The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
|
 |
 
|
The Next Twelve Months of Nate Silver's 538.com Headlines:
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 12/10/15 |
| swashbuckling lime main people | 12/12/15 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 01/02/17 |
| gaped hilarious stage background story | 01/06/16 |
| insane knife clown | 01/06/16 |
| insane knife clown | 06/05/16 |
| azure galvanic new version | 03/26/16 |
| adventurous tanning salon antidepressant drug | 01/02/17 |
| Very Tactful Hell Mental Disorder | 10/25/18 |
| dead newt | 12/10/15 |
| maniacal salmon dog poop sound barrier | 12/10/15 |
| Hateful talented menage | 12/10/15 |
| jade haunting boiling water | 12/10/15 |
| 180 Shitlib | 12/15/15 |
| Blathering blood rage | 12/10/15 |
| Scarlet hunting ground | 12/10/15 |
| Medicated university mad-dog skullcap | 12/10/15 |
| Zombie-like property | 12/11/15 |
| mind-boggling judgmental sex offender | 12/12/15 |
| drunken degenerate principal's office | 12/16/15 |
| outnumbered circlehead | 01/04/16 |
| Cerebral violent death wish | 11/09/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 12/11/15 |
| titillating hall | 12/11/15 |
| Violent fanboi | 12/11/15 |
| Zombie-like property | 12/11/15 |
| Obsidian Startled Stag Film | 12/12/15 |
| maize crotch | 01/25/16 |
| purple digit ratio | 11/10/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 12/12/15 |
| Charismatic Step-uncle's House | 12/12/15 |
| indecent corner kitty cat | 12/12/15 |
| histrionic khaki striped hyena | 12/12/15 |
| flirting voyeur multi-billionaire | 12/15/15 |
| Big theater stage | 12/21/15 |
| Translucent sadistic lettuce | 12/12/15 |
| Mint Geriatric Selfie Skinny Woman | 12/12/15 |
| sepia slap-happy wagecucks | 12/12/15 |
| bossy marvelous parlour national security agency | 12/12/15 |
| startling excitant quadroon church | 12/12/15 |
| Copper diverse heaven | 12/12/15 |
| Scarlet hunting ground | 12/15/15 |
| Scarlet hunting ground | 12/16/15 |
| alcoholic double fault | 12/15/15 |
| Multi-colored Milk | 12/15/15 |
| Slippery Dark Set Sandwich | 12/15/15 |
| coral provocative piazza ape | 12/15/15 |
| Citrine Locus | 12/15/15 |
| mauve wonderful messiness meetinghouse | 12/15/15 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 12/15/15 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 12/15/15 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 12/15/15 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 12/15/15 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 12/15/15 |
| amethyst partner elastic band | 01/05/16 |
| maize crotch | 01/25/16 |
| greedy bawdyhouse | 12/17/16 |
| Trip round eye | 05/18/16 |
| Lascivious ticket booth | 08/12/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 11/09/16 |
| brass space | 11/09/16 |
| Lake bearded house dingle berry | 11/09/16 |
| Orchid rigpig | 10/22/20 |
| nighttime turdskin | 12/15/15 |
| olive temple associate | 12/16/15 |
| Self-centered institution preventive strike | 12/16/15 |
| supple stubborn halford | 12/16/15 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 12/16/15 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 12/17/15 |
| vibrant coldplay fan | 12/18/15 |
| gaped hilarious stage background story | 01/06/16 |
| Wild Ivory Chapel | 12/18/15 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 12/21/15 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 12/21/15 |
| Big theater stage | 12/21/15 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 12/30/15 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 12/30/15 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 01/04/16 |
| outnumbered circlehead | 01/04/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 01/05/16 |
| maize crotch | 01/25/16 |
| vibrant coldplay fan | 01/05/16 |
| unholy vigorous ladyboy kitchen | 01/05/16 |
| boyish cuckoldry ratface | 01/05/16 |
| Wine people who are hurt | 01/05/16 |
| Racy mewling whorehouse deer antler | 01/05/16 |
| Wine people who are hurt | 01/05/16 |
| gaped hilarious stage background story | 01/06/16 |
| Wine people who are hurt | 01/06/16 |
| Racy mewling whorehouse deer antler | 01/05/16 |
| Lascivious ticket booth | 01/06/16 |
| Big theater stage | 01/07/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 01/08/16 |
| Spectacular Pale Point | 01/08/16 |
| Big theater stage | 01/08/16 |
| vibrant coldplay fan | 01/09/16 |
| Big theater stage | 01/10/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 01/18/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 01/19/16 |
| vibrant coldplay fan | 01/21/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 01/25/16 |
| Aquamarine fantasy-prone gunner native | 01/25/16 |
| maize crotch | 01/25/16 |
| Aquamarine fantasy-prone gunner native | 02/09/16 |
| Spectacular Pale Point | 09/06/16 |
| gaped hilarious stage background story | 11/05/18 |
| Green fighting jew | 01/29/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 02/01/16 |
| doobsian razzle philosopher-king | 02/01/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 02/01/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 02/07/16 |
| unholy vigorous ladyboy kitchen | 02/09/16 |
| frozen faggot firefighter cuck | 02/09/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 02/20/16 |
| Silver sticky center | 02/20/16 |
| Trip round eye | 02/24/16 |
| Bateful Macaca Weed Whacker | 02/24/16 |
| Slate stirring sneaky criminal marketing idea | 02/27/16 |
| alcoholic double fault | 03/09/16 |
| mahogany dilemma half-breed | 03/15/16 |
| Hateful talented menage | 03/15/16 |
| Multi-colored Milk | 03/16/16 |
| exhilarant market | 02/24/16 |
| thriller avocado indian lodge factory reset button | 02/24/16 |
| Multi-colored Milk | 07/21/16 |
| Bronze private investor gas station | 02/24/16 |
| Hateful talented menage | 02/27/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 03/02/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 03/04/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 03/09/16 |
| unholy vigorous ladyboy kitchen | 03/09/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 03/15/16 |
| Trip round eye | 03/15/16 |
| comical learning disabled locale haunted graveyard | 03/15/16 |
| curious carmine nursing home pozpig | 03/15/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 03/16/16 |
| Scarlet hunting ground | 03/16/16 |
| brass space | 03/23/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 03/23/16 |
| sepia slap-happy wagecucks | 03/26/16 |
| High-end pink theatre | 03/26/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 03/26/16 |
| amethyst partner elastic band | 03/28/16 |
| brass space | 03/28/16 |
| maniacal salmon dog poop sound barrier | 03/28/16 |
| Lascivious ticket booth | 08/12/16 |
| gaped hilarious stage background story | 11/05/18 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 03/28/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 03/29/16 |
| stimulating harsh site | 03/29/16 |
| stimulating harsh site | 03/29/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 03/29/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 03/29/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 04/01/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 04/04/16 |
| stimulating harsh site | 04/15/16 |
| aphrodisiac legend | 04/15/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 04/19/16 |
| Motley sinister legal warrant | 04/20/16 |
| passionate parlor | 04/20/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 04/24/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 04/25/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 04/26/16 |
| buff filthpig becky | 04/26/16 |
| magenta glittery dragon travel guidebook | 04/30/16 |
| vermilion bull headed forum | 05/01/16 |
| vermilion bull headed forum | 11/07/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 05/02/16 |
| brass space | 05/02/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 05/03/16 |
| Navy beady-eyed brunch | 05/03/16 |
| hairraiser spruce alpha pisswyrm | 05/03/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 05/04/16 |
| Spectacular Pale Point | 05/04/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 05/05/16 |
| bossy marvelous parlour national security agency | 05/05/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 05/05/16 |
| thriller avocado indian lodge factory reset button | 05/05/16 |
| Charismatic Step-uncle's House | 05/18/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 05/18/16 |
| Trip round eye | 05/18/16 |
| Charismatic Step-uncle's House | 05/18/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 05/29/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 06/20/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 06/29/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 07/14/16 |
| fragrant school cafeteria french chef | 07/15/16 |
| Lascivious ticket booth | 07/15/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 07/17/16 |
| Spectacular Pale Point | 07/17/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 07/21/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 07/22/16 |
| bright appetizing hospital psychic | 07/22/16 |
| red contagious immigrant range | 07/23/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 07/24/16 |
| sick puce station | 07/25/16 |
| stimulating harsh site | 07/25/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 07/27/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 08/05/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 08/09/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 08/12/16 |
| Spectacular Pale Point | 08/12/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 08/12/16 |
| Crystalline cruise ship giraffe | 08/12/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 08/30/16 |
| Spectacular Pale Point | 08/30/16 |
| Spectacular Pale Point | 09/06/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 09/13/16 |
| stimulating harsh site | 09/14/16 |
| Translucent sadistic lettuce | 09/14/16 |
| yapping irradiated crackhouse fat ankles | 09/15/16 |
| clear spot gaping | 09/15/16 |
| insane knife clown | 09/15/16 |
| cracking cowardly lay windowlicker | 09/15/16 |
| Tripping Church Building | 09/15/16 |
| Overrated aromatic trailer park potus | 09/19/16 |
| Overrated aromatic trailer park potus | 09/19/16 |
| Spectacular Pale Point | 09/27/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 09/24/16 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 09/27/16 |
| Spectacular Pale Point | 09/27/16 |
| Scarlet hunting ground | 09/27/16 |
| dashing light chad | 10/08/16 |
| Shaky Field | 07/29/24 |
| stimulating harsh site | 09/28/16 |
| Translucent sadistic lettuce | 09/28/16 |
| Spectacular Pale Point | 09/28/16 |
| passionate parlor | 09/28/16 |
| aphrodisiac legend | 09/28/16 |
| Know-it-all Glassy Hairy Legs Office | 10/08/16 |
| Spectacular Pale Point | 10/09/16 |
| concupiscible lodge scourge upon the earth | 10/09/16 |
| Spectacular Pale Point | 10/09/16 |
| Flushed odious mexican | 10/09/16 |
| stimulating harsh site | 10/10/16 |
| sick puce station | 10/30/16 |
| Lascivious ticket booth | 11/01/16 |
| cracking cowardly lay windowlicker | 11/01/16 |
| aggressive metal abode trust fund | 11/02/16 |
| coral provocative piazza ape | 11/02/16 |
| stimulating harsh site | 11/07/16 |
| frum soul-stirring home idiot | 11/08/16 |
| stimulating harsh site | 11/08/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 11/08/16 |
| stimulating harsh site | 11/08/16 |
| Rose mentally impaired doctorate | 11/08/16 |
| Disturbing vivacious stead | 11/08/16 |
| doobsian razzle philosopher-king | 11/08/16 |
| Overrated aromatic trailer park potus | 11/08/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 11/08/16 |
| laughsome state twinkling uncleanness | 11/09/16 |
| yapping irradiated crackhouse fat ankles | 11/09/16 |
| gold school | 11/09/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 11/09/16 |
| cracking cowardly lay windowlicker | 11/09/16 |
| laughsome state twinkling uncleanness | 11/09/16 |
| sick puce station | 11/09/16 |
| bossy marvelous parlour national security agency | 11/09/16 |
| apoplectic party of the first part pit | 12/03/16 |
| purple digit ratio | 12/07/16 |
| greedy bawdyhouse | 12/17/16 |
| pearl library yarmulke | 10/11/24 |
| Black Filthy Mood | 11/09/16 |
| heady canary sanctuary | 11/09/16 |
| Pea-brained crawly headpube | 11/09/16 |
| Burgundy electric stage famous landscape painting | 11/09/16 |
| apoplectic party of the first part pit | 11/09/16 |
| Lascivious ticket booth | 11/09/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 11/09/16 |
| Charismatic Step-uncle's House | 11/09/16 |
| Spectacular Pale Point | 11/09/16 |
| Lilac Arousing Plaza Athletic Conference | 11/09/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 11/09/16 |
| Flickering address | 11/09/16 |
| godawful splenetic garrison candlestick maker | 11/09/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 11/09/16 |
| jade haunting boiling water | 11/09/16 |
| Wild Ivory Chapel | 11/10/16 |
| Aquamarine fantasy-prone gunner native | 11/10/16 |
| insane knife clown | 11/10/16 |
| Naked rehab patrolman | 11/10/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 11/10/16 |
| stimulating harsh site | 11/10/16 |
| Silver sticky center | 11/10/16 |
| Overrated aromatic trailer park potus | 11/14/16 |
| garnet nofapping public bath | 11/14/16 |
| exciting juggernaut incel | 12/04/16 |
| greedy bawdyhouse | 12/17/16 |
| pearl library yarmulke | 10/11/24 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 11/25/16 |
| Razzmatazz casino jap | 12/03/16 |
| Flushed odious mexican | 12/04/16 |
| stain den | 12/07/16 |
| insane knife clown | 12/07/16 |
| Razzmatazz casino jap | 12/07/16 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 01/02/17 |
| drab karate wrinkle | 01/02/17 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 01/02/17 |
| drab karate wrinkle | 01/02/17 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 03/03/20 |
| insane knife clown | 01/02/17 |
| brass space | 01/16/17 |
| drab karate wrinkle | 01/20/17 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 01/20/17 |
| drab karate wrinkle | 01/23/17 |
| Know-it-all Glassy Hairy Legs Office | 01/23/17 |
| drab karate wrinkle | 01/23/17 |
| pungent cuckold therapy | 01/23/17 |
| Know-it-all Glassy Hairy Legs Office | 01/23/17 |
| drab karate wrinkle | 01/23/17 |
| drab karate wrinkle | 01/25/17 |
| drab karate wrinkle | 01/26/17 |
| drab karate wrinkle | 02/06/17 |
| drab karate wrinkle | 02/13/17 |
| drab karate wrinkle | 02/27/17 |
| drab karate wrinkle | 05/03/17 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 05/03/17 |
| drab karate wrinkle | 09/21/17 |
| Hateful talented menage | 01/23/17 |
| cracking cowardly lay windowlicker | 02/27/17 |
| gaped hilarious stage background story | 03/22/17 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 04/17/17 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 05/08/17 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 06/20/17 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 08/10/17 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 10/15/17 |
| brass space | 10/15/17 |
| Low-t Orchestra Pit | 10/15/17 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 11/06/17 |
| Soggy shrine corn cake | 11/06/17 |
| alcoholic dysfunction | 11/08/17 |
| impertinent friendly grandma | 11/08/17 |
| Idiotic hideous business firm | 11/13/17 |
| brass space | 12/18/17 |
| Spectacular Pale Point | 12/18/17 |
| brass space | 12/18/17 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 01/30/18 |
| insane knife clown | 06/01/18 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 07/18/18 |
| brass space | 07/19/18 |
| Tripping Church Building | 09/20/18 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 09/25/18 |
| maniacal salmon dog poop sound barrier | 10/06/18 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 10/06/18 |
| insane knife clown | 10/25/18 |
| clear spot gaping | 10/25/18 |
| maize crotch | 11/05/18 |
| insane knife clown | 11/05/18 |
| gaped hilarious stage background story | 11/05/18 |
| insane knife clown | 11/05/18 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 01/08/19 |
| Grizzly Adulterous Internal Respiration | 02/23/19 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 03/13/19 |
| maize crotch | 06/24/19 |
| Autistic senate laser beams | 06/24/19 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 11/18/19 |
| cracking cowardly lay windowlicker | 02/12/20 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 02/12/20 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 03/24/20 |
| Deranged area | 03/24/20 |
| fragrant school cafeteria french chef | 04/04/20 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 04/26/20 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 05/13/20 |
| fragrant school cafeteria french chef | 06/05/20 |
| transparent keepsake machete base | 06/05/20 |
| fragrant school cafeteria french chef | 09/09/20 |
| cracking cowardly lay windowlicker | 09/09/20 |
| dead newt | 09/09/20 |
| fear-inspiring location volcanic crater | 09/12/20 |
| ocher theater | 09/24/20 |
| Autistic senate laser beams | 10/09/20 |
| brass space | 10/10/20 |
| flesh electric furnace | 10/22/20 |
| apoplectic party of the first part pit | 10/22/20 |
| Orchid rigpig | 10/22/20 |
| Orchid rigpig | 10/22/20 |
| charcoal telephone pocket flask | 03/23/22 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 10/27/20 |
| gaped hilarious stage background story | 10/27/20 |
| Autistic senate laser beams | 10/30/20 |
| brass space | 11/03/20 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 03/22/22 |
| insecure poppy resort | 03/23/22 |
| national hissy fit | 03/23/22 |
| white puppy trump supporter | 03/23/22 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 07/25/22 |
| dead newt | 07/25/22 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 10/23/22 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 11/16/22 |
| Razzle-dazzle slimy box office | 04/25/23 |
| Charismatic Step-uncle's House | 04/25/23 |
| ocher theater | 04/29/23 |
| Shaky Field | 05/28/23 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 02/22/24 |
| ocher theater | 02/23/24 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 05/23/24 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 08/26/24 |
| ocher theater | 09/13/24 |
| dead newt | 09/13/24 |
| ocher theater | 10/18/24 |
| pearl library yarmulke | 10/11/24 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 11/06/24 |
| bossy marvelous parlour national security agency | 03/04/25 |
| bossy marvelous parlour national security agency | 03/04/25 |
| Tripping Church Building | 03/04/25 |
| pearl library yarmulke | 03/04/25 |
| police squad | 03/04/25 |
| claret disgusting hominid boistinker | 03/05/25 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 03/07/25 |
| Kink-friendly jewess | 03/07/25 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 03/08/25 |
| Hyperactive nubile indirect expression | 03/08/25 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 03/08/25 |
| Hateful talented menage | 02/18/26 |
| Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy | 05/15/26 |
| Dull Black Woman | 05/17/26 |
| coalition of rabbis | 08/11/26 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:48 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office December 12, 2015: "Anticipating Trump's Black Swan" December 18, 2015: "As Voters Flee Carson, Is Trump Harmed Most?" December 30, 2015: "The Fickle Iowa Voter and the Biggest Trump Problem" January 8, 2016: "Cruz's Rise Harms Trump Most" January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" January 22, 2016: "Trump's Independent Bid Would Fare Worse Than His Republican One" January 29, 2016: "The Herding Effect and Trump's Polling Problem" February 2, 2016: "Trump's Landslide in Iowa, But a Narrow Delegate Victory" February 4, 2016: "The House Effects Lifting Trump's Numbers in New Hampshire" February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why." February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?" February 11, 2016: "Rubio's Exit May Be Trump's Death Blow" February 17, 2016: "Clinton the Greatest Threat to Trump's Nomination" February 26, 2016: "Religious Conservatives and the Trump Dilemma" February 28, 2016: "Three Wins in Three Elections? Not So Fast" March 17, 2016: "The Brokered Convention, or Why Trump's Chances Look Worse Than Ever" March 30, 2016: "Glacial Pace of Delegates Slows Lumbering Trump" April 7, 2016: "A Closer Look at the Fractured Republican Party" April 27, 2016: "Even If Trump Wins, What Will Independents Think?" May 7, 2016: "The Coming Clinton Cascade" May 19, 2016: "Here's What the Brokered Convention That Defies Trump Looks Like" June 11, 2016: "Behind the Numbers: Delegate Math and the Convention" July 21, 2016: "Eight Takeaways from Trump's Convention Speech--Closer to Hitler than Reagan" August 1, 2016: "Clinton Stronger Than Ever as Trump's Popularity Appears Fleeting" August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story" September 18, 2016: "Behind the Presidential Debate: A Good Night for Clinton" September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise" October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" October 29, 2016: "Clarity from House Effects and Clinton's Decided Silent Majority" November 9, 2016: "It'll Take Months to Sort Out How Trump Won" November 22, 2016: "Trump's Reelection Chances Look Dicey January 20, 2017: 404 Hosting Error |
 |
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: swashbuckling lime main people (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364653) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32284620) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:43 AM Author: gaped hilarious stage background story (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29532817) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:46 AM Author: insane knife clown (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29532846) |
|
Date: June 5th, 2016 5:46 PM Author: insane knife clown another bump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30631018) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 10:16 PM Author: azure galvanic new version 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30144195) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:00 PM Author: adventurous tanning salon antidepressant drug (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32284612) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2018 12:11 AM Author: Very Tactful Hell Mental Disorder "October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise"? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37090197) |
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:49 PM Author: dead newt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29351706) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:52 PM Author: maniacal salmon dog poop sound barrier 1800000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29351728) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: Hateful talented menage 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29351742) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: jade haunting boiling water Fantastic work ITT (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29351744) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:08 PM Author: 180 Shitlib (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29384172) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:55 PM Author: Blathering blood rage FUCK | THIS | KIKE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29351749) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:56 PM Author: Scarlet hunting ground Poasting in a historic thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29351753) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: Medicated university mad-dog skullcap Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Not saying that Trump cant win but you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:21 PM Author: Zombie-like property (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29359932) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 4:17 PM Author: mind-boggling judgmental sex offender Nate Silver's 08 and 12 predictions were accurate and based almost entirely on polling data. his prediction that trump will lose is obviously not based on polling data (which is highly favorable for Trump), but an assumption that someone like Trump can't win. we shouldn't put much value in the non-quantitative political analysis of a poll aggregator. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364985) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: drunken degenerate principal's office Is he propagandizing or believing what he wishes? Hard to imagine such a shift from such a quantitative guy. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29392387) |
|
Date: January 4th, 2016 2:31 PM Author: outnumbered circlehead Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: TannerBoyle
Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Trump cant win and you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351956) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: Cerebral violent death wish (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31854764) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:05 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29359811) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:07 PM Author: titillating hall (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29359818) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:10 PM Author: Violent fanboi 180 million (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29359849) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:20 PM Author: Zombie-like property November 9th 2016: s.e.g.a. sucking cock at Port Authority for bus fare (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29359926) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: Obsidian Startled Stag Film (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364617) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:40 PM Author: maize crotch Don't edit loser (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29677834) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 1:52 AM Author: purple digit ratio (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31866880) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:09 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364607) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: Charismatic Step-uncle's House (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364621) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: indecent corner kitty cat lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364630) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:47 PM Author: histrionic khaki striped hyena March 9
THE ANTHROPOPHAGUS HAS QUITTED HIS DEN
March 10
THE CORSICAN OGRE HAS LANDED AT CAPE JUAN
March 11
THE TIGER HAS ARRIVED AT CAP
March 12
THE MONSTER SLEPT AT GRENOBLE
March 13
THE TYRANT HAS PASSED THOUGH LYONS
March 14
THE USURPER IS DIRECTING HIS STEPS TOWARDS DIJON
March 18
BONAPARTE IS ONLY SIXTY LEAGUES FROM THE CAPITAL
He has been fortunate enough to escape his pursuers
March 19
BONAPARTE IS ADVANCING WITH RAPID STEPS, BUT HE WILL NEVER ENTER PARIS
March 20
NAPOLEON WILL, TOMORROW, BE UNDER OUR RAMPARTS
March 21
THE EMPEROR IS AT FONTAINEBLEAU
March 22
HIS IMPERIAL AND ROYAL MAJESTY arrived yesterday evening at the Tuileries, amid the joyful acclamation of his devoted and faithful subjects |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:06 PM Author: flirting voyeur multi-billionaire (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29384155) |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 8:26 PM Author: Big theater stage 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29429271) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:51 PM Author: Translucent sadistic lettuce (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364847) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:55 PM Author: Mint Geriatric Selfie Skinny Woman lol, 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364873) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: sepia slap-happy wagecucks (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364887) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: bossy marvelous parlour national security agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364890) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:59 PM Author: startling excitant quadroon church Well done. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364896) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 4:08 PM Author: Copper diverse heaven Fully nude right now, happened to absent-mindedly stroke myself to a FULL CHUB while reading. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29364933) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:14 PM Author: Scarlet hunting ground OP missed today's ... "Are we in a Trump boom or a Trump bubble?" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29383835) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 12:20 PM Author: Scarlet hunting ground And today's: "The fifth Republican debate ended in a nine-way draw." |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:21 PM Author: alcoholic double fault 190 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29383898) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: Multi-colored Milk fuck u for making me laugh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29383961) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:58 PM Author: Slippery Dark Set Sandwich I used to work with a fat, ugly gay man, who was the first person ever to tell me about Nate Silver. I asked him what made this Nate Silver so good, and the homosexual slob said it was that Silver had never been wrong or some shit like that. I said Well that's a pretty good track record. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29384107) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:10 PM Author: coral provocative piazza ape 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29384183) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:12 PM Author: Citrine Locus February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why."
February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?"
180 |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: mauve wonderful messiness meetinghouse You shitcons have been through this with Nate Silver twice before and he has pwned you both times. You guys never learn (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29384207) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:15 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office Trump odds, August 2015: Silver: 2% Miller: 0% Enten: -10% http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/podcast-totally-subjective-presidential-odds-early-august-edition/ |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-most-shocking-result-in-world-cup-history/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29384231) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:17 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/what-we-got-wrong-in-our-2015-uk-general-election-model/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29384237) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:19 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29384254) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:20 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-make-of-kentuckys-polling-failure/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29384262) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: amethyst partner elastic band (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29525662) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:43 PM Author: maize crotch Can't wait to bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29677869) |
|
Date: December 17th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: greedy bawdyhouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32165246) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:11 AM Author: Trip round eye (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30504262) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: Lascivious ticket booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31172544) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:06 AM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-coverage/?#livepress-update-23617209 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31846270) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: brass space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31846325) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 3:36 AM Author: Lake bearded house dingle berry Final Election Update: There’s A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And Most Of Them Come Up Clinton
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-election-update-theres-a-wide-range-of-outcomes-and-most-of-them-come-up-clinton/ |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: Orchid rigpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41167037) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: nighttime turdskin This is an all time GOAT on XO. This is amazing. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29384232) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:34 PM Author: olive temple associate 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29392396) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:37 PM Author: Self-centered institution preventive strike (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29392414) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:39 PM Author: supple stubborn halford Incredible (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29392427) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 11:48 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy Trump Boom or Trump Bubble? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-boom-or-trump-bubble/ |
|
Date: December 17th, 2015 9:22 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy Iowa's Women Could Be Trump’s Undoing http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/iowas-women-could-be-donald-trumps-undoing/ |
|
Date: December 18th, 2015 10:03 PM Author: vibrant coldplay fan (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29411300) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: gaped hilarious stage background story (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29532836) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2015 10:09 PM Author: Wild Ivory Chapel (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29411342) |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 7:06 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy Lindsey Graham Tries To Stop Trump The Only Way He Can — By Quitting http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/lindsey-graham-tries-to-stop-trump-the-only-way-he-can-by-quitting/ |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 7:47 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy "Trump has some weird chinks in his armor" http://www.wnyc.org/story/nate-silvers-crystal-ball-tells-all-2016/ |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 8:21 PM Author: Big theater stage 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29429241) |
|
Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy "micah: Let me channel our vacationing editor-in-chief Nate Silver: What if Trump finishes second or third in Iowa, same in New Hampshire and South Carolina. He chugs along for a while with 15-20 percent of the vote. Or, maybe he quits the race after New Hampshire. Won’t the fact that we spent much of 2015 hyperventilating about Trump seem silly in retrospect?" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-meaning-of-donald-trump/ |
|
Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy One of the biggest errors I think I made in 2015 was concentrating too much on who would win the Republican nomination and not so much on who would drive the conversation.1 You can see that clearly with Donald Trump (who I still don’t think will win the Republican nomination). Not only did I dismiss Trump’s candidacy on many occasions (here, here, here and here, for example), I was sometimes eager to do so in order to confirm my original belief that he wouldn’t win.
But winning the race and affecting the race are different things. Trump may lose in Iowa, collapse in New Hampshire and disappear from the national stage. If that — or something like it — happens, much of the sound and fury surrounding Trump in 2015 will seem silly in retrospect. But regardless of where Trump ends up once voting starts, he has certainly been the dominant voice in the Republican nomination race so far. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-harry-enten-got-wrong-in-2015/ |
|
Date: January 4th, 2016 2:22 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy This phenomenon may not hold in 2016. Cruz could collapse in Iowa. Christie could fall apart in New Hampshire. And maybe Trump will outperform his polling in both contests. But the gap between their current state and national polls suggests the opposite is more likely. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/to-win-in-iowa-or-new-hampshire-it-may-be-better-to-poll-worse-nationally/ |
|
Date: January 4th, 2016 2:27 PM Author: outnumbered circlehead flawless OP. uninflated 180. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29519032) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 12:09 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office ty for all the updates itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29525598) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:45 PM Author: maize crotch Cr. It made a great thread an all time thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29677890) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:08 PM Author: vibrant coldplay fan From Silver's Twitter:
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
That Trump is underperforming in IA and NH relative to national polls is a big deal and a bad sign for him. |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:11 PM Author: unholy vigorous ladyboy kitchen 1800000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29531444) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: boyish cuckoldry ratface (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29531475) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: Wine people who are hurt An historic poast (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29531481) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:16 PM Author: Racy mewling whorehouse deer antler 180 trillion (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29531500) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:17 PM Author: Wine people who are hurt I saw this on the Internet and thought of you guys
http://imgur.com/Fn3p3R6 |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:45 AM Author: gaped hilarious stage background story (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29532843) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 4:37 PM Author: Wine people who are hurt Bump to make sure my friends saw this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29535993) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:22 PM Author: Racy mewling whorehouse deer antler No bias there right? What a shitbird. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29531557) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: Lascivious ticket booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29532829) |
|
Date: January 7th, 2016 10:51 PM Author: Big theater stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29546163) |
|
Date: January 8th, 2016 4:56 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy “HOW TRUMP WON” blares the headline on this week’s Time magazine cover in 80-point Duplicate Ionic. “Now he just needs the votes,” whispers the small subheadline underneath.
Oh, just that little detail? Trump actually needs people to vote for him? I’ve been encountering a lot of this lately: Coverage implying that Trump’s lead atop the Republican polls (which he’s held since mid-July) is a watershed event, perhaps even tantamount to his having won an election.
These headlines, needless to say, are presumptuous. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ |
|
Date: January 8th, 2016 5:05 PM Author: Spectacular Pale Point 180 if not copy paste (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29551314) |
|
Date: January 8th, 2016 11:26 PM Author: Big theater stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29554010) |
|
Date: January 9th, 2016 8:16 PM Author: vibrant coldplay fan http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29559692) |
|
Date: January 10th, 2016 5:22 PM Author: Big theater stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29566112) |
|
Date: January 18th, 2016 10:15 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29622950) |
|
Date: January 19th, 2016 5:30 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy Donald Trump is Sarah Palin 2.0 http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/sarah-palin-endorses-donald-trump-for-president/ |
|
Date: January 21st, 2016 5:51 PM Author: vibrant coldplay fan looks like even silver has conceded on trump winning the nomination
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/one-big-reason-to-be-less-skeptical-of-trump/
In a nomination race like the Republican one, you could draw up a list of reasons to be skeptical of any candidate’s chances. Here are some reasons to be skeptical about Ted Cruz’s position in Iowa, for example. Here’s why Marco Rubio’s strategy looks increasingly precarious. There are also good reasons to be skeptical about Donald Trump’s chances of winning the Republican nomination:
His polling in Iowa isn’t great, and he’s probably still the underdog there. There’s reason to doubt the strength of his ground game, in Iowa and other states. Trump’s favorable ratings and second-choice numbers are generally inferior to Cruz’s and Rubio’s, meaning that other candidates might benefit more as the field winnows.1 But the reason I’ve been especially skeptical about Trump for most of the election cycle isn’t listed above. Nor is it because I expected Trump to spontaneously combust in national polls. Instead, I was skeptical because I assumed that influential Republicans would do almost anything they could to prevent him from being nominated.
I’m in the midst of working on a long review of the book “The Party Decides,” so we’ll save some of the detail for that forthcoming article. But the textbook on Trump is that he’d be a failure along virtually every dimension that party elites normally consider when choosing a nominee: electability (Trump is extremely unpopular with general election voters); ideological reliability (like Sarah Palin, Trump’s a “maverick”); having traditional qualifications for the job; and so forth. Even if the GOP is mostly in disarray, my assumption was that it would muster whatever strength it had to try to stop Trump.
But so far, the party isn’t doing much to stop Trump. Instead, it’s making such an effort against Cruz. Consider:
The governor of Iowa, Terry Branstad, said he wanted Cruz defeated. Bob Dole warned of “cataclysmic” losses if Cruz was the nominee, and said Trump would fare better. Mitch McConnell and other Republicans senators have been decidedly unhelpful to Cruz when discussing his constitutional eligibility to be president. An anti-Cruz PAC has formed, with plans to run advertisements in Iowa. (By contrast, no PAC advertising has run against Trump so far in January.) You can find lots of other examples like these. It’s the type of coordinated, multifront action that seems right out of the “The Party Decides.” If, like me, you expected something like this to happen to Trump instead of Cruz, you have to revisit your assumptions. Thus, I’m now much less skeptical of Trump’s chances of becoming the nominee.
Can we take this a step farther, in fact? Can we say that the party has decided … for Trump?
I’ve seen some headlines to that effect, but they’re premature and possibly wrong. So far, the GOP’s actions are conspicuously anti-Cruz more than they are pro-Trump. For example, although former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin just endorsed Trump, no current Republican governors or members of Congress have.
Instead, it may be that Republicans think of Cruz as the more immediate threat, and then plan to turn around and attack Trump later. But that’s a high-degree-of-difficulty caper to pull off. For one thing, Trump, who’s in a much better position in the polls than Cruz in states after Iowa, could rack up several wins in a row if he takes the Hawkeye State.
Just as important, there are few signs that Republicans have much of a strategy for whom to back apart from Trump. Four “establishment lane” candidates — Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich and Rubio — are tightly packed in New Hampshire polls. That could potentially change before New Hampshire votes because of tactical voting.2 And whichever of these candidates perform worst in the early states will probably drop out.
But Republican party elites seem indifferent among these four candidates, when in my view some are more capable than others of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz:
Rubio would seem to have the best shot. He’s easily the most conservative of the four, has the best favorability ratings and can make perhaps the best electability argument. His ground game may not be very good, but he has a decent amount of cash on hand. Bush and Christie probably rank next, in some order. It’s hard to imagine Republican voters coming all the way around to the patrician Bush after flirting with bad-boy Trump for so long — especially when Bush’s favorability numbers with Republican voters are in the tank. But remember that those dalliances with Trump are hypothetical, only contemplated in polls and not yet actuated with votes. Perhaps the Republican electorate that shows up to vote is more like the 2012 version, which supported Mitt Romney. It’s a long shot, but if it happens, Bush will have plenty of money and organization to extend the race. If the GOP electorate is in an angrier mood, then Christie’s personality overlaps the most with Trump’s. He’s a good debater, and his favorability ratings are on the upswing, although still just middling. But Christie entered the race with a lot of baggage that will receive more scrutiny if he surges in the polls. He also doesn’t have much of an organization beyond New Hampshire. Kasich’s outlook seems the worst of the four, combining Bush’s lack of appeal to conservatives with Christie’s lack of organization beyond New Hampshire. The one qualification to this is that Kasich has a more conservative track record than he lets on.3 So if I were ranking the four establishment candidates’ chances of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz, I’d put Rubio first and Kasich last. But if I were ranking them in terms of who seems to have the most momentum right now, the order would be just the opposite. Kasich has gained 3 or 4 percentage points in New Hampshire polls over the past month, while Rubio has declined slightly in New Hampshire and national polls, and his once-steady flow of endorsements has turned into a trickle.
These differences might seem pretty minor — there’s room for near-daily momentum shifts before New Hampshire votes. Obviously, it’s also possible that Republicans’ efforts to stop Cruz in Iowa will backfire.
Things are lining up better for Trump than I would have imagined, however. It’s not his continued presence in the race that surprises me so much as the lack of a concerted effort to stop him. |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:26 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29677719) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:42 PM Author: Aquamarine fantasy-prone gunner native 180000000000000000000000000000000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29677863) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:48 PM Author: maize crotch You're a democratic, remember? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29677913) |
|
Date: February 9th, 2016 9:02 PM Author: Aquamarine fantasy-prone gunner native No way! 100% TRUMPMO (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29791782) |
|
Date: September 6th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Spectacular Pale Point (2-time shitbama voter) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31345881) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: gaped hilarious stage background story (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37162047) |
|
Date: January 29th, 2016 4:25 PM Author: Green fighting jew (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29708433) |
|
Date: February 1st, 2016 11:04 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29727124) |
|
Date: February 1st, 2016 11:21 AM Author: doobsian razzle philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29727197) |
|
Date: February 1st, 2016 9:47 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29732588) |
|
Date: February 7th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29771453) |
|
Date: February 9th, 2016 8:59 PM Author: unholy vigorous ladyboy kitchen (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29791735) |
|
Date: February 9th, 2016 9:00 PM Author: frozen faggot firefighter cuck (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29791763) |
|
Date: February 20th, 2016 7:55 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29877406) |
|
Date: February 20th, 2016 7:57 PM Author: Silver sticky center OK man, can you tell us how you did this? (Not how you predicted it, but how you wrote it so brilliantly.) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29877434) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 8:06 AM Author: Trip round eye PORT | AUTHORITY | BUSFARE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29903568) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 8:14 AM Author: Bateful Macaca Weed Whacker The OP is XO at its peak brilliance. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29903615) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2016 6:57 PM Author: Slate stirring sneaky criminal marketing idea (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29931652) |
|
Date: March 9th, 2016 12:52 AM Author: alcoholic double fault (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30015868) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: mahogany dilemma half-breed (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30066562) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:55 PM Author: Hateful talented menage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30066681) |
|
Date: March 16th, 2016 11:52 AM Author: Multi-colored Milk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30070592) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 8:18 AM Author: exhilarant market hosting error... LOL
this is better than any snl sketch in the last 5 to 10 years. |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 10:18 AM Author: thriller avocado indian lodge factory reset button (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29904083) |
|
Date: July 21st, 2016 9:42 AM Author: Multi-colored Milk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30987707) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: Bronze private investor gas station (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29904074) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2016 6:54 PM Author: Hateful talented menage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29931637) |
|
Date: March 2nd, 2016 9:43 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29960115) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2016 1:38 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#29976826) |
|
Date: March 9th, 2016 12:44 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30015799) |
|
Date: March 9th, 2016 12:55 AM Author: unholy vigorous ladyboy kitchen yeah anyone who wants to win money on predictit markets should just consult this turtle shell oracle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30015891) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 8:46 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30065629) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:05 PM Author: Trip round eye (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30065970) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:23 PM Author: comical learning disabled locale haunted graveyard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30066291) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:43 PM Author: curious carmine nursing home pozpig truly 180 thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30066549) |
|
Date: March 16th, 2016 11:48 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy It's Still Not Clear Donald Trump Will Get a Majority of Delegates http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-still-not-clear-that-donald-trump-will-get-a-majority-of-delegates/ |
|
Date: March 16th, 2016 11:54 AM Author: Scarlet hunting ground March is very accurate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30070601) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2016 10:49 AM Author: brass space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30119676) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2016 9:30 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30119337) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 11:24 AM Author: sepia slap-happy wagecucks http://imgur.com/ZVbDMXh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30140474) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 11:30 AM Author: High-end pink theatre Lol,holy Fuck (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30140513) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 10:14 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30144174) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: amethyst partner elastic band jesus. . . (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30151942) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 10:20 AM Author: brass space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30151965) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 10:23 AM Author: maniacal salmon dog poop sound barrier (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30151975) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: Lascivious ticket booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31172540) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:20 AM Author: gaped hilarious stage background story (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37162050) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 9:47 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy "What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like" "Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-will-have-a-hard-time-turning-blue-states-red-in-november/ |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 2:26 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy "Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-no-ronald-reagan/ |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 2:32 PM Author: stimulating harsh site lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30160689) |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 4:59 PM Author: stimulating harsh site "One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women"
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-sexism-women-2016-election/ |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 5:14 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30161654) |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 8:54 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/714977961099862016 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30163086) |
|
Date: April 1st, 2016 2:54 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-probably-first-ballot-or-bust-for-donald-trump-at-the-gop-convention/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30183235) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2016 7:13 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy "Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/wisconsin-could-be-trouble-for-trump/ |
|
Date: April 15th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: stimulating harsh site interestingly the Karl Rove WSJ opinion headlines are almost as desperate:
http://topics.wsj.com/person/R/karl-rove/5686
Articles by Karl Rove
Vanity Will Be The Donald’s Undoing April 13, 2016 06:04 p.m.
Trump thinks he is so rich, famous and athletic that he can skip a real campaign.
The Not-Trump GOP Rises April 6, 2016 07:16 p.m.
The delegate math is getting hard, and New York may not be the lifeline Trump needs.
An Ugly General Election Takes Shape March 30, 2016 07:12 p.m.
Hillary’s super PAC readies an anti-Trump onslaught. She will be a ripe target too.
Don’t Coddle Donald Trump March 23, 2016 07:22 p.m.
A nominee needs a majority. Abraham Lincoln played by that rule—so can the New York businessman.
How Trump Can Raise His Game March 16, 2016 07:03 p.m.
A few bits of advice for The Donald: study up, change your tone and focus on Hillary.
The Polls Trump Hasn’t Won March 9, 2016 06:32 p.m.
He says that he will beat Hillary, yet guess who is the only GOP contender trailing her.
A Big Push for Flawed Front-Runners March 2, 2016 06:39 p.m.
Bernie could cause trouble for Hillary at the convention. And Trump is no ‘unifier.’
The Donald Doesn’t Have a Lock—Yet February 24, 2016 07:22 p.m.
There is still time for a non-Trump majority to coalesce around a single candidate. James Taranto: ‘I Love the Poorly Educated!’
Trump Didn’t Oppose the Iraq War February 17, 2016 06:33 p.m.
There’s no record of his clear opposition before March 2003, despite his claims
GOP Infighters Need to Focus on Trump February 10, 2016 06:48 p.m.
The four mainstream candidates are only wasting time if they go after each other.
How Trump Blew an Easy Win February 3, 2016 06:33 p.m.
He acted like the traditional rules didn’t apply. This race could go to the convention.
Trump Ducks an Iowa Opportunity January 27, 2016 06:56 p.m.
The Donald’s refusal to debate could blow his lead. How can he take on Hillary?
Hillary’s Stumbling Cakewalk January 20, 2016 07:31 p.m.
Nothing’s working, so now Clinton has come up with a four-step Beat Bernie strategy.
The GOP’s Chase for Undecided Iowans January 13, 2016 06:55 p.m.
At this point in 2012, Rick Santorum—who won the caucuses—sat sadly at 6% support.
My Crystal-Ball Score—Plus 2016 Predictions January 6, 2016 06:57 p.m.
Clinton Is Already Vowing to Overreach December 16, 2015 06:06 p.m.
Remember her pledge in 2007 to ‘rein in the presidency’? Neither does she.
Trump Is the Democrats’ Dream Nominee December 9, 2015 06:48 p.m.
He could win the primaries but would get creamed in the presidential election.
The GOP Needs Presidential Coattails December 2, 2015 06:53 p.m.
A weak ticket could hurt the party in purple states—and lose the Senate.
|
|
Date: April 15th, 2016 10:47 AM Author: aphrodisiac legend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30279158) |
|
Date: April 19th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30307876) |
|
Date: April 20th, 2016 11:03 AM Author: Motley sinister legal warrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30310760) |
|
Date: April 20th, 2016 11:13 AM Author: passionate parlor I love this thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30310807) |
|
Date: April 24th, 2016 1:07 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30335375) |
|
Date: April 25th, 2016 10:37 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30346848) |
|
Date: April 26th, 2016 9:29 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30353572) |
|
Date: April 26th, 2016 9:31 PM Author: buff filthpig becky (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30353587) |
|
Date: April 30th, 2016 2:23 PM Author: magenta glittery dragon travel guidebook (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30378951) |
|
Date: May 1st, 2016 6:05 PM Author: vermilion bull headed forum Subject: A List of a Year of the Actual 538 Headlines JUN 16, 2015
Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart
JUL 16, 2015
Two Good Reasons Not To Take The Donald Trump ‘Surge’ Seriously
JUL 29, 2015
Donald Trump Is The Nickelback Of GOP Candidates
AUG 7, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win A War Against Fox News
AUG 7, 2015
Did The Debate Hurt Or Help Trump? Watch His Favorability Numbers.
AUG 11, 2015
Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination
AUG 14, 2015
Candidates In Donald Trump’s Position Have A Terrible Track Record
AUG 31, 2015
A Ben Carson Surge May Test Trump
SEP 2, 2015
Keep Calm And Ignore The 2016 ‘Game Changers’
SEP 8, 2015
If Donald Trump Can Win The Nomination, Ben Carson Could Too
SEP 17, 2015
We’re Bullish On Fiorina And (Still) Bearish On Trump After The Debate
SEP 24, 2015
Was The Second Debate The Beginning Of The End For Donald Trump?
OCT 20, 2015
Donald Trump Is Doomed And/Or Invincible
OCT 26, 2015
Can Ben Carson Really Take Out Donald Trump?
NOV 4, 2015
The GOP’s Primary Rules Might Doom Carson, Cruz And Trump
NOV 23, 2015
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
DEC 1, 2015
The Future Of Polling May Depend On Donald Trump’s Fate
DEC 2, 2015
Big Phony And Loser Nate Silver Can’t Even See Donald Trump Is A Winner! What A Joke!
DEC 4, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win Just Because More Voters Are Paying Attention
DEC 15, 2015
Trump Boom Or Trump Bubble?
DEC 17, 2015
Iowa’s Women Could Be Donald Trump’s Undoing
JAN 18, 2016
Donald Trump Is Really Unpopular With General Election Voters
JAN 19, 2016
Beware A GOP Calendar Front-Loaded With States Friendly To Trump And Cruz
JAN 19, 2016
Donald Trump Is Sarah Palin 2.0
JAN 21, 2016
One Big Reason To Be Less Skeptical Of Trump
JAN 26, 2016
Does Donald Trump Need To Win Iowa?
JAN 27, 2016
Sorry, Bloomberg: Trump Is Already A Third-Party Candidate
JAN 31, 2016
Donald Trump’s Support In Iowa Is Narrow But Deep
FEB 2, 2016
Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan
FEB 3, 2016
Why Iowa Changed Rubio’s And Trump’s Nomination Odds So Much
FEB 4, 2016
Trump Still Leads In New Hampshire, But The Ride Could Be Wild
FEB 5, 2016
Donald Trump Is Losing Ground On Google
FEB 9, 2016
Donald Trump Will Probably Win New Hampshire
FEB 10, 2016
John Kasich Is The Anti-Trump
FEB 17, 2016
Does Donald Trump Have A Ceiling?
FEB 18, 2016
The Pope Is Way More Popular Than Donald Trump
FEB 21, 2016
Trump Optimists And Trump Skeptics Are About To Go To War
FEB 22, 2016
Trump’s South Carolina Win Shows Evangelicals Aren’t Necessarily Voting On Their Faith
FEB 23, 2016
Nevada May Show Trump Can Win Even With Low Turnout
FEB 24, 2016
Nevada Was Great For Donald Trump, Bad For Ted Cruz
FEB 24, 2016
Republicans’ Last-Ditch Hope To Stop Donald Trump
FEB 26, 2016
Marco Rubio Finally Steps Up As The Anti-Trump
MAR 1, 2016
Super Tuesday Could Be Historic For Trump
MAR 2, 2016
Can Republicans Still Take The Nomination Away From Trump?
MAR 2, 2016
Donald Trump Is Just Barely On Track To Win The GOP Nomination
MAR 3, 2016
Republican Voters Kind Of Hate All Their Choices
MAR 4, 2016
Kasich May Have Cut Off Rubio’s Path To The Nomination
MAR 7, 2016
Donald Trump Would Be Easy To Stop Under Democratic Rules
MAR 7, 2016
Bloomberg Might Have Produced President Trump
MAR 8, 2016
Could Michigan Change The Course Of The GOP Race?
MAR 10, 2016
Ted Cruz Might Still Be Able To Stop Donald Trump
MAR 11, 2016
Don’t Sleep On Illinois And Missouri — They Could Help Make Trump Unstoppable
MAR 15, 2016
Trump Attack Ads Are Finally Popping Up, But They Might Be Too Late
MAR 16, 2016
It’s Still Not Clear That Donald Trump Will Get A Majority Of Delegates
MAR 16, 2016
Trump Voters’ Aversion To Foreign-Sounding Names Cost Him Delegates
MAR 21, 2016
Will Trump Clinch The GOP Nomination Before The Convention?
MAR 22, 2016
The Most Important States On Trump’s Path To 1,237 Delegates
MAR 23, 2016
Why Donald Trump?
MAR 23, 2016
How Far Jeb Bush Is Going To Stop Trump
MAR 25, 2016
Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November
MAR 25, 2016
What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like
MAR 29, 2016
Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan
MAR 29, 2016
One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women
MAR 30, 2016
How Trump Hacked The Media
MAR 31, 2016
Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump
APR 1, 2016
It’s Probably First Ballot Or Bust For Donald Trump At The GOP Convention
APR 5, 2016
The GOP’s Wacky Delegate Rules Are Helping Trump
APR 7, 2016
Trump’s New Magic Number Is 40 Percent Of The Vote
APR 8, 2016
Trump’s Support Would Be Easier To Explain With Better Polling
APR 11, 2016
Trump Is The Weakest GOP Front-Runner In The Modern Era
APR 11, 2016
Trump Made A Mistake By Overlooking Colorado
APR 11, 2016
Elections Podcast: Is Trump Blowing It?
APR 14, 2016
Trump’s Right That The GOP Primary Is Unfair — It Favors Him
APR 18, 2016
New York City’s Jewish Vote Might Win Cruz Or Kasich Key Delegates
APR 23, 2016
Trump’s ‘System Is Rigged’ Argument Is Working
APR 25, 2016
Trump Is Probably Going To Run Over Cruz And Kasich In The Northeast
APR 25, 2016
Will The Kasich-Cruz Alliance Work?
APR 27, 2016
It’s Trump’s Nomination To Lose* |
|
Date: November 7th, 2016 3:27 PM Author: vermilion bull headed forum (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31825048) |
|
Date: May 2nd, 2016 7:16 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30392947) |
|
Date: May 2nd, 2016 8:17 PM Author: brass space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30393360) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:26 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy The Mythology Of Trump’s ‘Working Class’ Support http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-mythology-of-trumps-working-class-support/ |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:35 PM Author: Navy beady-eyed brunch holy shit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30398720) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2016 9:15 PM Author: hairraiser spruce alpha pisswyrm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30402170) |
|
Date: May 4th, 2016 9:04 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30405223) |
|
Date: May 4th, 2016 9:33 AM Author: Spectacular Pale Point 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30405346) |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 9:23 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy Candidates who beat pundits' expectations in the primaries haven't done particularly well in the general election. https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/728211438427381760 |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 11:02 AM Author: bossy marvelous parlour national security agency Lol every response is "how about Obama?" What a hack (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30412976) |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 10:40 AM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office LOL 12 years in this place and I think I found my magnum opus, fml (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30412844) |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 11:05 AM Author: thriller avocado indian lodge factory reset button Yeah bro. You should mic drop and walk the fuck away. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30412994) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Charismatic Step-uncle's House This should be preserved for posterity in a library somewhere. I wish Nate Silver could see this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30504267) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:03 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30504223) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Trip round eye In no way will your answer affect my conviction that this is an all-time great first ballot HOF poast, I'm just curious: How long did it take you to put this masterstroke together? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30504268) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:14 AM Author: Charismatic Step-uncle's House cr. We need to get the entire story of his creative process down for future scholars to learn from. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30504274) |
|
Date: May 29th, 2016 4:16 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office lol I find something new in this thread every time I read it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30583536) |
|
Date: June 20th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30746085) |
|
Date: June 29th, 2016 1:03 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the White House in November, FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver predicted Wednesday.
FiveThirtyEight projected Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the general election against Donald Trump, who has just a 20 percent chance of succeeding President Barack Obama in the Oval Office. “Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America.” “There’s a lot of football left to be played, but she’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”
Indeed, a Ballotpedia survey of seven swing states released Wednesday shows the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee sweeping Trump in Iowa, Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia by margins ranging from 4 to 17 percentage points.
Silver, who correctly forecast 49 out of 50 states in 2008 and every state in 2012, noted that both camps “have a lot of room to grow,” but no candidate has blown a lead as large as Clinton’s advantage over Trump in nearly 30 years, when former Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis lost to George H.W. Bush despite maintaining a large lead coming out of the spring and summer.
“It’s been a crazy year, politically,” Silver said, adding that more states, particularly red states, are in play in 2016 than in previous elections. “For example, Arizona looks like a toss-up. Maybe Georgia. Maybe Missouri, North Carolina again.”
“Likewise,” Silver continued, “if Trump gains ground on Clinton then maybe a state like Maine — used to be a swing state, not so recently” — could be in play, too.
Silver also defended his August forecast that gave the billionaire businessman a 2 percent chance to win the GOP nomination.
“That wasn’t based on looking at polls. Trump was always ahead in the polls, and one big lesson of his campaign is don’t try and out-think the polls and try and out-think the American public,” Silver said. “And Trump has never really been ahead of Clinton in the general election campaign. He did a great job of appealing to the 40 percent of the GOP he had to win the election, the primary — a lot different than winning 51 percent of 100 percent.”
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/nate-silver-who-will-be-president-prediction-224931 |
|
Date: July 14th, 2016 10:24 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-when-to-freak-out-about-shocking-new-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30924907) |
|
Date: July 15th, 2016 2:16 AM Author: fragrant school cafeteria french chef (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30933127) |
|
Date: July 15th, 2016 2:47 AM Author: Lascivious ticket booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30933205) |
|
Date: July 17th, 2016 10:12 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30956384) |
|
Date: July 17th, 2016 10:13 PM Author: Spectacular Pale Point 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30956397) |
|
Date: July 21st, 2016 9:33 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-convention-is-flirting-with-disaster/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30987656) |
|
Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:38 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30999290) |
|
Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:39 AM Author: bright appetizing hospital psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#30999301) |
|
Date: July 23rd, 2016 2:41 AM Author: red contagious immigrant range Wow jesua (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31006876) |
|
Date: July 24th, 2016 10:48 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31020363) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2016 11:00 AM Author: sick puce station Nate Silver actually would find this hilarious, too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31022942) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2016 12:00 PM Author: stimulating harsh site amazing how accurate this is (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31023351) |
|
Date: July 27th, 2016 2:30 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office Wish I could profit off this gift. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31043518) |
|
Date: August 5th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31113817) |
|
Date: August 9th, 2016 8:10 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-polls-show-pennsylvania-back-in-clintons-firewall/ Let’s not bury the lead: Clinton is polling really well right now, and if you held an election today, she’d probably win in a landslide, possibly including states such as Georgia and Arizona along with most or all of the traditional swing states. |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:03 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office THEN: "August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" NOW: August 12, 2016: "What A Clinton Landslide Would Look Like" "That would work out to 471 electoral votes, to 67 for Trump, which would be fairly typical for a win of that magnitude. Dwight D. Eisenhower won 457 electoral votes when beating Adlai Stevenson by 15 points in 1956, for example. And Franklin D. Roosevelt won 472 electoral votes in 1932, in an 18-point win against Herbert Hoover. Clinton would be a ways short of Ronald Reagan’s 525 electoral votes in 1984, however." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-clinton-landslide-would-look-like/ |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:06 PM Author: Spectacular Pale Point holy shit did u edit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31172565) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:07 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office I never edit brother unless I am deleting a person's poasts. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31172569) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:14 PM Author: Crystalline cruise ship giraffe LOL if true. I believe you, bro. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31172627) |
|
Date: August 30th, 2016 12:45 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office THEN: August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." NOW: August 30, 2016: "So, not clear that Trump is improving, so much as Clinton is declining. People maybe jumped the gun in declaring her convention bounce over." http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/770653615916810240 |
|
Date: August 30th, 2016 1:26 PM Author: Spectacular Pale Point 180 i want 2 believe |
|
Date: September 6th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Spectacular Pale Point lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31345879) |
|
Date: September 13th, 2016 5:33 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy Polls Show Trump's Momentum Has Stalled http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/polls-show-trumps-momentum-has-stalled-for-now/ |
|
Date: September 14th, 2016 9:41 AM Author: stimulating harsh site ho lee fuk this is getting good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31404088) |
|
Date: September 14th, 2016 9:43 AM Author: Translucent sadistic lettuce Wow. Nailed July, August and early September (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31404101) |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: yapping irradiated crackhouse fat ankles September 15, 2016
"How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote"
RUH ROH LIBS |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: clear spot gaping September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story"
Compare OP's headline to this actual Salon headline today:
Poll panic is here! Yes, Trump is closing, but here’s why it’s meaningless
http://www.salon.com/2016/09/15/its-already-happening-yes-trump-is-closing-in-on-the-polls-but-heres-why-thats-meaningless/ |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:38 PM Author: insane knife clown god this is good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31413930) |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:40 PM Author: cracking cowardly lay windowlicker XO never not on point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31413938) |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:41 PM Author: Tripping Church Building (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31413954) |
|
Date: September 19th, 2016 1:18 PM Author: Overrated aromatic trailer park potus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31443744) |
|
Date: September 19th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: Overrated aromatic trailer park potus The AutoAdmit account should tweet this at nate silver. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31443779) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Spectacular Pale Point let's not cross the swords (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31503555) |
|
Date: September 24th, 2016 5:16 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31482152) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:22 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-won-the-debate-which-means-shes-likely-to-gain-in-the-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31503552) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Spectacular Pale Point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31503554) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Scarlet hunting ground This is arguably the greatest, most prescient poast in XO history. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31503556) |
|
Date: October 8th, 2016 8:43 PM Author: dashing light chad (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31592208) |
|
Date: July 29th, 2024 7:46 PM Author: Shaky Field (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#47906632) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 9:54 AM Author: stimulating harsh site http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-could-the-polls-be-missing/
vs
September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: Translucent sadistic lettuce (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31511665) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 10:00 AM Author: Spectacular Pale Point 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31511673) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 11:28 AM Author: passionate parlor This shit is turning out to be so accurate that I'm starting to suspect OP is a time traveling alien. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31512070) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 2:16 PM Author: aphrodisiac legend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31513385) |
|
Date: October 8th, 2016 8:41 PM Author: Know-it-all Glassy Hairy Legs Office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31592192) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: Spectacular Pale Point hey, this weekend wasnt in the script (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31594952) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: concupiscible lodge scourge upon the earth Trump's mistakes rise was probably a headline somewhere (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31594953) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: Spectacular Pale Point doesnt fit. a revelation of something he said 11 years ago isn't a mistake it's an october surprise (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31594954) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: Flushed odious mexican half the coverage treats it as if he said it just yesterday (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31594956) |
|
Date: October 10th, 2016 10:56 AM Author: stimulating harsh site nate silver simultaneously claiming that all "insta polls are garbage" while citing this poll as a good news for HILLARY:
It’s not clear that voters judge debates in the same way, however. A CNN poll of debate watchers found that even though most voters thought Trump exceeded expectations, 57 percent of them nevertheless declared Clinton the winner, compared with 34 percent for Trump. A YouGov poll of debate watchers showed a much closer outcome, but with Clinton also winning, 47 percent to 42 percent.
These instant-reaction polls actually do have a correlation with post-debate horse-race polls: The candidate who wins the former usually gains in the latter. Perhaps Clinton’s win was modest enough that this will be an exception, especially given that the sentiments of pundits and television commentators (which sometimes matter as much as the debate itself) were all over the map
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-second-debate-probably-didnt-help-trump-and-he-needed-help/
meanwhile:
Big Surprise: Trump Won Instant Junk Polls About Who Won The Debate
As Harry said, the instant online opt-in junk polls — call them troll polls, faux polls, clickers, or your favorite term for them — should be ignored as indicators of who really won. And after Trump touted his win in these junk polls after the first debate, and was widely ridiculed for it, he didn’t cite the junk polls that showed Pence beating Kaine in the vice-presidential debate. Nonetheless, Trump supporters appear to still be flooding these things. Trump’s getting 77 percent in a Heavy.com junk poll asking who won tonight’s debate, an identical 77 percent in Fox 5 San Diego’s and 90 percent in Drudge Report’s.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/second-presidential-debate-election-2016/
|
|
Date: October 30th, 2016 10:02 PM Author: sick puce station close enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31763265) |
|
Date: November 1st, 2016 12:35 AM Author: Lascivious ticket booth Almost there (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31772625) |
|
Date: November 1st, 2016 4:55 PM Author: cracking cowardly lay windowlicker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31777531) |
|
Date: November 2nd, 2016 8:24 AM Author: aggressive metal abode trust fund (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31782180) |
|
Date: November 2nd, 2016 6:59 PM Author: coral provocative piazza ape (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31786832) |
|
Date: November 7th, 2016 3:23 PM Author: stimulating harsh site prob the last time we can bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31825019) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: frum soul-stirring home idiot You say that but..... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31833310) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: stimulating harsh site true, the shitlibs can bump all they like (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31833315) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 7:59 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office ty for your sympathy bump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31839758) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:53 PM Author: stimulating harsh site ho lee fuk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31844114) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:04 PM Author: Rose mentally impaired doctorate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31842891) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:05 PM Author: Disturbing vivacious stead Tbf, he was the one that was the most bullish on Trump
LJL at Sam Wang who called 99% for Hillary |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:33 PM Author: doobsian razzle philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31843660) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:59 PM Author: Overrated aromatic trailer park potus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31844292) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 11:10 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31844674) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:07 AM Author: laughsome state twinkling uncleanness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31846281) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: yapping irradiated crackhouse fat ankles (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31846326) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:12 AM Author: gold school (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31846448) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:22 AM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31848552) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:25 AM Author: cracking cowardly lay windowlicker GOAT POTUS THREAD. ALL TIME HALL OF FAME (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31848608) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:28 AM Author: laughsome state twinkling uncleanness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31848693) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:30 AM Author: sick puce station it really deserves national attention (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31848755) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:31 AM Author: bossy marvelous parlour national security agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31848775) |
|
Date: December 3rd, 2016 2:00 AM Author: apoplectic party of the first part pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32044462) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: purple digit ratio (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32076291) |
|
Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: greedy bawdyhouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32165256) |
|
Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: pearl library yarmulke (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48187313) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:29 AM Author: Black Filthy Mood (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31848725) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:54 AM Author: heady canary sanctuary Historic. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31849301) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 2:03 AM Author: Pea-brained crawly headpube (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31849447) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 2:07 AM Author: Burgundy electric stage famous landscape painting 180
The anti-Rudolph. |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 3:37 AM Author: apoplectic party of the first part pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31851790) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 5:12 AM Author: Lascivious ticket booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31852918) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31854576) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: Charismatic Step-uncle's House this cannot be bumped enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31854584) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:52 AM Author: Spectacular Pale Point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31855383) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:59 AM Author: Lilac Arousing Plaza Athletic Conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31855482) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 6:51 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31863076) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: Flickering address (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31863082) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: godawful splenetic garrison candlestick maker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31863093) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 7:08 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office November 9, 2016: "We’ll have more to say about the polling in the coming days. But to a first approximation, people are probably giving the polls a little bit too much blame." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-difference-2-percentage-points-makes/ |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 7:26 PM Author: jade haunting boiling water you're fucking nostradamus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31863503) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 1:58 AM Author: Wild Ivory Chapel (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31866924) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:37 AM Author: Aquamarine fantasy-prone gunner native Here we go... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31868448) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 1:48 AM Author: insane knife clown bumped (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31866864) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 2:08 AM Author: Naked rehab patrolman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31867005) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:13 AM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office sorry I got it wrong, this is CNN, November 10, 2016: "'The polls clearly got it wrong': The autopsy will take months" http://money.cnn.com/2016/11/10/media/election-day-polls/index.html |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: stimulating harsh site ROFL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31868235) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: Silver sticky center (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31868543) |
|
Date: November 14th, 2016 4:42 PM Author: Overrated aromatic trailer park potus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31907692) |
|
Date: November 14th, 2016 4:43 PM Author: garnet nofapping public bath They're all heads attached to the same (((monster))) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31907697) |
|
Date: December 4th, 2016 6:17 PM Author: exciting juggernaut incel Extraordinary prescience itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32055646) |
|
Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: greedy bawdyhouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32165261) |
|
Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: pearl library yarmulke (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48187317) |
|
Date: November 25th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#31989410) |
|
Date: December 3rd, 2016 1:51 AM Author: Razzmatazz casino jap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32044435) |
|
Date: December 4th, 2016 6:15 PM Author: Flushed odious mexican GEPETTO'S CHECKMARK! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32055631) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:40 AM Author: stain den https://i.sli.mg/nElXDz.jpg (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32076268) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: insane knife clown (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32076292) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:56 AM Author: Razzmatazz casino jap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32076345) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 7:58 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32284600) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: drab karate wrinkle October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-read-too-much-into-early-voting/
OCT 27, 2016 AT 11:29 AM
Don’t Read Too Much Into Early Voting |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:03 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office ty, this & your "turning points" are PEAK XO. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32284631) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: drab karate wrinkle ITT we speculate who created Donald Trump
also a classic |
|
Date: March 3rd, 2020 9:23 AM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#39686962) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: insane knife clown truly magnificent (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32284649) |
|
Date: January 16th, 2017 10:57 PM Author: brass space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32389095) |
|
Date: January 20th, 2017 12:01 AM Author: drab karate wrinkle https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-real-story-of-2016/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32412323) |
|
Date: January 20th, 2017 12:24 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32416346) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:43 PM Author: drab karate wrinkle http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-electoral-college-blind-spot/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/it-wasnt-clintons-election-to-lose/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-invisible-undecided-voter/ |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: Know-it-all Glassy Hairy Legs Office TBF this is mostly 538 gloating about how they were one of the only outlets to give Trump a reasonable chance of winning and how most were ignoring these factors (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32441222) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:46 PM Author: drab karate wrinkle It's a well deserved gloat. They did a very good job on the general election after getting their teeth kicked in during the primary. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32441238) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:49 PM Author: pungent cuckold therapy I'm not sure I agree that they should be gloating given that they were pretty confident and ended up being wrong, but I do agree that they were better than pretty much any other similar source out there for the last week or so of the election. The cynic in me says that they probably just said 70% because they figured it was no-lose since they're either right or least wrong (as they ended up being).
What are those assholes at Princeton up to? |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:56 PM Author: Know-it-all Glassy Hairy Legs Office it's not like their number didn't change over time. IIRC it peaked around ~85% in the middle of the debates and slid over the last couple weeks when her lead was slipping
it's still basically an aggregator, just one that processes the numbers in a way to arrive at a more reasonable prediction % than others. e.g. princeton puts way too much faith in state polls not swinging by a good amount the last couple weeks (if I had to guess)
it seems they learned their lesson after taking the "party decides" BS as bible pre-primary and numbers-wise when they had Hillary >99% to win Michigan (state polls can be very volatile). obviously the staff is lib but that actual model is fine for what it is |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:58 PM Author: drab karate wrinkle The national polls and state polls favored Clinton. It was correct to have her as a favorite. Trump outperformed the national polls by 2 points. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32441319) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2017 4:32 PM Author: drab karate wrinkle https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ohio-was-a-bellwether-after-all/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32458110) |
|
Date: January 26th, 2017 4:19 PM Author: drab karate wrinkle https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/early-voting-was-a-misleading-indicator/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32466804) |
|
Date: February 6th, 2017 6:42 PM Author: drab karate wrinkle https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-had-a-superior-electoral-college-strategy/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32560776) |
|
Date: February 13th, 2017 2:51 PM Author: drab karate wrinkle https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clintons-ground-game-didnt-cost-her-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32612572) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2017 6:25 PM Author: drab karate wrinkle https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-you-shouldnt-always-trust-the-inside-scoop/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32714310) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2017 1:52 PM Author: drab karate wrinkle https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probably-cost-clinton-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#33221553) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2017 4:47 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#33222883) |
|
Date: September 21st, 2017 8:38 AM Author: drab karate wrinkle https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-media-has-a-probability-problem/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34257967) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: Hateful talented menage this seriously needs mainstream coverage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32441221) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2017 6:39 PM Author: cracking cowardly lay windowlicker One of the greatest things made on this great bort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32714399) |
|
Date: March 22nd, 2017 7:01 PM Author: gaped hilarious stage background story (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#32891711) |
|
Date: April 17th, 2017 9:53 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#33097887) |
|
Date: May 8th, 2017 12:36 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861611275717156868 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#33256991) |
|
Date: June 20th, 2017 9:18 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#33605191) |
|
Date: August 10th, 2017 3:50 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office What Kind Of Republican Might Challenge Trump In 2020? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-kind-of-republican-might-challenge-trump-in-2020/ |
|
Date: October 15th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-it-safe-to-say-trump-is-a-favorite-to-win-re-election/amp/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34449074) |
|
Date: October 15th, 2017 4:47 PM Author: brass space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34449102) |
|
Date: October 15th, 2017 4:53 PM Author: Low-t Orchestra Pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34449138) |
|
Date: November 6th, 2017 10:06 AM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34615930) |
|
Date: November 6th, 2017 10:09 AM Author: Soggy shrine corn cake credit where it's massively due (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34615959) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2017 3:45 PM Author: alcoholic dysfunction (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34636123) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: impertinent friendly grandma (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34636459) |
|
Date: November 13th, 2017 1:43 AM Author: Idiotic hideous business firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34673088) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2017 11:47 AM Author: brass space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34948560) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2017 11:50 AM Author: Spectacular Pale Point Will Passing The Tax Bill Help The GOP In 2018? Probably Not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34948572) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2017 3:44 PM Author: brass space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#34950581) |
|
Date: January 30th, 2018 3:02 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#35278621) |
|
Date: June 1st, 2018 7:46 PM Author: insane knife clown (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#36168381) |
|
Date: July 18th, 2018 10:15 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/would-republicans-be-better-off-if-clinton-were-president/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#36451135) |
|
Date: July 19th, 2018 11:53 AM Author: brass space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#36458802) |
|
Date: September 20th, 2018 7:28 AM Author: Tripping Church Building (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#36847087) |
|
Date: September 25th, 2018 11:32 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy The GOP’s Least-Worst Option Is If Kavanaugh Withdraws — And Soon https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gops-least-worst-option-is-if-kavanaugh-withdraws-and-soon/ SEE OP: "January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" " |
|
Date: October 6th, 2018 4:22 PM Author: maniacal salmon dog poop sound barrier It's about time for the OP's last prediction to come true (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#36973680) |
|
Date: October 6th, 2018 4:23 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office lol 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#36973690) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2018 12:04 AM Author: insane knife clown (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37090167) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2018 12:09 AM Author: clear spot gaping Man, this was a really great thread. Spectacular. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37090191) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:05 AM Author: maize crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37161974) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 9:58 AM Author: insane knife clown (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37161955) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: gaped hilarious stage background story (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37162045) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:58 PM Author: insane knife clown (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37167335) |
|
Date: January 8th, 2019 3:58 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy What Would It Take For Trump To Get Primaried? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-would-it-take-for-trump-to-get-primaried/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37553376) |
|
Date: February 23rd, 2019 10:41 PM Author: Grizzly Adulterous Internal Respiration (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#37833345) |
|
Date: March 13th, 2019 11:17 AM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office Brendan makes some good points here. All that said, my main point would be this — a lot of people misremember Trump bucking the CW and winning the 2016 nomination as a “polls were wrong” case when actually it was an “sophisticated experts dismissed the polls” case. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1105835180281991170 Yeah, this. Trump didn't lead the polls at *this* stage, but he did from summer 2015 on as people like me kept coming up with elaborate explanations for why he'd lose to Rubio etc. He's a good data point for "'experts' are full of shit, so you might as well go with the polls." https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1105848702986526726
|
|
Date: June 24th, 2019 9:04 AM Author: maize crotch There was a new leader every 2 weeks in the 2012 primary. Polls can’t predict future changes. Trump stuck, Herman Caine didn’t, but yeah, experts are full of shit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#38431500) |
|
Date: June 24th, 2019 8:06 AM Author: Autistic senate laser beams (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#38431431) |
|
Date: November 18th, 2019 3:05 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#39135638) |
|
Date: February 12th, 2020 12:14 PM Author: cracking cowardly lay windowlicker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#39583415) |
|
Date: February 12th, 2020 1:03 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#39583624) |
|
Date: March 24th, 2020 10:12 AM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#39849854) |
|
Date: March 24th, 2020 10:16 AM Author: Deranged area (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#39849877) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 12:07 PM Author: fragrant school cafeteria french chef (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#39938878) |
|
Date: April 26th, 2020 4:40 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#40097972) |
|
Date: May 13th, 2020 6:37 AM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-on-tuesday-could-hint-at-another-blue-wave-in-2020/amp/ In case you don't get the joke, the Republican in Wisconsin won by 14, & the Republican in California is up 10 with most ballots in for a seat Dems have held since 1998. |
|
Date: June 5th, 2020 2:05 PM Author: fragrant school cafeteria french chef (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#40354730) |
|
Date: June 5th, 2020 3:46 PM Author: transparent keepsake machete base (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#40355911) |
|
Date: September 9th, 2020 11:46 PM Author: fragrant school cafeteria french chef (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#40896459) |
|
Date: September 9th, 2020 11:56 PM Author: cracking cowardly lay windowlicker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#40896523) |
|
Date: September 9th, 2020 11:57 PM Author: dead newt Lmao never forget (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#40896526) |
|
Date: September 12th, 2020 1:55 PM Author: fear-inspiring location volcanic crater (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#40908695) |
|
Date: September 24th, 2020 9:25 AM Author: ocher theater (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#40977795) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2020 11:09 AM Author: Autistic senate laser beams (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41079968) |
|
Date: October 10th, 2020 9:10 PM Author: brass space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41088157) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:24 PM Author: flesh electric furnace (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41166967) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:27 PM Author: apoplectic party of the first part pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41166990) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: Orchid rigpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41167039) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:37 PM Author: Orchid rigpig https://imgur.com/a/mXMUHui (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41167053) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:57 AM Author: charcoal telephone pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#44203011) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2020 5:47 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41200021) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2020 11:29 PM Author: gaped hilarious stage background story (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41202581) |
|
Date: October 30th, 2020 2:57 PM Author: Autistic senate laser beams (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41222868) |
|
Date: November 3rd, 2020 9:51 PM Author: brass space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#41261120) |
|
Date: March 22nd, 2022 11:29 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#44196611) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:51 AM Author: insecure poppy resort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#44202968) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:54 AM Author: national hissy fit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#44202984) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:58 AM Author: white puppy trump supporter 180 and prescient (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#44203017) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#44911871) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: dead newt A classic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#44911874) |
|
Date: October 23rd, 2022 4:13 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#45378008) |
|
Date: November 16th, 2022 6:19 AM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office Why DeSantis Is a Major Threat to Trump's Reelection
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-desantis-is-a-major-threat-to-trumps-reelection/ |
|
Date: April 25th, 2023 1:31 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle slimy box office https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1650899579234140168 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#46237455) |
|
Date: April 25th, 2023 1:33 PM Author: Charismatic Step-uncle's House why was disney employing this guy anyways (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#46237460) |
|
Date: April 29th, 2023 7:52 PM Author: ocher theater (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#46252623) |
|
Date: May 28th, 2023 3:10 PM Author: Shaky Field FOCK!
This still hurts to read |
|
Date: February 22nd, 2024 4:54 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#47428670) |
|
Date: February 23rd, 2024 4:00 AM Author: ocher theater (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#47430198) |
|
Date: May 23rd, 2024 4:51 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/is-the-biden-campaign-running-on-false-hope As FiveThirtyEight makes clear in their piece, “While the polls in a few closely watched races—like Arizona’s governorship and Pennsylvania’s Senate seat—were biased toward Republicans, the polls overall still had a bit of a bias toward Democrats. That’s because generic-ballot polls, the most common type of poll last cycle, had a weighted-average bias of D+1.9, and polls of several less closely watched races, like the governorships in Ohio and Florida, also skewed toward Democrats.”
I’m ending the interview. I’m ending the interview because what you’re doing is ridiculous.
Wait, wait—why?
Because I have definitive proof that what you’re saying is not true. And I don’t care. I know what FiveThirtyEight wrote. I live this every day. And so, the point is what you’re saying is wrong. I am on record saying that what FiveThirtyEight has written is incorrect, and I’ve given you definitive proof otherwise. So if you want to keep coming back at this, do it. But this has become one of the most ridiculous interviews that I’ve ever done my entire professional career. |
|
Date: August 26th, 2024 3:52 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48010724) |
|
Date: September 13th, 2024 11:24 PM Author: ocher theater (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48087201) |
|
Date: September 13th, 2024 11:32 PM Author: dead newt One of the GOAT threads of all time (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48087224) |
|
Date: October 18th, 2024 1:46 PM Author: ocher theater (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48211967) |
|
Date: October 11th, 2024 12:45 PM Author: pearl library yarmulke (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48187302) |
|
Date: November 6th, 2024 5:16 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48296972) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2025 11:30 PM Author: bossy marvelous parlour national security agency 538 is being shut down. This post is now complete. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48715841) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2025 11:32 PM Author: bossy marvelous parlour national security agency https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1897135211810545835?s=46 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48715847) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2025 11:33 PM Author: Tripping Church Building Lol actually his model was right at almost every turn
*facts cum* |
|
Date: March 4th, 2025 11:37 PM Author: pearl library yarmulke The post isn't fully complete until Nate Silver passes peacefully away from full blown AIDS (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48715863) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2025 11:41 PM Author: police squad He has to be sucking cock at the port authority for bus fare to complete the circle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48715869) |
|
Date: March 5th, 2025 8:13 AM Author: claret disgusting hominid boistinker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48716330) |
|
Date: March 7th, 2025 11:34 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48724299) |
|
Date: March 7th, 2025 11:36 AM Author: Kink-friendly jewess 538 is now 404 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48724306) |
|
Date: March 8th, 2025 5:10 AM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy "How Trump Killed 538" https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/03/07/fivethirtyeight-nate-silver-election-polls/ |
|
Date: March 8th, 2025 7:12 AM Author: Hyperactive nubile indirect expression Was just thinking about this poast the other day and how much went into maeking it. Truly a work of art. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48727216) |
|
Date: March 8th, 2025 12:42 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy Holy shit it's all gone, they beleted everything. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#48727802) |
|
Date: February 18th, 2026 11:20 PM Author: Hateful talented menage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#49679495) |
|
Date: May 15th, 2026 12:08 PM Author: Floppy mustard genital piercing really tough guy ABC News has now taken all FiveThirtyEight articles completely offline. They now redirect to abcnews dot com/politics. A needless erasure of thousands of pages of knowledge. https://x.com/baseballot/status/2055309076209492208 |
|
Date: May 17th, 2026 11:01 AM Author: Dull Black Woman i sense that there is a bit of a movement to shame ABC into providing access again.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/16/business/media/fivethirtyeight-abc-removed.html |
|
Date: August 11th, 2026 2:24 AM Author: coalition of rabbis Weird how 99% of the internet disappeared one day (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ГѓЖ’#50060136) |