The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
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The Next Twelve Months of Nate Silver's 538.com Headlines:
| Insanely creepy alpha | 12/10/15 |
| slate stain | 12/12/15 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 01/02/17 |
| Milky bossy indian lodge indirect expression | 01/06/16 |
| Talented hominid | 01/06/16 |
| Talented hominid | 06/05/16 |
| translucent parlor police squad | 03/26/16 |
| Fuchsia Address | 01/02/17 |
| Beady-eyed Brunch | 10/25/18 |
| arousing public bath | 12/10/15 |
| mentally impaired round eye corner | 12/10/15 |
| primrose stirring site azn | 12/10/15 |
| Internet-worthy home kitty | 12/10/15 |
| pink arrogant wrinkle shrine | 12/15/15 |
| razzle aquamarine stage really tough guy | 12/10/15 |
| Hot flatulent legend school cafeteria | 12/10/15 |
| cerise sadistic electric furnace | 12/10/15 |
| impertinent coiffed station | 12/11/15 |
| Wild Theatre | 12/12/15 |
| Bat Shit Crazy Buck-toothed Wagecucks Private Investor | 12/16/15 |
| razzle-dazzle violent twinkling uncleanness partner | 01/04/16 |
| mint exhilarant brethren prole | 11/09/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 12/11/15 |
| peach curious new version generalized bond | 12/11/15 |
| Aqua Stage | 12/11/15 |
| impertinent coiffed station | 12/11/15 |
| Glittery multi-billionaire location | 12/12/15 |
| Trip bbw school | 01/25/16 |
| ebony excitant mood | 11/10/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 12/12/15 |
| diverse yapping dilemma factory reset button | 12/12/15 |
| plum greedy property | 12/12/15 |
| comical kitty cat stag film | 12/12/15 |
| Copper mental disorder | 12/15/15 |
| Vibrant Forum Main People | 12/21/15 |
| Disrespectful stock car | 12/12/15 |
| slimy indigo state | 12/12/15 |
| passionate yellow blood rage | 12/12/15 |
| lascivious cuckoldry | 12/12/15 |
| Turquoise big ticket booth | 12/12/15 |
| chestnut mildly autistic pozpig theater | 12/12/15 |
| Hot flatulent legend school cafeteria | 12/15/15 |
| Hot flatulent legend school cafeteria | 12/16/15 |
| Dun Motley Idiot | 12/15/15 |
| Ivory pit athletic conference | 12/15/15 |
| Crystalline stimulating becky | 12/15/15 |
| Vengeful marvelous point | 12/15/15 |
| Poppy abusive church | 12/15/15 |
| Hairraiser Out-of-control Antidepressant Drug | 12/15/15 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 12/15/15 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 12/15/15 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 12/15/15 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 12/15/15 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 12/15/15 |
| Fighting Potus Principal's Office | 01/05/16 |
| Trip bbw school | 01/25/16 |
| Laughsome theater stage | 12/17/16 |
| Violet maniacal hairy legs hell | 05/18/16 |
| swashbuckling menage | 08/12/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 11/09/16 |
| razzmatazz sepia windowlicker resort | 11/09/16 |
| red nursing home | 11/09/16 |
| pearly codepig | 10/22/20 |
| Contagious purple space turdskin | 12/15/15 |
| startling son of senegal | 12/16/15 |
| Transparent trailer park cuck | 12/16/15 |
| 180 Avocado Center | 12/16/15 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 12/16/15 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 12/17/15 |
| vigorous institution knife | 12/18/15 |
| Milky bossy indian lodge indirect expression | 01/06/16 |
| mewling marketing idea | 12/18/15 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 12/21/15 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 12/21/15 |
| Vibrant Forum Main People | 12/21/15 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 12/30/15 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 12/30/15 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 01/04/16 |
| razzle-dazzle violent twinkling uncleanness partner | 01/04/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 01/05/16 |
| Trip bbw school | 01/25/16 |
| vigorous institution knife | 01/05/16 |
| exciting cordovan locale | 01/05/16 |
| irradiated bipolar messiness jew | 01/05/16 |
| Effete bawdyhouse party of the first part | 01/05/16 |
| Harsh french meetinghouse | 01/05/16 |
| Effete bawdyhouse party of the first part | 01/05/16 |
| Milky bossy indian lodge indirect expression | 01/06/16 |
| Effete bawdyhouse party of the first part | 01/06/16 |
| Harsh french meetinghouse | 01/05/16 |
| swashbuckling menage | 01/06/16 |
| Vibrant Forum Main People | 01/07/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 01/08/16 |
| flirting dull casino | 01/08/16 |
| Vibrant Forum Main People | 01/08/16 |
| vigorous institution knife | 01/09/16 |
| Vibrant Forum Main People | 01/10/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 01/18/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 01/19/16 |
| vigorous institution knife | 01/21/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 01/25/16 |
| Drunken hairless orchestra pit | 01/25/16 |
| Trip bbw school | 01/25/16 |
| Drunken hairless orchestra pit | 02/09/16 |
| flirting dull casino | 09/06/16 |
| Milky bossy indian lodge indirect expression | 11/05/18 |
| floppy queen of the night | 01/29/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 02/01/16 |
| twinkling abnormal university dopamine | 02/01/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 02/01/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 02/07/16 |
| exciting cordovan locale | 02/09/16 |
| Big-titted Psychic | 02/09/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 02/20/16 |
| Charismatic disturbing step-uncle's house | 02/20/16 |
| Violet maniacal hairy legs hell | 02/24/16 |
| federal hall therapy | 02/24/16 |
| Aromatic corn cake | 02/27/16 |
| Dun Motley Idiot | 03/09/16 |
| brilliant cerebral national boiling water | 03/15/16 |
| primrose stirring site azn | 03/15/16 |
| Ivory pit athletic conference | 03/16/16 |
| Concupiscible box office dragon | 02/24/16 |
| Maize sneaky criminal | 02/24/16 |
| Ivory pit athletic conference | 07/21/16 |
| Balding jet haunted graveyard | 02/24/16 |
| primrose stirring site azn | 02/27/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 03/02/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 03/04/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 03/09/16 |
| exciting cordovan locale | 03/09/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 03/15/16 |
| Violet maniacal hairy legs hell | 03/15/16 |
| sick outnumbered spot water buffalo | 03/15/16 |
| Self-absorbed gas station mother | 03/15/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 03/16/16 |
| Hot flatulent legend school cafeteria | 03/16/16 |
| razzmatazz sepia windowlicker resort | 03/23/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 03/23/16 |
| passionate yellow blood rage | 03/26/16 |
| Odious at-the-ready chapel | 03/26/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 03/26/16 |
| Fighting Potus Principal's Office | 03/28/16 |
| razzmatazz sepia windowlicker resort | 03/28/16 |
| mentally impaired round eye corner | 03/28/16 |
| swashbuckling menage | 08/12/16 |
| Milky bossy indian lodge indirect expression | 11/05/18 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 03/28/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 03/29/16 |
| cheese-eating area doctorate | 03/29/16 |
| cheese-eating area doctorate | 03/29/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 03/29/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 03/29/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 04/01/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 04/04/16 |
| cheese-eating area doctorate | 04/15/16 |
| zippy bat-shit-crazy skinny woman | 04/15/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 04/19/16 |
| Rose keepsake machete heaven | 04/20/16 |
| scarlet heady library halford | 04/20/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 04/24/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 04/25/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 04/26/16 |
| Misunderstood cocky headpube field | 04/26/16 |
| Deep Green Preventive Strike | 04/30/16 |
| racy foreskin abode | 05/01/16 |
| racy foreskin abode | 11/07/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 05/02/16 |
| razzmatazz sepia windowlicker resort | 05/02/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 05/03/16 |
| bateful chartreuse temple liquid oxygen | 05/03/16 |
| titillating nofapping set | 05/03/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 05/04/16 |
| flirting dull casino | 05/04/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 05/05/16 |
| lascivious cuckoldry | 05/05/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 05/05/16 |
| Maize sneaky criminal | 05/05/16 |
| diverse yapping dilemma factory reset button | 05/18/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 05/18/16 |
| Violet maniacal hairy legs hell | 05/18/16 |
| diverse yapping dilemma factory reset button | 05/18/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 05/29/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 06/20/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 06/29/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 07/14/16 |
| crawly electric internal respiration | 07/15/16 |
| swashbuckling menage | 07/15/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 07/17/16 |
| flirting dull casino | 07/17/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 07/21/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 07/22/16 |
| provocative shaky kitchen philosopher-king | 07/22/16 |
| Topaz fragrant cuckold affirmative action | 07/23/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 07/24/16 |
| walnut hyperactive parlour | 07/25/16 |
| cheese-eating area doctorate | 07/25/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 07/27/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 08/05/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 08/09/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 08/12/16 |
| flirting dull casino | 08/12/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 08/12/16 |
| infuriating massive milk senate | 08/12/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 08/30/16 |
| flirting dull casino | 08/30/16 |
| flirting dull casino | 09/06/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 09/13/16 |
| cheese-eating area doctorate | 09/14/16 |
| Disrespectful stock car | 09/14/16 |
| galvanic business firm | 09/15/16 |
| fiercely-loyal pale market | 09/15/16 |
| Talented hominid | 09/15/16 |
| Doobsian karate plaza | 09/15/16 |
| carmine office | 09/15/16 |
| Mind-boggling rough-skinned ratface genital piercing | 09/19/16 |
| Mind-boggling rough-skinned ratface genital piercing | 09/19/16 |
| flirting dull casino | 09/27/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 09/24/16 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 09/27/16 |
| flirting dull casino | 09/27/16 |
| Hot flatulent legend school cafeteria | 09/27/16 |
| emerald friendly grandma | 10/08/16 |
| Supple disgusting hospital | 07/29/24 |
| cheese-eating area doctorate | 09/28/16 |
| Disrespectful stock car | 09/28/16 |
| flirting dull casino | 09/28/16 |
| scarlet heady library halford | 09/28/16 |
| zippy bat-shit-crazy skinny woman | 09/28/16 |
| chrome garrison goal in life | 10/08/16 |
| flirting dull casino | 10/09/16 |
| Hateful azure pistol | 10/09/16 |
| flirting dull casino | 10/09/16 |
| shimmering adventurous community account jap | 10/09/16 |
| cheese-eating area doctorate | 10/10/16 |
| walnut hyperactive parlour | 10/30/16 |
| swashbuckling menage | 11/01/16 |
| Doobsian karate plaza | 11/01/16 |
| Sticky ultramarine dysfunction stead | 11/02/16 |
| Vengeful marvelous point | 11/02/16 |
| cheese-eating area doctorate | 11/07/16 |
| Metal Pearl Rehab | 11/08/16 |
| cheese-eating area doctorate | 11/08/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 11/08/16 |
| cheese-eating area doctorate | 11/08/16 |
| rebellious alcoholic weed whacker tanning salon | 11/08/16 |
| glassy gay wizard giraffe | 11/08/16 |
| twinkling abnormal university dopamine | 11/08/16 |
| Mind-boggling rough-skinned ratface genital piercing | 11/08/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 11/08/16 |
| Clear dashing range chad | 11/09/16 |
| galvanic business firm | 11/09/16 |
| Multi-colored crusty church building | 11/09/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 11/09/16 |
| Doobsian karate plaza | 11/09/16 |
| Clear dashing range chad | 11/09/16 |
| walnut hyperactive parlour | 11/09/16 |
| lascivious cuckoldry | 11/09/16 |
| Wonderful deer antler whorehouse | 12/03/16 |
| ebony excitant mood | 12/07/16 |
| Laughsome theater stage | 12/17/16 |
| Boyish place of business french chef | 10/11/24 |
| Bearded magenta persian | 11/09/16 |
| Spruce macaca masturbator | 11/09/16 |
| Puce soul-stirring gaping | 11/09/16 |
| thriller boistinker | 11/09/16 |
| Wonderful deer antler whorehouse | 11/09/16 |
| swashbuckling menage | 11/09/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 11/09/16 |
| diverse yapping dilemma factory reset button | 11/09/16 |
| flirting dull casino | 11/09/16 |
| cracking cumskin | 11/09/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 11/09/16 |
| Aphrodisiac Sanctuary | 11/09/16 |
| cyan toilet seat locus | 11/09/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 11/09/16 |
| Internet-worthy home kitty | 11/09/16 |
| mewling marketing idea | 11/10/16 |
| Drunken hairless orchestra pit | 11/10/16 |
| Talented hominid | 11/10/16 |
| Tantric saffron cruise ship elastic band | 11/10/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 11/10/16 |
| cheese-eating area doctorate | 11/10/16 |
| Charismatic disturbing step-uncle's house | 11/10/16 |
| Mind-boggling rough-skinned ratface genital piercing | 11/14/16 |
| vivacious base ladyboy | 11/14/16 |
| Histrionic mahogany lay idea he suggested | 12/04/16 |
| Laughsome theater stage | 12/17/16 |
| Boyish place of business french chef | 10/11/24 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 11/25/16 |
| Onyx Native Selfie | 12/03/16 |
| shimmering adventurous community account jap | 12/04/16 |
| Naked toaster | 12/07/16 |
| Talented hominid | 12/07/16 |
| Onyx Native Selfie | 12/07/16 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 01/02/17 |
| Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop | 01/02/17 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 01/02/17 |
| Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop | 01/02/17 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 03/03/20 |
| Talented hominid | 01/02/17 |
| razzmatazz sepia windowlicker resort | 01/16/17 |
| Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop | 01/20/17 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 01/20/17 |
| Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop | 01/23/17 |
| chrome garrison goal in life | 01/23/17 |
| Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop | 01/23/17 |
| Frisky roommate piazza | 01/23/17 |
| chrome garrison goal in life | 01/23/17 |
| Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop | 01/23/17 |
| Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop | 01/25/17 |
| Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop | 01/26/17 |
| Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop | 02/06/17 |
| Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop | 02/13/17 |
| Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop | 02/27/17 |
| Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop | 05/03/17 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 05/03/17 |
| Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop | 09/21/17 |
| primrose stirring site azn | 01/23/17 |
| Doobsian karate plaza | 02/27/17 |
| Milky bossy indian lodge indirect expression | 03/22/17 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 04/17/17 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 05/08/17 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 06/20/17 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 08/10/17 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 10/15/17 |
| razzmatazz sepia windowlicker resort | 10/15/17 |
| twisted den | 10/15/17 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 11/06/17 |
| Shivering lodge telephone | 11/06/17 |
| canary black woman hissy fit | 11/08/17 |
| Chocolate Zombie-like Crackhouse Sound Barrier | 11/08/17 |
| lemon beta house | 11/13/17 |
| razzmatazz sepia windowlicker resort | 12/18/17 |
| flirting dull casino | 12/18/17 |
| razzmatazz sepia windowlicker resort | 12/18/17 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 01/30/18 |
| Talented hominid | 06/01/18 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 07/18/18 |
| razzmatazz sepia windowlicker resort | 07/19/18 |
| carmine office | 09/20/18 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 09/25/18 |
| mentally impaired round eye corner | 10/06/18 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 10/06/18 |
| Talented hominid | 10/25/18 |
| fiercely-loyal pale market | 10/25/18 |
| Trip bbw school | 11/05/18 |
| Talented hominid | 11/05/18 |
| Milky bossy indian lodge indirect expression | 11/05/18 |
| Talented hominid | 11/05/18 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 01/08/19 |
| ungodly death wish | 02/23/19 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 03/13/19 |
| Trip bbw school | 06/24/19 |
| Light | 06/24/19 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 11/18/19 |
| Doobsian karate plaza | 02/12/20 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 02/12/20 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 03/24/20 |
| Brass | 03/24/20 |
| crawly electric internal respiration | 04/04/20 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 04/26/20 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 05/13/20 |
| crawly electric internal respiration | 06/05/20 |
| Silver stubborn | 06/05/20 |
| crawly electric internal respiration | 09/09/20 |
| Doobsian karate plaza | 09/09/20 |
| arousing public bath | 09/09/20 |
| 09/12/20 |
| Self-centered double fault | 09/24/20 |
| Light | 10/09/20 |
| razzmatazz sepia windowlicker resort | 10/10/20 |
| territorial gaming laptop | 10/22/20 |
| Wonderful deer antler whorehouse | 10/22/20 |
| pearly codepig | 10/22/20 |
| pearly codepig | 10/22/20 |
| obsidian incel | 03/23/22 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 10/27/20 |
| Milky bossy indian lodge indirect expression | 10/27/20 |
| Light | 10/30/20 |
| razzmatazz sepia windowlicker resort | 11/03/20 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 03/22/22 |
| kink-friendly | 03/23/22 |
| fear-inspiring pisswyrm | 03/23/22 |
| sable fortuitous meteor boltzmann | 03/23/22 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 07/25/22 |
| arousing public bath | 07/25/22 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 10/23/22 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 11/16/22 |
| Insanely creepy alpha | 04/25/23 |
| diverse yapping dilemma factory reset button | 04/25/23 |
| Self-centered double fault | 04/29/23 |
| Supple disgusting hospital | 05/28/23 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 02/22/24 |
| Self-centered double fault | 02/23/24 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 05/23/24 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 08/26/24 |
| Self-centered double fault | 09/13/24 |
| arousing public bath | 09/13/24 |
| Self-centered double fault | 10/18/24 |
| Boyish place of business french chef | 10/11/24 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 11/06/24 |
| lascivious cuckoldry | 03/04/25 |
| lascivious cuckoldry | 03/04/25 |
| carmine office | 03/04/25 |
| Boyish place of business french chef | 03/04/25 |
| Learning disabled orchid regret rigor | 03/04/25 |
| buff insecure | 03/05/25 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 03/07/25 |
| white | 03/07/25 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 03/08/25 |
| ruddy laser beams | 03/08/25 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 03/08/25 |
| primrose stirring site azn | 02/18/26 |
| spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency | 05/15/26 |
| Sapphire organic girlfriend | 05/17/26 |
| coalition of rabbis | 08/11/26 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:48 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha December 12, 2015: "Anticipating Trump's Black Swan" December 18, 2015: "As Voters Flee Carson, Is Trump Harmed Most?" December 30, 2015: "The Fickle Iowa Voter and the Biggest Trump Problem" January 8, 2016: "Cruz's Rise Harms Trump Most" January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" January 22, 2016: "Trump's Independent Bid Would Fare Worse Than His Republican One" January 29, 2016: "The Herding Effect and Trump's Polling Problem" February 2, 2016: "Trump's Landslide in Iowa, But a Narrow Delegate Victory" February 4, 2016: "The House Effects Lifting Trump's Numbers in New Hampshire" February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why." February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?" February 11, 2016: "Rubio's Exit May Be Trump's Death Blow" February 17, 2016: "Clinton the Greatest Threat to Trump's Nomination" February 26, 2016: "Religious Conservatives and the Trump Dilemma" February 28, 2016: "Three Wins in Three Elections? Not So Fast" March 17, 2016: "The Brokered Convention, or Why Trump's Chances Look Worse Than Ever" March 30, 2016: "Glacial Pace of Delegates Slows Lumbering Trump" April 7, 2016: "A Closer Look at the Fractured Republican Party" April 27, 2016: "Even If Trump Wins, What Will Independents Think?" May 7, 2016: "The Coming Clinton Cascade" May 19, 2016: "Here's What the Brokered Convention That Defies Trump Looks Like" June 11, 2016: "Behind the Numbers: Delegate Math and the Convention" July 21, 2016: "Eight Takeaways from Trump's Convention Speech--Closer to Hitler than Reagan" August 1, 2016: "Clinton Stronger Than Ever as Trump's Popularity Appears Fleeting" August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story" September 18, 2016: "Behind the Presidential Debate: A Good Night for Clinton" September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise" October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" October 29, 2016: "Clarity from House Effects and Clinton's Decided Silent Majority" November 9, 2016: "It'll Take Months to Sort Out How Trump Won" November 22, 2016: "Trump's Reelection Chances Look Dicey January 20, 2017: 404 Hosting Error |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: slate stain (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364653) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32284620) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:43 AM Author: Milky bossy indian lodge indirect expression (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29532817) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:46 AM Author: Talented hominid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29532846) |
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Date: June 5th, 2016 5:46 PM Author: Talented hominid another bump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30631018) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 10:16 PM Author: translucent parlor police squad 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30144195) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:00 PM Author: Fuchsia Address (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32284612) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:11 AM Author: Beady-eyed Brunch "October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise"? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37090197) |
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:49 PM Author: arousing public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29351706) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:52 PM Author: mentally impaired round eye corner 1800000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29351728) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: primrose stirring site azn 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29351742) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: Internet-worthy home kitty Fantastic work ITT (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29351744) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:08 PM Author: pink arrogant wrinkle shrine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29384172) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:55 PM Author: razzle aquamarine stage really tough guy FUCK | THIS | KIKE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29351749) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:56 PM Author: Hot flatulent legend school cafeteria Poasting in a historic thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29351753) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: cerise sadistic electric furnace Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Not saying that Trump cant win but you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:21 PM Author: impertinent coiffed station (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29359932) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 4:17 PM Author: Wild Theatre Nate Silver's 08 and 12 predictions were accurate and based almost entirely on polling data. his prediction that trump will lose is obviously not based on polling data (which is highly favorable for Trump), but an assumption that someone like Trump can't win. we shouldn't put much value in the non-quantitative political analysis of a poll aggregator. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364985) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: Bat Shit Crazy Buck-toothed Wagecucks Private Investor Is he propagandizing or believing what he wishes? Hard to imagine such a shift from such a quantitative guy. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29392387) |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:31 PM Author: razzle-dazzle violent twinkling uncleanness partner Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: TannerBoyle
Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Trump cant win and you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351956) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: mint exhilarant brethren prole (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31854764) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:05 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29359811) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:07 PM Author: peach curious new version generalized bond (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29359818) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:10 PM Author: Aqua Stage 180 million (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29359849) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:20 PM Author: impertinent coiffed station November 9th 2016: s.e.g.a. sucking cock at Port Authority for bus fare (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29359926) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: Glittery multi-billionaire location (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364617) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:40 PM Author: Trip bbw school Don't edit loser (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29677834) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 1:52 AM Author: ebony excitant mood (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31866880) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:09 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364607) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: diverse yapping dilemma factory reset button (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364621) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: plum greedy property lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364630) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:47 PM Author: comical kitty cat stag film March 9
THE ANTHROPOPHAGUS HAS QUITTED HIS DEN
March 10
THE CORSICAN OGRE HAS LANDED AT CAPE JUAN
March 11
THE TIGER HAS ARRIVED AT CAP
March 12
THE MONSTER SLEPT AT GRENOBLE
March 13
THE TYRANT HAS PASSED THOUGH LYONS
March 14
THE USURPER IS DIRECTING HIS STEPS TOWARDS DIJON
March 18
BONAPARTE IS ONLY SIXTY LEAGUES FROM THE CAPITAL
He has been fortunate enough to escape his pursuers
March 19
BONAPARTE IS ADVANCING WITH RAPID STEPS, BUT HE WILL NEVER ENTER PARIS
March 20
NAPOLEON WILL, TOMORROW, BE UNDER OUR RAMPARTS
March 21
THE EMPEROR IS AT FONTAINEBLEAU
March 22
HIS IMPERIAL AND ROYAL MAJESTY arrived yesterday evening at the Tuileries, amid the joyful acclamation of his devoted and faithful subjects |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:06 PM Author: Copper mental disorder (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29384155) |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 8:26 PM Author: Vibrant Forum Main People 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29429271) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:51 PM Author: Disrespectful stock car (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364847) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:55 PM Author: slimy indigo state lol, 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364873) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: passionate yellow blood rage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364887) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: lascivious cuckoldry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364890) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:59 PM Author: Turquoise big ticket booth Well done. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364896) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 4:08 PM Author: chestnut mildly autistic pozpig theater Fully nude right now, happened to absent-mindedly stroke myself to a FULL CHUB while reading. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364933) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:14 PM Author: Hot flatulent legend school cafeteria OP missed today's ... "Are we in a Trump boom or a Trump bubble?" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29383835) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 12:20 PM Author: Hot flatulent legend school cafeteria And today's: "The fifth Republican debate ended in a nine-way draw." |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:21 PM Author: Dun Motley Idiot 190 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29383898) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: Ivory pit athletic conference fuck u for making me laugh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29383961) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:58 PM Author: Crystalline stimulating becky I used to work with a fat, ugly gay man, who was the first person ever to tell me about Nate Silver. I asked him what made this Nate Silver so good, and the homosexual slob said it was that Silver had never been wrong or some shit like that. I said Well that's a pretty good track record. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29384107) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:10 PM Author: Vengeful marvelous point 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29384183) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:12 PM Author: Poppy abusive church February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why."
February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?"
180 |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: Hairraiser Out-of-control Antidepressant Drug You shitcons have been through this with Nate Silver twice before and he has pwned you both times. You guys never learn (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29384207) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:15 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha Trump odds, August 2015: Silver: 2% Miller: 0% Enten: -10% http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/podcast-totally-subjective-presidential-odds-early-august-edition/ |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-most-shocking-result-in-world-cup-history/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29384231) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:17 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/what-we-got-wrong-in-our-2015-uk-general-election-model/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29384237) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:19 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29384254) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:20 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-make-of-kentuckys-polling-failure/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29384262) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: Fighting Potus Principal's Office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29525662) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:43 PM Author: Trip bbw school Can't wait to bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29677869) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: Laughsome theater stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32165246) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:11 AM Author: Violet maniacal hairy legs hell (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30504262) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: swashbuckling menage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31172544) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:06 AM Author: Insanely creepy alpha http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-coverage/?#livepress-update-23617209 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31846270) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: razzmatazz sepia windowlicker resort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31846325) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 3:36 AM Author: red nursing home Final Election Update: There’s A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And Most Of Them Come Up Clinton
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-election-update-theres-a-wide-range-of-outcomes-and-most-of-them-come-up-clinton/ |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: pearly codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41167037) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Contagious purple space turdskin This is an all time GOAT on XO. This is amazing. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29384232) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:34 PM Author: startling son of senegal 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29392396) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:37 PM Author: Transparent trailer park cuck (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29392414) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:39 PM Author: 180 Avocado Center Incredible (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29392427) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 11:48 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency Trump Boom or Trump Bubble? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-boom-or-trump-bubble/ |
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Date: December 17th, 2015 9:22 AM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency Iowa's Women Could Be Trump’s Undoing http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/iowas-women-could-be-donald-trumps-undoing/ |
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Date: December 18th, 2015 10:03 PM Author: vigorous institution knife (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29411300) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: Milky bossy indian lodge indirect expression (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29532836) |
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Date: December 18th, 2015 10:09 PM Author: mewling marketing idea (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29411342) |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 7:06 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency Lindsey Graham Tries To Stop Trump The Only Way He Can — By Quitting http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/lindsey-graham-tries-to-stop-trump-the-only-way-he-can-by-quitting/ |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 7:47 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency "Trump has some weird chinks in his armor" http://www.wnyc.org/story/nate-silvers-crystal-ball-tells-all-2016/ |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 8:21 PM Author: Vibrant Forum Main People 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29429241) |
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Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency "micah: Let me channel our vacationing editor-in-chief Nate Silver: What if Trump finishes second or third in Iowa, same in New Hampshire and South Carolina. He chugs along for a while with 15-20 percent of the vote. Or, maybe he quits the race after New Hampshire. Won’t the fact that we spent much of 2015 hyperventilating about Trump seem silly in retrospect?" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-meaning-of-donald-trump/ |
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Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency One of the biggest errors I think I made in 2015 was concentrating too much on who would win the Republican nomination and not so much on who would drive the conversation.1 You can see that clearly with Donald Trump (who I still don’t think will win the Republican nomination). Not only did I dismiss Trump’s candidacy on many occasions (here, here, here and here, for example), I was sometimes eager to do so in order to confirm my original belief that he wouldn’t win.
But winning the race and affecting the race are different things. Trump may lose in Iowa, collapse in New Hampshire and disappear from the national stage. If that — or something like it — happens, much of the sound and fury surrounding Trump in 2015 will seem silly in retrospect. But regardless of where Trump ends up once voting starts, he has certainly been the dominant voice in the Republican nomination race so far. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-harry-enten-got-wrong-in-2015/ |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:22 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency This phenomenon may not hold in 2016. Cruz could collapse in Iowa. Christie could fall apart in New Hampshire. And maybe Trump will outperform his polling in both contests. But the gap between their current state and national polls suggests the opposite is more likely. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/to-win-in-iowa-or-new-hampshire-it-may-be-better-to-poll-worse-nationally/ |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:27 PM Author: razzle-dazzle violent twinkling uncleanness partner flawless OP. uninflated 180. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29519032) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 12:09 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha ty for all the updates itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29525598) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:45 PM Author: Trip bbw school Cr. It made a great thread an all time thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29677890) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:08 PM Author: vigorous institution knife From Silver's Twitter:
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
That Trump is underperforming in IA and NH relative to national polls is a big deal and a bad sign for him. |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:11 PM Author: exciting cordovan locale 1800000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29531444) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: irradiated bipolar messiness jew (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29531475) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: Effete bawdyhouse party of the first part An historic poast (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29531481) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:16 PM Author: Harsh french meetinghouse 180 trillion (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29531500) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:17 PM Author: Effete bawdyhouse party of the first part I saw this on the Internet and thought of you guys
http://imgur.com/Fn3p3R6 |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:45 AM Author: Milky bossy indian lodge indirect expression (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29532843) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 4:37 PM Author: Effete bawdyhouse party of the first part Bump to make sure my friends saw this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29535993) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:22 PM Author: Harsh french meetinghouse No bias there right? What a shitbird. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29531557) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: swashbuckling menage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29532829) |
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Date: January 7th, 2016 10:51 PM Author: Vibrant Forum Main People (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29546163) |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 4:56 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency “HOW TRUMP WON” blares the headline on this week’s Time magazine cover in 80-point Duplicate Ionic. “Now he just needs the votes,” whispers the small subheadline underneath.
Oh, just that little detail? Trump actually needs people to vote for him? I’ve been encountering a lot of this lately: Coverage implying that Trump’s lead atop the Republican polls (which he’s held since mid-July) is a watershed event, perhaps even tantamount to his having won an election.
These headlines, needless to say, are presumptuous. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 5:05 PM Author: flirting dull casino 180 if not copy paste (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29551314) |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 11:26 PM Author: Vibrant Forum Main People (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29554010) |
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Date: January 9th, 2016 8:16 PM Author: vigorous institution knife http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29559692) |
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Date: January 10th, 2016 5:22 PM Author: Vibrant Forum Main People (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29566112) |
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Date: January 18th, 2016 10:15 AM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29622950) |
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Date: January 19th, 2016 5:30 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency Donald Trump is Sarah Palin 2.0 http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/sarah-palin-endorses-donald-trump-for-president/ |
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Date: January 21st, 2016 5:51 PM Author: vigorous institution knife looks like even silver has conceded on trump winning the nomination
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/one-big-reason-to-be-less-skeptical-of-trump/
In a nomination race like the Republican one, you could draw up a list of reasons to be skeptical of any candidate’s chances. Here are some reasons to be skeptical about Ted Cruz’s position in Iowa, for example. Here’s why Marco Rubio’s strategy looks increasingly precarious. There are also good reasons to be skeptical about Donald Trump’s chances of winning the Republican nomination:
His polling in Iowa isn’t great, and he’s probably still the underdog there. There’s reason to doubt the strength of his ground game, in Iowa and other states. Trump’s favorable ratings and second-choice numbers are generally inferior to Cruz’s and Rubio’s, meaning that other candidates might benefit more as the field winnows.1 But the reason I’ve been especially skeptical about Trump for most of the election cycle isn’t listed above. Nor is it because I expected Trump to spontaneously combust in national polls. Instead, I was skeptical because I assumed that influential Republicans would do almost anything they could to prevent him from being nominated.
I’m in the midst of working on a long review of the book “The Party Decides,” so we’ll save some of the detail for that forthcoming article. But the textbook on Trump is that he’d be a failure along virtually every dimension that party elites normally consider when choosing a nominee: electability (Trump is extremely unpopular with general election voters); ideological reliability (like Sarah Palin, Trump’s a “maverick”); having traditional qualifications for the job; and so forth. Even if the GOP is mostly in disarray, my assumption was that it would muster whatever strength it had to try to stop Trump.
But so far, the party isn’t doing much to stop Trump. Instead, it’s making such an effort against Cruz. Consider:
The governor of Iowa, Terry Branstad, said he wanted Cruz defeated. Bob Dole warned of “cataclysmic” losses if Cruz was the nominee, and said Trump would fare better. Mitch McConnell and other Republicans senators have been decidedly unhelpful to Cruz when discussing his constitutional eligibility to be president. An anti-Cruz PAC has formed, with plans to run advertisements in Iowa. (By contrast, no PAC advertising has run against Trump so far in January.) You can find lots of other examples like these. It’s the type of coordinated, multifront action that seems right out of the “The Party Decides.” If, like me, you expected something like this to happen to Trump instead of Cruz, you have to revisit your assumptions. Thus, I’m now much less skeptical of Trump’s chances of becoming the nominee.
Can we take this a step farther, in fact? Can we say that the party has decided … for Trump?
I’ve seen some headlines to that effect, but they’re premature and possibly wrong. So far, the GOP’s actions are conspicuously anti-Cruz more than they are pro-Trump. For example, although former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin just endorsed Trump, no current Republican governors or members of Congress have.
Instead, it may be that Republicans think of Cruz as the more immediate threat, and then plan to turn around and attack Trump later. But that’s a high-degree-of-difficulty caper to pull off. For one thing, Trump, who’s in a much better position in the polls than Cruz in states after Iowa, could rack up several wins in a row if he takes the Hawkeye State.
Just as important, there are few signs that Republicans have much of a strategy for whom to back apart from Trump. Four “establishment lane” candidates — Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich and Rubio — are tightly packed in New Hampshire polls. That could potentially change before New Hampshire votes because of tactical voting.2 And whichever of these candidates perform worst in the early states will probably drop out.
But Republican party elites seem indifferent among these four candidates, when in my view some are more capable than others of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz:
Rubio would seem to have the best shot. He’s easily the most conservative of the four, has the best favorability ratings and can make perhaps the best electability argument. His ground game may not be very good, but he has a decent amount of cash on hand. Bush and Christie probably rank next, in some order. It’s hard to imagine Republican voters coming all the way around to the patrician Bush after flirting with bad-boy Trump for so long — especially when Bush’s favorability numbers with Republican voters are in the tank. But remember that those dalliances with Trump are hypothetical, only contemplated in polls and not yet actuated with votes. Perhaps the Republican electorate that shows up to vote is more like the 2012 version, which supported Mitt Romney. It’s a long shot, but if it happens, Bush will have plenty of money and organization to extend the race. If the GOP electorate is in an angrier mood, then Christie’s personality overlaps the most with Trump’s. He’s a good debater, and his favorability ratings are on the upswing, although still just middling. But Christie entered the race with a lot of baggage that will receive more scrutiny if he surges in the polls. He also doesn’t have much of an organization beyond New Hampshire. Kasich’s outlook seems the worst of the four, combining Bush’s lack of appeal to conservatives with Christie’s lack of organization beyond New Hampshire. The one qualification to this is that Kasich has a more conservative track record than he lets on.3 So if I were ranking the four establishment candidates’ chances of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz, I’d put Rubio first and Kasich last. But if I were ranking them in terms of who seems to have the most momentum right now, the order would be just the opposite. Kasich has gained 3 or 4 percentage points in New Hampshire polls over the past month, while Rubio has declined slightly in New Hampshire and national polls, and his once-steady flow of endorsements has turned into a trickle.
These differences might seem pretty minor — there’s room for near-daily momentum shifts before New Hampshire votes. Obviously, it’s also possible that Republicans’ efforts to stop Cruz in Iowa will backfire.
Things are lining up better for Trump than I would have imagined, however. It’s not his continued presence in the race that surprises me so much as the lack of a concerted effort to stop him. |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:26 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29677719) |
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Date: March 16th, 2016 11:48 AM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency It's Still Not Clear Donald Trump Will Get a Majority of Delegates http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-still-not-clear-that-donald-trump-will-get-a-majority-of-delegates/ |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:20 AM Author: Milky bossy indian lodge indirect expression (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37162050) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 9:47 AM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency "What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like" "Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-will-have-a-hard-time-turning-blue-states-red-in-november/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 2:26 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency "Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-no-ronald-reagan/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 4:59 PM Author: cheese-eating area doctorate "One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women"
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-sexism-women-2016-election/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 5:14 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30161654) |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 8:54 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/714977961099862016 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30163086) |
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Date: April 1st, 2016 2:54 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-probably-first-ballot-or-bust-for-donald-trump-at-the-gop-convention/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30183235) |
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Date: April 4th, 2016 7:13 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency "Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/wisconsin-could-be-trouble-for-trump/ |
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Date: April 15th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: cheese-eating area doctorate interestingly the Karl Rove WSJ opinion headlines are almost as desperate:
http://topics.wsj.com/person/R/karl-rove/5686
Articles by Karl Rove
Vanity Will Be The Donald’s Undoing April 13, 2016 06:04 p.m.
Trump thinks he is so rich, famous and athletic that he can skip a real campaign.
The Not-Trump GOP Rises April 6, 2016 07:16 p.m.
The delegate math is getting hard, and New York may not be the lifeline Trump needs.
An Ugly General Election Takes Shape March 30, 2016 07:12 p.m.
Hillary’s super PAC readies an anti-Trump onslaught. She will be a ripe target too.
Don’t Coddle Donald Trump March 23, 2016 07:22 p.m.
A nominee needs a majority. Abraham Lincoln played by that rule—so can the New York businessman.
How Trump Can Raise His Game March 16, 2016 07:03 p.m.
A few bits of advice for The Donald: study up, change your tone and focus on Hillary.
The Polls Trump Hasn’t Won March 9, 2016 06:32 p.m.
He says that he will beat Hillary, yet guess who is the only GOP contender trailing her.
A Big Push for Flawed Front-Runners March 2, 2016 06:39 p.m.
Bernie could cause trouble for Hillary at the convention. And Trump is no ‘unifier.’
The Donald Doesn’t Have a Lock—Yet February 24, 2016 07:22 p.m.
There is still time for a non-Trump majority to coalesce around a single candidate. James Taranto: ‘I Love the Poorly Educated!’
Trump Didn’t Oppose the Iraq War February 17, 2016 06:33 p.m.
There’s no record of his clear opposition before March 2003, despite his claims
GOP Infighters Need to Focus on Trump February 10, 2016 06:48 p.m.
The four mainstream candidates are only wasting time if they go after each other.
How Trump Blew an Easy Win February 3, 2016 06:33 p.m.
He acted like the traditional rules didn’t apply. This race could go to the convention.
Trump Ducks an Iowa Opportunity January 27, 2016 06:56 p.m.
The Donald’s refusal to debate could blow his lead. How can he take on Hillary?
Hillary’s Stumbling Cakewalk January 20, 2016 07:31 p.m.
Nothing’s working, so now Clinton has come up with a four-step Beat Bernie strategy.
The GOP’s Chase for Undecided Iowans January 13, 2016 06:55 p.m.
At this point in 2012, Rick Santorum—who won the caucuses—sat sadly at 6% support.
My Crystal-Ball Score—Plus 2016 Predictions January 6, 2016 06:57 p.m.
Clinton Is Already Vowing to Overreach December 16, 2015 06:06 p.m.
Remember her pledge in 2007 to ‘rein in the presidency’? Neither does she.
Trump Is the Democrats’ Dream Nominee December 9, 2015 06:48 p.m.
He could win the primaries but would get creamed in the presidential election.
The GOP Needs Presidential Coattails December 2, 2015 06:53 p.m.
A weak ticket could hurt the party in purple states—and lose the Senate.
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Date: April 15th, 2016 10:47 AM Author: zippy bat-shit-crazy skinny woman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30279158) |
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Date: April 19th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30307876) |
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Date: April 30th, 2016 2:23 PM Author: Deep Green Preventive Strike (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30378951) |
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Date: May 1st, 2016 6:05 PM Author: racy foreskin abode Subject: A List of a Year of the Actual 538 Headlines JUN 16, 2015
Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart
JUL 16, 2015
Two Good Reasons Not To Take The Donald Trump ‘Surge’ Seriously
JUL 29, 2015
Donald Trump Is The Nickelback Of GOP Candidates
AUG 7, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win A War Against Fox News
AUG 7, 2015
Did The Debate Hurt Or Help Trump? Watch His Favorability Numbers.
AUG 11, 2015
Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination
AUG 14, 2015
Candidates In Donald Trump’s Position Have A Terrible Track Record
AUG 31, 2015
A Ben Carson Surge May Test Trump
SEP 2, 2015
Keep Calm And Ignore The 2016 ‘Game Changers’
SEP 8, 2015
If Donald Trump Can Win The Nomination, Ben Carson Could Too
SEP 17, 2015
We’re Bullish On Fiorina And (Still) Bearish On Trump After The Debate
SEP 24, 2015
Was The Second Debate The Beginning Of The End For Donald Trump?
OCT 20, 2015
Donald Trump Is Doomed And/Or Invincible
OCT 26, 2015
Can Ben Carson Really Take Out Donald Trump?
NOV 4, 2015
The GOP’s Primary Rules Might Doom Carson, Cruz And Trump
NOV 23, 2015
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
DEC 1, 2015
The Future Of Polling May Depend On Donald Trump’s Fate
DEC 2, 2015
Big Phony And Loser Nate Silver Can’t Even See Donald Trump Is A Winner! What A Joke!
DEC 4, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win Just Because More Voters Are Paying Attention
DEC 15, 2015
Trump Boom Or Trump Bubble?
DEC 17, 2015
Iowa’s Women Could Be Donald Trump’s Undoing
JAN 18, 2016
Donald Trump Is Really Unpopular With General Election Voters
JAN 19, 2016
Beware A GOP Calendar Front-Loaded With States Friendly To Trump And Cruz
JAN 19, 2016
Donald Trump Is Sarah Palin 2.0
JAN 21, 2016
One Big Reason To Be Less Skeptical Of Trump
JAN 26, 2016
Does Donald Trump Need To Win Iowa?
JAN 27, 2016
Sorry, Bloomberg: Trump Is Already A Third-Party Candidate
JAN 31, 2016
Donald Trump’s Support In Iowa Is Narrow But Deep
FEB 2, 2016
Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan
FEB 3, 2016
Why Iowa Changed Rubio’s And Trump’s Nomination Odds So Much
FEB 4, 2016
Trump Still Leads In New Hampshire, But The Ride Could Be Wild
FEB 5, 2016
Donald Trump Is Losing Ground On Google
FEB 9, 2016
Donald Trump Will Probably Win New Hampshire
FEB 10, 2016
John Kasich Is The Anti-Trump
FEB 17, 2016
Does Donald Trump Have A Ceiling?
FEB 18, 2016
The Pope Is Way More Popular Than Donald Trump
FEB 21, 2016
Trump Optimists And Trump Skeptics Are About To Go To War
FEB 22, 2016
Trump’s South Carolina Win Shows Evangelicals Aren’t Necessarily Voting On Their Faith
FEB 23, 2016
Nevada May Show Trump Can Win Even With Low Turnout
FEB 24, 2016
Nevada Was Great For Donald Trump, Bad For Ted Cruz
FEB 24, 2016
Republicans’ Last-Ditch Hope To Stop Donald Trump
FEB 26, 2016
Marco Rubio Finally Steps Up As The Anti-Trump
MAR 1, 2016
Super Tuesday Could Be Historic For Trump
MAR 2, 2016
Can Republicans Still Take The Nomination Away From Trump?
MAR 2, 2016
Donald Trump Is Just Barely On Track To Win The GOP Nomination
MAR 3, 2016
Republican Voters Kind Of Hate All Their Choices
MAR 4, 2016
Kasich May Have Cut Off Rubio’s Path To The Nomination
MAR 7, 2016
Donald Trump Would Be Easy To Stop Under Democratic Rules
MAR 7, 2016
Bloomberg Might Have Produced President Trump
MAR 8, 2016
Could Michigan Change The Course Of The GOP Race?
MAR 10, 2016
Ted Cruz Might Still Be Able To Stop Donald Trump
MAR 11, 2016
Don’t Sleep On Illinois And Missouri — They Could Help Make Trump Unstoppable
MAR 15, 2016
Trump Attack Ads Are Finally Popping Up, But They Might Be Too Late
MAR 16, 2016
It’s Still Not Clear That Donald Trump Will Get A Majority Of Delegates
MAR 16, 2016
Trump Voters’ Aversion To Foreign-Sounding Names Cost Him Delegates
MAR 21, 2016
Will Trump Clinch The GOP Nomination Before The Convention?
MAR 22, 2016
The Most Important States On Trump’s Path To 1,237 Delegates
MAR 23, 2016
Why Donald Trump?
MAR 23, 2016
How Far Jeb Bush Is Going To Stop Trump
MAR 25, 2016
Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November
MAR 25, 2016
What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like
MAR 29, 2016
Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan
MAR 29, 2016
One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women
MAR 30, 2016
How Trump Hacked The Media
MAR 31, 2016
Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump
APR 1, 2016
It’s Probably First Ballot Or Bust For Donald Trump At The GOP Convention
APR 5, 2016
The GOP’s Wacky Delegate Rules Are Helping Trump
APR 7, 2016
Trump’s New Magic Number Is 40 Percent Of The Vote
APR 8, 2016
Trump’s Support Would Be Easier To Explain With Better Polling
APR 11, 2016
Trump Is The Weakest GOP Front-Runner In The Modern Era
APR 11, 2016
Trump Made A Mistake By Overlooking Colorado
APR 11, 2016
Elections Podcast: Is Trump Blowing It?
APR 14, 2016
Trump’s Right That The GOP Primary Is Unfair — It Favors Him
APR 18, 2016
New York City’s Jewish Vote Might Win Cruz Or Kasich Key Delegates
APR 23, 2016
Trump’s ‘System Is Rigged’ Argument Is Working
APR 25, 2016
Trump Is Probably Going To Run Over Cruz And Kasich In The Northeast
APR 25, 2016
Will The Kasich-Cruz Alliance Work?
APR 27, 2016
It’s Trump’s Nomination To Lose* |
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Date: November 7th, 2016 3:27 PM Author: racy foreskin abode (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31825048) |
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Date: May 2nd, 2016 7:16 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30392947) |
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Date: May 2nd, 2016 8:17 PM Author: razzmatazz sepia windowlicker resort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30393360) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:26 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency The Mythology Of Trump’s ‘Working Class’ Support http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-mythology-of-trumps-working-class-support/ |
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Date: May 4th, 2016 9:04 AM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30405223) |
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Date: May 4th, 2016 9:33 AM Author: flirting dull casino 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30405346) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 9:23 AM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency Candidates who beat pundits' expectations in the primaries haven't done particularly well in the general election. https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/728211438427381760 |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 11:02 AM Author: lascivious cuckoldry Lol every response is "how about Obama?" What a hack (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30412976) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 10:40 AM Author: Insanely creepy alpha LOL 12 years in this place and I think I found my magnum opus, fml (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30412844) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 11:05 AM Author: Maize sneaky criminal Yeah bro. You should mic drop and walk the fuck away. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30412994) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: diverse yapping dilemma factory reset button This should be preserved for posterity in a library somewhere. I wish Nate Silver could see this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30504267) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:03 AM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30504223) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Violet maniacal hairy legs hell In no way will your answer affect my conviction that this is an all-time great first ballot HOF poast, I'm just curious: How long did it take you to put this masterstroke together? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30504268) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:14 AM Author: diverse yapping dilemma factory reset button cr. We need to get the entire story of his creative process down for future scholars to learn from. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30504274) |
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Date: May 29th, 2016 4:16 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha lol I find something new in this thread every time I read it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30583536) |
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Date: June 20th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Insanely creepy alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30746085) |
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Date: June 29th, 2016 1:03 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the White House in November, FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver predicted Wednesday.
FiveThirtyEight projected Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the general election against Donald Trump, who has just a 20 percent chance of succeeding President Barack Obama in the Oval Office. “Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America.” “There’s a lot of football left to be played, but she’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”
Indeed, a Ballotpedia survey of seven swing states released Wednesday shows the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee sweeping Trump in Iowa, Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia by margins ranging from 4 to 17 percentage points.
Silver, who correctly forecast 49 out of 50 states in 2008 and every state in 2012, noted that both camps “have a lot of room to grow,” but no candidate has blown a lead as large as Clinton’s advantage over Trump in nearly 30 years, when former Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis lost to George H.W. Bush despite maintaining a large lead coming out of the spring and summer.
“It’s been a crazy year, politically,” Silver said, adding that more states, particularly red states, are in play in 2016 than in previous elections. “For example, Arizona looks like a toss-up. Maybe Georgia. Maybe Missouri, North Carolina again.”
“Likewise,” Silver continued, “if Trump gains ground on Clinton then maybe a state like Maine — used to be a swing state, not so recently” — could be in play, too.
Silver also defended his August forecast that gave the billionaire businessman a 2 percent chance to win the GOP nomination.
“That wasn’t based on looking at polls. Trump was always ahead in the polls, and one big lesson of his campaign is don’t try and out-think the polls and try and out-think the American public,” Silver said. “And Trump has never really been ahead of Clinton in the general election campaign. He did a great job of appealing to the 40 percent of the GOP he had to win the election, the primary — a lot different than winning 51 percent of 100 percent.”
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/nate-silver-who-will-be-president-prediction-224931 |
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Date: July 14th, 2016 10:24 AM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-when-to-freak-out-about-shocking-new-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30924907) |
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Date: July 15th, 2016 2:16 AM Author: crawly electric internal respiration (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30933127) |
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Date: July 15th, 2016 2:47 AM Author: swashbuckling menage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30933205) |
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Date: July 17th, 2016 10:12 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30956384) |
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Date: July 17th, 2016 10:13 PM Author: flirting dull casino 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30956397) |
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Date: July 21st, 2016 9:33 AM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-convention-is-flirting-with-disaster/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30987656) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:38 AM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30999290) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:39 AM Author: provocative shaky kitchen philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30999301) |
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Date: July 23rd, 2016 2:41 AM Author: Topaz fragrant cuckold affirmative action Wow jesua (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31006876) |
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Date: July 24th, 2016 10:48 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31020363) |
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Date: July 25th, 2016 11:00 AM Author: walnut hyperactive parlour Nate Silver actually would find this hilarious, too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31022942) |
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Date: July 25th, 2016 12:00 PM Author: cheese-eating area doctorate amazing how accurate this is (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31023351) |
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Date: July 27th, 2016 2:30 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha Wish I could profit off this gift. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31043518) |
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Date: August 5th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31113817) |
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Date: August 9th, 2016 8:10 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-polls-show-pennsylvania-back-in-clintons-firewall/ Let’s not bury the lead: Clinton is polling really well right now, and if you held an election today, she’d probably win in a landslide, possibly including states such as Georgia and Arizona along with most or all of the traditional swing states. |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:03 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha THEN: "August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" NOW: August 12, 2016: "What A Clinton Landslide Would Look Like" "That would work out to 471 electoral votes, to 67 for Trump, which would be fairly typical for a win of that magnitude. Dwight D. Eisenhower won 457 electoral votes when beating Adlai Stevenson by 15 points in 1956, for example. And Franklin D. Roosevelt won 472 electoral votes in 1932, in an 18-point win against Herbert Hoover. Clinton would be a ways short of Ronald Reagan’s 525 electoral votes in 1984, however." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-clinton-landslide-would-look-like/ |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:06 PM Author: flirting dull casino holy shit did u edit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31172565) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:07 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha I never edit brother unless I am deleting a person's poasts. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31172569) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:14 PM Author: infuriating massive milk senate LOL if true. I believe you, bro. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31172627) |
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Date: August 30th, 2016 12:45 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha THEN: August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." NOW: August 30, 2016: "So, not clear that Trump is improving, so much as Clinton is declining. People maybe jumped the gun in declaring her convention bounce over." http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/770653615916810240 |
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Date: August 30th, 2016 1:26 PM Author: flirting dull casino 180 i want 2 believe |
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Date: September 6th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: flirting dull casino lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31345879) |
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Date: September 13th, 2016 5:33 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency Polls Show Trump's Momentum Has Stalled http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/polls-show-trumps-momentum-has-stalled-for-now/ |
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Date: September 14th, 2016 9:41 AM Author: cheese-eating area doctorate ho lee fuk this is getting good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31404088) |
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Date: September 14th, 2016 9:43 AM Author: Disrespectful stock car Wow. Nailed July, August and early September (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31404101) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: galvanic business firm September 15, 2016
"How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote"
RUH ROH LIBS |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: fiercely-loyal pale market September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story"
Compare OP's headline to this actual Salon headline today:
Poll panic is here! Yes, Trump is closing, but here’s why it’s meaningless
http://www.salon.com/2016/09/15/its-already-happening-yes-trump-is-closing-in-on-the-polls-but-heres-why-thats-meaningless/ |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:38 PM Author: Talented hominid god this is good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31413930) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:40 PM Author: Doobsian karate plaza XO never not on point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31413938) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:41 PM Author: carmine office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31413954) |
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Date: September 19th, 2016 1:18 PM Author: Mind-boggling rough-skinned ratface genital piercing (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31443744) |
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Date: September 19th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: Mind-boggling rough-skinned ratface genital piercing The AutoAdmit account should tweet this at nate silver. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31443779) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: flirting dull casino let's not cross the swords (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31503555) |
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Date: September 24th, 2016 5:16 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31482152) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:22 AM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-won-the-debate-which-means-shes-likely-to-gain-in-the-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31503552) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: flirting dull casino (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31503554) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Hot flatulent legend school cafeteria This is arguably the greatest, most prescient poast in XO history. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31503556) |
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Date: October 8th, 2016 8:43 PM Author: emerald friendly grandma (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31592208) |
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Date: July 29th, 2024 7:46 PM Author: Supple disgusting hospital (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#47906632) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 9:54 AM Author: cheese-eating area doctorate http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-could-the-polls-be-missing/
vs
September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: Disrespectful stock car (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31511665) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 10:00 AM Author: flirting dull casino 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31511673) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 11:28 AM Author: scarlet heady library halford This shit is turning out to be so accurate that I'm starting to suspect OP is a time traveling alien. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31512070) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 2:16 PM Author: zippy bat-shit-crazy skinny woman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31513385) |
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Date: October 8th, 2016 8:41 PM Author: chrome garrison goal in life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31592192) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: flirting dull casino hey, this weekend wasnt in the script (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31594952) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: Hateful azure pistol Trump's mistakes rise was probably a headline somewhere (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31594953) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: flirting dull casino doesnt fit. a revelation of something he said 11 years ago isn't a mistake it's an october surprise (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31594954) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: shimmering adventurous community account jap half the coverage treats it as if he said it just yesterday (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31594956) |
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Date: October 10th, 2016 10:56 AM Author: cheese-eating area doctorate nate silver simultaneously claiming that all "insta polls are garbage" while citing this poll as a good news for HILLARY:
It’s not clear that voters judge debates in the same way, however. A CNN poll of debate watchers found that even though most voters thought Trump exceeded expectations, 57 percent of them nevertheless declared Clinton the winner, compared with 34 percent for Trump. A YouGov poll of debate watchers showed a much closer outcome, but with Clinton also winning, 47 percent to 42 percent.
These instant-reaction polls actually do have a correlation with post-debate horse-race polls: The candidate who wins the former usually gains in the latter. Perhaps Clinton’s win was modest enough that this will be an exception, especially given that the sentiments of pundits and television commentators (which sometimes matter as much as the debate itself) were all over the map
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-second-debate-probably-didnt-help-trump-and-he-needed-help/
meanwhile:
Big Surprise: Trump Won Instant Junk Polls About Who Won The Debate
As Harry said, the instant online opt-in junk polls — call them troll polls, faux polls, clickers, or your favorite term for them — should be ignored as indicators of who really won. And after Trump touted his win in these junk polls after the first debate, and was widely ridiculed for it, he didn’t cite the junk polls that showed Pence beating Kaine in the vice-presidential debate. Nonetheless, Trump supporters appear to still be flooding these things. Trump’s getting 77 percent in a Heavy.com junk poll asking who won tonight’s debate, an identical 77 percent in Fox 5 San Diego’s and 90 percent in Drudge Report’s.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/second-presidential-debate-election-2016/
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Date: October 30th, 2016 10:02 PM Author: walnut hyperactive parlour close enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31763265) |
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Date: November 1st, 2016 12:35 AM Author: swashbuckling menage Almost there (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31772625) |
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Date: November 1st, 2016 4:55 PM Author: Doobsian karate plaza (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31777531) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2016 8:24 AM Author: Sticky ultramarine dysfunction stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31782180) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2016 6:59 PM Author: Vengeful marvelous point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31786832) |
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Date: November 7th, 2016 3:23 PM Author: cheese-eating area doctorate prob the last time we can bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31825019) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: Metal Pearl Rehab You say that but..... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31833310) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: cheese-eating area doctorate true, the shitlibs can bump all they like (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31833315) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 7:59 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha ty for your sympathy bump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31839758) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:53 PM Author: cheese-eating area doctorate ho lee fuk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31844114) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:04 PM Author: rebellious alcoholic weed whacker tanning salon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31842891) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:05 PM Author: glassy gay wizard giraffe Tbf, he was the one that was the most bullish on Trump
LJL at Sam Wang who called 99% for Hillary |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:33 PM Author: twinkling abnormal university dopamine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31843660) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:59 PM Author: Mind-boggling rough-skinned ratface genital piercing (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31844292) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:10 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31844674) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:07 AM Author: Clear dashing range chad (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31846281) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: galvanic business firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31846326) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:12 AM Author: Multi-colored crusty church building (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31846448) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:22 AM Author: Insanely creepy alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31848552) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:25 AM Author: Doobsian karate plaza GOAT POTUS THREAD. ALL TIME HALL OF FAME (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31848608) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:28 AM Author: Clear dashing range chad (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31848693) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:30 AM Author: walnut hyperactive parlour it really deserves national attention (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31848755) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:31 AM Author: lascivious cuckoldry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31848775) |
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Date: December 3rd, 2016 2:00 AM Author: Wonderful deer antler whorehouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32044462) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: ebony excitant mood (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32076291) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: Laughsome theater stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32165256) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: Boyish place of business french chef (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48187313) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:29 AM Author: Bearded magenta persian (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31848725) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:54 AM Author: Spruce macaca masturbator Historic. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31849301) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 2:03 AM Author: Puce soul-stirring gaping (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31849447) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 2:07 AM Author: thriller boistinker 180
The anti-Rudolph. |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 3:37 AM Author: Wonderful deer antler whorehouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31851790) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 5:12 AM Author: swashbuckling menage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31852918) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: Insanely creepy alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31854576) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: diverse yapping dilemma factory reset button this cannot be bumped enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31854584) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:52 AM Author: flirting dull casino (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31855383) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:59 AM Author: cracking cumskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31855482) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:51 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31863076) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: Aphrodisiac Sanctuary (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31863082) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: cyan toilet seat locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31863093) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 7:08 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha November 9, 2016: "We’ll have more to say about the polling in the coming days. But to a first approximation, people are probably giving the polls a little bit too much blame." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-difference-2-percentage-points-makes/ |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 7:26 PM Author: Internet-worthy home kitty you're fucking nostradamus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31863503) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 1:58 AM Author: mewling marketing idea (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31866924) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:37 AM Author: Drunken hairless orchestra pit Here we go... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31868448) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 1:48 AM Author: Talented hominid bumped (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31866864) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 2:08 AM Author: Tantric saffron cruise ship elastic band (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31867005) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:13 AM Author: Insanely creepy alpha sorry I got it wrong, this is CNN, November 10, 2016: "'The polls clearly got it wrong': The autopsy will take months" http://money.cnn.com/2016/11/10/media/election-day-polls/index.html |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: cheese-eating area doctorate ROFL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31868235) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: Charismatic disturbing step-uncle's house (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31868543) |
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Date: November 14th, 2016 4:42 PM Author: Mind-boggling rough-skinned ratface genital piercing (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31907692) |
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Date: November 14th, 2016 4:43 PM Author: vivacious base ladyboy They're all heads attached to the same (((monster))) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31907697) |
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Date: December 4th, 2016 6:17 PM Author: Histrionic mahogany lay idea he suggested Extraordinary prescience itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32055646) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: Laughsome theater stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32165261) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: Boyish place of business french chef (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48187317) |
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Date: November 25th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31989410) |
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Date: December 3rd, 2016 1:51 AM Author: Onyx Native Selfie (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32044435) |
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Date: December 4th, 2016 6:15 PM Author: shimmering adventurous community account jap GEPETTO'S CHECKMARK! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32055631) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:40 AM Author: Naked toaster https://i.sli.mg/nElXDz.jpg (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32076268) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: Talented hominid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32076292) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:56 AM Author: Onyx Native Selfie (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32076345) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 7:58 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32284600) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-read-too-much-into-early-voting/
OCT 27, 2016 AT 11:29 AM
Don’t Read Too Much Into Early Voting |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:03 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha ty, this & your "turning points" are PEAK XO. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32284631) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop ITT we speculate who created Donald Trump
also a classic |
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Date: March 3rd, 2020 9:23 AM Author: Insanely creepy alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#39686962) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: Talented hominid truly magnificent (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32284649) |
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Date: January 16th, 2017 10:57 PM Author: razzmatazz sepia windowlicker resort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32389095) |
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Date: January 20th, 2017 12:01 AM Author: Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-real-story-of-2016/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32412323) |
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Date: January 20th, 2017 12:24 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32416346) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:43 PM Author: Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-electoral-college-blind-spot/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/it-wasnt-clintons-election-to-lose/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-invisible-undecided-voter/ |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: chrome garrison goal in life TBF this is mostly 538 gloating about how they were one of the only outlets to give Trump a reasonable chance of winning and how most were ignoring these factors (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32441222) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:46 PM Author: Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop It's a well deserved gloat. They did a very good job on the general election after getting their teeth kicked in during the primary. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32441238) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:49 PM Author: Frisky roommate piazza I'm not sure I agree that they should be gloating given that they were pretty confident and ended up being wrong, but I do agree that they were better than pretty much any other similar source out there for the last week or so of the election. The cynic in me says that they probably just said 70% because they figured it was no-lose since they're either right or least wrong (as they ended up being).
What are those assholes at Princeton up to? |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:56 PM Author: chrome garrison goal in life it's not like their number didn't change over time. IIRC it peaked around ~85% in the middle of the debates and slid over the last couple weeks when her lead was slipping
it's still basically an aggregator, just one that processes the numbers in a way to arrive at a more reasonable prediction % than others. e.g. princeton puts way too much faith in state polls not swinging by a good amount the last couple weeks (if I had to guess)
it seems they learned their lesson after taking the "party decides" BS as bible pre-primary and numbers-wise when they had Hillary >99% to win Michigan (state polls can be very volatile). obviously the staff is lib but that actual model is fine for what it is |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:58 PM Author: Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop The national polls and state polls favored Clinton. It was correct to have her as a favorite. Trump outperformed the national polls by 2 points. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32441319) |
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Date: January 25th, 2017 4:32 PM Author: Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ohio-was-a-bellwether-after-all/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32458110) |
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Date: January 26th, 2017 4:19 PM Author: Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/early-voting-was-a-misleading-indicator/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32466804) |
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Date: February 6th, 2017 6:42 PM Author: Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-had-a-superior-electoral-college-strategy/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32560776) |
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Date: February 13th, 2017 2:51 PM Author: Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clintons-ground-game-didnt-cost-her-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32612572) |
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Date: February 27th, 2017 6:25 PM Author: Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-you-shouldnt-always-trust-the-inside-scoop/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32714310) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2017 1:52 PM Author: Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probably-cost-clinton-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#33221553) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2017 4:47 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#33222883) |
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Date: September 21st, 2017 8:38 AM Author: Hyperventilating Appetizing Dog Poop https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-media-has-a-probability-problem/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34257967) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: primrose stirring site azn this seriously needs mainstream coverage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32441221) |
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Date: February 27th, 2017 6:39 PM Author: Doobsian karate plaza One of the greatest things made on this great bort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32714399) |
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Date: March 22nd, 2017 7:01 PM Author: Milky bossy indian lodge indirect expression (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32891711) |
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Date: April 17th, 2017 9:53 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#33097887) |
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Date: May 8th, 2017 12:36 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861611275717156868 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#33256991) |
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Date: June 20th, 2017 9:18 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#33605191) |
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Date: August 10th, 2017 3:50 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha What Kind Of Republican Might Challenge Trump In 2020? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-kind-of-republican-might-challenge-trump-in-2020/ |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-it-safe-to-say-trump-is-a-favorite-to-win-re-election/amp/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34449074) |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:47 PM Author: razzmatazz sepia windowlicker resort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34449102) |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:53 PM Author: twisted den (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34449138) |
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Date: November 6th, 2017 10:06 AM Author: Insanely creepy alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34615930) |
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Date: November 6th, 2017 10:09 AM Author: Shivering lodge telephone credit where it's massively due (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34615959) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 3:45 PM Author: canary black woman hissy fit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34636123) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: Chocolate Zombie-like Crackhouse Sound Barrier (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34636459) |
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Date: November 13th, 2017 1:43 AM Author: lemon beta house (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34673088) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 11:47 AM Author: razzmatazz sepia windowlicker resort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34948560) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 11:50 AM Author: flirting dull casino Will Passing The Tax Bill Help The GOP In 2018? Probably Not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34948572) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 3:44 PM Author: razzmatazz sepia windowlicker resort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34950581) |
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Date: January 30th, 2018 3:02 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#35278621) |
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Date: June 1st, 2018 7:46 PM Author: Talented hominid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#36168381) |
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Date: July 18th, 2018 10:15 AM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/would-republicans-be-better-off-if-clinton-were-president/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#36451135) |
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Date: July 19th, 2018 11:53 AM Author: razzmatazz sepia windowlicker resort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#36458802) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 7:28 AM Author: carmine office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#36847087) |
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Date: September 25th, 2018 11:32 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency The GOP’s Least-Worst Option Is If Kavanaugh Withdraws — And Soon https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gops-least-worst-option-is-if-kavanaugh-withdraws-and-soon/ SEE OP: "January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" " |
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Date: October 6th, 2018 4:22 PM Author: mentally impaired round eye corner It's about time for the OP's last prediction to come true (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#36973680) |
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Date: October 6th, 2018 4:23 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha lol 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#36973690) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:04 AM Author: Talented hominid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37090167) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:09 AM Author: fiercely-loyal pale market Man, this was a really great thread. Spectacular. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37090191) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:05 AM Author: Trip bbw school (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37161974) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 9:58 AM Author: Talented hominid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37161955) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: Milky bossy indian lodge indirect expression (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37162045) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:58 PM Author: Talented hominid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37167335) |
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Date: January 8th, 2019 3:58 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency What Would It Take For Trump To Get Primaried? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-would-it-take-for-trump-to-get-primaried/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37553376) |
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Date: February 23rd, 2019 10:41 PM Author: ungodly death wish (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37833345) |
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Date: March 13th, 2019 11:17 AM Author: Insanely creepy alpha Brendan makes some good points here. All that said, my main point would be this — a lot of people misremember Trump bucking the CW and winning the 2016 nomination as a “polls were wrong” case when actually it was an “sophisticated experts dismissed the polls” case. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1105835180281991170 Yeah, this. Trump didn't lead the polls at *this* stage, but he did from summer 2015 on as people like me kept coming up with elaborate explanations for why he'd lose to Rubio etc. He's a good data point for "'experts' are full of shit, so you might as well go with the polls." https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1105848702986526726
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Date: June 24th, 2019 9:04 AM Author: Trip bbw school There was a new leader every 2 weeks in the 2012 primary. Polls can’t predict future changes. Trump stuck, Herman Caine didn’t, but yeah, experts are full of shit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#38431500) |
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Date: June 24th, 2019 8:06 AM Author: Light (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#38431431) |
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Date: November 18th, 2019 3:05 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#39135638) |
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Date: February 12th, 2020 12:14 PM Author: Doobsian karate plaza (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#39583415) |
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Date: February 12th, 2020 1:03 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#39583624) |
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Date: March 24th, 2020 10:12 AM Author: Insanely creepy alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#39849854) |
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Date: March 24th, 2020 10:16 AM Author: Brass (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#39849877) |
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Date: April 4th, 2020 12:07 PM Author: crawly electric internal respiration (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#39938878) |
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Date: April 26th, 2020 4:40 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#40097972) |
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Date: May 13th, 2020 6:37 AM Author: Insanely creepy alpha https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-on-tuesday-could-hint-at-another-blue-wave-in-2020/amp/ In case you don't get the joke, the Republican in Wisconsin won by 14, & the Republican in California is up 10 with most ballots in for a seat Dems have held since 1998. |
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Date: June 5th, 2020 2:05 PM Author: crawly electric internal respiration (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#40354730) |
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Date: June 5th, 2020 3:46 PM Author: Silver stubborn (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#40355911) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:46 PM Author: crawly electric internal respiration (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#40896459) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:56 PM Author: Doobsian karate plaza (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#40896523) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:57 PM Author: arousing public bath Lmao never forget (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#40896526) |
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Date: September 12th, 2020 1:55 PM Author: (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#40908695) |
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Date: September 24th, 2020 9:25 AM Author: Self-centered double fault (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#40977795) |
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Date: October 9th, 2020 11:09 AM Author: Light (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41079968) |
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Date: October 10th, 2020 9:10 PM Author: razzmatazz sepia windowlicker resort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41088157) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:24 PM Author: territorial gaming laptop (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41166967) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:27 PM Author: Wonderful deer antler whorehouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41166990) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: pearly codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41167039) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:37 PM Author: pearly codepig https://imgur.com/a/mXMUHui (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41167053) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:57 AM Author: obsidian incel (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#44203011) |
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Date: October 27th, 2020 5:47 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41200021) |
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Date: October 27th, 2020 11:29 PM Author: Milky bossy indian lodge indirect expression (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41202581) |
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Date: October 30th, 2020 2:57 PM Author: Light (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41222868) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2020 9:51 PM Author: razzmatazz sepia windowlicker resort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41261120) |
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Date: March 22nd, 2022 11:29 AM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#44196611) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:51 AM Author: kink-friendly (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#44202968) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:54 AM Author: fear-inspiring pisswyrm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#44202984) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:58 AM Author: sable fortuitous meteor boltzmann 180 and prescient (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#44203017) |
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Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#44911871) |
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Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: arousing public bath A classic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#44911874) |
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Date: October 23rd, 2022 4:13 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#45378008) |
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Date: November 16th, 2022 6:19 AM Author: Insanely creepy alpha Why DeSantis Is a Major Threat to Trump's Reelection
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-desantis-is-a-major-threat-to-trumps-reelection/ |
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Date: April 25th, 2023 1:31 PM Author: Insanely creepy alpha https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1650899579234140168 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#46237455) |
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Date: April 25th, 2023 1:33 PM Author: diverse yapping dilemma factory reset button why was disney employing this guy anyways (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#46237460) |
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Date: April 29th, 2023 7:52 PM Author: Self-centered double fault (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#46252623) |
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Date: May 28th, 2023 3:10 PM Author: Supple disgusting hospital FOCK!
This still hurts to read |
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Date: February 22nd, 2024 4:54 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#47428670) |
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Date: February 23rd, 2024 4:00 AM Author: Self-centered double fault (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#47430198) |
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Date: May 23rd, 2024 4:51 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/is-the-biden-campaign-running-on-false-hope As FiveThirtyEight makes clear in their piece, “While the polls in a few closely watched races—like Arizona’s governorship and Pennsylvania’s Senate seat—were biased toward Republicans, the polls overall still had a bit of a bias toward Democrats. That’s because generic-ballot polls, the most common type of poll last cycle, had a weighted-average bias of D+1.9, and polls of several less closely watched races, like the governorships in Ohio and Florida, also skewed toward Democrats.”
I’m ending the interview. I’m ending the interview because what you’re doing is ridiculous.
Wait, wait—why?
Because I have definitive proof that what you’re saying is not true. And I don’t care. I know what FiveThirtyEight wrote. I live this every day. And so, the point is what you’re saying is wrong. I am on record saying that what FiveThirtyEight has written is incorrect, and I’ve given you definitive proof otherwise. So if you want to keep coming back at this, do it. But this has become one of the most ridiculous interviews that I’ve ever done my entire professional career. |
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Date: August 26th, 2024 3:52 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48010724) |
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Date: September 13th, 2024 11:24 PM Author: Self-centered double fault (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48087201) |
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Date: September 13th, 2024 11:32 PM Author: arousing public bath One of the GOAT threads of all time (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48087224) |
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Date: October 18th, 2024 1:46 PM Author: Self-centered double fault (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48211967) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:45 PM Author: Boyish place of business french chef (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48187302) |
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Date: November 6th, 2024 5:16 AM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48296972) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:30 PM Author: lascivious cuckoldry 538 is being shut down. This post is now complete. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48715841) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:32 PM Author: lascivious cuckoldry https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1897135211810545835?s=46 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48715847) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:33 PM Author: carmine office Lol actually his model was right at almost every turn
*facts cum* |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:37 PM Author: Boyish place of business french chef The post isn't fully complete until Nate Silver passes peacefully away from full blown AIDS (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48715863) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:41 PM Author: Learning disabled orchid regret rigor He has to be sucking cock at the port authority for bus fare to complete the circle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48715869) |
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Date: March 5th, 2025 8:13 AM Author: buff insecure (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48716330) |
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Date: March 7th, 2025 11:34 AM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48724299) |
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Date: March 7th, 2025 11:36 AM Author: white 538 is now 404 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48724306) |
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Date: March 8th, 2025 5:10 AM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency "How Trump Killed 538" https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/03/07/fivethirtyeight-nate-silver-election-polls/ |
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Date: March 8th, 2025 7:12 AM Author: ruddy laser beams Was just thinking about this poast the other day and how much went into maeking it. Truly a work of art. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48727216) |
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Date: March 8th, 2025 12:42 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency Holy shit it's all gone, they beleted everything. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48727802) |
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Date: February 18th, 2026 11:20 PM Author: primrose stirring site azn (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#49679495) |
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Date: May 15th, 2026 12:08 PM Author: spectacular trump supporter international law enforcement agency ABC News has now taken all FiveThirtyEight articles completely offline. They now redirect to abcnews dot com/politics. A needless erasure of thousands of pages of knowledge. https://x.com/baseballot/status/2055309076209492208 |
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Date: May 17th, 2026 11:01 AM Author: Sapphire organic girlfriend i sense that there is a bit of a movement to shame ABC into providing access again.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/16/business/media/fivethirtyeight-abc-removed.html |
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Date: August 11th, 2026 2:24 AM Author: coalition of rabbis Weird how 99% of the internet disappeared one day (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#50060136) |