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The Next Twelve Months of Nate Silver's 538.com Headlines:
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 12/10/15 |
| Stirring canary stock car | 12/12/15 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 01/02/17 |
| Arousing national | 01/06/16 |
| Bearded blathering french chef becky | 01/06/16 |
| Bearded blathering french chef becky | 06/05/16 |
| excitant aqua nursing home circlehead | 03/26/16 |
| Racy stag film travel guidebook | 01/02/17 |
| narrow-minded sound barrier alpha | 10/25/18 |
| topaz national security agency | 12/10/15 |
| silver psychic | 12/10/15 |
| fantasy-prone boltzmann | 12/10/15 |
| Titillating goyim | 12/10/15 |
| big geriatric hall | 12/15/15 |
| scarlet new version | 12/10/15 |
| Soggy Step-uncle's House | 12/10/15 |
| Trip personal credit line | 12/10/15 |
| smoky library | 12/11/15 |
| rose pit death wish | 12/12/15 |
| curious crawly codepig factory reset button | 12/16/15 |
| Carnelian Reading Party | 01/04/16 |
| electric trailer park foreskin | 11/09/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 12/11/15 |
| Flushed contagious digit ratio church building | 12/11/15 |
| spectacular hospital telephone | 12/11/15 |
| smoky library | 12/11/15 |
| dark boiling water volcanic crater | 12/12/15 |
| dashing principal's office | 01/25/16 |
| Exhilarant Green Parlour | 11/10/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 12/12/15 |
| Concupiscible pozpig base | 12/12/15 |
| Useless Insecure Property Round Eye | 12/12/15 |
| Wine house-broken abode | 12/12/15 |
| anal know-it-all market quadroon | 12/15/15 |
| mauve bat-shit-crazy parlor | 12/21/15 |
| bright lascivious piazza roast beef | 12/12/15 |
| Razzle-dazzle house | 12/12/15 |
| bistre shaky hell | 12/12/15 |
| Sooty Boyish Lay | 12/12/15 |
| lavender fanboi | 12/12/15 |
| irradiated stubborn ticket booth | 12/12/15 |
| Soggy Step-uncle's House | 12/15/15 |
| Soggy Step-uncle's House | 12/16/15 |
| Jet Dog Poop | 12/15/15 |
| Bisexual chapel | 12/15/15 |
| diverse athletic conference | 12/15/15 |
| Flesh Tanning Salon Karate | 12/15/15 |
| Crimson Vivacious Mood Resort | 12/15/15 |
| Apoplectic Provocative Dysfunction | 12/15/15 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 12/15/15 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 12/15/15 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 12/15/15 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 12/15/15 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 12/15/15 |
| wonderful half-breed plaza | 01/05/16 |
| dashing principal's office | 01/25/16 |
| Sienna razzmatazz senate black woman | 12/17/16 |
| galvanic bronze faggot firefighter center | 05/18/16 |
| drab rambunctious elastic band field | 08/12/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 11/09/16 |
| saffron pungent pervert | 11/09/16 |
| nofapping gay wizard | 11/09/16 |
| Magenta Theater Masturbator | 10/22/20 |
| iridescent costumed lettuce | 12/15/15 |
| Flickering pale scourge upon the earth | 12/16/15 |
| Brindle Dopamine Sanctuary | 12/16/15 |
| Sapphire Sick Forum | 12/16/15 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 12/16/15 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 12/17/15 |
| Pea-brained jewess cuckold | 12/18/15 |
| Arousing national | 01/06/16 |
| Maroon location skinny woman | 12/18/15 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 12/21/15 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 12/21/15 |
| mauve bat-shit-crazy parlor | 12/21/15 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 12/30/15 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 12/30/15 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 01/04/16 |
| Carnelian Reading Party | 01/04/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 01/05/16 |
| dashing principal's office | 01/25/16 |
| Pea-brained jewess cuckold | 01/05/16 |
| Lilac Orchestra Pit | 01/05/16 |
| vermilion school weed whacker | 01/05/16 |
| mewling meetinghouse | 01/05/16 |
| thriller frisky corner | 01/05/16 |
| mewling meetinghouse | 01/05/16 |
| Arousing national | 01/06/16 |
| mewling meetinghouse | 01/06/16 |
| thriller frisky corner | 01/05/16 |
| drab rambunctious elastic band field | 01/06/16 |
| mauve bat-shit-crazy parlor | 01/07/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 01/08/16 |
| Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole | 01/08/16 |
| mauve bat-shit-crazy parlor | 01/08/16 |
| Pea-brained jewess cuckold | 01/09/16 |
| mauve bat-shit-crazy parlor | 01/10/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 01/18/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 01/19/16 |
| Pea-brained jewess cuckold | 01/21/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 01/25/16 |
| Swashbuckling party of the first part affirmative action | 01/25/16 |
| dashing principal's office | 01/25/16 |
| Swashbuckling party of the first part affirmative action | 02/09/16 |
| Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole | 09/06/16 |
| Arousing national | 11/05/18 |
| Harsh incel | 01/29/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 02/01/16 |
| Fiercely-loyal passionate box office gaming laptop | 02/01/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 02/01/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 02/07/16 |
| Lilac Orchestra Pit | 02/09/16 |
| brilliant soul-stirring set | 02/09/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 02/20/16 |
| Purple tripping theatre kitty cat | 02/20/16 |
| galvanic bronze faggot firefighter center | 02/24/16 |
| onyx heaven tank | 02/24/16 |
| Multi-colored cerise nowag | 02/27/16 |
| Jet Dog Poop | 03/09/16 |
| Mint institution nibblets | 03/15/16 |
| fantasy-prone boltzmann | 03/15/16 |
| Bisexual chapel | 03/16/16 |
| Clear son of senegal | 02/24/16 |
| Mentally impaired den | 02/24/16 |
| Bisexual chapel | 07/21/16 |
| Nubile Office | 02/24/16 |
| fantasy-prone boltzmann | 02/27/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 03/02/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 03/04/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 03/09/16 |
| Lilac Orchestra Pit | 03/09/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 03/15/16 |
| galvanic bronze faggot firefighter center | 03/15/16 |
| Fighting stimulating candlestick maker corn cake | 03/15/16 |
| Slate school cafeteria partner | 03/15/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 03/16/16 |
| Soggy Step-uncle's House | 03/16/16 |
| saffron pungent pervert | 03/23/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 03/23/16 |
| bistre shaky hell | 03/26/16 |
| Red Generalized Bond Ceo | 03/26/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 03/26/16 |
| wonderful half-breed plaza | 03/28/16 |
| saffron pungent pervert | 03/28/16 |
| silver psychic | 03/28/16 |
| drab rambunctious elastic band field | 08/12/16 |
| Arousing national | 11/05/18 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 03/28/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 03/29/16 |
| Histrionic Philosopher-king | 03/29/16 |
| Histrionic Philosopher-king | 03/29/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 03/29/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 03/29/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 04/01/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 04/04/16 |
| Histrionic Philosopher-king | 04/15/16 |
| ebony sex offender | 04/15/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 04/19/16 |
| Violent church degenerate | 04/20/16 |
| hideous crackhouse filthpig | 04/20/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 04/24/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 04/25/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 04/26/16 |
| drunken vibrant main people mad-dog skullcap | 04/26/16 |
| Slap-happy Up-to-no-good Business Firm | 04/30/16 |
| Burgundy bawdyhouse | 05/01/16 |
| Burgundy bawdyhouse | 11/07/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 05/02/16 |
| saffron pungent pervert | 05/02/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 05/03/16 |
| Violet Doctorate Casino | 05/03/16 |
| deep mahogany range hunting ground | 05/03/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 05/04/16 |
| Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole | 05/04/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 05/05/16 |
| Sooty Boyish Lay | 05/05/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 05/05/16 |
| Mentally impaired den | 05/05/16 |
| Concupiscible pozpig base | 05/18/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 05/18/16 |
| galvanic bronze faggot firefighter center | 05/18/16 |
| Concupiscible pozpig base | 05/18/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 05/29/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 06/20/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 06/29/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 07/14/16 |
| lime haunting keepsake machete | 07/15/16 |
| drab rambunctious elastic band field | 07/15/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 07/17/16 |
| Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole | 07/17/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 07/21/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 07/22/16 |
| milky home | 07/22/16 |
| Cracking ratface | 07/23/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 07/24/16 |
| Grizzly Area Associate | 07/25/16 |
| Histrionic Philosopher-king | 07/25/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 07/27/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 08/05/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 08/09/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 08/12/16 |
| Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole | 08/12/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 08/12/16 |
| Odious Stead Trump Supporter | 08/12/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 08/30/16 |
| Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole | 08/30/16 |
| Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole | 09/06/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 09/13/16 |
| Histrionic Philosopher-king | 09/14/16 |
| bright lascivious piazza roast beef | 09/14/16 |
| Bateful Shrine Newt | 09/15/16 |
| Amethyst laser beams state | 09/15/16 |
| Bearded blathering french chef becky | 09/15/16 |
| Duck-like azn roommate | 09/15/16 |
| aggressive ultramarine cuck | 09/15/16 |
| adventurous cruise ship | 09/19/16 |
| adventurous cruise ship | 09/19/16 |
| Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole | 09/27/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 09/24/16 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 09/27/16 |
| Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole | 09/27/16 |
| Soggy Step-uncle's House | 09/27/16 |
| Tan Sexy Juggernaut Brunch | 10/08/16 |
| at-the-ready space | 07/29/24 |
| Histrionic Philosopher-king | 09/28/16 |
| bright lascivious piazza roast beef | 09/28/16 |
| Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole | 09/28/16 |
| hideous crackhouse filthpig | 09/28/16 |
| ebony sex offender | 09/28/16 |
| ocher appetizing depressive | 10/08/16 |
| Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole | 10/09/16 |
| Nighttime marvelous university | 10/09/16 |
| Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole | 10/09/16 |
| Orange ungodly kitchen headpube | 10/09/16 |
| Histrionic Philosopher-king | 10/10/16 |
| Grizzly Area Associate | 10/30/16 |
| drab rambunctious elastic band field | 11/01/16 |
| Duck-like azn roommate | 11/01/16 |
| judgmental stage yarmulke | 11/02/16 |
| Flesh Tanning Salon Karate | 11/02/16 |
| Histrionic Philosopher-king | 11/07/16 |
| Gold native | 11/08/16 |
| Histrionic Philosopher-king | 11/08/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 11/08/16 |
| Histrionic Philosopher-king | 11/08/16 |
| gay floppy marketing idea menage | 11/08/16 |
| Mind-boggling Cobalt Clown Potus | 11/08/16 |
| Fiercely-loyal passionate box office gaming laptop | 11/08/16 |
| adventurous cruise ship | 11/08/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 11/08/16 |
| hilarious locale police squad | 11/09/16 |
| Bateful Shrine Newt | 11/09/16 |
| obsidian laughsome theater stage dingle berry | 11/09/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 11/09/16 |
| Duck-like azn roommate | 11/09/16 |
| hilarious locale police squad | 11/09/16 |
| Grizzly Area Associate | 11/09/16 |
| Sooty Boyish Lay | 11/09/16 |
| cruel-hearted vigorous mexican | 12/03/16 |
| Exhilarant Green Parlour | 12/07/16 |
| Sienna razzmatazz senate black woman | 12/17/16 |
| Buck-toothed chrome legal warrant | 10/11/24 |
| Sickened Exciting Mental Disorder People Who Are Hurt | 11/09/16 |
| shivering primrose garrison feces | 11/09/16 |
| 180 point idiot | 11/09/16 |
| flatulent temple | 11/09/16 |
| cruel-hearted vigorous mexican | 11/09/16 |
| drab rambunctious elastic band field | 11/09/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 11/09/16 |
| Concupiscible pozpig base | 11/09/16 |
| Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole | 11/09/16 |
| Thirsty lodge | 11/09/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 11/09/16 |
| Heady Glassy Stage Messiness | 11/09/16 |
| glittery rough-skinned striped hyena antidepressant drug | 11/09/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 11/09/16 |
| Titillating goyim | 11/09/16 |
| Maroon location skinny woman | 11/10/16 |
| Swashbuckling party of the first part affirmative action | 11/10/16 |
| Bearded blathering french chef becky | 11/10/16 |
| Citrine gas station | 11/10/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 11/10/16 |
| Histrionic Philosopher-king | 11/10/16 |
| Purple tripping theatre kitty cat | 11/10/16 |
| adventurous cruise ship | 11/14/16 |
| hairraiser abusive rehab jap | 11/14/16 |
| Aromatic Lemon Dilemma Gaping | 12/04/16 |
| Sienna razzmatazz senate black woman | 12/17/16 |
| Buck-toothed chrome legal warrant | 10/11/24 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 11/25/16 |
| charismatic khaki station | 12/03/16 |
| Orange ungodly kitchen headpube | 12/04/16 |
| indecent indian lodge puppy | 12/07/16 |
| Bearded blathering french chef becky | 12/07/16 |
| charismatic khaki station | 12/07/16 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 01/02/17 |
| tantric locus regret | 01/02/17 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 01/02/17 |
| tantric locus regret | 01/02/17 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 03/03/20 |
| Bearded blathering french chef becky | 01/02/17 |
| saffron pungent pervert | 01/16/17 |
| tantric locus regret | 01/20/17 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 01/20/17 |
| tantric locus regret | 01/23/17 |
| ocher appetizing depressive | 01/23/17 |
| tantric locus regret | 01/23/17 |
| orchid whorehouse | 01/23/17 |
| ocher appetizing depressive | 01/23/17 |
| tantric locus regret | 01/23/17 |
| tantric locus regret | 01/25/17 |
| tantric locus regret | 01/26/17 |
| tantric locus regret | 02/06/17 |
| tantric locus regret | 02/13/17 |
| tantric locus regret | 02/27/17 |
| tantric locus regret | 05/03/17 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 05/03/17 |
| tantric locus regret | 09/21/17 |
| fantasy-prone boltzmann | 01/23/17 |
| Duck-like azn roommate | 02/27/17 |
| Arousing national | 03/22/17 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 04/17/17 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 05/08/17 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 06/20/17 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 08/10/17 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 10/15/17 |
| saffron pungent pervert | 10/15/17 |
| spruce swollen haunted graveyard wagecucks | 10/15/17 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 11/06/17 |
| supple plum address coldplay fan | 11/06/17 |
| Cerebral Olive Shitlib Therapy | 11/08/17 |
| talented coiffed spot legend | 11/08/17 |
| razzle filthy toaster | 11/13/17 |
| saffron pungent pervert | 12/18/17 |
| Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole | 12/18/17 |
| saffron pungent pervert | 12/18/17 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 01/30/18 |
| Bearded blathering french chef becky | 06/01/18 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 07/18/18 |
| saffron pungent pervert | 07/19/18 |
| aggressive ultramarine cuck | 09/20/18 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 09/25/18 |
| silver psychic | 10/06/18 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 10/06/18 |
| Bearded blathering french chef becky | 10/25/18 |
| Amethyst laser beams state | 10/25/18 |
| dashing principal's office | 11/05/18 |
| Bearded blathering french chef becky | 11/05/18 |
| Arousing national | 11/05/18 |
| Bearded blathering french chef becky | 11/05/18 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 01/08/19 |
| beady-eyed rigpig site | 02/23/19 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 03/13/19 |
| dashing principal's office | 06/24/19 |
| aphrodisiac | 06/24/19 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 11/18/19 |
| Duck-like azn roommate | 02/12/20 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 02/12/20 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 03/24/20 |
| fragrant insanely creepy international law enforcement agency | 03/24/20 |
| lime haunting keepsake machete | 04/04/20 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 04/26/20 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 05/13/20 |
| lime haunting keepsake machete | 06/05/20 |
| macaca | 06/05/20 |
| lime haunting keepsake machete | 09/09/20 |
| Duck-like azn roommate | 09/09/20 |
| topaz national security agency | 09/09/20 |
| Metal mischievous | 09/12/20 |
| Confused twinkling uncleanness | 09/24/20 |
| aphrodisiac | 10/09/20 |
| saffron pungent pervert | 10/10/20 |
| Bull Headed Dragon | 10/22/20 |
| cruel-hearted vigorous mexican | 10/22/20 |
| Magenta Theater Masturbator | 10/22/20 |
| Magenta Theater Masturbator | 10/22/20 |
| disturbing place of business windowlicker | 03/23/22 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 10/27/20 |
| Arousing national | 10/27/20 |
| aphrodisiac | 10/30/20 |
| saffron pungent pervert | 11/03/20 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 03/22/22 |
| snowy big-titted | 03/23/22 |
| Charcoal gunner | 03/23/22 |
| 03/23/22 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 07/25/22 |
| topaz national security agency | 07/25/22 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 10/23/22 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 11/16/22 |
| Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting | 04/25/23 |
| Concupiscible pozpig base | 04/25/23 |
| Confused twinkling uncleanness | 04/29/23 |
| at-the-ready space | 05/28/23 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 02/22/24 |
| Confused twinkling uncleanness | 02/23/24 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 05/23/24 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 08/26/24 |
| Confused twinkling uncleanness | 09/13/24 |
| topaz national security agency | 09/13/24 |
| Confused twinkling uncleanness | 10/18/24 |
| Buck-toothed chrome legal warrant | 10/11/24 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 11/06/24 |
| Sooty Boyish Lay | 03/04/25 |
| Sooty Boyish Lay | 03/04/25 |
| aggressive ultramarine cuck | 03/04/25 |
| Buck-toothed chrome legal warrant | 03/04/25 |
| low-t turquoise | 03/04/25 |
| Arrogant crotch | 03/05/25 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 03/07/25 |
| Disgusting pocket flask organic girlfriend | 03/07/25 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 03/08/25 |
| walnut | 03/08/25 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 03/08/25 |
| fantasy-prone boltzmann | 02/18/26 |
| Sadistic motley community account deer antler | 05/15/26 |
| indirect expression | 05/17/26 |
| coalition of rabbis | 08/11/26 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:48 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting December 12, 2015: "Anticipating Trump's Black Swan" December 18, 2015: "As Voters Flee Carson, Is Trump Harmed Most?" December 30, 2015: "The Fickle Iowa Voter and the Biggest Trump Problem" January 8, 2016: "Cruz's Rise Harms Trump Most" January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" January 22, 2016: "Trump's Independent Bid Would Fare Worse Than His Republican One" January 29, 2016: "The Herding Effect and Trump's Polling Problem" February 2, 2016: "Trump's Landslide in Iowa, But a Narrow Delegate Victory" February 4, 2016: "The House Effects Lifting Trump's Numbers in New Hampshire" February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why." February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?" February 11, 2016: "Rubio's Exit May Be Trump's Death Blow" February 17, 2016: "Clinton the Greatest Threat to Trump's Nomination" February 26, 2016: "Religious Conservatives and the Trump Dilemma" February 28, 2016: "Three Wins in Three Elections? Not So Fast" March 17, 2016: "The Brokered Convention, or Why Trump's Chances Look Worse Than Ever" March 30, 2016: "Glacial Pace of Delegates Slows Lumbering Trump" April 7, 2016: "A Closer Look at the Fractured Republican Party" April 27, 2016: "Even If Trump Wins, What Will Independents Think?" May 7, 2016: "The Coming Clinton Cascade" May 19, 2016: "Here's What the Brokered Convention That Defies Trump Looks Like" June 11, 2016: "Behind the Numbers: Delegate Math and the Convention" July 21, 2016: "Eight Takeaways from Trump's Convention Speech--Closer to Hitler than Reagan" August 1, 2016: "Clinton Stronger Than Ever as Trump's Popularity Appears Fleeting" August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story" September 18, 2016: "Behind the Presidential Debate: A Good Night for Clinton" September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise" October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" October 29, 2016: "Clarity from House Effects and Clinton's Decided Silent Majority" November 9, 2016: "It'll Take Months to Sort Out How Trump Won" November 22, 2016: "Trump's Reelection Chances Look Dicey January 20, 2017: 404 Hosting Error |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Stirring canary stock car (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29364653) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32284620) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:43 AM Author: Arousing national (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29532817) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:46 AM Author: Bearded blathering french chef becky (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29532846) |
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Date: June 5th, 2016 5:46 PM Author: Bearded blathering french chef becky another bump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30631018) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 10:16 PM Author: excitant aqua nursing home circlehead 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30144195) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:00 PM Author: Racy stag film travel guidebook (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32284612) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:11 AM Author: narrow-minded sound barrier alpha "October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise"? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#37090197) |
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:49 PM Author: topaz national security agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29351706) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:52 PM Author: silver psychic 1800000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29351728) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: fantasy-prone boltzmann 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29351742) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: Titillating goyim Fantastic work ITT (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29351744) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:08 PM Author: big geriatric hall (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29384172) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:55 PM Author: scarlet new version FUCK | THIS | KIKE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29351749) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:56 PM Author: Soggy Step-uncle's House Poasting in a historic thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29351753) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: Trip personal credit line Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Not saying that Trump cant win but you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:21 PM Author: smoky library (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29359932) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 4:17 PM Author: rose pit death wish Nate Silver's 08 and 12 predictions were accurate and based almost entirely on polling data. his prediction that trump will lose is obviously not based on polling data (which is highly favorable for Trump), but an assumption that someone like Trump can't win. we shouldn't put much value in the non-quantitative political analysis of a poll aggregator. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29364985) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: curious crawly codepig factory reset button Is he propagandizing or believing what he wishes? Hard to imagine such a shift from such a quantitative guy. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29392387) |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:31 PM Author: Carnelian Reading Party Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: TannerBoyle
Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Trump cant win and you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351956) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: electric trailer park foreskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31854764) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:05 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29359811) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:07 PM Author: Flushed contagious digit ratio church building (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29359818) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:10 PM Author: spectacular hospital telephone 180 million (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29359849) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:20 PM Author: smoky library November 9th 2016: s.e.g.a. sucking cock at Port Authority for bus fare (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29359926) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: dark boiling water volcanic crater (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29364617) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:40 PM Author: dashing principal's office Don't edit loser (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29677834) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 1:52 AM Author: Exhilarant Green Parlour (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31866880) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:09 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29364607) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: Concupiscible pozpig base (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29364621) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: Useless Insecure Property Round Eye lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29364630) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:47 PM Author: Wine house-broken abode March 9
THE ANTHROPOPHAGUS HAS QUITTED HIS DEN
March 10
THE CORSICAN OGRE HAS LANDED AT CAPE JUAN
March 11
THE TIGER HAS ARRIVED AT CAP
March 12
THE MONSTER SLEPT AT GRENOBLE
March 13
THE TYRANT HAS PASSED THOUGH LYONS
March 14
THE USURPER IS DIRECTING HIS STEPS TOWARDS DIJON
March 18
BONAPARTE IS ONLY SIXTY LEAGUES FROM THE CAPITAL
He has been fortunate enough to escape his pursuers
March 19
BONAPARTE IS ADVANCING WITH RAPID STEPS, BUT HE WILL NEVER ENTER PARIS
March 20
NAPOLEON WILL, TOMORROW, BE UNDER OUR RAMPARTS
March 21
THE EMPEROR IS AT FONTAINEBLEAU
March 22
HIS IMPERIAL AND ROYAL MAJESTY arrived yesterday evening at the Tuileries, amid the joyful acclamation of his devoted and faithful subjects |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:06 PM Author: anal know-it-all market quadroon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29384155) |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 8:26 PM Author: mauve bat-shit-crazy parlor 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29429271) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:51 PM Author: bright lascivious piazza roast beef (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29364847) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:55 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle house lol, 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29364873) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: bistre shaky hell (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29364887) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: Sooty Boyish Lay (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29364890) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:59 PM Author: lavender fanboi Well done. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29364896) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 4:08 PM Author: irradiated stubborn ticket booth Fully nude right now, happened to absent-mindedly stroke myself to a FULL CHUB while reading. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29364933) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:14 PM Author: Soggy Step-uncle's House OP missed today's ... "Are we in a Trump boom or a Trump bubble?" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29383835) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 12:20 PM Author: Soggy Step-uncle's House And today's: "The fifth Republican debate ended in a nine-way draw." |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:21 PM Author: Jet Dog Poop 190 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29383898) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: Bisexual chapel fuck u for making me laugh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29383961) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:58 PM Author: diverse athletic conference I used to work with a fat, ugly gay man, who was the first person ever to tell me about Nate Silver. I asked him what made this Nate Silver so good, and the homosexual slob said it was that Silver had never been wrong or some shit like that. I said Well that's a pretty good track record. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29384107) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:10 PM Author: Flesh Tanning Salon Karate 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29384183) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:12 PM Author: Crimson Vivacious Mood Resort February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why."
February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?"
180 |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: Apoplectic Provocative Dysfunction You shitcons have been through this with Nate Silver twice before and he has pwned you both times. You guys never learn (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29384207) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:15 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting Trump odds, August 2015: Silver: 2% Miller: 0% Enten: -10% http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/podcast-totally-subjective-presidential-odds-early-august-edition/ |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-most-shocking-result-in-world-cup-history/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29384231) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:17 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/what-we-got-wrong-in-our-2015-uk-general-election-model/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29384237) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:19 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29384254) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:20 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-make-of-kentuckys-polling-failure/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29384262) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: wonderful half-breed plaza (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29525662) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:43 PM Author: dashing principal's office Can't wait to bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29677869) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: Sienna razzmatazz senate black woman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32165246) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:11 AM Author: galvanic bronze faggot firefighter center (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30504262) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: drab rambunctious elastic band field (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31172544) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:06 AM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-coverage/?#livepress-update-23617209 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31846270) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: saffron pungent pervert (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31846325) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 3:36 AM Author: nofapping gay wizard Final Election Update: There’s A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And Most Of Them Come Up Clinton
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-election-update-theres-a-wide-range-of-outcomes-and-most-of-them-come-up-clinton/ |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: Magenta Theater Masturbator (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#41167037) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: iridescent costumed lettuce This is an all time GOAT on XO. This is amazing. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29384232) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:34 PM Author: Flickering pale scourge upon the earth 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29392396) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:37 PM Author: Brindle Dopamine Sanctuary (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29392414) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:39 PM Author: Sapphire Sick Forum Incredible (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29392427) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 11:48 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler Trump Boom or Trump Bubble? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-boom-or-trump-bubble/ |
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Date: December 17th, 2015 9:22 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler Iowa's Women Could Be Trump’s Undoing http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/iowas-women-could-be-donald-trumps-undoing/ |
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Date: December 18th, 2015 10:03 PM Author: Pea-brained jewess cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29411300) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: Arousing national (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29532836) |
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Date: December 18th, 2015 10:09 PM Author: Maroon location skinny woman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29411342) |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 7:06 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler Lindsey Graham Tries To Stop Trump The Only Way He Can — By Quitting http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/lindsey-graham-tries-to-stop-trump-the-only-way-he-can-by-quitting/ |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 7:47 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler "Trump has some weird chinks in his armor" http://www.wnyc.org/story/nate-silvers-crystal-ball-tells-all-2016/ |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 8:21 PM Author: mauve bat-shit-crazy parlor 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29429241) |
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Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler "micah: Let me channel our vacationing editor-in-chief Nate Silver: What if Trump finishes second or third in Iowa, same in New Hampshire and South Carolina. He chugs along for a while with 15-20 percent of the vote. Or, maybe he quits the race after New Hampshire. Won’t the fact that we spent much of 2015 hyperventilating about Trump seem silly in retrospect?" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-meaning-of-donald-trump/ |
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Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler One of the biggest errors I think I made in 2015 was concentrating too much on who would win the Republican nomination and not so much on who would drive the conversation.1 You can see that clearly with Donald Trump (who I still don’t think will win the Republican nomination). Not only did I dismiss Trump’s candidacy on many occasions (here, here, here and here, for example), I was sometimes eager to do so in order to confirm my original belief that he wouldn’t win.
But winning the race and affecting the race are different things. Trump may lose in Iowa, collapse in New Hampshire and disappear from the national stage. If that — or something like it — happens, much of the sound and fury surrounding Trump in 2015 will seem silly in retrospect. But regardless of where Trump ends up once voting starts, he has certainly been the dominant voice in the Republican nomination race so far. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-harry-enten-got-wrong-in-2015/ |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:22 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler This phenomenon may not hold in 2016. Cruz could collapse in Iowa. Christie could fall apart in New Hampshire. And maybe Trump will outperform his polling in both contests. But the gap between their current state and national polls suggests the opposite is more likely. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/to-win-in-iowa-or-new-hampshire-it-may-be-better-to-poll-worse-nationally/ |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:27 PM Author: Carnelian Reading Party flawless OP. uninflated 180. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29519032) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 12:09 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting ty for all the updates itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29525598) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:45 PM Author: dashing principal's office Cr. It made a great thread an all time thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29677890) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:08 PM Author: Pea-brained jewess cuckold From Silver's Twitter:
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
That Trump is underperforming in IA and NH relative to national polls is a big deal and a bad sign for him. |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:11 PM Author: Lilac Orchestra Pit 1800000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29531444) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: vermilion school weed whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29531475) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: mewling meetinghouse An historic poast (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29531481) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:16 PM Author: thriller frisky corner 180 trillion (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29531500) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:17 PM Author: mewling meetinghouse I saw this on the Internet and thought of you guys
http://imgur.com/Fn3p3R6 |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:45 AM Author: Arousing national (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29532843) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 4:37 PM Author: mewling meetinghouse Bump to make sure my friends saw this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29535993) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:22 PM Author: thriller frisky corner No bias there right? What a shitbird. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29531557) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: drab rambunctious elastic band field (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29532829) |
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Date: January 7th, 2016 10:51 PM Author: mauve bat-shit-crazy parlor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29546163) |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 4:56 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler “HOW TRUMP WON” blares the headline on this week’s Time magazine cover in 80-point Duplicate Ionic. “Now he just needs the votes,” whispers the small subheadline underneath.
Oh, just that little detail? Trump actually needs people to vote for him? I’ve been encountering a lot of this lately: Coverage implying that Trump’s lead atop the Republican polls (which he’s held since mid-July) is a watershed event, perhaps even tantamount to his having won an election.
These headlines, needless to say, are presumptuous. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 5:05 PM Author: Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole 180 if not copy paste (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29551314) |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 11:26 PM Author: mauve bat-shit-crazy parlor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29554010) |
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Date: January 9th, 2016 8:16 PM Author: Pea-brained jewess cuckold http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29559692) |
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Date: January 10th, 2016 5:22 PM Author: mauve bat-shit-crazy parlor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29566112) |
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Date: January 18th, 2016 10:15 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29622950) |
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Date: January 19th, 2016 5:30 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler Donald Trump is Sarah Palin 2.0 http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/sarah-palin-endorses-donald-trump-for-president/ |
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Date: January 21st, 2016 5:51 PM Author: Pea-brained jewess cuckold looks like even silver has conceded on trump winning the nomination
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/one-big-reason-to-be-less-skeptical-of-trump/
In a nomination race like the Republican one, you could draw up a list of reasons to be skeptical of any candidate’s chances. Here are some reasons to be skeptical about Ted Cruz’s position in Iowa, for example. Here’s why Marco Rubio’s strategy looks increasingly precarious. There are also good reasons to be skeptical about Donald Trump’s chances of winning the Republican nomination:
His polling in Iowa isn’t great, and he’s probably still the underdog there. There’s reason to doubt the strength of his ground game, in Iowa and other states. Trump’s favorable ratings and second-choice numbers are generally inferior to Cruz’s and Rubio’s, meaning that other candidates might benefit more as the field winnows.1 But the reason I’ve been especially skeptical about Trump for most of the election cycle isn’t listed above. Nor is it because I expected Trump to spontaneously combust in national polls. Instead, I was skeptical because I assumed that influential Republicans would do almost anything they could to prevent him from being nominated.
I’m in the midst of working on a long review of the book “The Party Decides,” so we’ll save some of the detail for that forthcoming article. But the textbook on Trump is that he’d be a failure along virtually every dimension that party elites normally consider when choosing a nominee: electability (Trump is extremely unpopular with general election voters); ideological reliability (like Sarah Palin, Trump’s a “maverick”); having traditional qualifications for the job; and so forth. Even if the GOP is mostly in disarray, my assumption was that it would muster whatever strength it had to try to stop Trump.
But so far, the party isn’t doing much to stop Trump. Instead, it’s making such an effort against Cruz. Consider:
The governor of Iowa, Terry Branstad, said he wanted Cruz defeated. Bob Dole warned of “cataclysmic” losses if Cruz was the nominee, and said Trump would fare better. Mitch McConnell and other Republicans senators have been decidedly unhelpful to Cruz when discussing his constitutional eligibility to be president. An anti-Cruz PAC has formed, with plans to run advertisements in Iowa. (By contrast, no PAC advertising has run against Trump so far in January.) You can find lots of other examples like these. It’s the type of coordinated, multifront action that seems right out of the “The Party Decides.” If, like me, you expected something like this to happen to Trump instead of Cruz, you have to revisit your assumptions. Thus, I’m now much less skeptical of Trump’s chances of becoming the nominee.
Can we take this a step farther, in fact? Can we say that the party has decided … for Trump?
I’ve seen some headlines to that effect, but they’re premature and possibly wrong. So far, the GOP’s actions are conspicuously anti-Cruz more than they are pro-Trump. For example, although former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin just endorsed Trump, no current Republican governors or members of Congress have.
Instead, it may be that Republicans think of Cruz as the more immediate threat, and then plan to turn around and attack Trump later. But that’s a high-degree-of-difficulty caper to pull off. For one thing, Trump, who’s in a much better position in the polls than Cruz in states after Iowa, could rack up several wins in a row if he takes the Hawkeye State.
Just as important, there are few signs that Republicans have much of a strategy for whom to back apart from Trump. Four “establishment lane” candidates — Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich and Rubio — are tightly packed in New Hampshire polls. That could potentially change before New Hampshire votes because of tactical voting.2 And whichever of these candidates perform worst in the early states will probably drop out.
But Republican party elites seem indifferent among these four candidates, when in my view some are more capable than others of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz:
Rubio would seem to have the best shot. He’s easily the most conservative of the four, has the best favorability ratings and can make perhaps the best electability argument. His ground game may not be very good, but he has a decent amount of cash on hand. Bush and Christie probably rank next, in some order. It’s hard to imagine Republican voters coming all the way around to the patrician Bush after flirting with bad-boy Trump for so long — especially when Bush’s favorability numbers with Republican voters are in the tank. But remember that those dalliances with Trump are hypothetical, only contemplated in polls and not yet actuated with votes. Perhaps the Republican electorate that shows up to vote is more like the 2012 version, which supported Mitt Romney. It’s a long shot, but if it happens, Bush will have plenty of money and organization to extend the race. If the GOP electorate is in an angrier mood, then Christie’s personality overlaps the most with Trump’s. He’s a good debater, and his favorability ratings are on the upswing, although still just middling. But Christie entered the race with a lot of baggage that will receive more scrutiny if he surges in the polls. He also doesn’t have much of an organization beyond New Hampshire. Kasich’s outlook seems the worst of the four, combining Bush’s lack of appeal to conservatives with Christie’s lack of organization beyond New Hampshire. The one qualification to this is that Kasich has a more conservative track record than he lets on.3 So if I were ranking the four establishment candidates’ chances of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz, I’d put Rubio first and Kasich last. But if I were ranking them in terms of who seems to have the most momentum right now, the order would be just the opposite. Kasich has gained 3 or 4 percentage points in New Hampshire polls over the past month, while Rubio has declined slightly in New Hampshire and national polls, and his once-steady flow of endorsements has turned into a trickle.
These differences might seem pretty minor — there’s room for near-daily momentum shifts before New Hampshire votes. Obviously, it’s also possible that Republicans’ efforts to stop Cruz in Iowa will backfire.
Things are lining up better for Trump than I would have imagined, however. It’s not his continued presence in the race that surprises me so much as the lack of a concerted effort to stop him. |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:26 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29677719) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:42 PM Author: Swashbuckling party of the first part affirmative action 180000000000000000000000000000000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29677863) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:48 PM Author: dashing principal's office You're a democratic, remember? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29677913) |
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Date: February 9th, 2016 9:02 PM Author: Swashbuckling party of the first part affirmative action No way! 100% TRUMPMO (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29791782) |
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Date: September 6th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole (2-time shitbama voter) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31345881) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: Arousing national (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#37162047) |
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Date: January 29th, 2016 4:25 PM Author: Harsh incel (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29708433) |
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Date: February 1st, 2016 11:04 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29727124) |
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Date: February 1st, 2016 11:21 AM Author: Fiercely-loyal passionate box office gaming laptop (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29727197) |
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Date: February 1st, 2016 9:47 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29732588) |
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Date: February 7th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29771453) |
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Date: February 9th, 2016 8:59 PM Author: Lilac Orchestra Pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29791735) |
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Date: February 9th, 2016 9:00 PM Author: brilliant soul-stirring set (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29791763) |
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Date: February 20th, 2016 7:55 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29877406) |
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Date: February 20th, 2016 7:57 PM Author: Purple tripping theatre kitty cat OK man, can you tell us how you did this? (Not how you predicted it, but how you wrote it so brilliantly.) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29877434) |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 8:06 AM Author: galvanic bronze faggot firefighter center PORT | AUTHORITY | BUSFARE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29903568) |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 8:14 AM Author: onyx heaven tank The OP is XO at its peak brilliance. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29903615) |
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Date: February 27th, 2016 6:57 PM Author: Multi-colored cerise nowag (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29931652) |
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Date: March 9th, 2016 12:52 AM Author: Jet Dog Poop (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30015868) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: Mint institution nibblets (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30066562) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:55 PM Author: fantasy-prone boltzmann (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30066681) |
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Date: March 16th, 2016 11:52 AM Author: Bisexual chapel (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30070592) |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 8:18 AM Author: Clear son of senegal hosting error... LOL
this is better than any snl sketch in the last 5 to 10 years. |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 10:18 AM Author: Mentally impaired den (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29904083) |
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Date: July 21st, 2016 9:42 AM Author: Bisexual chapel (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30987707) |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: Nubile Office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29904074) |
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Date: February 27th, 2016 6:54 PM Author: fantasy-prone boltzmann (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29931637) |
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Date: March 2nd, 2016 9:43 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29960115) |
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Date: March 4th, 2016 1:38 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#29976826) |
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Date: March 9th, 2016 12:44 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30015799) |
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Date: March 9th, 2016 12:55 AM Author: Lilac Orchestra Pit yeah anyone who wants to win money on predictit markets should just consult this turtle shell oracle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30015891) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 8:46 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30065629) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:05 PM Author: galvanic bronze faggot firefighter center (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30065970) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:23 PM Author: Fighting stimulating candlestick maker corn cake (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30066291) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:43 PM Author: Slate school cafeteria partner truly 180 thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30066549) |
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Date: March 16th, 2016 11:48 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler It's Still Not Clear Donald Trump Will Get a Majority of Delegates http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-still-not-clear-that-donald-trump-will-get-a-majority-of-delegates/ |
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Date: March 16th, 2016 11:54 AM Author: Soggy Step-uncle's House March is very accurate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30070601) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2016 10:49 AM Author: saffron pungent pervert (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30119676) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2016 9:30 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30119337) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 11:24 AM Author: bistre shaky hell http://imgur.com/ZVbDMXh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30140474) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 11:30 AM Author: Red Generalized Bond Ceo Lol,holy Fuck (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30140513) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 10:14 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30144174) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: wonderful half-breed plaza jesus. . . (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30151942) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 10:20 AM Author: saffron pungent pervert (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30151965) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 10:23 AM Author: silver psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30151975) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: drab rambunctious elastic band field (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31172540) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:20 AM Author: Arousing national (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#37162050) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 9:47 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler "What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like" "Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-will-have-a-hard-time-turning-blue-states-red-in-november/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 2:26 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler "Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-no-ronald-reagan/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 2:32 PM Author: Histrionic Philosopher-king lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30160689) |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 4:59 PM Author: Histrionic Philosopher-king "One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women"
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-sexism-women-2016-election/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 5:14 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30161654) |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 8:54 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/714977961099862016 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30163086) |
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Date: April 1st, 2016 2:54 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-probably-first-ballot-or-bust-for-donald-trump-at-the-gop-convention/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30183235) |
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Date: April 4th, 2016 7:13 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler "Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/wisconsin-could-be-trouble-for-trump/ |
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Date: April 15th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: Histrionic Philosopher-king interestingly the Karl Rove WSJ opinion headlines are almost as desperate:
http://topics.wsj.com/person/R/karl-rove/5686
Articles by Karl Rove
Vanity Will Be The Donald’s Undoing April 13, 2016 06:04 p.m.
Trump thinks he is so rich, famous and athletic that he can skip a real campaign.
The Not-Trump GOP Rises April 6, 2016 07:16 p.m.
The delegate math is getting hard, and New York may not be the lifeline Trump needs.
An Ugly General Election Takes Shape March 30, 2016 07:12 p.m.
Hillary’s super PAC readies an anti-Trump onslaught. She will be a ripe target too.
Don’t Coddle Donald Trump March 23, 2016 07:22 p.m.
A nominee needs a majority. Abraham Lincoln played by that rule—so can the New York businessman.
How Trump Can Raise His Game March 16, 2016 07:03 p.m.
A few bits of advice for The Donald: study up, change your tone and focus on Hillary.
The Polls Trump Hasn’t Won March 9, 2016 06:32 p.m.
He says that he will beat Hillary, yet guess who is the only GOP contender trailing her.
A Big Push for Flawed Front-Runners March 2, 2016 06:39 p.m.
Bernie could cause trouble for Hillary at the convention. And Trump is no ‘unifier.’
The Donald Doesn’t Have a Lock—Yet February 24, 2016 07:22 p.m.
There is still time for a non-Trump majority to coalesce around a single candidate. James Taranto: ‘I Love the Poorly Educated!’
Trump Didn’t Oppose the Iraq War February 17, 2016 06:33 p.m.
There’s no record of his clear opposition before March 2003, despite his claims
GOP Infighters Need to Focus on Trump February 10, 2016 06:48 p.m.
The four mainstream candidates are only wasting time if they go after each other.
How Trump Blew an Easy Win February 3, 2016 06:33 p.m.
He acted like the traditional rules didn’t apply. This race could go to the convention.
Trump Ducks an Iowa Opportunity January 27, 2016 06:56 p.m.
The Donald’s refusal to debate could blow his lead. How can he take on Hillary?
Hillary’s Stumbling Cakewalk January 20, 2016 07:31 p.m.
Nothing’s working, so now Clinton has come up with a four-step Beat Bernie strategy.
The GOP’s Chase for Undecided Iowans January 13, 2016 06:55 p.m.
At this point in 2012, Rick Santorum—who won the caucuses—sat sadly at 6% support.
My Crystal-Ball Score—Plus 2016 Predictions January 6, 2016 06:57 p.m.
Clinton Is Already Vowing to Overreach December 16, 2015 06:06 p.m.
Remember her pledge in 2007 to ‘rein in the presidency’? Neither does she.
Trump Is the Democrats’ Dream Nominee December 9, 2015 06:48 p.m.
He could win the primaries but would get creamed in the presidential election.
The GOP Needs Presidential Coattails December 2, 2015 06:53 p.m.
A weak ticket could hurt the party in purple states—and lose the Senate.
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Date: April 15th, 2016 10:47 AM Author: ebony sex offender (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30279158) |
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Date: April 19th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30307876) |
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Date: April 20th, 2016 11:03 AM Author: Violent church degenerate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30310760) |
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Date: April 20th, 2016 11:13 AM Author: hideous crackhouse filthpig I love this thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30310807) |
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Date: April 24th, 2016 1:07 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30335375) |
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Date: April 25th, 2016 10:37 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30346848) |
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Date: April 26th, 2016 9:29 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30353572) |
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Date: April 26th, 2016 9:31 PM Author: drunken vibrant main people mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30353587) |
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Date: April 30th, 2016 2:23 PM Author: Slap-happy Up-to-no-good Business Firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30378951) |
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Date: May 1st, 2016 6:05 PM Author: Burgundy bawdyhouse Subject: A List of a Year of the Actual 538 Headlines JUN 16, 2015
Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart
JUL 16, 2015
Two Good Reasons Not To Take The Donald Trump ‘Surge’ Seriously
JUL 29, 2015
Donald Trump Is The Nickelback Of GOP Candidates
AUG 7, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win A War Against Fox News
AUG 7, 2015
Did The Debate Hurt Or Help Trump? Watch His Favorability Numbers.
AUG 11, 2015
Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination
AUG 14, 2015
Candidates In Donald Trump’s Position Have A Terrible Track Record
AUG 31, 2015
A Ben Carson Surge May Test Trump
SEP 2, 2015
Keep Calm And Ignore The 2016 ‘Game Changers’
SEP 8, 2015
If Donald Trump Can Win The Nomination, Ben Carson Could Too
SEP 17, 2015
We’re Bullish On Fiorina And (Still) Bearish On Trump After The Debate
SEP 24, 2015
Was The Second Debate The Beginning Of The End For Donald Trump?
OCT 20, 2015
Donald Trump Is Doomed And/Or Invincible
OCT 26, 2015
Can Ben Carson Really Take Out Donald Trump?
NOV 4, 2015
The GOP’s Primary Rules Might Doom Carson, Cruz And Trump
NOV 23, 2015
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
DEC 1, 2015
The Future Of Polling May Depend On Donald Trump’s Fate
DEC 2, 2015
Big Phony And Loser Nate Silver Can’t Even See Donald Trump Is A Winner! What A Joke!
DEC 4, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win Just Because More Voters Are Paying Attention
DEC 15, 2015
Trump Boom Or Trump Bubble?
DEC 17, 2015
Iowa’s Women Could Be Donald Trump’s Undoing
JAN 18, 2016
Donald Trump Is Really Unpopular With General Election Voters
JAN 19, 2016
Beware A GOP Calendar Front-Loaded With States Friendly To Trump And Cruz
JAN 19, 2016
Donald Trump Is Sarah Palin 2.0
JAN 21, 2016
One Big Reason To Be Less Skeptical Of Trump
JAN 26, 2016
Does Donald Trump Need To Win Iowa?
JAN 27, 2016
Sorry, Bloomberg: Trump Is Already A Third-Party Candidate
JAN 31, 2016
Donald Trump’s Support In Iowa Is Narrow But Deep
FEB 2, 2016
Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan
FEB 3, 2016
Why Iowa Changed Rubio’s And Trump’s Nomination Odds So Much
FEB 4, 2016
Trump Still Leads In New Hampshire, But The Ride Could Be Wild
FEB 5, 2016
Donald Trump Is Losing Ground On Google
FEB 9, 2016
Donald Trump Will Probably Win New Hampshire
FEB 10, 2016
John Kasich Is The Anti-Trump
FEB 17, 2016
Does Donald Trump Have A Ceiling?
FEB 18, 2016
The Pope Is Way More Popular Than Donald Trump
FEB 21, 2016
Trump Optimists And Trump Skeptics Are About To Go To War
FEB 22, 2016
Trump’s South Carolina Win Shows Evangelicals Aren’t Necessarily Voting On Their Faith
FEB 23, 2016
Nevada May Show Trump Can Win Even With Low Turnout
FEB 24, 2016
Nevada Was Great For Donald Trump, Bad For Ted Cruz
FEB 24, 2016
Republicans’ Last-Ditch Hope To Stop Donald Trump
FEB 26, 2016
Marco Rubio Finally Steps Up As The Anti-Trump
MAR 1, 2016
Super Tuesday Could Be Historic For Trump
MAR 2, 2016
Can Republicans Still Take The Nomination Away From Trump?
MAR 2, 2016
Donald Trump Is Just Barely On Track To Win The GOP Nomination
MAR 3, 2016
Republican Voters Kind Of Hate All Their Choices
MAR 4, 2016
Kasich May Have Cut Off Rubio’s Path To The Nomination
MAR 7, 2016
Donald Trump Would Be Easy To Stop Under Democratic Rules
MAR 7, 2016
Bloomberg Might Have Produced President Trump
MAR 8, 2016
Could Michigan Change The Course Of The GOP Race?
MAR 10, 2016
Ted Cruz Might Still Be Able To Stop Donald Trump
MAR 11, 2016
Don’t Sleep On Illinois And Missouri — They Could Help Make Trump Unstoppable
MAR 15, 2016
Trump Attack Ads Are Finally Popping Up, But They Might Be Too Late
MAR 16, 2016
It’s Still Not Clear That Donald Trump Will Get A Majority Of Delegates
MAR 16, 2016
Trump Voters’ Aversion To Foreign-Sounding Names Cost Him Delegates
MAR 21, 2016
Will Trump Clinch The GOP Nomination Before The Convention?
MAR 22, 2016
The Most Important States On Trump’s Path To 1,237 Delegates
MAR 23, 2016
Why Donald Trump?
MAR 23, 2016
How Far Jeb Bush Is Going To Stop Trump
MAR 25, 2016
Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November
MAR 25, 2016
What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like
MAR 29, 2016
Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan
MAR 29, 2016
One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women
MAR 30, 2016
How Trump Hacked The Media
MAR 31, 2016
Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump
APR 1, 2016
It’s Probably First Ballot Or Bust For Donald Trump At The GOP Convention
APR 5, 2016
The GOP’s Wacky Delegate Rules Are Helping Trump
APR 7, 2016
Trump’s New Magic Number Is 40 Percent Of The Vote
APR 8, 2016
Trump’s Support Would Be Easier To Explain With Better Polling
APR 11, 2016
Trump Is The Weakest GOP Front-Runner In The Modern Era
APR 11, 2016
Trump Made A Mistake By Overlooking Colorado
APR 11, 2016
Elections Podcast: Is Trump Blowing It?
APR 14, 2016
Trump’s Right That The GOP Primary Is Unfair — It Favors Him
APR 18, 2016
New York City’s Jewish Vote Might Win Cruz Or Kasich Key Delegates
APR 23, 2016
Trump’s ‘System Is Rigged’ Argument Is Working
APR 25, 2016
Trump Is Probably Going To Run Over Cruz And Kasich In The Northeast
APR 25, 2016
Will The Kasich-Cruz Alliance Work?
APR 27, 2016
It’s Trump’s Nomination To Lose* |
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Date: November 7th, 2016 3:27 PM Author: Burgundy bawdyhouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31825048) |
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Date: May 2nd, 2016 7:16 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30392947) |
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Date: May 2nd, 2016 8:17 PM Author: saffron pungent pervert (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30393360) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:26 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler The Mythology Of Trump’s ‘Working Class’ Support http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-mythology-of-trumps-working-class-support/ |
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Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:35 PM Author: Violet Doctorate Casino holy shit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30398720) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2016 9:15 PM Author: deep mahogany range hunting ground (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30402170) |
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Date: May 4th, 2016 9:04 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30405223) |
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Date: May 4th, 2016 9:33 AM Author: Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30405346) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 9:23 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler Candidates who beat pundits' expectations in the primaries haven't done particularly well in the general election. https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/728211438427381760 |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 11:02 AM Author: Sooty Boyish Lay Lol every response is "how about Obama?" What a hack (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30412976) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 10:40 AM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting LOL 12 years in this place and I think I found my magnum opus, fml (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30412844) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 11:05 AM Author: Mentally impaired den Yeah bro. You should mic drop and walk the fuck away. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30412994) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Concupiscible pozpig base This should be preserved for posterity in a library somewhere. I wish Nate Silver could see this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30504267) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:03 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30504223) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: galvanic bronze faggot firefighter center In no way will your answer affect my conviction that this is an all-time great first ballot HOF poast, I'm just curious: How long did it take you to put this masterstroke together? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30504268) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:14 AM Author: Concupiscible pozpig base cr. We need to get the entire story of his creative process down for future scholars to learn from. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30504274) |
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Date: May 29th, 2016 4:16 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting lol I find something new in this thread every time I read it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30583536) |
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Date: June 20th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30746085) |
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Date: June 29th, 2016 1:03 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the White House in November, FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver predicted Wednesday.
FiveThirtyEight projected Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the general election against Donald Trump, who has just a 20 percent chance of succeeding President Barack Obama in the Oval Office. “Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America.” “There’s a lot of football left to be played, but she’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”
Indeed, a Ballotpedia survey of seven swing states released Wednesday shows the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee sweeping Trump in Iowa, Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia by margins ranging from 4 to 17 percentage points.
Silver, who correctly forecast 49 out of 50 states in 2008 and every state in 2012, noted that both camps “have a lot of room to grow,” but no candidate has blown a lead as large as Clinton’s advantage over Trump in nearly 30 years, when former Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis lost to George H.W. Bush despite maintaining a large lead coming out of the spring and summer.
“It’s been a crazy year, politically,” Silver said, adding that more states, particularly red states, are in play in 2016 than in previous elections. “For example, Arizona looks like a toss-up. Maybe Georgia. Maybe Missouri, North Carolina again.”
“Likewise,” Silver continued, “if Trump gains ground on Clinton then maybe a state like Maine — used to be a swing state, not so recently” — could be in play, too.
Silver also defended his August forecast that gave the billionaire businessman a 2 percent chance to win the GOP nomination.
“That wasn’t based on looking at polls. Trump was always ahead in the polls, and one big lesson of his campaign is don’t try and out-think the polls and try and out-think the American public,” Silver said. “And Trump has never really been ahead of Clinton in the general election campaign. He did a great job of appealing to the 40 percent of the GOP he had to win the election, the primary — a lot different than winning 51 percent of 100 percent.”
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/nate-silver-who-will-be-president-prediction-224931 |
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Date: July 14th, 2016 10:24 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-when-to-freak-out-about-shocking-new-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30924907) |
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Date: July 15th, 2016 2:16 AM Author: lime haunting keepsake machete (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30933127) |
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Date: July 15th, 2016 2:47 AM Author: drab rambunctious elastic band field (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30933205) |
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Date: July 17th, 2016 10:12 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30956384) |
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Date: July 17th, 2016 10:13 PM Author: Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30956397) |
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Date: July 21st, 2016 9:33 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-convention-is-flirting-with-disaster/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30987656) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:38 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30999290) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:39 AM Author: milky home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#30999301) |
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Date: July 23rd, 2016 2:41 AM Author: Cracking ratface Wow jesua (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31006876) |
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Date: July 24th, 2016 10:48 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31020363) |
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Date: July 25th, 2016 11:00 AM Author: Grizzly Area Associate Nate Silver actually would find this hilarious, too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31022942) |
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Date: July 25th, 2016 12:00 PM Author: Histrionic Philosopher-king amazing how accurate this is (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31023351) |
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Date: July 27th, 2016 2:30 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting Wish I could profit off this gift. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31043518) |
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Date: August 5th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31113817) |
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Date: August 9th, 2016 8:10 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-polls-show-pennsylvania-back-in-clintons-firewall/ Let’s not bury the lead: Clinton is polling really well right now, and if you held an election today, she’d probably win in a landslide, possibly including states such as Georgia and Arizona along with most or all of the traditional swing states. |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:03 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting THEN: "August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" NOW: August 12, 2016: "What A Clinton Landslide Would Look Like" "That would work out to 471 electoral votes, to 67 for Trump, which would be fairly typical for a win of that magnitude. Dwight D. Eisenhower won 457 electoral votes when beating Adlai Stevenson by 15 points in 1956, for example. And Franklin D. Roosevelt won 472 electoral votes in 1932, in an 18-point win against Herbert Hoover. Clinton would be a ways short of Ronald Reagan’s 525 electoral votes in 1984, however." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-clinton-landslide-would-look-like/ |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:06 PM Author: Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole holy shit did u edit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31172565) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:07 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting I never edit brother unless I am deleting a person's poasts. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31172569) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:14 PM Author: Odious Stead Trump Supporter LOL if true. I believe you, bro. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31172627) |
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Date: August 30th, 2016 12:45 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting THEN: August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." NOW: August 30, 2016: "So, not clear that Trump is improving, so much as Clinton is declining. People maybe jumped the gun in declaring her convention bounce over." http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/770653615916810240 |
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Date: August 30th, 2016 1:26 PM Author: Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole 180 i want 2 believe |
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Date: September 6th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31345879) |
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Date: September 13th, 2016 5:33 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler Polls Show Trump's Momentum Has Stalled http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/polls-show-trumps-momentum-has-stalled-for-now/ |
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Date: September 14th, 2016 9:41 AM Author: Histrionic Philosopher-king ho lee fuk this is getting good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31404088) |
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Date: September 14th, 2016 9:43 AM Author: bright lascivious piazza roast beef Wow. Nailed July, August and early September (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31404101) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: Bateful Shrine Newt September 15, 2016
"How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote"
RUH ROH LIBS |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: Amethyst laser beams state September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story"
Compare OP's headline to this actual Salon headline today:
Poll panic is here! Yes, Trump is closing, but here’s why it’s meaningless
http://www.salon.com/2016/09/15/its-already-happening-yes-trump-is-closing-in-on-the-polls-but-heres-why-thats-meaningless/ |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:38 PM Author: Bearded blathering french chef becky god this is good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31413930) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:40 PM Author: Duck-like azn roommate XO never not on point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31413938) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:41 PM Author: aggressive ultramarine cuck (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31413954) |
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Date: September 19th, 2016 1:18 PM Author: adventurous cruise ship (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31443744) |
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Date: September 19th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: adventurous cruise ship The AutoAdmit account should tweet this at nate silver. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31443779) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole let's not cross the swords (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31503555) |
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Date: September 24th, 2016 5:16 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31482152) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:22 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-won-the-debate-which-means-shes-likely-to-gain-in-the-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31503552) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31503554) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Soggy Step-uncle's House This is arguably the greatest, most prescient poast in XO history. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31503556) |
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Date: October 8th, 2016 8:43 PM Author: Tan Sexy Juggernaut Brunch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31592208) |
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Date: July 29th, 2024 7:46 PM Author: at-the-ready space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#47906632) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 9:54 AM Author: Histrionic Philosopher-king http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-could-the-polls-be-missing/
vs
September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: bright lascivious piazza roast beef (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31511665) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 10:00 AM Author: Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31511673) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 11:28 AM Author: hideous crackhouse filthpig This shit is turning out to be so accurate that I'm starting to suspect OP is a time traveling alien. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31512070) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 2:16 PM Author: ebony sex offender (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31513385) |
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Date: October 8th, 2016 8:41 PM Author: ocher appetizing depressive (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31592192) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole hey, this weekend wasnt in the script (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31594952) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: Nighttime marvelous university Trump's mistakes rise was probably a headline somewhere (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31594953) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole doesnt fit. a revelation of something he said 11 years ago isn't a mistake it's an october surprise (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31594954) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: Orange ungodly kitchen headpube half the coverage treats it as if he said it just yesterday (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31594956) |
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Date: October 10th, 2016 10:56 AM Author: Histrionic Philosopher-king nate silver simultaneously claiming that all "insta polls are garbage" while citing this poll as a good news for HILLARY:
It’s not clear that voters judge debates in the same way, however. A CNN poll of debate watchers found that even though most voters thought Trump exceeded expectations, 57 percent of them nevertheless declared Clinton the winner, compared with 34 percent for Trump. A YouGov poll of debate watchers showed a much closer outcome, but with Clinton also winning, 47 percent to 42 percent.
These instant-reaction polls actually do have a correlation with post-debate horse-race polls: The candidate who wins the former usually gains in the latter. Perhaps Clinton’s win was modest enough that this will be an exception, especially given that the sentiments of pundits and television commentators (which sometimes matter as much as the debate itself) were all over the map
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-second-debate-probably-didnt-help-trump-and-he-needed-help/
meanwhile:
Big Surprise: Trump Won Instant Junk Polls About Who Won The Debate
As Harry said, the instant online opt-in junk polls — call them troll polls, faux polls, clickers, or your favorite term for them — should be ignored as indicators of who really won. And after Trump touted his win in these junk polls after the first debate, and was widely ridiculed for it, he didn’t cite the junk polls that showed Pence beating Kaine in the vice-presidential debate. Nonetheless, Trump supporters appear to still be flooding these things. Trump’s getting 77 percent in a Heavy.com junk poll asking who won tonight’s debate, an identical 77 percent in Fox 5 San Diego’s and 90 percent in Drudge Report’s.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/second-presidential-debate-election-2016/
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Date: October 30th, 2016 10:02 PM Author: Grizzly Area Associate close enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31763265) |
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Date: November 1st, 2016 12:35 AM Author: drab rambunctious elastic band field Almost there (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31772625) |
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Date: November 1st, 2016 4:55 PM Author: Duck-like azn roommate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31777531) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2016 8:24 AM Author: judgmental stage yarmulke (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31782180) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2016 6:59 PM Author: Flesh Tanning Salon Karate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31786832) |
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Date: November 7th, 2016 3:23 PM Author: Histrionic Philosopher-king prob the last time we can bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31825019) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: Gold native You say that but..... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31833310) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: Histrionic Philosopher-king true, the shitlibs can bump all they like (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31833315) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 7:59 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting ty for your sympathy bump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31839758) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:53 PM Author: Histrionic Philosopher-king ho lee fuk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31844114) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:04 PM Author: gay floppy marketing idea menage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31842891) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:05 PM Author: Mind-boggling Cobalt Clown Potus Tbf, he was the one that was the most bullish on Trump
LJL at Sam Wang who called 99% for Hillary |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:33 PM Author: Fiercely-loyal passionate box office gaming laptop (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31843660) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:59 PM Author: adventurous cruise ship (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31844292) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:10 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31844674) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:07 AM Author: hilarious locale police squad (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31846281) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: Bateful Shrine Newt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31846326) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:12 AM Author: obsidian laughsome theater stage dingle berry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31846448) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:22 AM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31848552) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:25 AM Author: Duck-like azn roommate GOAT POTUS THREAD. ALL TIME HALL OF FAME (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31848608) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:28 AM Author: hilarious locale police squad (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31848693) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:30 AM Author: Grizzly Area Associate it really deserves national attention (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31848755) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:31 AM Author: Sooty Boyish Lay (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31848775) |
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Date: December 3rd, 2016 2:00 AM Author: cruel-hearted vigorous mexican (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32044462) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: Exhilarant Green Parlour (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32076291) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: Sienna razzmatazz senate black woman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32165256) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: Buck-toothed chrome legal warrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#48187313) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:29 AM Author: Sickened Exciting Mental Disorder People Who Are Hurt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31848725) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:54 AM Author: shivering primrose garrison feces Historic. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31849301) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 2:03 AM Author: 180 point idiot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31849447) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 2:07 AM Author: flatulent temple 180
The anti-Rudolph. |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 3:37 AM Author: cruel-hearted vigorous mexican (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31851790) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 5:12 AM Author: drab rambunctious elastic band field (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31852918) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31854576) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: Concupiscible pozpig base this cannot be bumped enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31854584) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:52 AM Author: Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31855383) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:59 AM Author: Thirsty lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31855482) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:51 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31863076) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: Heady Glassy Stage Messiness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31863082) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: glittery rough-skinned striped hyena antidepressant drug (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31863093) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 7:08 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting November 9, 2016: "We’ll have more to say about the polling in the coming days. But to a first approximation, people are probably giving the polls a little bit too much blame." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-difference-2-percentage-points-makes/ |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 7:26 PM Author: Titillating goyim you're fucking nostradamus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31863503) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 1:58 AM Author: Maroon location skinny woman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31866924) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:37 AM Author: Swashbuckling party of the first part affirmative action Here we go... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31868448) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 1:48 AM Author: Bearded blathering french chef becky bumped (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31866864) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 2:08 AM Author: Citrine gas station (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31867005) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:13 AM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting sorry I got it wrong, this is CNN, November 10, 2016: "'The polls clearly got it wrong': The autopsy will take months" http://money.cnn.com/2016/11/10/media/election-day-polls/index.html |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: Histrionic Philosopher-king ROFL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31868235) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: Purple tripping theatre kitty cat (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31868543) |
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Date: November 14th, 2016 4:42 PM Author: adventurous cruise ship (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31907692) |
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Date: November 14th, 2016 4:43 PM Author: hairraiser abusive rehab jap They're all heads attached to the same (((monster))) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31907697) |
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Date: December 4th, 2016 6:17 PM Author: Aromatic Lemon Dilemma Gaping Extraordinary prescience itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32055646) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: Sienna razzmatazz senate black woman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32165261) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: Buck-toothed chrome legal warrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#48187317) |
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Date: November 25th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#31989410) |
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Date: December 3rd, 2016 1:51 AM Author: charismatic khaki station (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32044435) |
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Date: December 4th, 2016 6:15 PM Author: Orange ungodly kitchen headpube GEPETTO'S CHECKMARK! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32055631) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:40 AM Author: indecent indian lodge puppy https://i.sli.mg/nElXDz.jpg (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32076268) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: Bearded blathering french chef becky (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32076292) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:56 AM Author: charismatic khaki station (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32076345) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 7:58 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32284600) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: tantric locus regret October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-read-too-much-into-early-voting/
OCT 27, 2016 AT 11:29 AM
Don’t Read Too Much Into Early Voting |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:03 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting ty, this & your "turning points" are PEAK XO. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32284631) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: tantric locus regret ITT we speculate who created Donald Trump
also a classic |
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Date: March 3rd, 2020 9:23 AM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#39686962) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: Bearded blathering french chef becky truly magnificent (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32284649) |
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Date: January 16th, 2017 10:57 PM Author: saffron pungent pervert (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32389095) |
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Date: January 20th, 2017 12:01 AM Author: tantric locus regret https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-real-story-of-2016/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32412323) |
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Date: January 20th, 2017 12:24 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32416346) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:43 PM Author: tantric locus regret http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-electoral-college-blind-spot/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/it-wasnt-clintons-election-to-lose/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-invisible-undecided-voter/ |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: ocher appetizing depressive TBF this is mostly 538 gloating about how they were one of the only outlets to give Trump a reasonable chance of winning and how most were ignoring these factors (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32441222) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:46 PM Author: tantric locus regret It's a well deserved gloat. They did a very good job on the general election after getting their teeth kicked in during the primary. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32441238) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:49 PM Author: orchid whorehouse I'm not sure I agree that they should be gloating given that they were pretty confident and ended up being wrong, but I do agree that they were better than pretty much any other similar source out there for the last week or so of the election. The cynic in me says that they probably just said 70% because they figured it was no-lose since they're either right or least wrong (as they ended up being).
What are those assholes at Princeton up to? |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:56 PM Author: ocher appetizing depressive it's not like their number didn't change over time. IIRC it peaked around ~85% in the middle of the debates and slid over the last couple weeks when her lead was slipping
it's still basically an aggregator, just one that processes the numbers in a way to arrive at a more reasonable prediction % than others. e.g. princeton puts way too much faith in state polls not swinging by a good amount the last couple weeks (if I had to guess)
it seems they learned their lesson after taking the "party decides" BS as bible pre-primary and numbers-wise when they had Hillary >99% to win Michigan (state polls can be very volatile). obviously the staff is lib but that actual model is fine for what it is |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:58 PM Author: tantric locus regret The national polls and state polls favored Clinton. It was correct to have her as a favorite. Trump outperformed the national polls by 2 points. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32441319) |
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Date: January 25th, 2017 4:32 PM Author: tantric locus regret https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ohio-was-a-bellwether-after-all/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32458110) |
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Date: January 26th, 2017 4:19 PM Author: tantric locus regret https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/early-voting-was-a-misleading-indicator/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32466804) |
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Date: February 6th, 2017 6:42 PM Author: tantric locus regret https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-had-a-superior-electoral-college-strategy/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32560776) |
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Date: February 13th, 2017 2:51 PM Author: tantric locus regret https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clintons-ground-game-didnt-cost-her-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32612572) |
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Date: February 27th, 2017 6:25 PM Author: tantric locus regret https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-you-shouldnt-always-trust-the-inside-scoop/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32714310) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2017 1:52 PM Author: tantric locus regret https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probably-cost-clinton-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#33221553) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2017 4:47 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#33222883) |
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Date: September 21st, 2017 8:38 AM Author: tantric locus regret https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-media-has-a-probability-problem/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#34257967) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: fantasy-prone boltzmann this seriously needs mainstream coverage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32441221) |
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Date: February 27th, 2017 6:39 PM Author: Duck-like azn roommate One of the greatest things made on this great bort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32714399) |
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Date: March 22nd, 2017 7:01 PM Author: Arousing national (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#32891711) |
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Date: April 17th, 2017 9:53 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#33097887) |
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Date: May 8th, 2017 12:36 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861611275717156868 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#33256991) |
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Date: June 20th, 2017 9:18 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#33605191) |
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Date: August 10th, 2017 3:50 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting What Kind Of Republican Might Challenge Trump In 2020? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-kind-of-republican-might-challenge-trump-in-2020/ |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-it-safe-to-say-trump-is-a-favorite-to-win-re-election/amp/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#34449074) |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:47 PM Author: saffron pungent pervert (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#34449102) |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:53 PM Author: spruce swollen haunted graveyard wagecucks (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#34449138) |
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Date: November 6th, 2017 10:06 AM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#34615930) |
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Date: November 6th, 2017 10:09 AM Author: supple plum address coldplay fan credit where it's massively due (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#34615959) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 3:45 PM Author: Cerebral Olive Shitlib Therapy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#34636123) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: talented coiffed spot legend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#34636459) |
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Date: November 13th, 2017 1:43 AM Author: razzle filthy toaster (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#34673088) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 11:47 AM Author: saffron pungent pervert (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#34948560) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 11:50 AM Author: Adulterous Comical Hairy Legs Prole Will Passing The Tax Bill Help The GOP In 2018? Probably Not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#34948572) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 3:44 PM Author: saffron pungent pervert (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#34950581) |
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Date: January 30th, 2018 3:02 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#35278621) |
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Date: June 1st, 2018 7:46 PM Author: Bearded blathering french chef becky (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#36168381) |
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Date: July 18th, 2018 10:15 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/would-republicans-be-better-off-if-clinton-were-president/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#36451135) |
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Date: July 19th, 2018 11:53 AM Author: saffron pungent pervert (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#36458802) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 7:28 AM Author: aggressive ultramarine cuck (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#36847087) |
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Date: September 25th, 2018 11:32 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler The GOP’s Least-Worst Option Is If Kavanaugh Withdraws — And Soon https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gops-least-worst-option-is-if-kavanaugh-withdraws-and-soon/ SEE OP: "January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" " |
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Date: October 6th, 2018 4:22 PM Author: silver psychic It's about time for the OP's last prediction to come true (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#36973680) |
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Date: October 6th, 2018 4:23 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting lol 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#36973690) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:04 AM Author: Bearded blathering french chef becky (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#37090167) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:09 AM Author: Amethyst laser beams state Man, this was a really great thread. Spectacular. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#37090191) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:05 AM Author: dashing principal's office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#37161974) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 9:58 AM Author: Bearded blathering french chef becky (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#37161955) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: Arousing national (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#37162045) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:58 PM Author: Bearded blathering french chef becky (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#37167335) |
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Date: January 8th, 2019 3:58 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler What Would It Take For Trump To Get Primaried? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-would-it-take-for-trump-to-get-primaried/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#37553376) |
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Date: February 23rd, 2019 10:41 PM Author: beady-eyed rigpig site (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#37833345) |
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Date: March 13th, 2019 11:17 AM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting Brendan makes some good points here. All that said, my main point would be this — a lot of people misremember Trump bucking the CW and winning the 2016 nomination as a “polls were wrong” case when actually it was an “sophisticated experts dismissed the polls” case. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1105835180281991170 Yeah, this. Trump didn't lead the polls at *this* stage, but he did from summer 2015 on as people like me kept coming up with elaborate explanations for why he'd lose to Rubio etc. He's a good data point for "'experts' are full of shit, so you might as well go with the polls." https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1105848702986526726
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Date: June 24th, 2019 9:04 AM Author: dashing principal's office There was a new leader every 2 weeks in the 2012 primary. Polls can’t predict future changes. Trump stuck, Herman Caine didn’t, but yeah, experts are full of shit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#38431500) |
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Date: June 24th, 2019 8:06 AM Author: aphrodisiac (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#38431431) |
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Date: November 18th, 2019 3:05 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#39135638) |
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Date: February 12th, 2020 12:14 PM Author: Duck-like azn roommate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#39583415) |
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Date: February 12th, 2020 1:03 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#39583624) |
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Date: March 24th, 2020 10:12 AM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#39849854) |
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Date: March 24th, 2020 10:16 AM Author: fragrant insanely creepy international law enforcement agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#39849877) |
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Date: April 4th, 2020 12:07 PM Author: lime haunting keepsake machete (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#39938878) |
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Date: April 26th, 2020 4:40 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#40097972) |
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Date: May 13th, 2020 6:37 AM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-on-tuesday-could-hint-at-another-blue-wave-in-2020/amp/ In case you don't get the joke, the Republican in Wisconsin won by 14, & the Republican in California is up 10 with most ballots in for a seat Dems have held since 1998. |
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Date: June 5th, 2020 2:05 PM Author: lime haunting keepsake machete (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#40354730) |
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Date: June 5th, 2020 3:46 PM Author: macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#40355911) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:46 PM Author: lime haunting keepsake machete (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#40896459) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:56 PM Author: Duck-like azn roommate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#40896523) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:57 PM Author: topaz national security agency Lmao never forget (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#40896526) |
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Date: September 12th, 2020 1:55 PM Author: Metal mischievous (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#40908695) |
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Date: September 24th, 2020 9:25 AM Author: Confused twinkling uncleanness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#40977795) |
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Date: October 9th, 2020 11:09 AM Author: aphrodisiac (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#41079968) |
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Date: October 10th, 2020 9:10 PM Author: saffron pungent pervert (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#41088157) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:24 PM Author: Bull Headed Dragon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#41166967) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:27 PM Author: cruel-hearted vigorous mexican (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#41166990) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: Magenta Theater Masturbator (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#41167039) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:37 PM Author: Magenta Theater Masturbator https://imgur.com/a/mXMUHui (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#41167053) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:57 AM Author: disturbing place of business windowlicker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#44203011) |
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Date: October 27th, 2020 5:47 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#41200021) |
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Date: October 27th, 2020 11:29 PM Author: Arousing national (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#41202581) |
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Date: October 30th, 2020 2:57 PM Author: aphrodisiac (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#41222868) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2020 9:51 PM Author: saffron pungent pervert (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#41261120) |
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Date: March 22nd, 2022 11:29 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#44196611) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:51 AM Author: snowy big-titted (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#44202968) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:54 AM Author: Charcoal gunner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#44202984) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:58 AM Author: 180 and prescient (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#44203017) |
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Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#44911871) |
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Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: topaz national security agency A classic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#44911874) |
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Date: October 23rd, 2022 4:13 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#45378008) |
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Date: November 16th, 2022 6:19 AM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting Why DeSantis Is a Major Threat to Trump's Reelection
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-desantis-is-a-major-threat-to-trumps-reelection/ |
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Date: April 25th, 2023 1:31 PM Author: Crystalline Public Bath Famous Landscape Painting https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1650899579234140168 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#46237455) |
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Date: April 25th, 2023 1:33 PM Author: Concupiscible pozpig base why was disney employing this guy anyways (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#46237460) |
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Date: April 29th, 2023 7:52 PM Author: Confused twinkling uncleanness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#46252623) |
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Date: May 28th, 2023 3:10 PM Author: at-the-ready space FOCK!
This still hurts to read |
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Date: February 22nd, 2024 4:54 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#47428670) |
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Date: February 23rd, 2024 4:00 AM Author: Confused twinkling uncleanness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#47430198) |
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Date: May 23rd, 2024 4:51 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/is-the-biden-campaign-running-on-false-hope As FiveThirtyEight makes clear in their piece, “While the polls in a few closely watched races—like Arizona’s governorship and Pennsylvania’s Senate seat—were biased toward Republicans, the polls overall still had a bit of a bias toward Democrats. That’s because generic-ballot polls, the most common type of poll last cycle, had a weighted-average bias of D+1.9, and polls of several less closely watched races, like the governorships in Ohio and Florida, also skewed toward Democrats.”
I’m ending the interview. I’m ending the interview because what you’re doing is ridiculous.
Wait, wait—why?
Because I have definitive proof that what you’re saying is not true. And I don’t care. I know what FiveThirtyEight wrote. I live this every day. And so, the point is what you’re saying is wrong. I am on record saying that what FiveThirtyEight has written is incorrect, and I’ve given you definitive proof otherwise. So if you want to keep coming back at this, do it. But this has become one of the most ridiculous interviews that I’ve ever done my entire professional career. |
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Date: August 26th, 2024 3:52 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#48010724) |
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Date: September 13th, 2024 11:24 PM Author: Confused twinkling uncleanness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#48087201) |
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Date: September 13th, 2024 11:32 PM Author: topaz national security agency One of the GOAT threads of all time (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#48087224) |
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Date: October 18th, 2024 1:46 PM Author: Confused twinkling uncleanness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#48211967) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:45 PM Author: Buck-toothed chrome legal warrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#48187302) |
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Date: November 6th, 2024 5:16 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#48296972) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:30 PM Author: Sooty Boyish Lay 538 is being shut down. This post is now complete. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#48715841) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:32 PM Author: Sooty Boyish Lay https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1897135211810545835?s=46 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#48715847) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:33 PM Author: aggressive ultramarine cuck Lol actually his model was right at almost every turn
*facts cum* |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:37 PM Author: Buck-toothed chrome legal warrant The post isn't fully complete until Nate Silver passes peacefully away from full blown AIDS (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#48715863) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:41 PM Author: low-t turquoise He has to be sucking cock at the port authority for bus fare to complete the circle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#48715869) |
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Date: March 5th, 2025 8:13 AM Author: Arrogant crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#48716330) |
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Date: March 7th, 2025 11:34 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#48724299) |
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Date: March 7th, 2025 11:36 AM Author: Disgusting pocket flask organic girlfriend 538 is now 404 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#48724306) |
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Date: March 8th, 2025 5:10 AM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler "How Trump Killed 538" https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/03/07/fivethirtyeight-nate-silver-election-polls/ |
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Date: March 8th, 2025 7:12 AM Author: walnut Was just thinking about this poast the other day and how much went into maeking it. Truly a work of art. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#48727216) |
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Date: March 8th, 2025 12:42 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler Holy shit it's all gone, they beleted everything. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#48727802) |
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Date: February 18th, 2026 11:20 PM Author: fantasy-prone boltzmann (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#49679495) |
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Date: May 15th, 2026 12:08 PM Author: Sadistic motley community account deer antler ABC News has now taken all FiveThirtyEight articles completely offline. They now redirect to abcnews dot com/politics. A needless erasure of thousands of pages of knowledge. https://x.com/baseballot/status/2055309076209492208 |
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Date: May 17th, 2026 11:01 AM Author: indirect expression i sense that there is a bit of a movement to shame ABC into providing access again.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/16/business/media/fivethirtyeight-abc-removed.html |
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Date: August 11th, 2026 2:24 AM Author: coalition of rabbis Weird how 99% of the internet disappeared one day (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2ค1¤7PHPSESSID=188a95202f833e097d78c96d76bac3f6#50060136) |