:18 PM
Author: thirsty sadistic national pocket flask

r we pretending like u have money and will pay when u lose?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573763)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 6:39 AM
Author: French kitchen persian

You fear me, kike

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49574965)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2026 6:58 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

No change to US military posture in the Middle East in response to Tehran protests

https://x.com/i/status/2009400809562284230

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49573697)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 4:45 AM
Author: Razzle piazza

yes, our troops in the ME are ALWAYS ready to bomb a muzzie country

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49574937)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 6:54 AM
Author: French kitchen persian

RSF is afraid take my bet at 4:45am

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49574973)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 8:44 AM
Author: French kitchen persian

Anyone?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49575076)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 9:26 AM
Author: French kitchen persian

Anyone?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49575139)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 1:58 PM
Author: French kitchen persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49576231)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 6:06 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

Wow, this seems like an easy win for cons. You realize if the regime falls tonight but no one takes my bet, I win, right? I'll be able to prove that you were all TOO DICKLESS to trust your own instincts.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577070)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 6:17 PM
Author: French kitchen persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577088)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 6:29 PM
Author: adulterous abode knife

Dude, nobody cares. You are just noise.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577113)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 6:53 PM
Author: French kitchen persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577178)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 6:55 PM
Author: French kitchen persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577186)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 6:56 PM
Author: French kitchen persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577189)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 6:56 PM
Author: purple soggy forum

take my bet, you fucking lying pussy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577193)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 6:57 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

Take mine first since I poasted it first

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577195)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 6:57 PM
Author: purple soggy forum

i already did. stop playing games, scumbag. u seem jewish.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577196)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 6:58 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

Whatever kike

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577197)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 6:58 PM
Author: purple soggy forum

u got assraped

delete your account, fraud

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577201)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 6:59 PM
Author: stimulating whorehouse

You can't delete your account on this platform, FRAUD

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577205)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 6:59 PM
Author: purple soggy forum

it's an expression, you overliteral autist

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577207)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 10th, 2026 4:14 PM
Author: stimulating whorehouse

The XO version is SCRAMBLE YOUR PASSWORD. You've been exposed as a n00b and are just making things worse for yourself.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49579150)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 6:56 PM
Author: French kitchen persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577191)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 7:01 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

Anyone?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577214)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 7:02 PM
Author: contagious hyperactive newt

I'll take your bet!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577216)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 7:03 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

It's "I'll take that bet." Please edit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577219)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 7:06 PM
Author: contagious hyperactive newt

No

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577223)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 7:13 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

https://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5820121&mc=1&forum_id=2

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577243)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 7:08 PM
Author: purple soggy forum

i accepted. you pussied out like the F-R-A-U-D you are

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577230)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 7:12 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

Anyone?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577241)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 7:13 PM
Author: contagious hyperactive newt

Maybe if you want more people to take your bets you shouldn't be such a princessy faggot about it

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577244)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 7:14 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

I'm actually afraid of being wrong. Maybe the Iranian government will collapse before 5:10pm EST on January 8, 2027

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577246)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 7:16 PM
Author: contagious hyperactive newt

You're afraid that if people take your bets you won't have anything to spam about

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577250)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 7:17 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

https://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5820121&mc=1&forum_id=2

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577251)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 7:18 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

Saving this before monikers get scrambled. He goes by "As far as they will go but even farther (🧐)" right now

https://i.imgur.com/GoBDzzb.jpeg

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577252)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 7:21 PM
Author: contagious hyperactive newt

I'm Jared Baumeister

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577257)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 8:36 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

Witness report from Tehran:

"Tehran, January 9, 2026—they killed many tonight, many...

I spoke with a few of my friends. In our alley in Sohrawardi, Tehran, right in front of my mother’s eyes, they shot a boy from behind and he was killed. My mother is in very bad shape, and I have completely lost my mind over it.

My friends also said that in Dowlat, Pasdaran, Sohrawardi, Shariati, and Andarzgoo, they [security forces] were firing many direct shots."

https://x.com/i/status/2009780516783042595

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577441)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 9th, 2026 8:54 PM
Author: thirsty sadistic national pocket flask

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nayirah_testimony

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49577510)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 10th, 2026 2:07 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

Update?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49578892)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 10th, 2026 9:35 AM
Author: French kitchen persian

Anyone?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49578448)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 10th, 2026 1:31 PM
Author: French kitchen persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49578835)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 10th, 2026 1:47 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

https://x.com/i/status/2010044292707090892

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49578869)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 10th, 2026 1:49 PM
Author: Domesticated Bawdyhouse

It’s going to collapse in a few days

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49578871)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 10th, 2026 1:51 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

Then why won't you take my bet?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49578876)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 10th, 2026 1:53 PM
Author: Domesticated Bawdyhouse

Because you’re a retarded clown unworthy of respect

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49578877)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 10th, 2026 2:06 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

That makes a lot of sense, kike

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49578890)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 10th, 2026 2:12 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

🇮🇷 If you’re wondering why I think the regime won’t survive these protests, my answer is is simple: Starlink

The regime has shut off access to the internet during previous massive protests in 2019 and 2022.

This makes it harder for protesters to coordinate, and makes it easier for the regime to conceal their violent crackdown.

Starlink changes the calculus. Protesters now have an alternative, and that could become the deciding factor on whether they succeed in toppling the regime.

https://x.com/i/status/2010027211177500718

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49578909)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 10th, 2026 4:35 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

Cons it's not too late to take my bet

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49579205)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 10th, 2026 4:36 PM
Author: Vivacious autistic sanctuary

come hell of high water, that place is going nowhere but down

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49579210)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 10th, 2026 4:37 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

So 2 million people are rebelling against the mullahs but cons are still terrified to take my bet? What the hell is wrong with them?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49579214)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 10th, 2026 4:45 PM
Author: French kitchen persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49579239)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 11th, 2026 10:26 AM
Author: French kitchen persian

Anyone?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49580564)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 21st, 2026 1:34 PM
Author: French kitchen persian

Anyone?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2Ã#49606403)