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Looks like polls and prediction markets fucked up royally on Brazil/XO Bolsonaro

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here ...
insecure theater
  10/05/26
since USAID was defunded, there have been eight major top-li...
Aromatic stead useless brakes
  10/05/26
...
Histrionic sweet tailpipe corn cake
  10/05/26
...
adulterous community account church
  10/06/26
nope Bolsanaro has been leading since mid-September ht...
cyan house-broken messiness location
  10/05/26
Get used to this shape, it’s going to play in your nig...
insecure theater
  10/05/26
wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100...
Odious citrine hall
  10/05/26
I see you struggle greatly with reading charts Date: Octo...
insecure theater
  10/05/26
You are a fucking retard and he is right
high-end bistre public bath
  10/05/26
🥴🥴🥴 https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/210685886...
insecure theater
  10/05/26
...
cyan house-broken messiness location
  10/06/26
Dems spend big money to manipulate the betting markets too&h...
cyan house-broken messiness location
  10/05/26
no one looks at this shit you fucking loser. it's only twitt...
provocative plum water buffalo
  10/05/26
Not really, this is dumb and if you believe it you could bec...
high-end bistre public bath
  10/05/26
...
high-end bistre public bath
  10/05/26
The markets were right. Bolsonaro was the odds on favorite o...
high-end bistre public bath
  10/05/26
They had Lula winning at 2PM yesterday. Grow a beard you fuc...
insecure theater
  10/05/26
They had him slimly winning the first round, but had Bolsona...
high-end bistre public bath
  10/05/26
Here king, you dropped this *hands you your prolapsed as...
insecure theater
  10/05/26
Bolsonaro 65% chance of winning it all on election eve
high-end bistre public bath
  10/05/26
OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren&rs...
cyan house-broken messiness location
  10/05/26
Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM Author: ''"'"''&...
insecure theater
  10/05/26
Polls also way off https://x.com/sethjlevy/status/2107120...
insecure theater
  10/05/26
good news you can 12x your money in just 28 days https://...
cyan house-broken messiness location
  10/05/26
https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46
insecure theater
  10/05/26
So how much you going to get on Republicans keeping the Hous...
cyan house-broken messiness location
  10/05/26
wait, so the polymarket trends crossed only in 45 minutes or...
Aromatic stead useless brakes
  10/05/26
They switched a few hours before the polls closed. It&rsq...
insecure theater
  10/06/26
lol. that reminds me of the guy (French guy?) who bet a ton...
Aromatic stead useless brakes
  10/06/26
Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM Author: ""''''&q...
shimmering bateful weed whacker school
  10/06/26
It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the...
insecure theater
  10/06/26
Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM Author: ""''''&qu...
cyan house-broken messiness location
  10/06/26
Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM Author: ""''''&qu...
shimmering bateful weed whacker school
  10/06/26
so prediction markets suck shit? Wow
gaped spot
  10/06/26
Weren't the shitlibs in power in brazil? I dont think that w...
avocado appetizing puppy
  10/06/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM
Author: insecure theater

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172002)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:38 AM
Author: Aromatic stead useless brakes

since USAID was defunded, there have been eight major top-line elections in Latin America, and the "far right" candidate has won all eight.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172051)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 12:09 PM
Author: Histrionic sweet tailpipe corn cake



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172311)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 12:36 PM
Author: adulterous community account church



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174169)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:46 AM
Author: cyan house-broken messiness location

nope Bolsanaro has been leading since mid-September

https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election/will-luiz-incio-lula-da-silva-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172067)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:54 AM
Author: insecure theater

Get used to this shape, it’s going to play in your nightmares for months

https://x.com/kalshipolitics/status/2106847104740343900?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172082)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:59 AM
Author: Odious citrine hall

wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100% after the election itself has ballots counted wow this is crazy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172095)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:00 AM
Author: insecure theater

I see you struggle greatly with reading charts

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:59 AM

Author: Nude Karlstack (🧐)

wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100% after the election itself has ballots counted wow this is crazy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172095)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172101)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:14 AM
Author: high-end bistre public bath

You are a fucking retard and he is right

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172130)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:15 AM
Author: insecure theater

🥴🥴🥴

https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/2106858865270669445?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172135)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 7:56 AM
Author: cyan house-broken messiness location



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173742)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:01 AM
Author: cyan house-broken messiness location

Dems spend big money to manipulate the betting markets too…idk…upset cons or something

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172103)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:09 AM
Author: provocative plum water buffalo

no one looks at this shit you fucking loser. it's only twitter dorks coming up with these "odds".

you seriously need to get a life or a hobby that doesn't involve the internet

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172118)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:16 AM
Author: high-end bistre public bath

Not really, this is dumb and if you believe it you could become a millionaire in a couple of months.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172136)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:14 AM
Author: high-end bistre public bath



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172129)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:15 AM
Author: high-end bistre public bath

The markets were right. Bolsonaro was the odds on favorite on election eve.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172133)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:17 AM
Author: insecure theater

They had Lula winning at 2PM yesterday. Grow a beard you fucking waste of oxygen.

https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/2106858865270669445?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172146)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:20 AM
Author: high-end bistre public bath

They had him slimly winning the first round, but had Bolsonaro as the odds on favorite to win it all. Ultimately they were less than two points apart in the first round.

https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election/will-flvio-bolsonaro-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172152)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:21 AM
Author: insecure theater

Here king, you dropped this

*hands you your prolapsed asshole*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172156)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM
Author: high-end bistre public bath

Bolsonaro 65% chance of winning it all on election eve

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172157)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM
Author: cyan house-broken messiness location

OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren’t going to get wiped out in four weeks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172158)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:24 AM
Author: insecure theater

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM

Author: ''"'"''"''''"""'''

OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren’t going to get wiped out in four weeks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172158)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172162)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:25 AM
Author: insecure theater

Polls also way off

https://x.com/sethjlevy/status/2107120074834219062?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172167)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:29 AM
Author: cyan house-broken messiness location

good news you can 12x your money in just 28 days

https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026/will-the-democratic-party-control-the-house-after-the-2026-midterm-elections

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172175)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:30 AM
Author: insecure theater

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172181)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 12:05 PM
Author: cyan house-broken messiness location

So how much you going to get on Republicans keeping the House?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172291)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 3:18 PM
Author: Aromatic stead useless brakes

wait, so the polymarket trends crossed only in 45 minutes or so on the very last day?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172792)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:23 AM
Author: insecure theater

They switched a few hours before the polls closed.

It’s all fraud.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173776)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 12:26 PM
Author: Aromatic stead useless brakes

lol.

that reminds me of the guy (French guy?) who bet a ton of money on Trump winning all the swing states, because he thought that Polymarket was infected by groupthink.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174151)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:09 AM
Author: shimmering bateful weed whacker school

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM

Author: ""''''"'

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172002)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173752)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM
Author: insecure theater

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173880)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 10:38 AM
Author: cyan house-broken messiness location

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM

Author: ""''''"'

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173989)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:08 AM
Author: shimmering bateful weed whacker school

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM

Author: ""''''"'

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173880)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174037)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:23 AM
Author: gaped spot

so prediction markets suck shit? Wow

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174067)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 1:07 PM
Author: avocado appetizing puppy

Weren't the shitlibs in power in brazil? I dont think that will happen here tbh.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174206)