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poasters who understand Israeli politics, why is Bibi projected to lose?

https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-mini...
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  10/26/26
the israeli polls have been repeatedly wrong and he's b...
יהוה
  10/26/26


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Date: October 26th, 2026 2:56 PM
Author: ,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.


https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election/will-benjamin-netanyahu-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50203476)



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Date: October 26th, 2026 3:23 PM
Author: יהוה

the israeli polls have been repeatedly wrong and he's been predicted to lose the last 5 elections

even of the polls are right, the most likely scenario is that neither the bibi bloc nor the anti-bibi bloc gets a majority of 61/120, and it's a stalemate and there's some jewish horsetrading / new elections.

there's really no realistic scenario in which bibi is done here, unless the anti-bibi bloc really overperforms.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50203586)