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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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Titillating Pearly Meetinghouse
  07/21/18
0%
bateful step-uncle's house pocket flask
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
cream massive ratface
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
self-centered lilac site new version
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
hideous outnumbered messiness
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
Impressive Charismatic Resort Faggotry
  07/21/18
jfc
cobalt mad-dog skullcap property
  07/21/18
90%
Misanthropic range newt
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
autistic chad
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
tantric domesticated library
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
Fragrant lettuce
  07/21/18
...
sticky lascivious jap
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
hideous outnumbered messiness
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
rose infuriating menage
  07/21/18
45%
khaki internal respiration
  07/21/18
75%
low-t turdskin
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
Big-titted Plum Gunner Mood
  07/21/18
...
Frum Native Electric Furnace
  07/21/18
80%
rose infuriating menage
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: Titillating Pearly Meetinghouse



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: bateful step-uncle's house pocket flask

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: cream massive ratface

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: self-centered lilac site new version

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: hideous outnumbered messiness

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: Impressive Charismatic Resort Faggotry

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: cobalt mad-dog skullcap property

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: Misanthropic range newt

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: autistic chad

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: tantric domesticated library

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: Fragrant lettuce

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: sticky lascivious jap



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: hideous outnumbered messiness

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: rose infuriating menage

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: khaki internal respiration

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: low-t turdskin

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: Big-titted Plum Gunner Mood

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: Frum Native Electric Furnace



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: rose infuriating menage

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)