The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
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The Next Twelve Months of Nate Silver's 538.com Headlines:
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 12/10/15 |
| galvanic legal warrant | 12/12/15 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 01/02/17 |
| bateful mother | 01/06/16 |
| Umber Violent Headpube | 01/06/16 |
| Umber Violent Headpube | 06/05/16 |
| Flesh step-uncle's house | 03/26/16 |
| pale stimulating knife wrinkle | 01/02/17 |
| poppy diverse whorehouse | 10/25/18 |
| Infuriating rigpig | 12/10/15 |
| khaki bossy hospital volcanic crater | 12/10/15 |
| Ultramarine hairraiser puppy | 12/10/15 |
| pontificating aromatic house | 12/10/15 |
| sexy state selfie | 12/15/15 |
| outnumbered pozpig | 12/10/15 |
| blathering garnet church fanboi | 12/10/15 |
| Bipolar charismatic address | 12/10/15 |
| adventurous stage | 12/11/15 |
| Glassy mildly autistic pocket flask | 12/12/15 |
| nubile theater jap | 12/16/15 |
| Snowy public bath fat ankles | 01/04/16 |
| costumed garrison | 11/09/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 12/11/15 |
| obsidian chapel | 12/11/15 |
| adulterous voyeur hunting ground | 12/11/15 |
| adventurous stage | 12/11/15 |
| mentally impaired orchid depressive yarmulke | 12/12/15 |
| internet-worthy aqua degenerate sandwich | 01/25/16 |
| irate maize resort | 11/10/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 12/12/15 |
| honey-headed field | 12/12/15 |
| motley narrow-minded ape | 12/12/15 |
| Exhilarant Unholy Home Pervert | 12/12/15 |
| useless vivacious milk | 12/15/15 |
| Chocolate cocky faggotry stain | 12/21/15 |
| wonderful kitty cat stag film | 12/12/15 |
| dead corner | 12/12/15 |
| indecent box office potus | 12/12/15 |
| yapping fortuitous meteor gas station | 12/12/15 |
| flickering windowlicker half-breed | 12/12/15 |
| Deranged theater stage | 12/12/15 |
| blathering garnet church fanboi | 12/15/15 |
| blathering garnet church fanboi | 12/16/15 |
| salmon wagecucks | 12/15/15 |
| Copper stubborn police squad karate | 12/15/15 |
| mahogany thriller travel guidebook internal respiration | 12/15/15 |
| Crimson dashing corn cake rehab | 12/15/15 |
| Hot sex offender goal in life | 12/15/15 |
| brilliant sanctuary ratface | 12/15/15 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 12/15/15 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 12/15/15 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 12/15/15 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 12/15/15 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 12/15/15 |
| Arousing Green Digit Ratio | 01/05/16 |
| internet-worthy aqua degenerate sandwich | 01/25/16 |
| Comical Bonkers Cumskin Theatre | 12/17/16 |
| Chestnut high-end hell nowag | 05/18/16 |
| Saffron nibblets brunch | 08/12/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 11/09/16 |
| trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete | 11/09/16 |
| Cruel-hearted Titillating Dog Poop Ticket Booth | 11/09/16 |
| amber cerebral foreskin background story | 10/22/20 |
| Appetizing philosopher-king | 12/15/15 |
| Lascivious Plaza | 12/16/15 |
| Scarlet range | 12/16/15 |
| pea-brained cyan genital piercing twinkling uncleanness | 12/16/15 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 12/16/15 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 12/17/15 |
| Claret idiotic school therapy | 12/18/15 |
| bateful mother | 01/06/16 |
| Naked Fragrant Forum | 12/18/15 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 12/21/15 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 12/21/15 |
| Chocolate cocky faggotry stain | 12/21/15 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 12/30/15 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 12/30/15 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 01/04/16 |
| Snowy public bath fat ankles | 01/04/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 01/05/16 |
| internet-worthy aqua degenerate sandwich | 01/25/16 |
| Claret idiotic school therapy | 01/05/16 |
| ocher splenetic boiling water base | 01/05/16 |
| puce vigorous son of senegal | 01/05/16 |
| big flirting dopamine | 01/05/16 |
| fuchsia cracking trailer park | 01/05/16 |
| big flirting dopamine | 01/05/16 |
| bateful mother | 01/06/16 |
| big flirting dopamine | 01/06/16 |
| fuchsia cracking trailer park | 01/05/16 |
| Saffron nibblets brunch | 01/06/16 |
| Chocolate cocky faggotry stain | 01/07/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 01/08/16 |
| Canary piazza giraffe | 01/08/16 |
| Chocolate cocky faggotry stain | 01/08/16 |
| Claret idiotic school therapy | 01/09/16 |
| Chocolate cocky faggotry stain | 01/10/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 01/18/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 01/19/16 |
| Claret idiotic school therapy | 01/21/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 01/25/16 |
| Fishy Well-lubricated Persian Locale | 01/25/16 |
| internet-worthy aqua degenerate sandwich | 01/25/16 |
| Fishy Well-lubricated Persian Locale | 02/09/16 |
| Canary piazza giraffe | 09/06/16 |
| bateful mother | 11/05/18 |
| Fear-inspiring carnelian circlehead | 01/29/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 02/01/16 |
| Vermilion Haunting Kitchen Mood | 02/01/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 02/01/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 02/07/16 |
| ocher splenetic boiling water base | 02/09/16 |
| cream wild tank idiot | 02/09/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 02/20/16 |
| Tantric Swashbuckling Cuck Lay | 02/20/16 |
| Chestnut high-end hell nowag | 02/24/16 |
| Mind-boggling spot round eye | 02/24/16 |
| coiffed translucent church building partner | 02/27/16 |
| salmon wagecucks | 03/09/16 |
| Vengeful house-broken institution | 03/15/16 |
| Ultramarine hairraiser puppy | 03/15/16 |
| Copper stubborn police squad karate | 03/16/16 |
| razzmatazz low-t point dingle berry | 02/24/16 |
| lavender library party of the first part | 02/24/16 |
| Copper stubborn police squad karate | 07/21/16 |
| Multi-colored Filthpig | 02/24/16 |
| Ultramarine hairraiser puppy | 02/27/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 03/02/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 03/04/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 03/09/16 |
| ocher splenetic boiling water base | 03/09/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 03/15/16 |
| Chestnut high-end hell nowag | 03/15/16 |
| overrated magenta nursing home | 03/15/16 |
| Hyperactive mauve area | 03/15/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 03/16/16 |
| blathering garnet church fanboi | 03/16/16 |
| trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete | 03/23/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 03/23/16 |
| indecent box office potus | 03/26/16 |
| Wine domesticated business firm | 03/26/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 03/26/16 |
| Arousing Green Digit Ratio | 03/28/16 |
| trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete | 03/28/16 |
| khaki bossy hospital volcanic crater | 03/28/16 |
| Saffron nibblets brunch | 08/12/16 |
| bateful mother | 11/05/18 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 03/28/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 03/29/16 |
| bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead | 03/29/16 |
| bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead | 03/29/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 03/29/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 03/29/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 04/01/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 04/04/16 |
| bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead | 04/15/16 |
| Provocative medicated property affirmative action | 04/15/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 04/19/16 |
| Red principal's office cuckoldry | 04/20/16 |
| Razzle walnut old irish cottage regret | 04/20/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 04/24/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 04/25/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 04/26/16 |
| histrionic bawdyhouse messiness | 04/26/16 |
| citrine cruise ship toilet seat | 04/30/16 |
| azure meetinghouse | 05/01/16 |
| azure meetinghouse | 11/07/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 05/02/16 |
| trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete | 05/02/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 05/03/16 |
| white shrine french chef | 05/03/16 |
| Floppy skinny woman sound barrier | 05/03/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 05/04/16 |
| Canary piazza giraffe | 05/04/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 05/05/16 |
| yapping fortuitous meteor gas station | 05/05/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 05/05/16 |
| lavender library party of the first part | 05/05/16 |
| honey-headed field | 05/18/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 05/18/16 |
| Chestnut high-end hell nowag | 05/18/16 |
| honey-headed field | 05/18/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 05/29/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 06/20/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 06/29/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 07/14/16 |
| Insane patrolman | 07/15/16 |
| Saffron nibblets brunch | 07/15/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 07/17/16 |
| Canary piazza giraffe | 07/17/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 07/21/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 07/22/16 |
| fiercely-loyal indian lodge | 07/22/16 |
| Curious abnormal market | 07/23/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 07/24/16 |
| Know-it-all stage | 07/25/16 |
| bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead | 07/25/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 07/27/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 08/05/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 08/09/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 08/12/16 |
| Canary piazza giraffe | 08/12/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 08/12/16 |
| irradiated indigo tanning salon | 08/12/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 08/30/16 |
| Canary piazza giraffe | 08/30/16 |
| Canary piazza giraffe | 09/06/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 09/13/16 |
| bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead | 09/14/16 |
| wonderful kitty cat stag film | 09/14/16 |
| arrogant temple | 09/15/16 |
| 180 Rigor | 09/15/16 |
| Umber Violent Headpube | 09/15/16 |
| onyx athletic conference | 09/15/16 |
| Talking pit associate | 09/15/16 |
| sickened university codepig | 09/19/16 |
| sickened university codepig | 09/19/16 |
| Canary piazza giraffe | 09/27/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 09/24/16 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 09/27/16 |
| Canary piazza giraffe | 09/27/16 |
| blathering garnet church fanboi | 09/27/16 |
| pearl heady electric furnace set | 10/08/16 |
| Submissive embarrassed to the bone casino elastic band | 07/29/24 |
| bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead | 09/28/16 |
| wonderful kitty cat stag film | 09/28/16 |
| Canary piazza giraffe | 09/28/16 |
| Razzle walnut old irish cottage regret | 09/28/16 |
| Provocative medicated property affirmative action | 09/28/16 |
| exciting crackhouse boistinker | 10/08/16 |
| Canary piazza giraffe | 10/09/16 |
| Supple menage crotch | 10/09/16 |
| Canary piazza giraffe | 10/09/16 |
| buck-toothed prole | 10/09/16 |
| bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead | 10/10/16 |
| Know-it-all stage | 10/30/16 |
| Saffron nibblets brunch | 11/01/16 |
| onyx athletic conference | 11/01/16 |
| Maroon stirring den | 11/02/16 |
| Crimson dashing corn cake rehab | 11/02/16 |
| bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead | 11/07/16 |
| Rose Station Coffee Pot | 11/08/16 |
| bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead | 11/08/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 11/08/16 |
| bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead | 11/08/16 |
| sticky alcoholic orchestra pit antidepressant drug | 11/08/16 |
| Federal electric native | 11/08/16 |
| Vermilion Haunting Kitchen Mood | 11/08/16 |
| sickened university codepig | 11/08/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 11/08/16 |
| aphrodisiac place of business deer antler | 11/09/16 |
| arrogant temple | 11/09/16 |
| Hairless Site Water Buffalo | 11/09/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 11/09/16 |
| onyx athletic conference | 11/09/16 |
| aphrodisiac place of business deer antler | 11/09/16 |
| Know-it-all stage | 11/09/16 |
| yapping fortuitous meteor gas station | 11/09/16 |
| Burgundy Drunken Indirect Expression Space | 12/03/16 |
| irate maize resort | 12/07/16 |
| Comical Bonkers Cumskin Theatre | 12/17/16 |
| Jet-lagged Disturbing Jew Reading Party | 10/11/24 |
| Silver alpha mental disorder | 11/09/16 |
| Sapphire Office | 11/09/16 |
| flatulent lemon azn lodge | 11/09/16 |
| smoky frozen heaven | 11/09/16 |
| Burgundy Drunken Indirect Expression Space | 11/09/16 |
| Saffron nibblets brunch | 11/09/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 11/09/16 |
| honey-headed field | 11/09/16 |
| Canary piazza giraffe | 11/09/16 |
| Boyish quadroon personal credit line | 11/09/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 11/09/16 |
| Sick blood rage | 11/09/16 |
| hyperventilating dilemma mad-dog skullcap | 11/09/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 11/09/16 |
| pontificating aromatic house | 11/09/16 |
| Naked Fragrant Forum | 11/10/16 |
| Fishy Well-lubricated Persian Locale | 11/10/16 |
| Umber Violent Headpube | 11/10/16 |
| Marvelous stock car love of her life | 11/10/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 11/10/16 |
| bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead | 11/10/16 |
| Tantric Swashbuckling Cuck Lay | 11/10/16 |
| sickened university codepig | 11/14/16 |
| Brass glittery legend parlor | 11/14/16 |
| concupiscible parlour trump supporter | 12/04/16 |
| Comical Bonkers Cumskin Theatre | 12/17/16 |
| Jet-lagged Disturbing Jew Reading Party | 10/11/24 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 11/25/16 |
| dun vibrant coldplay fan jewess | 12/03/16 |
| buck-toothed prole | 12/04/16 |
| disrespectful school cafeteria | 12/07/16 |
| Umber Violent Headpube | 12/07/16 |
| dun vibrant coldplay fan jewess | 12/07/16 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 01/02/17 |
| startled weed whacker gaming laptop | 01/02/17 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 01/02/17 |
| startled weed whacker gaming laptop | 01/02/17 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 03/03/20 |
| Umber Violent Headpube | 01/02/17 |
| trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete | 01/16/17 |
| startled weed whacker gaming laptop | 01/20/17 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 01/20/17 |
| startled weed whacker gaming laptop | 01/23/17 |
| exciting crackhouse boistinker | 01/23/17 |
| startled weed whacker gaming laptop | 01/23/17 |
| racy bespoke center | 01/23/17 |
| exciting crackhouse boistinker | 01/23/17 |
| startled weed whacker gaming laptop | 01/23/17 |
| startled weed whacker gaming laptop | 01/25/17 |
| startled weed whacker gaming laptop | 01/26/17 |
| startled weed whacker gaming laptop | 02/06/17 |
| startled weed whacker gaming laptop | 02/13/17 |
| startled weed whacker gaming laptop | 02/27/17 |
| startled weed whacker gaming laptop | 05/03/17 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 05/03/17 |
| startled weed whacker gaming laptop | 09/21/17 |
| Ultramarine hairraiser puppy | 01/23/17 |
| onyx athletic conference | 02/27/17 |
| bateful mother | 03/22/17 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 04/17/17 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 05/08/17 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 06/20/17 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 08/10/17 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 10/15/17 |
| trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete | 10/15/17 |
| Alcoholic National Marketing Idea | 10/15/17 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 11/06/17 |
| passionate location | 11/06/17 |
| Bistre Hall Queen Of The Night | 11/08/17 |
| excitant locus | 11/08/17 |
| contagious factory reset button mad cow disease | 11/13/17 |
| trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete | 12/18/17 |
| Canary piazza giraffe | 12/18/17 |
| trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete | 12/18/17 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 01/30/18 |
| Umber Violent Headpube | 06/01/18 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 07/18/18 |
| trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete | 07/19/18 |
| Talking pit associate | 09/20/18 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 09/25/18 |
| khaki bossy hospital volcanic crater | 10/06/18 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 10/06/18 |
| Umber Violent Headpube | 10/25/18 |
| 180 Rigor | 10/25/18 |
| internet-worthy aqua degenerate sandwich | 11/05/18 |
| Umber Violent Headpube | 11/05/18 |
| bateful mother | 11/05/18 |
| Umber Violent Headpube | 11/05/18 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 01/08/19 |
| spectacular offensive abode | 02/23/19 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 03/13/19 |
| internet-worthy aqua degenerate sandwich | 06/24/19 |
| flushed razzle-dazzle roommate | 06/24/19 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 11/18/19 |
| onyx athletic conference | 02/12/20 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 02/12/20 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 03/24/20 |
| Shimmering Odious Senate Bbw | 03/24/20 |
| Insane patrolman | 04/04/20 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 04/26/20 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 05/13/20 |
| Insane patrolman | 06/05/20 |
| Slippery Newt | 06/05/20 |
| Insane patrolman | 09/09/20 |
| onyx athletic conference | 09/09/20 |
| Infuriating rigpig | 09/09/20 |
| brindle ungodly | 09/12/20 |
| black becky | 09/24/20 |
| flushed razzle-dazzle roommate | 10/09/20 |
| trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete | 10/10/20 |
| Deep soul-stirring | 10/22/20 |
| Burgundy Drunken Indirect Expression Space | 10/22/20 |
| amber cerebral foreskin background story | 10/22/20 |
| amber cerebral foreskin background story | 10/22/20 |
| Beady-eyed community account | 03/23/22 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 10/27/20 |
| bateful mother | 10/27/20 |
| flushed razzle-dazzle roommate | 10/30/20 |
| trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete | 11/03/20 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 03/22/22 |
| aquamarine bearded | 03/23/22 |
| demanding psychic | 03/23/22 |
| Fluffy dysfunction | 03/23/22 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 07/25/22 |
| Infuriating rigpig | 07/25/22 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 10/23/22 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 11/16/22 |
| Chartreuse faggot firefighter | 04/25/23 |
| honey-headed field | 04/25/23 |
| black becky | 04/29/23 |
| Submissive embarrassed to the bone casino elastic band | 05/28/23 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 02/22/24 |
| black becky | 02/23/24 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 05/23/24 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 08/26/24 |
| black becky | 09/13/24 |
| Infuriating rigpig | 09/13/24 |
| black becky | 10/18/24 |
| Jet-lagged Disturbing Jew Reading Party | 10/11/24 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 11/06/24 |
| yapping fortuitous meteor gas station | 03/04/25 |
| yapping fortuitous meteor gas station | 03/04/25 |
| Talking pit associate | 03/04/25 |
| Jet-lagged Disturbing Jew Reading Party | 03/04/25 |
| tripping laughsome | 03/04/25 |
| 03/05/25 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 03/07/25 |
| Spruce | 03/07/25 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 03/08/25 |
| Jade main people | 03/08/25 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 03/08/25 |
| Ultramarine hairraiser puppy | 02/18/26 |
| Insanely creepy talented feces | 05/15/26 |
| Black Woman | 05/17/26 |
| coalition of rabbis | 08/11/26 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:48 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter December 12, 2015: "Anticipating Trump's Black Swan" December 18, 2015: "As Voters Flee Carson, Is Trump Harmed Most?" December 30, 2015: "The Fickle Iowa Voter and the Biggest Trump Problem" January 8, 2016: "Cruz's Rise Harms Trump Most" January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" January 22, 2016: "Trump's Independent Bid Would Fare Worse Than His Republican One" January 29, 2016: "The Herding Effect and Trump's Polling Problem" February 2, 2016: "Trump's Landslide in Iowa, But a Narrow Delegate Victory" February 4, 2016: "The House Effects Lifting Trump's Numbers in New Hampshire" February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why." February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?" February 11, 2016: "Rubio's Exit May Be Trump's Death Blow" February 17, 2016: "Clinton the Greatest Threat to Trump's Nomination" February 26, 2016: "Religious Conservatives and the Trump Dilemma" February 28, 2016: "Three Wins in Three Elections? Not So Fast" March 17, 2016: "The Brokered Convention, or Why Trump's Chances Look Worse Than Ever" March 30, 2016: "Glacial Pace of Delegates Slows Lumbering Trump" April 7, 2016: "A Closer Look at the Fractured Republican Party" April 27, 2016: "Even If Trump Wins, What Will Independents Think?" May 7, 2016: "The Coming Clinton Cascade" May 19, 2016: "Here's What the Brokered Convention That Defies Trump Looks Like" June 11, 2016: "Behind the Numbers: Delegate Math and the Convention" July 21, 2016: "Eight Takeaways from Trump's Convention Speech--Closer to Hitler than Reagan" August 1, 2016: "Clinton Stronger Than Ever as Trump's Popularity Appears Fleeting" August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story" September 18, 2016: "Behind the Presidential Debate: A Good Night for Clinton" September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise" October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" October 29, 2016: "Clarity from House Effects and Clinton's Decided Silent Majority" November 9, 2016: "It'll Take Months to Sort Out How Trump Won" November 22, 2016: "Trump's Reelection Chances Look Dicey January 20, 2017: 404 Hosting Error |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: galvanic legal warrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29364653) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32284620) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:43 AM Author: bateful mother (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29532817) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:46 AM Author: Umber Violent Headpube (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29532846) |
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Date: June 5th, 2016 5:46 PM Author: Umber Violent Headpube another bump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30631018) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 10:16 PM Author: Flesh step-uncle's house 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30144195) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:11 AM Author: poppy diverse whorehouse "October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise"? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#37090197) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: Ultramarine hairraiser puppy 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29351742) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: pontificating aromatic house Fantastic work ITT (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29351744) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:08 PM Author: sexy state selfie (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29384172) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:55 PM Author: outnumbered pozpig FUCK | THIS | KIKE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29351749) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:56 PM Author: blathering garnet church fanboi Poasting in a historic thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29351753) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: Bipolar charismatic address Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Not saying that Trump cant win but you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:21 PM Author: adventurous stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29359932) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 4:17 PM Author: Glassy mildly autistic pocket flask Nate Silver's 08 and 12 predictions were accurate and based almost entirely on polling data. his prediction that trump will lose is obviously not based on polling data (which is highly favorable for Trump), but an assumption that someone like Trump can't win. we shouldn't put much value in the non-quantitative political analysis of a poll aggregator. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29364985) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: nubile theater jap Is he propagandizing or believing what he wishes? Hard to imagine such a shift from such a quantitative guy. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29392387) |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:31 PM Author: Snowy public bath fat ankles Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: TannerBoyle
Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Trump cant win and you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351956) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: costumed garrison (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31854764) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:20 PM Author: adventurous stage November 9th 2016: s.e.g.a. sucking cock at Port Authority for bus fare (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29359926) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: mentally impaired orchid depressive yarmulke (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29364617) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:40 PM Author: internet-worthy aqua degenerate sandwich Don't edit loser (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29677834) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: honey-headed field (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29364621) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:47 PM Author: Exhilarant Unholy Home Pervert March 9
THE ANTHROPOPHAGUS HAS QUITTED HIS DEN
March 10
THE CORSICAN OGRE HAS LANDED AT CAPE JUAN
March 11
THE TIGER HAS ARRIVED AT CAP
March 12
THE MONSTER SLEPT AT GRENOBLE
March 13
THE TYRANT HAS PASSED THOUGH LYONS
March 14
THE USURPER IS DIRECTING HIS STEPS TOWARDS DIJON
March 18
BONAPARTE IS ONLY SIXTY LEAGUES FROM THE CAPITAL
He has been fortunate enough to escape his pursuers
March 19
BONAPARTE IS ADVANCING WITH RAPID STEPS, BUT HE WILL NEVER ENTER PARIS
March 20
NAPOLEON WILL, TOMORROW, BE UNDER OUR RAMPARTS
March 21
THE EMPEROR IS AT FONTAINEBLEAU
March 22
HIS IMPERIAL AND ROYAL MAJESTY arrived yesterday evening at the Tuileries, amid the joyful acclamation of his devoted and faithful subjects |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:06 PM Author: useless vivacious milk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29384155) |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 8:26 PM Author: Chocolate cocky faggotry stain 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29429271) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:55 PM Author: dead corner lol, 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29364873) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:59 PM Author: flickering windowlicker half-breed Well done. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29364896) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 4:08 PM Author: Deranged theater stage Fully nude right now, happened to absent-mindedly stroke myself to a FULL CHUB while reading. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29364933) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:14 PM Author: blathering garnet church fanboi OP missed today's ... "Are we in a Trump boom or a Trump bubble?" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29383835) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 12:20 PM Author: blathering garnet church fanboi And today's: "The fifth Republican debate ended in a nine-way draw." |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:21 PM Author: salmon wagecucks 190 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29383898) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: Copper stubborn police squad karate fuck u for making me laugh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29383961) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:58 PM Author: mahogany thriller travel guidebook internal respiration I used to work with a fat, ugly gay man, who was the first person ever to tell me about Nate Silver. I asked him what made this Nate Silver so good, and the homosexual slob said it was that Silver had never been wrong or some shit like that. I said Well that's a pretty good track record. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29384107) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:10 PM Author: Crimson dashing corn cake rehab 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29384183) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:12 PM Author: Hot sex offender goal in life February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why."
February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?"
180 |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: brilliant sanctuary ratface You shitcons have been through this with Nate Silver twice before and he has pwned you both times. You guys never learn (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29384207) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:15 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter Trump odds, August 2015: Silver: 2% Miller: 0% Enten: -10% http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/podcast-totally-subjective-presidential-odds-early-august-edition/ |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-most-shocking-result-in-world-cup-history/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29384231) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:17 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/what-we-got-wrong-in-our-2015-uk-general-election-model/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29384237) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:19 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29384254) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:20 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-make-of-kentuckys-polling-failure/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29384262) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: Arousing Green Digit Ratio (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29525662) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:43 PM Author: internet-worthy aqua degenerate sandwich Can't wait to bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29677869) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: Comical Bonkers Cumskin Theatre (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32165246) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:11 AM Author: Chestnut high-end hell nowag (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30504262) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: Saffron nibblets brunch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31172544) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:06 AM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-coverage/?#livepress-update-23617209 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31846270) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31846325) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 3:36 AM Author: Cruel-hearted Titillating Dog Poop Ticket Booth Final Election Update: There’s A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And Most Of Them Come Up Clinton
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-election-update-theres-a-wide-range-of-outcomes-and-most-of-them-come-up-clinton/ |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: amber cerebral foreskin background story (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#41167037) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Appetizing philosopher-king This is an all time GOAT on XO. This is amazing. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29384232) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:34 PM Author: Lascivious Plaza 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29392396) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:37 PM Author: Scarlet range (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29392414) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:39 PM Author: pea-brained cyan genital piercing twinkling uncleanness Incredible (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29392427) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 11:48 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces Trump Boom or Trump Bubble? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-boom-or-trump-bubble/ |
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Date: December 17th, 2015 9:22 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces Iowa's Women Could Be Trump’s Undoing http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/iowas-women-could-be-donald-trumps-undoing/ |
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Date: December 18th, 2015 10:03 PM Author: Claret idiotic school therapy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29411300) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: bateful mother (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29532836) |
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Date: December 18th, 2015 10:09 PM Author: Naked Fragrant Forum (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29411342) |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 7:06 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces Lindsey Graham Tries To Stop Trump The Only Way He Can — By Quitting http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/lindsey-graham-tries-to-stop-trump-the-only-way-he-can-by-quitting/ |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 7:47 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces "Trump has some weird chinks in his armor" http://www.wnyc.org/story/nate-silvers-crystal-ball-tells-all-2016/ |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 8:21 PM Author: Chocolate cocky faggotry stain 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29429241) |
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Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces "micah: Let me channel our vacationing editor-in-chief Nate Silver: What if Trump finishes second or third in Iowa, same in New Hampshire and South Carolina. He chugs along for a while with 15-20 percent of the vote. Or, maybe he quits the race after New Hampshire. Won’t the fact that we spent much of 2015 hyperventilating about Trump seem silly in retrospect?" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-meaning-of-donald-trump/ |
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Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces One of the biggest errors I think I made in 2015 was concentrating too much on who would win the Republican nomination and not so much on who would drive the conversation.1 You can see that clearly with Donald Trump (who I still don’t think will win the Republican nomination). Not only did I dismiss Trump’s candidacy on many occasions (here, here, here and here, for example), I was sometimes eager to do so in order to confirm my original belief that he wouldn’t win.
But winning the race and affecting the race are different things. Trump may lose in Iowa, collapse in New Hampshire and disappear from the national stage. If that — or something like it — happens, much of the sound and fury surrounding Trump in 2015 will seem silly in retrospect. But regardless of where Trump ends up once voting starts, he has certainly been the dominant voice in the Republican nomination race so far. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-harry-enten-got-wrong-in-2015/ |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:22 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces This phenomenon may not hold in 2016. Cruz could collapse in Iowa. Christie could fall apart in New Hampshire. And maybe Trump will outperform his polling in both contests. But the gap between their current state and national polls suggests the opposite is more likely. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/to-win-in-iowa-or-new-hampshire-it-may-be-better-to-poll-worse-nationally/ |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:27 PM Author: Snowy public bath fat ankles flawless OP. uninflated 180. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29519032) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 12:09 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter ty for all the updates itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29525598) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:45 PM Author: internet-worthy aqua degenerate sandwich Cr. It made a great thread an all time thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29677890) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:08 PM Author: Claret idiotic school therapy From Silver's Twitter:
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
That Trump is underperforming in IA and NH relative to national polls is a big deal and a bad sign for him. |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:11 PM Author: ocher splenetic boiling water base 1800000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29531444) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: puce vigorous son of senegal (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29531475) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: big flirting dopamine An historic poast (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29531481) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:16 PM Author: fuchsia cracking trailer park 180 trillion (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29531500) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:17 PM Author: big flirting dopamine I saw this on the Internet and thought of you guys
http://imgur.com/Fn3p3R6 |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:45 AM Author: bateful mother (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29532843) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 4:37 PM Author: big flirting dopamine Bump to make sure my friends saw this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29535993) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:22 PM Author: fuchsia cracking trailer park No bias there right? What a shitbird. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29531557) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: Saffron nibblets brunch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29532829) |
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Date: January 7th, 2016 10:51 PM Author: Chocolate cocky faggotry stain (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29546163) |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 4:56 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces “HOW TRUMP WON” blares the headline on this week’s Time magazine cover in 80-point Duplicate Ionic. “Now he just needs the votes,” whispers the small subheadline underneath.
Oh, just that little detail? Trump actually needs people to vote for him? I’ve been encountering a lot of this lately: Coverage implying that Trump’s lead atop the Republican polls (which he’s held since mid-July) is a watershed event, perhaps even tantamount to his having won an election.
These headlines, needless to say, are presumptuous. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 5:05 PM Author: Canary piazza giraffe 180 if not copy paste (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29551314) |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 11:26 PM Author: Chocolate cocky faggotry stain (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29554010) |
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Date: January 9th, 2016 8:16 PM Author: Claret idiotic school therapy http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29559692) |
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Date: January 10th, 2016 5:22 PM Author: Chocolate cocky faggotry stain (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29566112) |
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Date: January 18th, 2016 10:15 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29622950) |
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Date: January 19th, 2016 5:30 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces Donald Trump is Sarah Palin 2.0 http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/sarah-palin-endorses-donald-trump-for-president/ |
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Date: January 21st, 2016 5:51 PM Author: Claret idiotic school therapy looks like even silver has conceded on trump winning the nomination
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/one-big-reason-to-be-less-skeptical-of-trump/
In a nomination race like the Republican one, you could draw up a list of reasons to be skeptical of any candidate’s chances. Here are some reasons to be skeptical about Ted Cruz’s position in Iowa, for example. Here’s why Marco Rubio’s strategy looks increasingly precarious. There are also good reasons to be skeptical about Donald Trump’s chances of winning the Republican nomination:
His polling in Iowa isn’t great, and he’s probably still the underdog there. There’s reason to doubt the strength of his ground game, in Iowa and other states. Trump’s favorable ratings and second-choice numbers are generally inferior to Cruz’s and Rubio’s, meaning that other candidates might benefit more as the field winnows.1 But the reason I’ve been especially skeptical about Trump for most of the election cycle isn’t listed above. Nor is it because I expected Trump to spontaneously combust in national polls. Instead, I was skeptical because I assumed that influential Republicans would do almost anything they could to prevent him from being nominated.
I’m in the midst of working on a long review of the book “The Party Decides,” so we’ll save some of the detail for that forthcoming article. But the textbook on Trump is that he’d be a failure along virtually every dimension that party elites normally consider when choosing a nominee: electability (Trump is extremely unpopular with general election voters); ideological reliability (like Sarah Palin, Trump’s a “maverick”); having traditional qualifications for the job; and so forth. Even if the GOP is mostly in disarray, my assumption was that it would muster whatever strength it had to try to stop Trump.
But so far, the party isn’t doing much to stop Trump. Instead, it’s making such an effort against Cruz. Consider:
The governor of Iowa, Terry Branstad, said he wanted Cruz defeated. Bob Dole warned of “cataclysmic” losses if Cruz was the nominee, and said Trump would fare better. Mitch McConnell and other Republicans senators have been decidedly unhelpful to Cruz when discussing his constitutional eligibility to be president. An anti-Cruz PAC has formed, with plans to run advertisements in Iowa. (By contrast, no PAC advertising has run against Trump so far in January.) You can find lots of other examples like these. It’s the type of coordinated, multifront action that seems right out of the “The Party Decides.” If, like me, you expected something like this to happen to Trump instead of Cruz, you have to revisit your assumptions. Thus, I’m now much less skeptical of Trump’s chances of becoming the nominee.
Can we take this a step farther, in fact? Can we say that the party has decided … for Trump?
I’ve seen some headlines to that effect, but they’re premature and possibly wrong. So far, the GOP’s actions are conspicuously anti-Cruz more than they are pro-Trump. For example, although former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin just endorsed Trump, no current Republican governors or members of Congress have.
Instead, it may be that Republicans think of Cruz as the more immediate threat, and then plan to turn around and attack Trump later. But that’s a high-degree-of-difficulty caper to pull off. For one thing, Trump, who’s in a much better position in the polls than Cruz in states after Iowa, could rack up several wins in a row if he takes the Hawkeye State.
Just as important, there are few signs that Republicans have much of a strategy for whom to back apart from Trump. Four “establishment lane” candidates — Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich and Rubio — are tightly packed in New Hampshire polls. That could potentially change before New Hampshire votes because of tactical voting.2 And whichever of these candidates perform worst in the early states will probably drop out.
But Republican party elites seem indifferent among these four candidates, when in my view some are more capable than others of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz:
Rubio would seem to have the best shot. He’s easily the most conservative of the four, has the best favorability ratings and can make perhaps the best electability argument. His ground game may not be very good, but he has a decent amount of cash on hand. Bush and Christie probably rank next, in some order. It’s hard to imagine Republican voters coming all the way around to the patrician Bush after flirting with bad-boy Trump for so long — especially when Bush’s favorability numbers with Republican voters are in the tank. But remember that those dalliances with Trump are hypothetical, only contemplated in polls and not yet actuated with votes. Perhaps the Republican electorate that shows up to vote is more like the 2012 version, which supported Mitt Romney. It’s a long shot, but if it happens, Bush will have plenty of money and organization to extend the race. If the GOP electorate is in an angrier mood, then Christie’s personality overlaps the most with Trump’s. He’s a good debater, and his favorability ratings are on the upswing, although still just middling. But Christie entered the race with a lot of baggage that will receive more scrutiny if he surges in the polls. He also doesn’t have much of an organization beyond New Hampshire. Kasich’s outlook seems the worst of the four, combining Bush’s lack of appeal to conservatives with Christie’s lack of organization beyond New Hampshire. The one qualification to this is that Kasich has a more conservative track record than he lets on.3 So if I were ranking the four establishment candidates’ chances of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz, I’d put Rubio first and Kasich last. But if I were ranking them in terms of who seems to have the most momentum right now, the order would be just the opposite. Kasich has gained 3 or 4 percentage points in New Hampshire polls over the past month, while Rubio has declined slightly in New Hampshire and national polls, and his once-steady flow of endorsements has turned into a trickle.
These differences might seem pretty minor — there’s room for near-daily momentum shifts before New Hampshire votes. Obviously, it’s also possible that Republicans’ efforts to stop Cruz in Iowa will backfire.
Things are lining up better for Trump than I would have imagined, however. It’s not his continued presence in the race that surprises me so much as the lack of a concerted effort to stop him. |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:26 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29677719) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:42 PM Author: Fishy Well-lubricated Persian Locale 180000000000000000000000000000000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29677863) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:48 PM Author: internet-worthy aqua degenerate sandwich You're a democratic, remember? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29677913) |
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Date: February 9th, 2016 9:02 PM Author: Fishy Well-lubricated Persian Locale No way! 100% TRUMPMO (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29791782) |
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Date: September 6th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Canary piazza giraffe (2-time shitbama voter) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31345881) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: bateful mother (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#37162047) |
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Date: January 29th, 2016 4:25 PM Author: Fear-inspiring carnelian circlehead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29708433) |
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Date: February 1st, 2016 11:04 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29727124) |
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Date: February 1st, 2016 11:21 AM Author: Vermilion Haunting Kitchen Mood (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29727197) |
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Date: February 1st, 2016 9:47 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29732588) |
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Date: February 7th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29771453) |
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Date: February 9th, 2016 8:59 PM Author: ocher splenetic boiling water base (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29791735) |
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Date: February 9th, 2016 9:00 PM Author: cream wild tank idiot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29791763) |
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Date: February 20th, 2016 7:55 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29877406) |
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Date: February 20th, 2016 7:57 PM Author: Tantric Swashbuckling Cuck Lay OK man, can you tell us how you did this? (Not how you predicted it, but how you wrote it so brilliantly.) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29877434) |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 8:06 AM Author: Chestnut high-end hell nowag PORT | AUTHORITY | BUSFARE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29903568) |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 8:14 AM Author: Mind-boggling spot round eye The OP is XO at its peak brilliance. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29903615) |
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Date: February 27th, 2016 6:57 PM Author: coiffed translucent church building partner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29931652) |
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Date: March 9th, 2016 12:52 AM Author: salmon wagecucks (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30015868) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: Vengeful house-broken institution (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30066562) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:55 PM Author: Ultramarine hairraiser puppy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30066681) |
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Date: March 16th, 2016 11:52 AM Author: Copper stubborn police squad karate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30070592) |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 8:18 AM Author: razzmatazz low-t point dingle berry hosting error... LOL
this is better than any snl sketch in the last 5 to 10 years. |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 10:18 AM Author: lavender library party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29904083) |
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Date: July 21st, 2016 9:42 AM Author: Copper stubborn police squad karate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30987707) |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: Multi-colored Filthpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29904074) |
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Date: February 27th, 2016 6:54 PM Author: Ultramarine hairraiser puppy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29931637) |
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Date: March 2nd, 2016 9:43 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29960115) |
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Date: March 4th, 2016 1:38 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#29976826) |
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Date: March 9th, 2016 12:44 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30015799) |
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Date: March 9th, 2016 12:55 AM Author: ocher splenetic boiling water base yeah anyone who wants to win money on predictit markets should just consult this turtle shell oracle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30015891) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 8:46 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30065629) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:05 PM Author: Chestnut high-end hell nowag (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30065970) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:23 PM Author: overrated magenta nursing home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30066291) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:43 PM Author: Hyperactive mauve area truly 180 thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30066549) |
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Date: March 16th, 2016 11:48 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces It's Still Not Clear Donald Trump Will Get a Majority of Delegates http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-still-not-clear-that-donald-trump-will-get-a-majority-of-delegates/ |
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Date: March 16th, 2016 11:54 AM Author: blathering garnet church fanboi March is very accurate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30070601) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2016 10:49 AM Author: trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30119676) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2016 9:30 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30119337) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 11:24 AM Author: indecent box office potus http://imgur.com/ZVbDMXh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30140474) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 11:30 AM Author: Wine domesticated business firm Lol,holy Fuck (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30140513) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 10:14 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30144174) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Arousing Green Digit Ratio jesus. . . (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30151942) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 10:20 AM Author: trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30151965) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 10:23 AM Author: khaki bossy hospital volcanic crater (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30151975) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: Saffron nibblets brunch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31172540) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:20 AM Author: bateful mother (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#37162050) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 9:47 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces "What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like" "Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-will-have-a-hard-time-turning-blue-states-red-in-november/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 2:26 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces "Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-no-ronald-reagan/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 2:32 PM Author: bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30160689) |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 4:59 PM Author: bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead "One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women"
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-sexism-women-2016-election/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 5:14 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30161654) |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 8:54 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/714977961099862016 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30163086) |
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Date: April 1st, 2016 2:54 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-probably-first-ballot-or-bust-for-donald-trump-at-the-gop-convention/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30183235) |
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Date: April 4th, 2016 7:13 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces "Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/wisconsin-could-be-trouble-for-trump/ |
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Date: April 15th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead interestingly the Karl Rove WSJ opinion headlines are almost as desperate:
http://topics.wsj.com/person/R/karl-rove/5686
Articles by Karl Rove
Vanity Will Be The Donald’s Undoing April 13, 2016 06:04 p.m.
Trump thinks he is so rich, famous and athletic that he can skip a real campaign.
The Not-Trump GOP Rises April 6, 2016 07:16 p.m.
The delegate math is getting hard, and New York may not be the lifeline Trump needs.
An Ugly General Election Takes Shape March 30, 2016 07:12 p.m.
Hillary’s super PAC readies an anti-Trump onslaught. She will be a ripe target too.
Don’t Coddle Donald Trump March 23, 2016 07:22 p.m.
A nominee needs a majority. Abraham Lincoln played by that rule—so can the New York businessman.
How Trump Can Raise His Game March 16, 2016 07:03 p.m.
A few bits of advice for The Donald: study up, change your tone and focus on Hillary.
The Polls Trump Hasn’t Won March 9, 2016 06:32 p.m.
He says that he will beat Hillary, yet guess who is the only GOP contender trailing her.
A Big Push for Flawed Front-Runners March 2, 2016 06:39 p.m.
Bernie could cause trouble for Hillary at the convention. And Trump is no ‘unifier.’
The Donald Doesn’t Have a Lock—Yet February 24, 2016 07:22 p.m.
There is still time for a non-Trump majority to coalesce around a single candidate. James Taranto: ‘I Love the Poorly Educated!’
Trump Didn’t Oppose the Iraq War February 17, 2016 06:33 p.m.
There’s no record of his clear opposition before March 2003, despite his claims
GOP Infighters Need to Focus on Trump February 10, 2016 06:48 p.m.
The four mainstream candidates are only wasting time if they go after each other.
How Trump Blew an Easy Win February 3, 2016 06:33 p.m.
He acted like the traditional rules didn’t apply. This race could go to the convention.
Trump Ducks an Iowa Opportunity January 27, 2016 06:56 p.m.
The Donald’s refusal to debate could blow his lead. How can he take on Hillary?
Hillary’s Stumbling Cakewalk January 20, 2016 07:31 p.m.
Nothing’s working, so now Clinton has come up with a four-step Beat Bernie strategy.
The GOP’s Chase for Undecided Iowans January 13, 2016 06:55 p.m.
At this point in 2012, Rick Santorum—who won the caucuses—sat sadly at 6% support.
My Crystal-Ball Score—Plus 2016 Predictions January 6, 2016 06:57 p.m.
Clinton Is Already Vowing to Overreach December 16, 2015 06:06 p.m.
Remember her pledge in 2007 to ‘rein in the presidency’? Neither does she.
Trump Is the Democrats’ Dream Nominee December 9, 2015 06:48 p.m.
He could win the primaries but would get creamed in the presidential election.
The GOP Needs Presidential Coattails December 2, 2015 06:53 p.m.
A weak ticket could hurt the party in purple states—and lose the Senate.
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Date: April 15th, 2016 10:47 AM Author: Provocative medicated property affirmative action (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30279158) |
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Date: April 19th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30307876) |
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Date: April 20th, 2016 11:03 AM Author: Red principal's office cuckoldry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30310760) |
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Date: April 20th, 2016 11:13 AM Author: Razzle walnut old irish cottage regret I love this thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30310807) |
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Date: April 24th, 2016 1:07 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30335375) |
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Date: April 25th, 2016 10:37 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30346848) |
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Date: April 26th, 2016 9:29 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30353572) |
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Date: April 26th, 2016 9:31 PM Author: histrionic bawdyhouse messiness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30353587) |
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Date: April 30th, 2016 2:23 PM Author: citrine cruise ship toilet seat (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30378951) |
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Date: May 1st, 2016 6:05 PM Author: azure meetinghouse Subject: A List of a Year of the Actual 538 Headlines JUN 16, 2015
Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart
JUL 16, 2015
Two Good Reasons Not To Take The Donald Trump ‘Surge’ Seriously
JUL 29, 2015
Donald Trump Is The Nickelback Of GOP Candidates
AUG 7, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win A War Against Fox News
AUG 7, 2015
Did The Debate Hurt Or Help Trump? Watch His Favorability Numbers.
AUG 11, 2015
Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination
AUG 14, 2015
Candidates In Donald Trump’s Position Have A Terrible Track Record
AUG 31, 2015
A Ben Carson Surge May Test Trump
SEP 2, 2015
Keep Calm And Ignore The 2016 ‘Game Changers’
SEP 8, 2015
If Donald Trump Can Win The Nomination, Ben Carson Could Too
SEP 17, 2015
We’re Bullish On Fiorina And (Still) Bearish On Trump After The Debate
SEP 24, 2015
Was The Second Debate The Beginning Of The End For Donald Trump?
OCT 20, 2015
Donald Trump Is Doomed And/Or Invincible
OCT 26, 2015
Can Ben Carson Really Take Out Donald Trump?
NOV 4, 2015
The GOP’s Primary Rules Might Doom Carson, Cruz And Trump
NOV 23, 2015
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
DEC 1, 2015
The Future Of Polling May Depend On Donald Trump’s Fate
DEC 2, 2015
Big Phony And Loser Nate Silver Can’t Even See Donald Trump Is A Winner! What A Joke!
DEC 4, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win Just Because More Voters Are Paying Attention
DEC 15, 2015
Trump Boom Or Trump Bubble?
DEC 17, 2015
Iowa’s Women Could Be Donald Trump’s Undoing
JAN 18, 2016
Donald Trump Is Really Unpopular With General Election Voters
JAN 19, 2016
Beware A GOP Calendar Front-Loaded With States Friendly To Trump And Cruz
JAN 19, 2016
Donald Trump Is Sarah Palin 2.0
JAN 21, 2016
One Big Reason To Be Less Skeptical Of Trump
JAN 26, 2016
Does Donald Trump Need To Win Iowa?
JAN 27, 2016
Sorry, Bloomberg: Trump Is Already A Third-Party Candidate
JAN 31, 2016
Donald Trump’s Support In Iowa Is Narrow But Deep
FEB 2, 2016
Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan
FEB 3, 2016
Why Iowa Changed Rubio’s And Trump’s Nomination Odds So Much
FEB 4, 2016
Trump Still Leads In New Hampshire, But The Ride Could Be Wild
FEB 5, 2016
Donald Trump Is Losing Ground On Google
FEB 9, 2016
Donald Trump Will Probably Win New Hampshire
FEB 10, 2016
John Kasich Is The Anti-Trump
FEB 17, 2016
Does Donald Trump Have A Ceiling?
FEB 18, 2016
The Pope Is Way More Popular Than Donald Trump
FEB 21, 2016
Trump Optimists And Trump Skeptics Are About To Go To War
FEB 22, 2016
Trump’s South Carolina Win Shows Evangelicals Aren’t Necessarily Voting On Their Faith
FEB 23, 2016
Nevada May Show Trump Can Win Even With Low Turnout
FEB 24, 2016
Nevada Was Great For Donald Trump, Bad For Ted Cruz
FEB 24, 2016
Republicans’ Last-Ditch Hope To Stop Donald Trump
FEB 26, 2016
Marco Rubio Finally Steps Up As The Anti-Trump
MAR 1, 2016
Super Tuesday Could Be Historic For Trump
MAR 2, 2016
Can Republicans Still Take The Nomination Away From Trump?
MAR 2, 2016
Donald Trump Is Just Barely On Track To Win The GOP Nomination
MAR 3, 2016
Republican Voters Kind Of Hate All Their Choices
MAR 4, 2016
Kasich May Have Cut Off Rubio’s Path To The Nomination
MAR 7, 2016
Donald Trump Would Be Easy To Stop Under Democratic Rules
MAR 7, 2016
Bloomberg Might Have Produced President Trump
MAR 8, 2016
Could Michigan Change The Course Of The GOP Race?
MAR 10, 2016
Ted Cruz Might Still Be Able To Stop Donald Trump
MAR 11, 2016
Don’t Sleep On Illinois And Missouri — They Could Help Make Trump Unstoppable
MAR 15, 2016
Trump Attack Ads Are Finally Popping Up, But They Might Be Too Late
MAR 16, 2016
It’s Still Not Clear That Donald Trump Will Get A Majority Of Delegates
MAR 16, 2016
Trump Voters’ Aversion To Foreign-Sounding Names Cost Him Delegates
MAR 21, 2016
Will Trump Clinch The GOP Nomination Before The Convention?
MAR 22, 2016
The Most Important States On Trump’s Path To 1,237 Delegates
MAR 23, 2016
Why Donald Trump?
MAR 23, 2016
How Far Jeb Bush Is Going To Stop Trump
MAR 25, 2016
Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November
MAR 25, 2016
What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like
MAR 29, 2016
Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan
MAR 29, 2016
One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women
MAR 30, 2016
How Trump Hacked The Media
MAR 31, 2016
Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump
APR 1, 2016
It’s Probably First Ballot Or Bust For Donald Trump At The GOP Convention
APR 5, 2016
The GOP’s Wacky Delegate Rules Are Helping Trump
APR 7, 2016
Trump’s New Magic Number Is 40 Percent Of The Vote
APR 8, 2016
Trump’s Support Would Be Easier To Explain With Better Polling
APR 11, 2016
Trump Is The Weakest GOP Front-Runner In The Modern Era
APR 11, 2016
Trump Made A Mistake By Overlooking Colorado
APR 11, 2016
Elections Podcast: Is Trump Blowing It?
APR 14, 2016
Trump’s Right That The GOP Primary Is Unfair — It Favors Him
APR 18, 2016
New York City’s Jewish Vote Might Win Cruz Or Kasich Key Delegates
APR 23, 2016
Trump’s ‘System Is Rigged’ Argument Is Working
APR 25, 2016
Trump Is Probably Going To Run Over Cruz And Kasich In The Northeast
APR 25, 2016
Will The Kasich-Cruz Alliance Work?
APR 27, 2016
It’s Trump’s Nomination To Lose* |
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Date: November 7th, 2016 3:27 PM Author: azure meetinghouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31825048) |
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Date: May 2nd, 2016 7:16 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30392947) |
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Date: May 2nd, 2016 8:17 PM Author: trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30393360) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:26 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces The Mythology Of Trump’s ‘Working Class’ Support http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-mythology-of-trumps-working-class-support/ |
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Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:35 PM Author: white shrine french chef holy shit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30398720) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2016 9:15 PM Author: Floppy skinny woman sound barrier (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30402170) |
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Date: May 4th, 2016 9:04 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30405223) |
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Date: May 4th, 2016 9:33 AM Author: Canary piazza giraffe 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30405346) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 9:23 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces Candidates who beat pundits' expectations in the primaries haven't done particularly well in the general election. https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/728211438427381760 |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 11:02 AM Author: yapping fortuitous meteor gas station Lol every response is "how about Obama?" What a hack (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30412976) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 10:40 AM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter LOL 12 years in this place and I think I found my magnum opus, fml (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30412844) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 11:05 AM Author: lavender library party of the first part Yeah bro. You should mic drop and walk the fuck away. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30412994) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: honey-headed field This should be preserved for posterity in a library somewhere. I wish Nate Silver could see this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30504267) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:03 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30504223) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Chestnut high-end hell nowag In no way will your answer affect my conviction that this is an all-time great first ballot HOF poast, I'm just curious: How long did it take you to put this masterstroke together? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30504268) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:14 AM Author: honey-headed field cr. We need to get the entire story of his creative process down for future scholars to learn from. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30504274) |
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Date: May 29th, 2016 4:16 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter lol I find something new in this thread every time I read it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30583536) |
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Date: June 20th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30746085) |
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Date: June 29th, 2016 1:03 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the White House in November, FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver predicted Wednesday.
FiveThirtyEight projected Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the general election against Donald Trump, who has just a 20 percent chance of succeeding President Barack Obama in the Oval Office. “Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America.” “There’s a lot of football left to be played, but she’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”
Indeed, a Ballotpedia survey of seven swing states released Wednesday shows the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee sweeping Trump in Iowa, Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia by margins ranging from 4 to 17 percentage points.
Silver, who correctly forecast 49 out of 50 states in 2008 and every state in 2012, noted that both camps “have a lot of room to grow,” but no candidate has blown a lead as large as Clinton’s advantage over Trump in nearly 30 years, when former Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis lost to George H.W. Bush despite maintaining a large lead coming out of the spring and summer.
“It’s been a crazy year, politically,” Silver said, adding that more states, particularly red states, are in play in 2016 than in previous elections. “For example, Arizona looks like a toss-up. Maybe Georgia. Maybe Missouri, North Carolina again.”
“Likewise,” Silver continued, “if Trump gains ground on Clinton then maybe a state like Maine — used to be a swing state, not so recently” — could be in play, too.
Silver also defended his August forecast that gave the billionaire businessman a 2 percent chance to win the GOP nomination.
“That wasn’t based on looking at polls. Trump was always ahead in the polls, and one big lesson of his campaign is don’t try and out-think the polls and try and out-think the American public,” Silver said. “And Trump has never really been ahead of Clinton in the general election campaign. He did a great job of appealing to the 40 percent of the GOP he had to win the election, the primary — a lot different than winning 51 percent of 100 percent.”
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/nate-silver-who-will-be-president-prediction-224931 |
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Date: July 14th, 2016 10:24 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-when-to-freak-out-about-shocking-new-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30924907) |
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Date: July 15th, 2016 2:16 AM Author: Insane patrolman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30933127) |
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Date: July 15th, 2016 2:47 AM Author: Saffron nibblets brunch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30933205) |
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Date: July 17th, 2016 10:12 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30956384) |
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Date: July 17th, 2016 10:13 PM Author: Canary piazza giraffe 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30956397) |
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Date: July 21st, 2016 9:33 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-convention-is-flirting-with-disaster/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30987656) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:38 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30999290) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:39 AM Author: fiercely-loyal indian lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#30999301) |
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Date: July 23rd, 2016 2:41 AM Author: Curious abnormal market Wow jesua (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31006876) |
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Date: July 24th, 2016 10:48 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31020363) |
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Date: July 25th, 2016 11:00 AM Author: Know-it-all stage Nate Silver actually would find this hilarious, too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31022942) |
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Date: July 25th, 2016 12:00 PM Author: bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead amazing how accurate this is (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31023351) |
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Date: July 27th, 2016 2:30 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter Wish I could profit off this gift. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31043518) |
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Date: August 5th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31113817) |
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Date: August 9th, 2016 8:10 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-polls-show-pennsylvania-back-in-clintons-firewall/ Let’s not bury the lead: Clinton is polling really well right now, and if you held an election today, she’d probably win in a landslide, possibly including states such as Georgia and Arizona along with most or all of the traditional swing states. |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:03 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter THEN: "August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" NOW: August 12, 2016: "What A Clinton Landslide Would Look Like" "That would work out to 471 electoral votes, to 67 for Trump, which would be fairly typical for a win of that magnitude. Dwight D. Eisenhower won 457 electoral votes when beating Adlai Stevenson by 15 points in 1956, for example. And Franklin D. Roosevelt won 472 electoral votes in 1932, in an 18-point win against Herbert Hoover. Clinton would be a ways short of Ronald Reagan’s 525 electoral votes in 1984, however." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-clinton-landslide-would-look-like/ |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:06 PM Author: Canary piazza giraffe holy shit did u edit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31172565) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:07 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter I never edit brother unless I am deleting a person's poasts. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31172569) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:14 PM Author: irradiated indigo tanning salon LOL if true. I believe you, bro. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31172627) |
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Date: August 30th, 2016 12:45 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter THEN: August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." NOW: August 30, 2016: "So, not clear that Trump is improving, so much as Clinton is declining. People maybe jumped the gun in declaring her convention bounce over." http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/770653615916810240 |
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Date: August 30th, 2016 1:26 PM Author: Canary piazza giraffe 180 i want 2 believe |
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Date: September 6th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Canary piazza giraffe lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31345879) |
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Date: September 13th, 2016 5:33 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces Polls Show Trump's Momentum Has Stalled http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/polls-show-trumps-momentum-has-stalled-for-now/ |
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Date: September 14th, 2016 9:41 AM Author: bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead ho lee fuk this is getting good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31404088) |
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Date: September 14th, 2016 9:43 AM Author: wonderful kitty cat stag film Wow. Nailed July, August and early September (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31404101) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: arrogant temple September 15, 2016
"How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote"
RUH ROH LIBS |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: 180 Rigor September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story"
Compare OP's headline to this actual Salon headline today:
Poll panic is here! Yes, Trump is closing, but here’s why it’s meaningless
http://www.salon.com/2016/09/15/its-already-happening-yes-trump-is-closing-in-on-the-polls-but-heres-why-thats-meaningless/ |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:38 PM Author: Umber Violent Headpube god this is good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31413930) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:40 PM Author: onyx athletic conference XO never not on point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31413938) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:41 PM Author: Talking pit associate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31413954) |
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Date: September 19th, 2016 1:18 PM Author: sickened university codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31443744) |
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Date: September 19th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: sickened university codepig The AutoAdmit account should tweet this at nate silver. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31443779) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Canary piazza giraffe let's not cross the swords (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31503555) |
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Date: September 24th, 2016 5:16 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31482152) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:22 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-won-the-debate-which-means-shes-likely-to-gain-in-the-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31503552) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Canary piazza giraffe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31503554) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: blathering garnet church fanboi This is arguably the greatest, most prescient poast in XO history. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31503556) |
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Date: October 8th, 2016 8:43 PM Author: pearl heady electric furnace set (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31592208) |
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Date: July 29th, 2024 7:46 PM Author: Submissive embarrassed to the bone casino elastic band (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#47906632) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 9:54 AM Author: bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-could-the-polls-be-missing/
vs
September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: wonderful kitty cat stag film (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31511665) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 10:00 AM Author: Canary piazza giraffe 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31511673) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 11:28 AM Author: Razzle walnut old irish cottage regret This shit is turning out to be so accurate that I'm starting to suspect OP is a time traveling alien. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31512070) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 2:16 PM Author: Provocative medicated property affirmative action (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31513385) |
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Date: October 8th, 2016 8:41 PM Author: exciting crackhouse boistinker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31592192) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: Canary piazza giraffe hey, this weekend wasnt in the script (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31594952) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: Supple menage crotch Trump's mistakes rise was probably a headline somewhere (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31594953) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: Canary piazza giraffe doesnt fit. a revelation of something he said 11 years ago isn't a mistake it's an october surprise (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31594954) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: buck-toothed prole half the coverage treats it as if he said it just yesterday (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31594956) |
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Date: October 10th, 2016 10:56 AM Author: bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead nate silver simultaneously claiming that all "insta polls are garbage" while citing this poll as a good news for HILLARY:
It’s not clear that voters judge debates in the same way, however. A CNN poll of debate watchers found that even though most voters thought Trump exceeded expectations, 57 percent of them nevertheless declared Clinton the winner, compared with 34 percent for Trump. A YouGov poll of debate watchers showed a much closer outcome, but with Clinton also winning, 47 percent to 42 percent.
These instant-reaction polls actually do have a correlation with post-debate horse-race polls: The candidate who wins the former usually gains in the latter. Perhaps Clinton’s win was modest enough that this will be an exception, especially given that the sentiments of pundits and television commentators (which sometimes matter as much as the debate itself) were all over the map
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-second-debate-probably-didnt-help-trump-and-he-needed-help/
meanwhile:
Big Surprise: Trump Won Instant Junk Polls About Who Won The Debate
As Harry said, the instant online opt-in junk polls — call them troll polls, faux polls, clickers, or your favorite term for them — should be ignored as indicators of who really won. And after Trump touted his win in these junk polls after the first debate, and was widely ridiculed for it, he didn’t cite the junk polls that showed Pence beating Kaine in the vice-presidential debate. Nonetheless, Trump supporters appear to still be flooding these things. Trump’s getting 77 percent in a Heavy.com junk poll asking who won tonight’s debate, an identical 77 percent in Fox 5 San Diego’s and 90 percent in Drudge Report’s.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/second-presidential-debate-election-2016/
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Date: October 30th, 2016 10:02 PM Author: Know-it-all stage close enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31763265) |
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Date: November 1st, 2016 12:35 AM Author: Saffron nibblets brunch Almost there (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31772625) |
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Date: November 1st, 2016 4:55 PM Author: onyx athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31777531) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2016 8:24 AM Author: Maroon stirring den (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31782180) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2016 6:59 PM Author: Crimson dashing corn cake rehab (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31786832) |
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Date: November 7th, 2016 3:23 PM Author: bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead prob the last time we can bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31825019) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: Rose Station Coffee Pot You say that but..... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31833310) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead true, the shitlibs can bump all they like (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31833315) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 7:59 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter ty for your sympathy bump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31839758) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:53 PM Author: bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead ho lee fuk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31844114) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:04 PM Author: sticky alcoholic orchestra pit antidepressant drug (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31842891) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:05 PM Author: Federal electric native Tbf, he was the one that was the most bullish on Trump
LJL at Sam Wang who called 99% for Hillary |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:33 PM Author: Vermilion Haunting Kitchen Mood (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31843660) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:59 PM Author: sickened university codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31844292) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:10 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31844674) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:07 AM Author: aphrodisiac place of business deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31846281) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: arrogant temple (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31846326) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:12 AM Author: Hairless Site Water Buffalo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31846448) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:22 AM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31848552) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:25 AM Author: onyx athletic conference GOAT POTUS THREAD. ALL TIME HALL OF FAME (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31848608) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:28 AM Author: aphrodisiac place of business deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31848693) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:30 AM Author: Know-it-all stage it really deserves national attention (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31848755) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:31 AM Author: yapping fortuitous meteor gas station (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31848775) |
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Date: December 3rd, 2016 2:00 AM Author: Burgundy Drunken Indirect Expression Space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32044462) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: irate maize resort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32076291) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: Comical Bonkers Cumskin Theatre (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32165256) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: Jet-lagged Disturbing Jew Reading Party (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#48187313) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:29 AM Author: Silver alpha mental disorder (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31848725) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:54 AM Author: Sapphire Office Historic. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31849301) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 2:03 AM Author: flatulent lemon azn lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31849447) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 2:07 AM Author: smoky frozen heaven 180
The anti-Rudolph. |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 3:37 AM Author: Burgundy Drunken Indirect Expression Space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31851790) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 5:12 AM Author: Saffron nibblets brunch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31852918) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31854576) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: honey-headed field this cannot be bumped enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31854584) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:52 AM Author: Canary piazza giraffe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31855383) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:59 AM Author: Boyish quadroon personal credit line (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31855482) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:51 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31863076) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: Sick blood rage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31863082) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: hyperventilating dilemma mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31863093) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 7:08 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter November 9, 2016: "We’ll have more to say about the polling in the coming days. But to a first approximation, people are probably giving the polls a little bit too much blame." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-difference-2-percentage-points-makes/ |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 7:26 PM Author: pontificating aromatic house you're fucking nostradamus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31863503) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 1:58 AM Author: Naked Fragrant Forum (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31866924) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:37 AM Author: Fishy Well-lubricated Persian Locale Here we go... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31868448) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 1:48 AM Author: Umber Violent Headpube bumped (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31866864) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 2:08 AM Author: Marvelous stock car love of her life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31867005) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:13 AM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter sorry I got it wrong, this is CNN, November 10, 2016: "'The polls clearly got it wrong': The autopsy will take months" http://money.cnn.com/2016/11/10/media/election-day-polls/index.html |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: bat-shit-crazy generalized bond stead ROFL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31868235) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: Tantric Swashbuckling Cuck Lay (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31868543) |
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Date: November 14th, 2016 4:42 PM Author: sickened university codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31907692) |
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Date: November 14th, 2016 4:43 PM Author: Brass glittery legend parlor They're all heads attached to the same (((monster))) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31907697) |
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Date: December 4th, 2016 6:17 PM Author: concupiscible parlour trump supporter Extraordinary prescience itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32055646) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: Comical Bonkers Cumskin Theatre (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32165261) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: Jet-lagged Disturbing Jew Reading Party (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#48187317) |
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Date: November 25th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#31989410) |
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Date: December 3rd, 2016 1:51 AM Author: dun vibrant coldplay fan jewess (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32044435) |
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Date: December 4th, 2016 6:15 PM Author: buck-toothed prole GEPETTO'S CHECKMARK! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32055631) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:40 AM Author: disrespectful school cafeteria https://i.sli.mg/nElXDz.jpg (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32076268) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: Umber Violent Headpube (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32076292) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:56 AM Author: dun vibrant coldplay fan jewess (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32076345) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 7:58 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32284600) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: startled weed whacker gaming laptop October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-read-too-much-into-early-voting/
OCT 27, 2016 AT 11:29 AM
Don’t Read Too Much Into Early Voting |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:03 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter ty, this & your "turning points" are PEAK XO. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32284631) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: startled weed whacker gaming laptop ITT we speculate who created Donald Trump
also a classic |
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Date: March 3rd, 2020 9:23 AM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#39686962) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: Umber Violent Headpube truly magnificent (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32284649) |
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Date: January 16th, 2017 10:57 PM Author: trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32389095) |
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Date: January 20th, 2017 12:01 AM Author: startled weed whacker gaming laptop https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-real-story-of-2016/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32412323) |
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Date: January 20th, 2017 12:24 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32416346) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:43 PM Author: startled weed whacker gaming laptop http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-electoral-college-blind-spot/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/it-wasnt-clintons-election-to-lose/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-invisible-undecided-voter/ |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: exciting crackhouse boistinker TBF this is mostly 538 gloating about how they were one of the only outlets to give Trump a reasonable chance of winning and how most were ignoring these factors (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32441222) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:46 PM Author: startled weed whacker gaming laptop It's a well deserved gloat. They did a very good job on the general election after getting their teeth kicked in during the primary. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32441238) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:49 PM Author: racy bespoke center I'm not sure I agree that they should be gloating given that they were pretty confident and ended up being wrong, but I do agree that they were better than pretty much any other similar source out there for the last week or so of the election. The cynic in me says that they probably just said 70% because they figured it was no-lose since they're either right or least wrong (as they ended up being).
What are those assholes at Princeton up to? |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:56 PM Author: exciting crackhouse boistinker it's not like their number didn't change over time. IIRC it peaked around ~85% in the middle of the debates and slid over the last couple weeks when her lead was slipping
it's still basically an aggregator, just one that processes the numbers in a way to arrive at a more reasonable prediction % than others. e.g. princeton puts way too much faith in state polls not swinging by a good amount the last couple weeks (if I had to guess)
it seems they learned their lesson after taking the "party decides" BS as bible pre-primary and numbers-wise when they had Hillary >99% to win Michigan (state polls can be very volatile). obviously the staff is lib but that actual model is fine for what it is |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:58 PM Author: startled weed whacker gaming laptop The national polls and state polls favored Clinton. It was correct to have her as a favorite. Trump outperformed the national polls by 2 points. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32441319) |
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Date: January 25th, 2017 4:32 PM Author: startled weed whacker gaming laptop https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ohio-was-a-bellwether-after-all/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32458110) |
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Date: January 26th, 2017 4:19 PM Author: startled weed whacker gaming laptop https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/early-voting-was-a-misleading-indicator/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32466804) |
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Date: February 6th, 2017 6:42 PM Author: startled weed whacker gaming laptop https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-had-a-superior-electoral-college-strategy/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32560776) |
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Date: February 13th, 2017 2:51 PM Author: startled weed whacker gaming laptop https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clintons-ground-game-didnt-cost-her-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32612572) |
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Date: February 27th, 2017 6:25 PM Author: startled weed whacker gaming laptop https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-you-shouldnt-always-trust-the-inside-scoop/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32714310) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2017 1:52 PM Author: startled weed whacker gaming laptop https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probably-cost-clinton-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#33221553) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2017 4:47 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#33222883) |
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Date: September 21st, 2017 8:38 AM Author: startled weed whacker gaming laptop https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-media-has-a-probability-problem/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#34257967) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: Ultramarine hairraiser puppy this seriously needs mainstream coverage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32441221) |
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Date: February 27th, 2017 6:39 PM Author: onyx athletic conference One of the greatest things made on this great bort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32714399) |
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Date: March 22nd, 2017 7:01 PM Author: bateful mother (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#32891711) |
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Date: April 17th, 2017 9:53 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#33097887) |
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Date: May 8th, 2017 12:36 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861611275717156868 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#33256991) |
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Date: June 20th, 2017 9:18 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#33605191) |
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Date: August 10th, 2017 3:50 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter What Kind Of Republican Might Challenge Trump In 2020? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-kind-of-republican-might-challenge-trump-in-2020/ |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-it-safe-to-say-trump-is-a-favorite-to-win-re-election/amp/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#34449074) |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:47 PM Author: trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#34449102) |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:53 PM Author: Alcoholic National Marketing Idea (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#34449138) |
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Date: November 6th, 2017 10:06 AM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#34615930) |
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Date: November 6th, 2017 10:09 AM Author: passionate location credit where it's massively due (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#34615959) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 3:45 PM Author: Bistre Hall Queen Of The Night (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#34636123) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: excitant locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#34636459) |
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Date: November 13th, 2017 1:43 AM Author: contagious factory reset button mad cow disease (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#34673088) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 11:47 AM Author: trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#34948560) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 11:50 AM Author: Canary piazza giraffe Will Passing The Tax Bill Help The GOP In 2018? Probably Not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#34948572) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 3:44 PM Author: trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#34950581) |
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Date: January 30th, 2018 3:02 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#35278621) |
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Date: June 1st, 2018 7:46 PM Author: Umber Violent Headpube (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#36168381) |
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Date: July 18th, 2018 10:15 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/would-republicans-be-better-off-if-clinton-were-president/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#36451135) |
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Date: July 19th, 2018 11:53 AM Author: trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#36458802) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 7:28 AM Author: Talking pit associate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#36847087) |
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Date: September 25th, 2018 11:32 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces The GOP’s Least-Worst Option Is If Kavanaugh Withdraws — And Soon https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gops-least-worst-option-is-if-kavanaugh-withdraws-and-soon/ SEE OP: "January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" " |
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Date: October 6th, 2018 4:22 PM Author: khaki bossy hospital volcanic crater It's about time for the OP's last prediction to come true (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#36973680) |
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Date: October 6th, 2018 4:23 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter lol 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#36973690) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:04 AM Author: Umber Violent Headpube (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#37090167) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:09 AM Author: 180 Rigor Man, this was a really great thread. Spectacular. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#37090191) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:05 AM Author: internet-worthy aqua degenerate sandwich (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#37161974) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 9:58 AM Author: Umber Violent Headpube (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#37161955) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: bateful mother (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#37162045) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:58 PM Author: Umber Violent Headpube (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#37167335) |
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Date: January 8th, 2019 3:58 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces What Would It Take For Trump To Get Primaried? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-would-it-take-for-trump-to-get-primaried/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#37553376) |
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Date: February 23rd, 2019 10:41 PM Author: spectacular offensive abode (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#37833345) |
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Date: March 13th, 2019 11:17 AM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter Brendan makes some good points here. All that said, my main point would be this — a lot of people misremember Trump bucking the CW and winning the 2016 nomination as a “polls were wrong” case when actually it was an “sophisticated experts dismissed the polls” case. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1105835180281991170 Yeah, this. Trump didn't lead the polls at *this* stage, but he did from summer 2015 on as people like me kept coming up with elaborate explanations for why he'd lose to Rubio etc. He's a good data point for "'experts' are full of shit, so you might as well go with the polls." https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1105848702986526726
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Date: June 24th, 2019 9:04 AM Author: internet-worthy aqua degenerate sandwich There was a new leader every 2 weeks in the 2012 primary. Polls can’t predict future changes. Trump stuck, Herman Caine didn’t, but yeah, experts are full of shit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#38431500) |
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Date: June 24th, 2019 8:06 AM Author: flushed razzle-dazzle roommate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#38431431) |
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Date: November 18th, 2019 3:05 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#39135638) |
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Date: February 12th, 2020 12:14 PM Author: onyx athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#39583415) |
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Date: February 12th, 2020 1:03 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#39583624) |
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Date: March 24th, 2020 10:12 AM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#39849854) |
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Date: March 24th, 2020 10:16 AM Author: Shimmering Odious Senate Bbw (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#39849877) |
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Date: April 4th, 2020 12:07 PM Author: Insane patrolman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#39938878) |
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Date: April 26th, 2020 4:40 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#40097972) |
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Date: May 13th, 2020 6:37 AM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-on-tuesday-could-hint-at-another-blue-wave-in-2020/amp/ In case you don't get the joke, the Republican in Wisconsin won by 14, & the Republican in California is up 10 with most ballots in for a seat Dems have held since 1998. |
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Date: June 5th, 2020 2:05 PM Author: Insane patrolman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#40354730) |
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Date: June 5th, 2020 3:46 PM Author: Slippery Newt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#40355911) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:46 PM Author: Insane patrolman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#40896459) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:56 PM Author: onyx athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#40896523) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:57 PM Author: Infuriating rigpig Lmao never forget (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#40896526) |
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Date: September 12th, 2020 1:55 PM Author: brindle ungodly (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#40908695) |
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Date: September 24th, 2020 9:25 AM Author: black becky (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#40977795) |
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Date: October 9th, 2020 11:09 AM Author: flushed razzle-dazzle roommate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#41079968) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:24 PM Author: Deep soul-stirring (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#41166967) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:27 PM Author: Burgundy Drunken Indirect Expression Space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#41166990) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:37 PM Author: amber cerebral foreskin background story https://imgur.com/a/mXMUHui (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#41167053) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:57 AM Author: Beady-eyed community account (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#44203011) |
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Date: October 27th, 2020 5:47 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#41200021) |
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Date: October 27th, 2020 11:29 PM Author: bateful mother (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#41202581) |
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Date: October 30th, 2020 2:57 PM Author: flushed razzle-dazzle roommate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#41222868) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2020 9:51 PM Author: trip multi-billionaire keepsake machete (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#41261120) |
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Date: March 22nd, 2022 11:29 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#44196611) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:51 AM Author: aquamarine bearded (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#44202968) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:54 AM Author: demanding psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#44202984) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:58 AM Author: Fluffy dysfunction 180 and prescient (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#44203017) |
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Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#44911871) |
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Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: Infuriating rigpig A classic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#44911874) |
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Date: October 23rd, 2022 4:13 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#45378008) |
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Date: November 16th, 2022 6:19 AM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter Why DeSantis Is a Major Threat to Trump's Reelection
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-desantis-is-a-major-threat-to-trumps-reelection/ |
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Date: April 25th, 2023 1:31 PM Author: Chartreuse faggot firefighter https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1650899579234140168 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#46237455) |
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Date: April 25th, 2023 1:33 PM Author: honey-headed field why was disney employing this guy anyways (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#46237460) |
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Date: April 29th, 2023 7:52 PM Author: black becky (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#46252623) |
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Date: May 28th, 2023 3:10 PM Author: Submissive embarrassed to the bone casino elastic band FOCK!
This still hurts to read |
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Date: February 22nd, 2024 4:54 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#47428670) |
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Date: February 23rd, 2024 4:00 AM Author: black becky (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#47430198) |
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Date: May 23rd, 2024 4:51 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/is-the-biden-campaign-running-on-false-hope As FiveThirtyEight makes clear in their piece, “While the polls in a few closely watched races—like Arizona’s governorship and Pennsylvania’s Senate seat—were biased toward Republicans, the polls overall still had a bit of a bias toward Democrats. That’s because generic-ballot polls, the most common type of poll last cycle, had a weighted-average bias of D+1.9, and polls of several less closely watched races, like the governorships in Ohio and Florida, also skewed toward Democrats.”
I’m ending the interview. I’m ending the interview because what you’re doing is ridiculous.
Wait, wait—why?
Because I have definitive proof that what you’re saying is not true. And I don’t care. I know what FiveThirtyEight wrote. I live this every day. And so, the point is what you’re saying is wrong. I am on record saying that what FiveThirtyEight has written is incorrect, and I’ve given you definitive proof otherwise. So if you want to keep coming back at this, do it. But this has become one of the most ridiculous interviews that I’ve ever done my entire professional career. |
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Date: August 26th, 2024 3:52 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#48010724) |
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Date: September 13th, 2024 11:24 PM Author: black becky (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#48087201) |
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Date: September 13th, 2024 11:32 PM Author: Infuriating rigpig One of the GOAT threads of all time (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#48087224) |
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Date: October 18th, 2024 1:46 PM Author: black becky (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#48211967) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:45 PM Author: Jet-lagged Disturbing Jew Reading Party (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#48187302) |
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Date: November 6th, 2024 5:16 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#48296972) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:30 PM Author: yapping fortuitous meteor gas station 538 is being shut down. This post is now complete. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#48715841) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:32 PM Author: yapping fortuitous meteor gas station https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1897135211810545835?s=46 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#48715847) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:33 PM Author: Talking pit associate Lol actually his model was right at almost every turn
*facts cum* |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:37 PM Author: Jet-lagged Disturbing Jew Reading Party The post isn't fully complete until Nate Silver passes peacefully away from full blown AIDS (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#48715863) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:41 PM Author: tripping laughsome He has to be sucking cock at the port authority for bus fare to complete the circle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#48715869) |
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Date: March 5th, 2025 8:13 AM Author: (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#48716330) |
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Date: March 7th, 2025 11:34 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#48724299) |
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Date: March 7th, 2025 11:36 AM Author: Spruce 538 is now 404 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#48724306) |
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Date: March 8th, 2025 5:10 AM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces "How Trump Killed 538" https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/03/07/fivethirtyeight-nate-silver-election-polls/ |
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Date: March 8th, 2025 12:42 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces Holy shit it's all gone, they beleted everything. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#48727802) |
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Date: February 18th, 2026 11:20 PM Author: Ultramarine hairraiser puppy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#49679495) |
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Date: May 15th, 2026 12:08 PM Author: Insanely creepy talented feces ABC News has now taken all FiveThirtyEight articles completely offline. They now redirect to abcnews dot com/politics. A needless erasure of thousands of pages of knowledge. https://x.com/baseballot/status/2055309076209492208 |
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Date: May 17th, 2026 11:01 AM Author: Black Woman i sense that there is a bit of a movement to shame ABC into providing access again.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/16/business/media/fivethirtyeight-abc-removed.html |
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Date: August 11th, 2026 2:24 AM Author: coalition of rabbis Weird how 99% of the internet disappeared one day (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ﾃ｢竄ï½���„1¤77PHPSESSID=3d8e678aec504db068978830e992758d#50060136) |