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Nate Silver: Trump making huge gains on home stretch
Poast new message in this thread
Date: September 27th, 2020 9:52 AM Author: Wonderful chocolate set personal credit line (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994723) |
Date: September 27th, 2020 9:54 AM Author: Hairraiser magical volcanic crater He tweeted this yesterday:
Nate Silver @NateSilver538 · 15h Overall, there's plenty of good news in here for Biden. But his lead slipping quite a bit in Florida, and also by a point or two in Pennsylvania, makes his path more treacherous than it otherwise would be. |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 10:18 AM Author: Wine thriller church building https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994808) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 10:40 AM Author: Wonderful chocolate set personal credit line (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994875) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:06 PM Author: Geriatric dog poop "That remains our outlook today in our final forecast of the year. Clinton is a 71 percent favorite to win the election according to our polls-only model and a 72 percent favorite according to our polls-plus model." (Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight, 2016)
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/11/09/the-wrongest-media-predictions-about-donald-trump/ |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 2:01 PM Author: Wonderful chocolate set personal credit line (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995709) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 10:45 AM Author: diverse blood rage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994895) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 12:35 PM Author: Hairraiser magical volcanic crater So you mean Nate Silver was also the most accurate in 2016? And that he in fact predicted a systemic polling problem could mean Trump would narrowly win the swing states? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995318) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:24 PM Author: silver heady church keepsake machete LA times was most accurate - I checked a lot of those poll aggregator websites and this time they don’t have LA Times polls up anymore? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995516) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:23 PM Author: Ungodly macaca boistinker lol wtf, these are the exact same projections for Biden. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995515) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 10:20 AM Author: lavender private investor garrison What's he going to be doing after the election now that Penn Station half empty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994814) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 11:03 AM Author: Wonderful chocolate set personal credit line (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994958) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 11:04 AM Author: glittery stag film regret at least he has options (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994960) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 10:41 AM Author: Amethyst boltzmann (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994883) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 11:03 AM Author: smoky parlor athletic conference How can Biden even have a shot at winning? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994957) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:13 PM Author: flirting mentally impaired coffee pot ? Biden's killing Trump and will be the next president (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995466) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:16 PM Author: Gay plaza Date: September 27th, 2020 1:13 PM Author: :.;;.;...;;
? Biden's killing Trump and will be the next president
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995466) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:17 PM Author: ruby electric striped hyena same nate silver that predicted a clinton victory in 2016? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995482) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:19 PM Author: flirting mentally impaired coffee pot Clinton got the most votes by a lot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995493) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:21 PM Author: talented stage Oh I thought his job was predicting elections. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995497) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:29 PM Author: carnelian hateful tanning salon Wrong. As always. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995533) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:30 PM Author: supple cruel-hearted trump supporter Gibberish, you got obeezy’s alternate pumo mad at you. He must really mean business! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995542) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:23 PM Author: Chest-beating Community Account Rigor He gave Trump a 30% chance of winning. Underdogs win occasionally. Will Trump win again this year? It’s a bigger challenge but sure. He’s an underdog again. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995512) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:26 PM Author: ruby electric striped hyena sounds like we are in agreement Mr. Silver is probably wrong again (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995525) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:26 PM Author: Ungodly macaca boistinker it comes down to the same three states that swung the election towards Trump. MI, WI, and PA. Trump just needs one, while Biden needs to flip MI & WI or PA. One big difference between now and 2016 is that Biden much more likable than Hilary and he's from PA. |