The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
|
 |
 
|
The Next Twelve Months of Nate Silver's 538.com Headlines:
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 12/10/15 |
| Fragrant parlour wagecucks | 12/12/15 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 01/02/17 |
| Pale Painfully Honest Sanctuary | 01/06/16 |
| spectacular field goal in life | 01/06/16 |
| spectacular field goal in life | 06/05/16 |
| charcoal turdskin | 03/26/16 |
| turquoise filthy dragon hall | 01/02/17 |
| Translucent offensive rehab | 10/25/18 |
| adulterous bearded fanboi | 12/10/15 |
| at-the-ready preventive strike property | 12/10/15 |
| Beady-eyed purple market | 12/10/15 |
| bearded stain pozpig | 12/10/15 |
| talented state | 12/15/15 |
| misanthropic violent headpube tanning salon | 12/10/15 |
| godawful carnelian windowlicker | 12/10/15 |
| Glassy Alcoholic Athletic Conference Mother | 12/10/15 |
| Odious Ungodly Sneaky Criminal Resort | 12/11/15 |
| henna doobsian mad-dog skullcap degenerate | 12/12/15 |
| Know-it-all Abode Nibblets | 12/16/15 |
| laughsome high-end lay | 01/04/16 |
| Titillating nighttime point kitty | 11/09/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 12/11/15 |
| Ultramarine toilet seat | 12/11/15 |
| thirsty insane box office useless brakes | 12/11/15 |
| Odious Ungodly Sneaky Criminal Resort | 12/11/15 |
| Naked Multi-colored Mad Cow Disease Kitchen | 12/12/15 |
| Harsh Boistinker | 01/25/16 |
| Orange charismatic community account | 11/10/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 12/12/15 |
| Chestnut Big Dysfunction Hairy Legs | 12/12/15 |
| Nudist garrison | 12/12/15 |
| electric sepia house cuckoldry | 12/12/15 |
| Cracking Fishy Tank Set | 12/15/15 |
| Bright Potus Corner | 12/21/15 |
| Comical bronze meetinghouse striped hyena | 12/12/15 |
| Vibrant lake trust fund sound barrier | 12/12/15 |
| Soul-stirring Beta Home | 12/12/15 |
| brindle ratface casino | 12/12/15 |
| Hairless filthpig | 12/12/15 |
| Cerebral Friendly Grandma | 12/12/15 |
| godawful carnelian windowlicker | 12/15/15 |
| godawful carnelian windowlicker | 12/16/15 |
| up-to-no-good bespoke brunch | 12/15/15 |
| aromatic chartreuse corn cake | 12/15/15 |
| mind-boggling fat ankles | 12/15/15 |
| angry bistre base | 12/15/15 |
| galvanic theater | 12/15/15 |
| cowardly forum | 12/15/15 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 12/15/15 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 12/15/15 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 12/15/15 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 12/15/15 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 12/15/15 |
| Pearly Lascivious Electric Furnace | 01/05/16 |
| Harsh Boistinker | 01/25/16 |
| Dashing office dingle berry | 12/17/16 |
| Wonderful submissive boiling water | 05/18/16 |
| vigorous trump supporter | 08/12/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 11/09/16 |
| Exciting national security agency ticket booth | 11/09/16 |
| azure arousing crotch old irish cottage | 11/09/16 |
| carmine greedy twinkling uncleanness | 10/22/20 |
| Concupiscible Theatre | 12/15/15 |
| stirring sapphire crackhouse | 12/16/15 |
| Passionate impertinent gas station doctorate | 12/16/15 |
| Mahogany plaza | 12/16/15 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 12/16/15 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 12/17/15 |
| autistic really tough guy locus | 12/18/15 |
| Pale Painfully Honest Sanctuary | 01/06/16 |
| diverse magenta pervert hospital | 12/18/15 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 12/21/15 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 12/21/15 |
| Bright Potus Corner | 12/21/15 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 12/30/15 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 12/30/15 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 01/04/16 |
| laughsome high-end lay | 01/04/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 01/05/16 |
| Harsh Boistinker | 01/25/16 |
| autistic really tough guy locus | 01/05/16 |
| Swashbuckling sooty stage | 01/05/16 |
| Boyish talking hell indirect expression | 01/05/16 |
| Stimulating Stubborn Orchestra Pit Pocket Flask | 01/05/16 |
| Splenetic Rusted Range | 01/05/16 |
| Stimulating Stubborn Orchestra Pit Pocket Flask | 01/05/16 |
| Pale Painfully Honest Sanctuary | 01/06/16 |
| Stimulating Stubborn Orchestra Pit Pocket Flask | 01/06/16 |
| Splenetic Rusted Range | 01/05/16 |
| vigorous trump supporter | 01/06/16 |
| Bright Potus Corner | 01/07/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 01/08/16 |
| Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut | 01/08/16 |
| Bright Potus Corner | 01/08/16 |
| autistic really tough guy locus | 01/09/16 |
| Bright Potus Corner | 01/10/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 01/18/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 01/19/16 |
| autistic really tough guy locus | 01/21/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 01/25/16 |
| Motley Peach Partner | 01/25/16 |
| Harsh Boistinker | 01/25/16 |
| Motley Peach Partner | 02/09/16 |
| Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut | 09/06/16 |
| Pale Painfully Honest Sanctuary | 11/05/18 |
| heady macaca | 01/29/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 02/01/16 |
| razzle national | 02/01/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 02/01/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 02/07/16 |
| Swashbuckling sooty stage | 02/09/16 |
| black idiot | 02/09/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 02/20/16 |
| emerald roommate | 02/20/16 |
| Wonderful submissive boiling water | 02/24/16 |
| excitant cordovan center telephone | 02/24/16 |
| bateful faggotry | 02/27/16 |
| up-to-no-good bespoke brunch | 03/09/16 |
| pink stag film voyeur | 03/15/16 |
| Beady-eyed purple market | 03/15/16 |
| aromatic chartreuse corn cake | 03/16/16 |
| Internet-worthy faggot firefighter school | 02/24/16 |
| Racy nofapping trailer park cuckold | 02/24/16 |
| aromatic chartreuse corn cake | 07/21/16 |
| Underhanded Double Fault Parlor | 02/24/16 |
| Beady-eyed purple market | 02/27/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 03/02/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 03/04/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 03/09/16 |
| Swashbuckling sooty stage | 03/09/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 03/15/16 |
| Wonderful submissive boiling water | 03/15/16 |
| Drunken Persian | 03/15/16 |
| lemon principal's office gunner | 03/15/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 03/16/16 |
| godawful carnelian windowlicker | 03/16/16 |
| Exciting national security agency ticket booth | 03/23/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 03/23/16 |
| Soul-stirring Beta Home | 03/26/16 |
| appetizing disgusting school cafeteria clown | 03/26/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 03/26/16 |
| Pearly Lascivious Electric Furnace | 03/28/16 |
| Exciting national security agency ticket booth | 03/28/16 |
| at-the-ready preventive strike property | 03/28/16 |
| vigorous trump supporter | 08/12/16 |
| Pale Painfully Honest Sanctuary | 11/05/18 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 03/28/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 03/29/16 |
| Plum jew | 03/29/16 |
| Plum jew | 03/29/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 03/29/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 03/29/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 04/01/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 04/04/16 |
| Plum jew | 04/15/16 |
| Blue azn shrine | 04/15/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 04/19/16 |
| Silver death wish | 04/20/16 |
| fluffy fuchsia stock car | 04/20/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 04/24/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 04/25/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 04/26/16 |
| Thriller laser beams digit ratio | 04/26/16 |
| Impressive maize personal credit line hissy fit | 04/30/16 |
| Gay razzle-dazzle gaming laptop | 05/01/16 |
| Gay razzle-dazzle gaming laptop | 11/07/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 05/02/16 |
| Exciting national security agency ticket booth | 05/02/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 05/03/16 |
| Ruddy public bath masturbator | 05/03/16 |
| Mint therapy | 05/03/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 05/04/16 |
| Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut | 05/04/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 05/05/16 |
| brindle ratface casino | 05/05/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 05/05/16 |
| Racy nofapping trailer park cuckold | 05/05/16 |
| Chestnut Big Dysfunction Hairy Legs | 05/18/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 05/18/16 |
| Wonderful submissive boiling water | 05/18/16 |
| Chestnut Big Dysfunction Hairy Legs | 05/18/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 05/29/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 06/20/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 06/29/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 07/14/16 |
| Lavender glittery travel guidebook | 07/15/16 |
| vigorous trump supporter | 07/15/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 07/17/16 |
| Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut | 07/17/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 07/21/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 07/22/16 |
| rose location | 07/22/16 |
| 180 kink-friendly foreskin | 07/23/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 07/24/16 |
| Geriatric business firm | 07/25/16 |
| Plum jew | 07/25/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 07/27/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 08/05/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 08/09/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 08/12/16 |
| Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut | 08/12/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 08/12/16 |
| amethyst vivacious famous landscape painting native | 08/12/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 08/30/16 |
| Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut | 08/30/16 |
| Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut | 09/06/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 09/13/16 |
| Plum jew | 09/14/16 |
| Comical bronze meetinghouse striped hyena | 09/14/16 |
| Flatulent sex offender pit | 09/15/16 |
| copper antidepressant drug whorehouse | 09/15/16 |
| spectacular field goal in life | 09/15/16 |
| Bat-shit-crazy Legend Dopamine | 09/15/16 |
| Hairraiser Light Becky | 09/15/16 |
| Maroon disturbing shitlib jap | 09/19/16 |
| Maroon disturbing shitlib jap | 09/19/16 |
| Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut | 09/27/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 09/24/16 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 09/27/16 |
| Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut | 09/27/16 |
| godawful carnelian windowlicker | 09/27/16 |
| amber curious institution mood | 10/08/16 |
| rebellious lilac step-uncle's house | 07/29/24 |
| Plum jew | 09/28/16 |
| Comical bronze meetinghouse striped hyena | 09/28/16 |
| Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut | 09/28/16 |
| fluffy fuchsia stock car | 09/28/16 |
| Blue azn shrine | 09/28/16 |
| onyx nursing home | 10/08/16 |
| Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut | 10/09/16 |
| Aphrodisiac white locale gay wizard | 10/09/16 |
| Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut | 10/09/16 |
| marvelous idea he suggested | 10/09/16 |
| Plum jew | 10/10/16 |
| Geriatric business firm | 10/30/16 |
| vigorous trump supporter | 11/01/16 |
| Bat-shit-crazy Legend Dopamine | 11/01/16 |
| floppy library people who are hurt | 11/02/16 |
| angry bistre base | 11/02/16 |
| Plum jew | 11/07/16 |
| sickened patrolman | 11/08/16 |
| Plum jew | 11/08/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 11/08/16 |
| Plum jew | 11/08/16 |
| Flickering exhilarant sweet tailpipe generalized bond | 11/08/16 |
| Coral Codepig | 11/08/16 |
| razzle national | 11/08/16 |
| Maroon disturbing shitlib jap | 11/08/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 11/08/16 |
| cyan dilemma | 11/09/16 |
| Flatulent sex offender pit | 11/09/16 |
| Yapping Slate Cruise Ship Newt | 11/09/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 11/09/16 |
| Bat-shit-crazy Legend Dopamine | 11/09/16 |
| cyan dilemma | 11/09/16 |
| Geriatric business firm | 11/09/16 |
| brindle ratface casino | 11/09/16 |
| Supple yarmulke church | 12/03/16 |
| Orange charismatic community account | 12/07/16 |
| Dashing office dingle berry | 12/17/16 |
| dead drab party of the first part blood rage | 10/11/24 |
| Elite Razzmatazz Prole | 11/09/16 |
| trip spot | 11/09/16 |
| Duck-like histrionic temple | 11/09/16 |
| Citrine Irradiated Piazza | 11/09/16 |
| Supple yarmulke church | 11/09/16 |
| vigorous trump supporter | 11/09/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 11/09/16 |
| Chestnut Big Dysfunction Hairy Legs | 11/09/16 |
| Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut | 11/09/16 |
| Adventurous Psychic Philosopher-king | 11/09/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 11/09/16 |
| Provocative kitty cat | 11/09/16 |
| contagious brilliant puppy | 11/09/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 11/09/16 |
| bearded stain pozpig | 11/09/16 |
| diverse magenta pervert hospital | 11/10/16 |
| Motley Peach Partner | 11/10/16 |
| spectacular field goal in life | 11/10/16 |
| pistol | 11/10/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 11/10/16 |
| Plum jew | 11/10/16 |
| emerald roommate | 11/10/16 |
| Maroon disturbing shitlib jap | 11/14/16 |
| tantric marketing idea mediation | 11/14/16 |
| Green hot milk volcanic crater | 12/04/16 |
| Dashing office dingle berry | 12/17/16 |
| dead drab party of the first part blood rage | 10/11/24 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 11/25/16 |
| deranged cuck church building | 12/03/16 |
| marvelous idea he suggested | 12/04/16 |
| indecent fiercely-loyal deer antler | 12/07/16 |
| spectacular field goal in life | 12/07/16 |
| deranged cuck church building | 12/07/16 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 01/02/17 |
| mauve lodge wrinkle | 01/02/17 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 01/02/17 |
| mauve lodge wrinkle | 01/02/17 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 03/03/20 |
| spectacular field goal in life | 01/02/17 |
| Exciting national security agency ticket booth | 01/16/17 |
| mauve lodge wrinkle | 01/20/17 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 01/20/17 |
| mauve lodge wrinkle | 01/23/17 |
| onyx nursing home | 01/23/17 |
| mauve lodge wrinkle | 01/23/17 |
| chrome legal warrant | 01/23/17 |
| onyx nursing home | 01/23/17 |
| mauve lodge wrinkle | 01/23/17 |
| mauve lodge wrinkle | 01/25/17 |
| mauve lodge wrinkle | 01/26/17 |
| mauve lodge wrinkle | 02/06/17 |
| mauve lodge wrinkle | 02/13/17 |
| mauve lodge wrinkle | 02/27/17 |
| mauve lodge wrinkle | 05/03/17 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 05/03/17 |
| mauve lodge wrinkle | 09/21/17 |
| Beady-eyed purple market | 01/23/17 |
| Bat-shit-crazy Legend Dopamine | 02/27/17 |
| Pale Painfully Honest Sanctuary | 03/22/17 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 04/17/17 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 05/08/17 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 06/20/17 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 08/10/17 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 10/15/17 |
| Exciting national security agency ticket booth | 10/15/17 |
| Crusty Toaster | 10/15/17 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 11/06/17 |
| Embarrassed to the bone factory reset button haunted graveyard | 11/06/17 |
| violet space | 11/08/17 |
| Transparent station | 11/08/17 |
| bull headed effete heaven son of senegal | 11/13/17 |
| Exciting national security agency ticket booth | 12/18/17 |
| Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut | 12/18/17 |
| Exciting national security agency ticket booth | 12/18/17 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 01/30/18 |
| spectacular field goal in life | 06/01/18 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 07/18/18 |
| Exciting national security agency ticket booth | 07/19/18 |
| Hairraiser Light Becky | 09/20/18 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 09/25/18 |
| at-the-ready preventive strike property | 10/06/18 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 10/06/18 |
| spectacular field goal in life | 10/25/18 |
| copper antidepressant drug whorehouse | 10/25/18 |
| Harsh Boistinker | 11/05/18 |
| spectacular field goal in life | 11/05/18 |
| Pale Painfully Honest Sanctuary | 11/05/18 |
| spectacular field goal in life | 11/05/18 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 01/08/19 |
| Chocolate area gaping | 02/23/19 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 03/13/19 |
| Harsh Boistinker | 06/24/19 |
| aquamarine judgmental bawdyhouse | 06/24/19 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 11/18/19 |
| Bat-shit-crazy Legend Dopamine | 02/12/20 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 02/12/20 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 03/24/20 |
| rambunctious senate | 03/24/20 |
| Lavender glittery travel guidebook | 04/04/20 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 04/26/20 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 05/13/20 |
| Lavender glittery travel guidebook | 06/05/20 |
| Federal Dog Poop Goyim | 06/05/20 |
| Lavender glittery travel guidebook | 09/09/20 |
| Bat-shit-crazy Legend Dopamine | 09/09/20 |
| adulterous bearded fanboi | 09/09/20 |
| spruce alpha | 09/12/20 |
| lime site messiness | 09/24/20 |
| aquamarine judgmental bawdyhouse | 10/09/20 |
| Exciting national security agency ticket booth | 10/10/20 |
| Mental Disorder | 10/22/20 |
| Supple yarmulke church | 10/22/20 |
| carmine greedy twinkling uncleanness | 10/22/20 |
| carmine greedy twinkling uncleanness | 10/22/20 |
| Gold flirting sandwich chapel | 03/23/22 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 10/27/20 |
| Pale Painfully Honest Sanctuary | 10/27/20 |
| aquamarine judgmental bawdyhouse | 10/30/20 |
| Exciting national security agency ticket booth | 11/03/20 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 03/22/22 |
| Arrogant Liquid Oxygen | 03/23/22 |
| haunting boltzmann | 03/23/22 |
| avocado stead | 03/23/22 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 07/25/22 |
| adulterous bearded fanboi | 07/25/22 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 10/23/22 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 11/16/22 |
| Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor | 04/25/23 |
| Chestnut Big Dysfunction Hairy Legs | 04/25/23 |
| lime site messiness | 04/29/23 |
| rebellious lilac step-uncle's house | 05/28/23 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 02/22/24 |
| lime site messiness | 02/23/24 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 05/23/24 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 08/26/24 |
| lime site messiness | 09/13/24 |
| adulterous bearded fanboi | 09/13/24 |
| lime site messiness | 10/18/24 |
| dead drab party of the first part blood rage | 10/11/24 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 11/06/24 |
| brindle ratface casino | 03/04/25 |
| brindle ratface casino | 03/04/25 |
| Hairraiser Light Becky | 03/04/25 |
| dead drab party of the first part blood rage | 03/04/25 |
| slimy keepsake machete theater stage | 03/04/25 |
| crimson address | 03/05/25 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 03/07/25 |
| mewling den regret | 03/07/25 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 03/08/25 |
| rigor university | 03/08/25 |
| hideous orchid stage private investor | 03/08/25 |
| goy orbison | 02/18/26 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:48 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor December 12, 2015: "Anticipating Trump's Black Swan" December 18, 2015: "As Voters Flee Carson, Is Trump Harmed Most?" December 30, 2015: "The Fickle Iowa Voter and the Biggest Trump Problem" January 8, 2016: "Cruz's Rise Harms Trump Most" January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" January 22, 2016: "Trump's Independent Bid Would Fare Worse Than His Republican One" January 29, 2016: "The Herding Effect and Trump's Polling Problem" February 2, 2016: "Trump's Landslide in Iowa, But a Narrow Delegate Victory" February 4, 2016: "The House Effects Lifting Trump's Numbers in New Hampshire" February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why." February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?" February 11, 2016: "Rubio's Exit May Be Trump's Death Blow" February 17, 2016: "Clinton the Greatest Threat to Trump's Nomination" February 26, 2016: "Religious Conservatives and the Trump Dilemma" February 28, 2016: "Three Wins in Three Elections? Not So Fast" March 17, 2016: "The Brokered Convention, or Why Trump's Chances Look Worse Than Ever" March 30, 2016: "Glacial Pace of Delegates Slows Lumbering Trump" April 7, 2016: "A Closer Look at the Fractured Republican Party" April 27, 2016: "Even If Trump Wins, What Will Independents Think?" May 7, 2016: "The Coming Clinton Cascade" May 19, 2016: "Here's What the Brokered Convention That Defies Trump Looks Like" June 11, 2016: "Behind the Numbers: Delegate Math and the Convention" July 21, 2016: "Eight Takeaways from Trump's Convention Speech--Closer to Hitler than Reagan" August 1, 2016: "Clinton Stronger Than Ever as Trump's Popularity Appears Fleeting" August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story" September 18, 2016: "Behind the Presidential Debate: A Good Night for Clinton" September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise" October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" October 29, 2016: "Clarity from House Effects and Clinton's Decided Silent Majority" November 9, 2016: "It'll Take Months to Sort Out How Trump Won" November 22, 2016: "Trump's Reelection Chances Look Dicey January 20, 2017: 404 Hosting Error |
 |
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Fragrant parlour wagecucks (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364653) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284620) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:43 AM Author: Pale Painfully Honest Sanctuary (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532817) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:46 AM Author: spectacular field goal in life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532846) |
|
Date: June 5th, 2016 5:46 PM Author: spectacular field goal in life another bump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30631018) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 10:16 PM Author: charcoal turdskin 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30144195) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:00 PM Author: turquoise filthy dragon hall (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284612) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2018 12:11 AM Author: Translucent offensive rehab "October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise"? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090197) |
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:49 PM Author: adulterous bearded fanboi (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351706) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:52 PM Author: at-the-ready preventive strike property 1800000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351728) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: Beady-eyed purple market 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351742) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: bearded stain pozpig Fantastic work ITT (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351744) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:08 PM Author: talented state (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384172) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:55 PM Author: misanthropic violent headpube tanning salon FUCK | THIS | KIKE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351749) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:56 PM Author: godawful carnelian windowlicker Poasting in a historic thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351753) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: Glassy Alcoholic Athletic Conference Mother Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Not saying that Trump cant win but you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:21 PM Author: Odious Ungodly Sneaky Criminal Resort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359932) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 4:17 PM Author: henna doobsian mad-dog skullcap degenerate Nate Silver's 08 and 12 predictions were accurate and based almost entirely on polling data. his prediction that trump will lose is obviously not based on polling data (which is highly favorable for Trump), but an assumption that someone like Trump can't win. we shouldn't put much value in the non-quantitative political analysis of a poll aggregator. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364985) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: Know-it-all Abode Nibblets Is he propagandizing or believing what he wishes? Hard to imagine such a shift from such a quantitative guy. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392387) |
|
Date: January 4th, 2016 2:31 PM Author: laughsome high-end lay Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: TannerBoyle
Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Trump cant win and you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351956) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: Titillating nighttime point kitty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854764) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:05 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359811) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:07 PM Author: Ultramarine toilet seat (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359818) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:10 PM Author: thirsty insane box office useless brakes 180 million (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359849) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:20 PM Author: Odious Ungodly Sneaky Criminal Resort November 9th 2016: s.e.g.a. sucking cock at Port Authority for bus fare (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359926) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: Naked Multi-colored Mad Cow Disease Kitchen (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364617) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:40 PM Author: Harsh Boistinker Don't edit loser (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677834) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 1:52 AM Author: Orange charismatic community account (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31866880) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:09 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364607) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: Chestnut Big Dysfunction Hairy Legs (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364621) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: Nudist garrison lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364630) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:47 PM Author: electric sepia house cuckoldry March 9
THE ANTHROPOPHAGUS HAS QUITTED HIS DEN
March 10
THE CORSICAN OGRE HAS LANDED AT CAPE JUAN
March 11
THE TIGER HAS ARRIVED AT CAP
March 12
THE MONSTER SLEPT AT GRENOBLE
March 13
THE TYRANT HAS PASSED THOUGH LYONS
March 14
THE USURPER IS DIRECTING HIS STEPS TOWARDS DIJON
March 18
BONAPARTE IS ONLY SIXTY LEAGUES FROM THE CAPITAL
He has been fortunate enough to escape his pursuers
March 19
BONAPARTE IS ADVANCING WITH RAPID STEPS, BUT HE WILL NEVER ENTER PARIS
March 20
NAPOLEON WILL, TOMORROW, BE UNDER OUR RAMPARTS
March 21
THE EMPEROR IS AT FONTAINEBLEAU
March 22
HIS IMPERIAL AND ROYAL MAJESTY arrived yesterday evening at the Tuileries, amid the joyful acclamation of his devoted and faithful subjects |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:06 PM Author: Cracking Fishy Tank Set (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384155) |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 8:26 PM Author: Bright Potus Corner 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29429271) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:51 PM Author: Comical bronze meetinghouse striped hyena (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364847) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:55 PM Author: Vibrant lake trust fund sound barrier lol, 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364873) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: Soul-stirring Beta Home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364887) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: brindle ratface casino (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364890) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:59 PM Author: Hairless filthpig Well done. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364896) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 4:08 PM Author: Cerebral Friendly Grandma Fully nude right now, happened to absent-mindedly stroke myself to a FULL CHUB while reading. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364933) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:14 PM Author: godawful carnelian windowlicker OP missed today's ... "Are we in a Trump boom or a Trump bubble?" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383835) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 12:20 PM Author: godawful carnelian windowlicker And today's: "The fifth Republican debate ended in a nine-way draw." |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:21 PM Author: up-to-no-good bespoke brunch 190 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383898) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: aromatic chartreuse corn cake fuck u for making me laugh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383961) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:58 PM Author: mind-boggling fat ankles I used to work with a fat, ugly gay man, who was the first person ever to tell me about Nate Silver. I asked him what made this Nate Silver so good, and the homosexual slob said it was that Silver had never been wrong or some shit like that. I said Well that's a pretty good track record. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384107) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:10 PM Author: angry bistre base 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384183) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:12 PM Author: galvanic theater February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why."
February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?"
180 |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: cowardly forum You shitcons have been through this with Nate Silver twice before and he has pwned you both times. You guys never learn (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384207) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:15 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor Trump odds, August 2015: Silver: 2% Miller: 0% Enten: -10% http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/podcast-totally-subjective-presidential-odds-early-august-edition/ |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-most-shocking-result-in-world-cup-history/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384231) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:17 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/what-we-got-wrong-in-our-2015-uk-general-election-model/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384237) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:19 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384254) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:20 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-make-of-kentuckys-polling-failure/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384262) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: Pearly Lascivious Electric Furnace (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29525662) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:43 PM Author: Harsh Boistinker Can't wait to bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677869) |
|
Date: December 17th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: Dashing office dingle berry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32165246) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:11 AM Author: Wonderful submissive boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504262) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: vigorous trump supporter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172544) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:06 AM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-coverage/?#livepress-update-23617209 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846270) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: Exciting national security agency ticket booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846325) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 3:36 AM Author: azure arousing crotch old irish cottage Final Election Update: There’s A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And Most Of Them Come Up Clinton
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-election-update-theres-a-wide-range-of-outcomes-and-most-of-them-come-up-clinton/ |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: carmine greedy twinkling uncleanness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167037) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Concupiscible Theatre This is an all time GOAT on XO. This is amazing. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384232) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:34 PM Author: stirring sapphire crackhouse 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392396) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:37 PM Author: Passionate impertinent gas station doctorate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392414) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:39 PM Author: Mahogany plaza Incredible (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392427) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 11:48 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor Trump Boom or Trump Bubble? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-boom-or-trump-bubble/ |
|
Date: December 17th, 2015 9:22 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor Iowa's Women Could Be Trump’s Undoing http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/iowas-women-could-be-donald-trumps-undoing/ |
|
Date: December 18th, 2015 10:03 PM Author: autistic really tough guy locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29411300) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: Pale Painfully Honest Sanctuary (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532836) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2015 10:09 PM Author: diverse magenta pervert hospital (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29411342) |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 7:06 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor Lindsey Graham Tries To Stop Trump The Only Way He Can — By Quitting http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/lindsey-graham-tries-to-stop-trump-the-only-way-he-can-by-quitting/ |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 7:47 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor "Trump has some weird chinks in his armor" http://www.wnyc.org/story/nate-silvers-crystal-ball-tells-all-2016/ |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 8:21 PM Author: Bright Potus Corner 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29429241) |
|
Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor "micah: Let me channel our vacationing editor-in-chief Nate Silver: What if Trump finishes second or third in Iowa, same in New Hampshire and South Carolina. He chugs along for a while with 15-20 percent of the vote. Or, maybe he quits the race after New Hampshire. Won’t the fact that we spent much of 2015 hyperventilating about Trump seem silly in retrospect?" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-meaning-of-donald-trump/ |
|
Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor One of the biggest errors I think I made in 2015 was concentrating too much on who would win the Republican nomination and not so much on who would drive the conversation.1 You can see that clearly with Donald Trump (who I still don’t think will win the Republican nomination). Not only did I dismiss Trump’s candidacy on many occasions (here, here, here and here, for example), I was sometimes eager to do so in order to confirm my original belief that he wouldn’t win.
But winning the race and affecting the race are different things. Trump may lose in Iowa, collapse in New Hampshire and disappear from the national stage. If that — or something like it — happens, much of the sound and fury surrounding Trump in 2015 will seem silly in retrospect. But regardless of where Trump ends up once voting starts, he has certainly been the dominant voice in the Republican nomination race so far. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-harry-enten-got-wrong-in-2015/ |
|
Date: January 4th, 2016 2:22 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor This phenomenon may not hold in 2016. Cruz could collapse in Iowa. Christie could fall apart in New Hampshire. And maybe Trump will outperform his polling in both contests. But the gap between their current state and national polls suggests the opposite is more likely. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/to-win-in-iowa-or-new-hampshire-it-may-be-better-to-poll-worse-nationally/ |
|
Date: January 4th, 2016 2:27 PM Author: laughsome high-end lay flawless OP. uninflated 180. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29519032) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 12:09 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor ty for all the updates itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29525598) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:45 PM Author: Harsh Boistinker Cr. It made a great thread an all time thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677890) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:08 PM Author: autistic really tough guy locus From Silver's Twitter:
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
That Trump is underperforming in IA and NH relative to national polls is a big deal and a bad sign for him. |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:11 PM Author: Swashbuckling sooty stage 1800000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531444) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: Boyish talking hell indirect expression (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531475) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: Stimulating Stubborn Orchestra Pit Pocket Flask An historic poast (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531481) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:16 PM Author: Splenetic Rusted Range 180 trillion (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531500) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:17 PM Author: Stimulating Stubborn Orchestra Pit Pocket Flask I saw this on the Internet and thought of you guys
http://imgur.com/Fn3p3R6 |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:45 AM Author: Pale Painfully Honest Sanctuary (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532843) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 4:37 PM Author: Stimulating Stubborn Orchestra Pit Pocket Flask Bump to make sure my friends saw this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29535993) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:22 PM Author: Splenetic Rusted Range No bias there right? What a shitbird. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531557) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: vigorous trump supporter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532829) |
|
Date: January 7th, 2016 10:51 PM Author: Bright Potus Corner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29546163) |
|
Date: January 8th, 2016 4:56 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor “HOW TRUMP WON” blares the headline on this week’s Time magazine cover in 80-point Duplicate Ionic. “Now he just needs the votes,” whispers the small subheadline underneath.
Oh, just that little detail? Trump actually needs people to vote for him? I’ve been encountering a lot of this lately: Coverage implying that Trump’s lead atop the Republican polls (which he’s held since mid-July) is a watershed event, perhaps even tantamount to his having won an election.
These headlines, needless to say, are presumptuous. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ |
|
Date: January 8th, 2016 5:05 PM Author: Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut 180 if not copy paste (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29551314) |
|
Date: January 8th, 2016 11:26 PM Author: Bright Potus Corner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29554010) |
|
Date: January 9th, 2016 8:16 PM Author: autistic really tough guy locus http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29559692) |
|
Date: January 10th, 2016 5:22 PM Author: Bright Potus Corner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29566112) |
|
Date: January 18th, 2016 10:15 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29622950) |
|
Date: January 19th, 2016 5:30 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor Donald Trump is Sarah Palin 2.0 http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/sarah-palin-endorses-donald-trump-for-president/ |
|
Date: January 21st, 2016 5:51 PM Author: autistic really tough guy locus looks like even silver has conceded on trump winning the nomination
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/one-big-reason-to-be-less-skeptical-of-trump/
In a nomination race like the Republican one, you could draw up a list of reasons to be skeptical of any candidate’s chances. Here are some reasons to be skeptical about Ted Cruz’s position in Iowa, for example. Here’s why Marco Rubio’s strategy looks increasingly precarious. There are also good reasons to be skeptical about Donald Trump’s chances of winning the Republican nomination:
His polling in Iowa isn’t great, and he’s probably still the underdog there. There’s reason to doubt the strength of his ground game, in Iowa and other states. Trump’s favorable ratings and second-choice numbers are generally inferior to Cruz’s and Rubio’s, meaning that other candidates might benefit more as the field winnows.1 But the reason I’ve been especially skeptical about Trump for most of the election cycle isn’t listed above. Nor is it because I expected Trump to spontaneously combust in national polls. Instead, I was skeptical because I assumed that influential Republicans would do almost anything they could to prevent him from being nominated.
I’m in the midst of working on a long review of the book “The Party Decides,” so we’ll save some of the detail for that forthcoming article. But the textbook on Trump is that he’d be a failure along virtually every dimension that party elites normally consider when choosing a nominee: electability (Trump is extremely unpopular with general election voters); ideological reliability (like Sarah Palin, Trump’s a “maverick”); having traditional qualifications for the job; and so forth. Even if the GOP is mostly in disarray, my assumption was that it would muster whatever strength it had to try to stop Trump.
But so far, the party isn’t doing much to stop Trump. Instead, it’s making such an effort against Cruz. Consider:
The governor of Iowa, Terry Branstad, said he wanted Cruz defeated. Bob Dole warned of “cataclysmic” losses if Cruz was the nominee, and said Trump would fare better. Mitch McConnell and other Republicans senators have been decidedly unhelpful to Cruz when discussing his constitutional eligibility to be president. An anti-Cruz PAC has formed, with plans to run advertisements in Iowa. (By contrast, no PAC advertising has run against Trump so far in January.) You can find lots of other examples like these. It’s the type of coordinated, multifront action that seems right out of the “The Party Decides.” If, like me, you expected something like this to happen to Trump instead of Cruz, you have to revisit your assumptions. Thus, I’m now much less skeptical of Trump’s chances of becoming the nominee.
Can we take this a step farther, in fact? Can we say that the party has decided … for Trump?
I’ve seen some headlines to that effect, but they’re premature and possibly wrong. So far, the GOP’s actions are conspicuously anti-Cruz more than they are pro-Trump. For example, although former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin just endorsed Trump, no current Republican governors or members of Congress have.
Instead, it may be that Republicans think of Cruz as the more immediate threat, and then plan to turn around and attack Trump later. But that’s a high-degree-of-difficulty caper to pull off. For one thing, Trump, who’s in a much better position in the polls than Cruz in states after Iowa, could rack up several wins in a row if he takes the Hawkeye State.
Just as important, there are few signs that Republicans have much of a strategy for whom to back apart from Trump. Four “establishment lane” candidates — Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich and Rubio — are tightly packed in New Hampshire polls. That could potentially change before New Hampshire votes because of tactical voting.2 And whichever of these candidates perform worst in the early states will probably drop out.
But Republican party elites seem indifferent among these four candidates, when in my view some are more capable than others of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz:
Rubio would seem to have the best shot. He’s easily the most conservative of the four, has the best favorability ratings and can make perhaps the best electability argument. His ground game may not be very good, but he has a decent amount of cash on hand. Bush and Christie probably rank next, in some order. It’s hard to imagine Republican voters coming all the way around to the patrician Bush after flirting with bad-boy Trump for so long — especially when Bush’s favorability numbers with Republican voters are in the tank. But remember that those dalliances with Trump are hypothetical, only contemplated in polls and not yet actuated with votes. Perhaps the Republican electorate that shows up to vote is more like the 2012 version, which supported Mitt Romney. It’s a long shot, but if it happens, Bush will have plenty of money and organization to extend the race. If the GOP electorate is in an angrier mood, then Christie’s personality overlaps the most with Trump’s. He’s a good debater, and his favorability ratings are on the upswing, although still just middling. But Christie entered the race with a lot of baggage that will receive more scrutiny if he surges in the polls. He also doesn’t have much of an organization beyond New Hampshire. Kasich’s outlook seems the worst of the four, combining Bush’s lack of appeal to conservatives with Christie’s lack of organization beyond New Hampshire. The one qualification to this is that Kasich has a more conservative track record than he lets on.3 So if I were ranking the four establishment candidates’ chances of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz, I’d put Rubio first and Kasich last. But if I were ranking them in terms of who seems to have the most momentum right now, the order would be just the opposite. Kasich has gained 3 or 4 percentage points in New Hampshire polls over the past month, while Rubio has declined slightly in New Hampshire and national polls, and his once-steady flow of endorsements has turned into a trickle.
These differences might seem pretty minor — there’s room for near-daily momentum shifts before New Hampshire votes. Obviously, it’s also possible that Republicans’ efforts to stop Cruz in Iowa will backfire.
Things are lining up better for Trump than I would have imagined, however. It’s not his continued presence in the race that surprises me so much as the lack of a concerted effort to stop him. |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:26 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677719) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:42 PM Author: Motley Peach Partner 180000000000000000000000000000000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677863) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:48 PM Author: Harsh Boistinker You're a democratic, remember? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677913) |
|
Date: February 9th, 2016 9:02 PM Author: Motley Peach Partner No way! 100% TRUMPMO (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29791782) |
|
Date: September 6th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut (2-time shitbama voter) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31345881) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: Pale Painfully Honest Sanctuary (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37162047) |
|
Date: January 29th, 2016 4:25 PM Author: heady macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29708433) |
|
Date: February 1st, 2016 11:04 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29727124) |
|
Date: February 1st, 2016 11:21 AM Author: razzle national (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29727197) |
|
Date: February 1st, 2016 9:47 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29732588) |
|
Date: February 7th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29771453) |
|
Date: February 9th, 2016 8:59 PM Author: Swashbuckling sooty stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29791735) |
|
Date: February 9th, 2016 9:00 PM Author: black idiot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29791763) |
|
Date: February 20th, 2016 7:55 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29877406) |
|
Date: February 20th, 2016 7:57 PM Author: emerald roommate OK man, can you tell us how you did this? (Not how you predicted it, but how you wrote it so brilliantly.) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29877434) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 8:06 AM Author: Wonderful submissive boiling water PORT | AUTHORITY | BUSFARE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29903568) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 8:14 AM Author: excitant cordovan center telephone The OP is XO at its peak brilliance. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29903615) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2016 6:57 PM Author: bateful faggotry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29931652) |
|
Date: March 9th, 2016 12:52 AM Author: up-to-no-good bespoke brunch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30015868) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: pink stag film voyeur (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066562) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:55 PM Author: Beady-eyed purple market (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066681) |
|
Date: March 16th, 2016 11:52 AM Author: aromatic chartreuse corn cake (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30070592) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 8:18 AM Author: Internet-worthy faggot firefighter school hosting error... LOL
this is better than any snl sketch in the last 5 to 10 years. |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 10:18 AM Author: Racy nofapping trailer park cuckold (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29904083) |
|
Date: July 21st, 2016 9:42 AM Author: aromatic chartreuse corn cake (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30987707) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: Underhanded Double Fault Parlor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29904074) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2016 6:54 PM Author: Beady-eyed purple market (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29931637) |
|
Date: March 2nd, 2016 9:43 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29960115) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2016 1:38 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29976826) |
|
Date: March 9th, 2016 12:44 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30015799) |
|
Date: March 9th, 2016 12:55 AM Author: Swashbuckling sooty stage yeah anyone who wants to win money on predictit markets should just consult this turtle shell oracle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30015891) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 8:46 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30065629) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:05 PM Author: Wonderful submissive boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30065970) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:23 PM Author: Drunken Persian (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066291) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:43 PM Author: lemon principal's office gunner truly 180 thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066549) |
|
Date: March 16th, 2016 11:48 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor It's Still Not Clear Donald Trump Will Get a Majority of Delegates http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-still-not-clear-that-donald-trump-will-get-a-majority-of-delegates/ |
|
Date: March 16th, 2016 11:54 AM Author: godawful carnelian windowlicker March is very accurate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30070601) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2016 10:49 AM Author: Exciting national security agency ticket booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30119676) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2016 9:30 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30119337) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 11:24 AM Author: Soul-stirring Beta Home http://imgur.com/ZVbDMXh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30140474) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 11:30 AM Author: appetizing disgusting school cafeteria clown Lol,holy Fuck (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30140513) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 10:14 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30144174) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Pearly Lascivious Electric Furnace jesus. . . (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30151942) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 10:20 AM Author: Exciting national security agency ticket booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30151965) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 10:23 AM Author: at-the-ready preventive strike property (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30151975) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: vigorous trump supporter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172540) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:20 AM Author: Pale Painfully Honest Sanctuary (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37162050) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 9:47 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor "What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like" "Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-will-have-a-hard-time-turning-blue-states-red-in-november/ |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 2:26 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor "Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-no-ronald-reagan/ |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 2:32 PM Author: Plum jew lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30160689) |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 4:59 PM Author: Plum jew "One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women"
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-sexism-women-2016-election/ |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 5:14 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30161654) |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 8:54 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/714977961099862016 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30163086) |
|
Date: April 1st, 2016 2:54 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-probably-first-ballot-or-bust-for-donald-trump-at-the-gop-convention/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30183235) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2016 7:13 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor "Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/wisconsin-could-be-trouble-for-trump/ |
|
Date: April 15th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: Plum jew interestingly the Karl Rove WSJ opinion headlines are almost as desperate:
http://topics.wsj.com/person/R/karl-rove/5686
Articles by Karl Rove
Vanity Will Be The Donald’s Undoing April 13, 2016 06:04 p.m.
Trump thinks he is so rich, famous and athletic that he can skip a real campaign.
The Not-Trump GOP Rises April 6, 2016 07:16 p.m.
The delegate math is getting hard, and New York may not be the lifeline Trump needs.
An Ugly General Election Takes Shape March 30, 2016 07:12 p.m.
Hillary’s super PAC readies an anti-Trump onslaught. She will be a ripe target too.
Don’t Coddle Donald Trump March 23, 2016 07:22 p.m.
A nominee needs a majority. Abraham Lincoln played by that rule—so can the New York businessman.
How Trump Can Raise His Game March 16, 2016 07:03 p.m.
A few bits of advice for The Donald: study up, change your tone and focus on Hillary.
The Polls Trump Hasn’t Won March 9, 2016 06:32 p.m.
He says that he will beat Hillary, yet guess who is the only GOP contender trailing her.
A Big Push for Flawed Front-Runners March 2, 2016 06:39 p.m.
Bernie could cause trouble for Hillary at the convention. And Trump is no ‘unifier.’
The Donald Doesn’t Have a Lock—Yet February 24, 2016 07:22 p.m.
There is still time for a non-Trump majority to coalesce around a single candidate. James Taranto: ‘I Love the Poorly Educated!’
Trump Didn’t Oppose the Iraq War February 17, 2016 06:33 p.m.
There’s no record of his clear opposition before March 2003, despite his claims
GOP Infighters Need to Focus on Trump February 10, 2016 06:48 p.m.
The four mainstream candidates are only wasting time if they go after each other.
How Trump Blew an Easy Win February 3, 2016 06:33 p.m.
He acted like the traditional rules didn’t apply. This race could go to the convention.
Trump Ducks an Iowa Opportunity January 27, 2016 06:56 p.m.
The Donald’s refusal to debate could blow his lead. How can he take on Hillary?
Hillary’s Stumbling Cakewalk January 20, 2016 07:31 p.m.
Nothing’s working, so now Clinton has come up with a four-step Beat Bernie strategy.
The GOP’s Chase for Undecided Iowans January 13, 2016 06:55 p.m.
At this point in 2012, Rick Santorum—who won the caucuses—sat sadly at 6% support.
My Crystal-Ball Score—Plus 2016 Predictions January 6, 2016 06:57 p.m.
Clinton Is Already Vowing to Overreach December 16, 2015 06:06 p.m.
Remember her pledge in 2007 to ‘rein in the presidency’? Neither does she.
Trump Is the Democrats’ Dream Nominee December 9, 2015 06:48 p.m.
He could win the primaries but would get creamed in the presidential election.
The GOP Needs Presidential Coattails December 2, 2015 06:53 p.m.
A weak ticket could hurt the party in purple states—and lose the Senate.
|
|
Date: April 15th, 2016 10:47 AM Author: Blue azn shrine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30279158) |
|
Date: April 19th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30307876) |
|
Date: April 20th, 2016 11:03 AM Author: Silver death wish (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30310760) |
|
Date: April 20th, 2016 11:13 AM Author: fluffy fuchsia stock car I love this thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30310807) |
|
Date: April 24th, 2016 1:07 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30335375) |
|
Date: April 25th, 2016 10:37 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30346848) |
|
Date: April 26th, 2016 9:29 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30353572) |
|
Date: April 26th, 2016 9:31 PM Author: Thriller laser beams digit ratio (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30353587) |
|
Date: April 30th, 2016 2:23 PM Author: Impressive maize personal credit line hissy fit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30378951) |
|
Date: May 1st, 2016 6:05 PM Author: Gay razzle-dazzle gaming laptop Subject: A List of a Year of the Actual 538 Headlines JUN 16, 2015
Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart
JUL 16, 2015
Two Good Reasons Not To Take The Donald Trump ‘Surge’ Seriously
JUL 29, 2015
Donald Trump Is The Nickelback Of GOP Candidates
AUG 7, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win A War Against Fox News
AUG 7, 2015
Did The Debate Hurt Or Help Trump? Watch His Favorability Numbers.
AUG 11, 2015
Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination
AUG 14, 2015
Candidates In Donald Trump’s Position Have A Terrible Track Record
AUG 31, 2015
A Ben Carson Surge May Test Trump
SEP 2, 2015
Keep Calm And Ignore The 2016 ‘Game Changers’
SEP 8, 2015
If Donald Trump Can Win The Nomination, Ben Carson Could Too
SEP 17, 2015
We’re Bullish On Fiorina And (Still) Bearish On Trump After The Debate
SEP 24, 2015
Was The Second Debate The Beginning Of The End For Donald Trump?
OCT 20, 2015
Donald Trump Is Doomed And/Or Invincible
OCT 26, 2015
Can Ben Carson Really Take Out Donald Trump?
NOV 4, 2015
The GOP’s Primary Rules Might Doom Carson, Cruz And Trump
NOV 23, 2015
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
DEC 1, 2015
The Future Of Polling May Depend On Donald Trump’s Fate
DEC 2, 2015
Big Phony And Loser Nate Silver Can’t Even See Donald Trump Is A Winner! What A Joke!
DEC 4, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win Just Because More Voters Are Paying Attention
DEC 15, 2015
Trump Boom Or Trump Bubble?
DEC 17, 2015
Iowa’s Women Could Be Donald Trump’s Undoing
JAN 18, 2016
Donald Trump Is Really Unpopular With General Election Voters
JAN 19, 2016
Beware A GOP Calendar Front-Loaded With States Friendly To Trump And Cruz
JAN 19, 2016
Donald Trump Is Sarah Palin 2.0
JAN 21, 2016
One Big Reason To Be Less Skeptical Of Trump
JAN 26, 2016
Does Donald Trump Need To Win Iowa?
JAN 27, 2016
Sorry, Bloomberg: Trump Is Already A Third-Party Candidate
JAN 31, 2016
Donald Trump’s Support In Iowa Is Narrow But Deep
FEB 2, 2016
Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan
FEB 3, 2016
Why Iowa Changed Rubio’s And Trump’s Nomination Odds So Much
FEB 4, 2016
Trump Still Leads In New Hampshire, But The Ride Could Be Wild
FEB 5, 2016
Donald Trump Is Losing Ground On Google
FEB 9, 2016
Donald Trump Will Probably Win New Hampshire
FEB 10, 2016
John Kasich Is The Anti-Trump
FEB 17, 2016
Does Donald Trump Have A Ceiling?
FEB 18, 2016
The Pope Is Way More Popular Than Donald Trump
FEB 21, 2016
Trump Optimists And Trump Skeptics Are About To Go To War
FEB 22, 2016
Trump’s South Carolina Win Shows Evangelicals Aren’t Necessarily Voting On Their Faith
FEB 23, 2016
Nevada May Show Trump Can Win Even With Low Turnout
FEB 24, 2016
Nevada Was Great For Donald Trump, Bad For Ted Cruz
FEB 24, 2016
Republicans’ Last-Ditch Hope To Stop Donald Trump
FEB 26, 2016
Marco Rubio Finally Steps Up As The Anti-Trump
MAR 1, 2016
Super Tuesday Could Be Historic For Trump
MAR 2, 2016
Can Republicans Still Take The Nomination Away From Trump?
MAR 2, 2016
Donald Trump Is Just Barely On Track To Win The GOP Nomination
MAR 3, 2016
Republican Voters Kind Of Hate All Their Choices
MAR 4, 2016
Kasich May Have Cut Off Rubio’s Path To The Nomination
MAR 7, 2016
Donald Trump Would Be Easy To Stop Under Democratic Rules
MAR 7, 2016
Bloomberg Might Have Produced President Trump
MAR 8, 2016
Could Michigan Change The Course Of The GOP Race?
MAR 10, 2016
Ted Cruz Might Still Be Able To Stop Donald Trump
MAR 11, 2016
Don’t Sleep On Illinois And Missouri — They Could Help Make Trump Unstoppable
MAR 15, 2016
Trump Attack Ads Are Finally Popping Up, But They Might Be Too Late
MAR 16, 2016
It’s Still Not Clear That Donald Trump Will Get A Majority Of Delegates
MAR 16, 2016
Trump Voters’ Aversion To Foreign-Sounding Names Cost Him Delegates
MAR 21, 2016
Will Trump Clinch The GOP Nomination Before The Convention?
MAR 22, 2016
The Most Important States On Trump’s Path To 1,237 Delegates
MAR 23, 2016
Why Donald Trump?
MAR 23, 2016
How Far Jeb Bush Is Going To Stop Trump
MAR 25, 2016
Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November
MAR 25, 2016
What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like
MAR 29, 2016
Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan
MAR 29, 2016
One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women
MAR 30, 2016
How Trump Hacked The Media
MAR 31, 2016
Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump
APR 1, 2016
It’s Probably First Ballot Or Bust For Donald Trump At The GOP Convention
APR 5, 2016
The GOP’s Wacky Delegate Rules Are Helping Trump
APR 7, 2016
Trump’s New Magic Number Is 40 Percent Of The Vote
APR 8, 2016
Trump’s Support Would Be Easier To Explain With Better Polling
APR 11, 2016
Trump Is The Weakest GOP Front-Runner In The Modern Era
APR 11, 2016
Trump Made A Mistake By Overlooking Colorado
APR 11, 2016
Elections Podcast: Is Trump Blowing It?
APR 14, 2016
Trump’s Right That The GOP Primary Is Unfair — It Favors Him
APR 18, 2016
New York City’s Jewish Vote Might Win Cruz Or Kasich Key Delegates
APR 23, 2016
Trump’s ‘System Is Rigged’ Argument Is Working
APR 25, 2016
Trump Is Probably Going To Run Over Cruz And Kasich In The Northeast
APR 25, 2016
Will The Kasich-Cruz Alliance Work?
APR 27, 2016
It’s Trump’s Nomination To Lose* |
|
Date: November 7th, 2016 3:27 PM Author: Gay razzle-dazzle gaming laptop (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31825048) |
|
Date: May 2nd, 2016 7:16 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30392947) |
|
Date: May 2nd, 2016 8:17 PM Author: Exciting national security agency ticket booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30393360) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:26 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor The Mythology Of Trump’s ‘Working Class’ Support http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-mythology-of-trumps-working-class-support/ |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:35 PM Author: Ruddy public bath masturbator holy shit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30398720) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2016 9:15 PM Author: Mint therapy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30402170) |
|
Date: May 4th, 2016 9:04 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30405223) |
|
Date: May 4th, 2016 9:33 AM Author: Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30405346) |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 9:23 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor Candidates who beat pundits' expectations in the primaries haven't done particularly well in the general election. https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/728211438427381760 |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 11:02 AM Author: brindle ratface casino Lol every response is "how about Obama?" What a hack (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30412976) |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 10:40 AM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor LOL 12 years in this place and I think I found my magnum opus, fml (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30412844) |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 11:05 AM Author: Racy nofapping trailer park cuckold Yeah bro. You should mic drop and walk the fuck away. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30412994) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Chestnut Big Dysfunction Hairy Legs This should be preserved for posterity in a library somewhere. I wish Nate Silver could see this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504267) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:03 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504223) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Wonderful submissive boiling water In no way will your answer affect my conviction that this is an all-time great first ballot HOF poast, I'm just curious: How long did it take you to put this masterstroke together? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504268) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:14 AM Author: Chestnut Big Dysfunction Hairy Legs cr. We need to get the entire story of his creative process down for future scholars to learn from. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504274) |
|
Date: May 29th, 2016 4:16 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor lol I find something new in this thread every time I read it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30583536) |
|
Date: June 20th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30746085) |
|
Date: June 29th, 2016 1:03 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the White House in November, FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver predicted Wednesday.
FiveThirtyEight projected Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the general election against Donald Trump, who has just a 20 percent chance of succeeding President Barack Obama in the Oval Office. “Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America.” “There’s a lot of football left to be played, but she’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”
Indeed, a Ballotpedia survey of seven swing states released Wednesday shows the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee sweeping Trump in Iowa, Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia by margins ranging from 4 to 17 percentage points.
Silver, who correctly forecast 49 out of 50 states in 2008 and every state in 2012, noted that both camps “have a lot of room to grow,” but no candidate has blown a lead as large as Clinton’s advantage over Trump in nearly 30 years, when former Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis lost to George H.W. Bush despite maintaining a large lead coming out of the spring and summer.
“It’s been a crazy year, politically,” Silver said, adding that more states, particularly red states, are in play in 2016 than in previous elections. “For example, Arizona looks like a toss-up. Maybe Georgia. Maybe Missouri, North Carolina again.”
“Likewise,” Silver continued, “if Trump gains ground on Clinton then maybe a state like Maine — used to be a swing state, not so recently” — could be in play, too.
Silver also defended his August forecast that gave the billionaire businessman a 2 percent chance to win the GOP nomination.
“That wasn’t based on looking at polls. Trump was always ahead in the polls, and one big lesson of his campaign is don’t try and out-think the polls and try and out-think the American public,” Silver said. “And Trump has never really been ahead of Clinton in the general election campaign. He did a great job of appealing to the 40 percent of the GOP he had to win the election, the primary — a lot different than winning 51 percent of 100 percent.”
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/nate-silver-who-will-be-president-prediction-224931 |
|
Date: July 14th, 2016 10:24 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-when-to-freak-out-about-shocking-new-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30924907) |
|
Date: July 15th, 2016 2:16 AM Author: Lavender glittery travel guidebook (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30933127) |
|
Date: July 15th, 2016 2:47 AM Author: vigorous trump supporter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30933205) |
|
Date: July 17th, 2016 10:12 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30956384) |
|
Date: July 17th, 2016 10:13 PM Author: Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30956397) |
|
Date: July 21st, 2016 9:33 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-convention-is-flirting-with-disaster/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30987656) |
|
Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:38 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30999290) |
|
Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:39 AM Author: rose location (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30999301) |
|
Date: July 23rd, 2016 2:41 AM Author: 180 kink-friendly foreskin Wow jesua (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31006876) |
|
Date: July 24th, 2016 10:48 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31020363) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2016 11:00 AM Author: Geriatric business firm Nate Silver actually would find this hilarious, too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31022942) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2016 12:00 PM Author: Plum jew amazing how accurate this is (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31023351) |
|
Date: July 27th, 2016 2:30 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor Wish I could profit off this gift. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31043518) |
|
Date: August 5th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31113817) |
|
Date: August 9th, 2016 8:10 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-polls-show-pennsylvania-back-in-clintons-firewall/ Let’s not bury the lead: Clinton is polling really well right now, and if you held an election today, she’d probably win in a landslide, possibly including states such as Georgia and Arizona along with most or all of the traditional swing states. |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:03 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor THEN: "August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" NOW: August 12, 2016: "What A Clinton Landslide Would Look Like" "That would work out to 471 electoral votes, to 67 for Trump, which would be fairly typical for a win of that magnitude. Dwight D. Eisenhower won 457 electoral votes when beating Adlai Stevenson by 15 points in 1956, for example. And Franklin D. Roosevelt won 472 electoral votes in 1932, in an 18-point win against Herbert Hoover. Clinton would be a ways short of Ronald Reagan’s 525 electoral votes in 1984, however." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-clinton-landslide-would-look-like/ |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:06 PM Author: Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut holy shit did u edit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172565) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:07 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor I never edit brother unless I am deleting a person's poasts. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172569) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:14 PM Author: amethyst vivacious famous landscape painting native LOL if true. I believe you, bro. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172627) |
|
Date: August 30th, 2016 12:45 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor THEN: August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." NOW: August 30, 2016: "So, not clear that Trump is improving, so much as Clinton is declining. People maybe jumped the gun in declaring her convention bounce over." http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/770653615916810240 |
|
Date: August 30th, 2016 1:26 PM Author: Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut 180 i want 2 believe |
|
Date: September 6th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31345879) |
|
Date: September 13th, 2016 5:33 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor Polls Show Trump's Momentum Has Stalled http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/polls-show-trumps-momentum-has-stalled-for-now/ |
|
Date: September 14th, 2016 9:41 AM Author: Plum jew ho lee fuk this is getting good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31404088) |
|
Date: September 14th, 2016 9:43 AM Author: Comical bronze meetinghouse striped hyena Wow. Nailed July, August and early September (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31404101) |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: Flatulent sex offender pit September 15, 2016
"How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote"
RUH ROH LIBS |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: copper antidepressant drug whorehouse September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story"
Compare OP's headline to this actual Salon headline today:
Poll panic is here! Yes, Trump is closing, but here’s why it’s meaningless
http://www.salon.com/2016/09/15/its-already-happening-yes-trump-is-closing-in-on-the-polls-but-heres-why-thats-meaningless/ |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:38 PM Author: spectacular field goal in life god this is good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413930) |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:40 PM Author: Bat-shit-crazy Legend Dopamine XO never not on point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413938) |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:41 PM Author: Hairraiser Light Becky (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413954) |
|
Date: September 19th, 2016 1:18 PM Author: Maroon disturbing shitlib jap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31443744) |
|
Date: September 19th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: Maroon disturbing shitlib jap The AutoAdmit account should tweet this at nate silver. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31443779) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut let's not cross the swords (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503555) |
|
Date: September 24th, 2016 5:16 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31482152) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:22 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-won-the-debate-which-means-shes-likely-to-gain-in-the-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503552) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503554) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: godawful carnelian windowlicker This is arguably the greatest, most prescient poast in XO history. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503556) |
|
Date: October 8th, 2016 8:43 PM Author: amber curious institution mood (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31592208) |
|
Date: July 29th, 2024 7:46 PM Author: rebellious lilac step-uncle's house (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47906632) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 9:54 AM Author: Plum jew http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-could-the-polls-be-missing/
vs
September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: Comical bronze meetinghouse striped hyena (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31511665) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 10:00 AM Author: Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31511673) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 11:28 AM Author: fluffy fuchsia stock car This shit is turning out to be so accurate that I'm starting to suspect OP is a time traveling alien. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31512070) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 2:16 PM Author: Blue azn shrine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31513385) |
|
Date: October 8th, 2016 8:41 PM Author: onyx nursing home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31592192) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut hey, this weekend wasnt in the script (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594952) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: Aphrodisiac white locale gay wizard Trump's mistakes rise was probably a headline somewhere (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594953) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut doesnt fit. a revelation of something he said 11 years ago isn't a mistake it's an october surprise (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594954) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: marvelous idea he suggested half the coverage treats it as if he said it just yesterday (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594956) |
|
Date: October 10th, 2016 10:56 AM Author: Plum jew nate silver simultaneously claiming that all "insta polls are garbage" while citing this poll as a good news for HILLARY:
It’s not clear that voters judge debates in the same way, however. A CNN poll of debate watchers found that even though most voters thought Trump exceeded expectations, 57 percent of them nevertheless declared Clinton the winner, compared with 34 percent for Trump. A YouGov poll of debate watchers showed a much closer outcome, but with Clinton also winning, 47 percent to 42 percent.
These instant-reaction polls actually do have a correlation with post-debate horse-race polls: The candidate who wins the former usually gains in the latter. Perhaps Clinton’s win was modest enough that this will be an exception, especially given that the sentiments of pundits and television commentators (which sometimes matter as much as the debate itself) were all over the map
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-second-debate-probably-didnt-help-trump-and-he-needed-help/
meanwhile:
Big Surprise: Trump Won Instant Junk Polls About Who Won The Debate
As Harry said, the instant online opt-in junk polls — call them troll polls, faux polls, clickers, or your favorite term for them — should be ignored as indicators of who really won. And after Trump touted his win in these junk polls after the first debate, and was widely ridiculed for it, he didn’t cite the junk polls that showed Pence beating Kaine in the vice-presidential debate. Nonetheless, Trump supporters appear to still be flooding these things. Trump’s getting 77 percent in a Heavy.com junk poll asking who won tonight’s debate, an identical 77 percent in Fox 5 San Diego’s and 90 percent in Drudge Report’s.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/second-presidential-debate-election-2016/
|
|
Date: October 30th, 2016 10:02 PM Author: Geriatric business firm close enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31763265) |
|
Date: November 1st, 2016 12:35 AM Author: vigorous trump supporter Almost there (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31772625) |
|
Date: November 1st, 2016 4:55 PM Author: Bat-shit-crazy Legend Dopamine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31777531) |
|
Date: November 2nd, 2016 8:24 AM Author: floppy library people who are hurt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31782180) |
|
Date: November 2nd, 2016 6:59 PM Author: angry bistre base (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31786832) |
|
Date: November 7th, 2016 3:23 PM Author: Plum jew prob the last time we can bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31825019) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: sickened patrolman You say that but..... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31833310) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: Plum jew true, the shitlibs can bump all they like (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31833315) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 7:59 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor ty for your sympathy bump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31839758) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:53 PM Author: Plum jew ho lee fuk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844114) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:04 PM Author: Flickering exhilarant sweet tailpipe generalized bond (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31842891) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:05 PM Author: Coral Codepig Tbf, he was the one that was the most bullish on Trump
LJL at Sam Wang who called 99% for Hillary |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:33 PM Author: razzle national (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31843660) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:59 PM Author: Maroon disturbing shitlib jap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844292) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 11:10 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844674) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:07 AM Author: cyan dilemma (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846281) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: Flatulent sex offender pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846326) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:12 AM Author: Yapping Slate Cruise Ship Newt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846448) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:22 AM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848552) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:25 AM Author: Bat-shit-crazy Legend Dopamine GOAT POTUS THREAD. ALL TIME HALL OF FAME (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848608) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:28 AM Author: cyan dilemma (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848693) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:30 AM Author: Geriatric business firm it really deserves national attention (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848755) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:31 AM Author: brindle ratface casino (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848775) |
|
Date: December 3rd, 2016 2:00 AM Author: Supple yarmulke church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32044462) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: Orange charismatic community account (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076291) |
|
Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: Dashing office dingle berry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32165256) |
|
Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: dead drab party of the first part blood rage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48187313) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:29 AM Author: Elite Razzmatazz Prole (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848725) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:54 AM Author: trip spot Historic. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31849301) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 2:03 AM Author: Duck-like histrionic temple (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31849447) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 2:07 AM Author: Citrine Irradiated Piazza 180
The anti-Rudolph. |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 3:37 AM Author: Supple yarmulke church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31851790) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 5:12 AM Author: vigorous trump supporter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31852918) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854576) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: Chestnut Big Dysfunction Hairy Legs this cannot be bumped enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854584) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:52 AM Author: Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31855383) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:59 AM Author: Adventurous Psychic Philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31855482) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 6:51 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863076) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: Provocative kitty cat (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863082) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: contagious brilliant puppy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863093) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 7:08 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor November 9, 2016: "We’ll have more to say about the polling in the coming days. But to a first approximation, people are probably giving the polls a little bit too much blame." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-difference-2-percentage-points-makes/ |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 7:26 PM Author: bearded stain pozpig you're fucking nostradamus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863503) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 1:58 AM Author: diverse magenta pervert hospital (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31866924) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:37 AM Author: Motley Peach Partner Here we go... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868448) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 1:48 AM Author: spectacular field goal in life bumped (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31866864) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 2:08 AM Author: pistol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31867005) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:13 AM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor sorry I got it wrong, this is CNN, November 10, 2016: "'The polls clearly got it wrong': The autopsy will take months" http://money.cnn.com/2016/11/10/media/election-day-polls/index.html |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: Plum jew ROFL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868235) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: emerald roommate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868543) |
|
Date: November 14th, 2016 4:42 PM Author: Maroon disturbing shitlib jap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31907692) |
|
Date: November 14th, 2016 4:43 PM Author: tantric marketing idea mediation They're all heads attached to the same (((monster))) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31907697) |
|
Date: December 4th, 2016 6:17 PM Author: Green hot milk volcanic crater Extraordinary prescience itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32055646) |
|
Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: Dashing office dingle berry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32165261) |
|
Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: dead drab party of the first part blood rage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48187317) |
|
Date: November 25th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31989410) |
|
Date: December 3rd, 2016 1:51 AM Author: deranged cuck church building (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32044435) |
|
Date: December 4th, 2016 6:15 PM Author: marvelous idea he suggested GEPETTO'S CHECKMARK! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32055631) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:40 AM Author: indecent fiercely-loyal deer antler https://i.sli.mg/nElXDz.jpg (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076268) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: spectacular field goal in life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076292) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:56 AM Author: deranged cuck church building (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076345) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 7:58 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284600) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: mauve lodge wrinkle October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-read-too-much-into-early-voting/
OCT 27, 2016 AT 11:29 AM
Don’t Read Too Much Into Early Voting |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:03 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor ty, this & your "turning points" are PEAK XO. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284631) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: mauve lodge wrinkle ITT we speculate who created Donald Trump
also a classic |
|
Date: March 3rd, 2020 9:23 AM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39686962) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: spectacular field goal in life truly magnificent (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284649) |
|
Date: January 16th, 2017 10:57 PM Author: Exciting national security agency ticket booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32389095) |
|
Date: January 20th, 2017 12:01 AM Author: mauve lodge wrinkle https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-real-story-of-2016/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32412323) |
|
Date: January 20th, 2017 12:24 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32416346) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:43 PM Author: mauve lodge wrinkle http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-electoral-college-blind-spot/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/it-wasnt-clintons-election-to-lose/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-invisible-undecided-voter/ |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: onyx nursing home TBF this is mostly 538 gloating about how they were one of the only outlets to give Trump a reasonable chance of winning and how most were ignoring these factors (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441222) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:46 PM Author: mauve lodge wrinkle It's a well deserved gloat. They did a very good job on the general election after getting their teeth kicked in during the primary. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441238) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:49 PM Author: chrome legal warrant I'm not sure I agree that they should be gloating given that they were pretty confident and ended up being wrong, but I do agree that they were better than pretty much any other similar source out there for the last week or so of the election. The cynic in me says that they probably just said 70% because they figured it was no-lose since they're either right or least wrong (as they ended up being).
What are those assholes at Princeton up to? |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:56 PM Author: onyx nursing home it's not like their number didn't change over time. IIRC it peaked around ~85% in the middle of the debates and slid over the last couple weeks when her lead was slipping
it's still basically an aggregator, just one that processes the numbers in a way to arrive at a more reasonable prediction % than others. e.g. princeton puts way too much faith in state polls not swinging by a good amount the last couple weeks (if I had to guess)
it seems they learned their lesson after taking the "party decides" BS as bible pre-primary and numbers-wise when they had Hillary >99% to win Michigan (state polls can be very volatile). obviously the staff is lib but that actual model is fine for what it is |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:58 PM Author: mauve lodge wrinkle The national polls and state polls favored Clinton. It was correct to have her as a favorite. Trump outperformed the national polls by 2 points. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441319) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2017 4:32 PM Author: mauve lodge wrinkle https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ohio-was-a-bellwether-after-all/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32458110) |
|
Date: January 26th, 2017 4:19 PM Author: mauve lodge wrinkle https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/early-voting-was-a-misleading-indicator/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32466804) |
|
Date: February 6th, 2017 6:42 PM Author: mauve lodge wrinkle https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-had-a-superior-electoral-college-strategy/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32560776) |
|
Date: February 13th, 2017 2:51 PM Author: mauve lodge wrinkle https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clintons-ground-game-didnt-cost-her-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32612572) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2017 6:25 PM Author: mauve lodge wrinkle https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-you-shouldnt-always-trust-the-inside-scoop/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32714310) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2017 1:52 PM Author: mauve lodge wrinkle https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probably-cost-clinton-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33221553) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2017 4:47 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33222883) |
|
Date: September 21st, 2017 8:38 AM Author: mauve lodge wrinkle https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-media-has-a-probability-problem/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34257967) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: Beady-eyed purple market this seriously needs mainstream coverage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441221) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2017 6:39 PM Author: Bat-shit-crazy Legend Dopamine One of the greatest things made on this great bort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32714399) |
|
Date: March 22nd, 2017 7:01 PM Author: Pale Painfully Honest Sanctuary (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32891711) |
|
Date: April 17th, 2017 9:53 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33097887) |
|
Date: May 8th, 2017 12:36 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861611275717156868 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33256991) |
|
Date: June 20th, 2017 9:18 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33605191) |
|
Date: August 10th, 2017 3:50 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor What Kind Of Republican Might Challenge Trump In 2020? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-kind-of-republican-might-challenge-trump-in-2020/ |
|
Date: October 15th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-it-safe-to-say-trump-is-a-favorite-to-win-re-election/amp/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449074) |
|
Date: October 15th, 2017 4:47 PM Author: Exciting national security agency ticket booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449102) |
|
Date: October 15th, 2017 4:53 PM Author: Crusty Toaster (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449138) |
|
Date: November 6th, 2017 10:06 AM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34615930) |
|
Date: November 6th, 2017 10:09 AM Author: Embarrassed to the bone factory reset button haunted graveyard credit where it's massively due (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34615959) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2017 3:45 PM Author: violet space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34636123) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: Transparent station (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34636459) |
|
Date: November 13th, 2017 1:43 AM Author: bull headed effete heaven son of senegal (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34673088) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2017 11:47 AM Author: Exciting national security agency ticket booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34948560) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2017 11:50 AM Author: Rough-skinned hyperventilating indian lodge juggernaut Will Passing The Tax Bill Help The GOP In 2018? Probably Not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34948572) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2017 3:44 PM Author: Exciting national security agency ticket booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34950581) |
|
Date: January 30th, 2018 3:02 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#35278621) |
|
Date: June 1st, 2018 7:46 PM Author: spectacular field goal in life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36168381) |
|
Date: July 18th, 2018 10:15 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/would-republicans-be-better-off-if-clinton-were-president/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36451135) |
|
Date: July 19th, 2018 11:53 AM Author: Exciting national security agency ticket booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36458802) |
|
Date: September 20th, 2018 7:28 AM Author: Hairraiser Light Becky (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36847087) |
|
Date: September 25th, 2018 11:32 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor The GOP’s Least-Worst Option Is If Kavanaugh Withdraws — And Soon https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gops-least-worst-option-is-if-kavanaugh-withdraws-and-soon/ SEE OP: "January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" " |
|
Date: October 6th, 2018 4:22 PM Author: at-the-ready preventive strike property It's about time for the OP's last prediction to come true (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36973680) |
|
Date: October 6th, 2018 4:23 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor lol 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36973690) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2018 12:04 AM Author: spectacular field goal in life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090167) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2018 12:09 AM Author: copper antidepressant drug whorehouse Man, this was a really great thread. Spectacular. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090191) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:05 AM Author: Harsh Boistinker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37161974) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 9:58 AM Author: spectacular field goal in life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37161955) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: Pale Painfully Honest Sanctuary (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37162045) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:58 PM Author: spectacular field goal in life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37167335) |
|
Date: January 8th, 2019 3:58 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor What Would It Take For Trump To Get Primaried? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-would-it-take-for-trump-to-get-primaried/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37553376) |
|
Date: February 23rd, 2019 10:41 PM Author: Chocolate area gaping (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37833345) |
|
Date: March 13th, 2019 11:17 AM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor Brendan makes some good points here. All that said, my main point would be this — a lot of people misremember Trump bucking the CW and winning the 2016 nomination as a “polls were wrong” case when actually it was an “sophisticated experts dismissed the polls” case. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1105835180281991170 Yeah, this. Trump didn't lead the polls at *this* stage, but he did from summer 2015 on as people like me kept coming up with elaborate explanations for why he'd lose to Rubio etc. He's a good data point for "'experts' are full of shit, so you might as well go with the polls." https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1105848702986526726
|
|
Date: June 24th, 2019 9:04 AM Author: Harsh Boistinker There was a new leader every 2 weeks in the 2012 primary. Polls can’t predict future changes. Trump stuck, Herman Caine didn’t, but yeah, experts are full of shit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#38431500) |
|
Date: June 24th, 2019 8:06 AM Author: aquamarine judgmental bawdyhouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#38431431) |
|
Date: November 18th, 2019 3:05 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39135638) |
|
Date: February 12th, 2020 12:14 PM Author: Bat-shit-crazy Legend Dopamine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39583415) |
|
Date: February 12th, 2020 1:03 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39583624) |
|
Date: March 24th, 2020 10:12 AM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39849854) |
|
Date: March 24th, 2020 10:16 AM Author: rambunctious senate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39849877) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 12:07 PM Author: Lavender glittery travel guidebook (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39938878) |
|
Date: April 26th, 2020 4:40 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40097972) |
|
Date: May 13th, 2020 6:37 AM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-on-tuesday-could-hint-at-another-blue-wave-in-2020/amp/ In case you don't get the joke, the Republican in Wisconsin won by 14, & the Republican in California is up 10 with most ballots in for a seat Dems have held since 1998. |
|
Date: June 5th, 2020 2:05 PM Author: Lavender glittery travel guidebook (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40354730) |
|
Date: June 5th, 2020 3:46 PM Author: Federal Dog Poop Goyim (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40355911) |
|
Date: September 9th, 2020 11:46 PM Author: Lavender glittery travel guidebook (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896459) |
|
Date: September 9th, 2020 11:56 PM Author: Bat-shit-crazy Legend Dopamine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896523) |
|
Date: September 9th, 2020 11:57 PM Author: adulterous bearded fanboi Lmao never forget (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896526) |
|
Date: September 12th, 2020 1:55 PM Author: spruce alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40908695) |
|
Date: September 24th, 2020 9:25 AM Author: lime site messiness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40977795) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2020 11:09 AM Author: aquamarine judgmental bawdyhouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41079968) |
|
Date: October 10th, 2020 9:10 PM Author: Exciting national security agency ticket booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41088157) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:24 PM Author: Mental Disorder (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41166967) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:27 PM Author: Supple yarmulke church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41166990) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: carmine greedy twinkling uncleanness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167039) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:37 PM Author: carmine greedy twinkling uncleanness https://imgur.com/a/mXMUHui (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167053) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:57 AM Author: Gold flirting sandwich chapel (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44203011) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2020 5:47 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41200021) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2020 11:29 PM Author: Pale Painfully Honest Sanctuary (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41202581) |
|
Date: October 30th, 2020 2:57 PM Author: aquamarine judgmental bawdyhouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41222868) |
|
Date: November 3rd, 2020 9:51 PM Author: Exciting national security agency ticket booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41261120) |
|
Date: March 22nd, 2022 11:29 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44196611) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:51 AM Author: Arrogant Liquid Oxygen (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44202968) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:54 AM Author: haunting boltzmann (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44202984) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:58 AM Author: avocado stead 180 and prescient (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44203017) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44911871) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: adulterous bearded fanboi A classic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44911874) |
|
Date: October 23rd, 2022 4:13 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#45378008) |
|
Date: November 16th, 2022 6:19 AM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor Why DeSantis Is a Major Threat to Trump's Reelection
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-desantis-is-a-major-threat-to-trumps-reelection/ |
|
Date: April 25th, 2023 1:31 PM Author: Sienna immigrant fortuitous meteor https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1650899579234140168 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46237455) |
|
Date: April 25th, 2023 1:33 PM Author: Chestnut Big Dysfunction Hairy Legs why was disney employing this guy anyways (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46237460) |
|
Date: April 29th, 2023 7:52 PM Author: lime site messiness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46252623) |
|
Date: May 28th, 2023 3:10 PM Author: rebellious lilac step-uncle's house FOCK!
This still hurts to read |
|
Date: February 22nd, 2024 4:54 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47428670) |
|
Date: February 23rd, 2024 4:00 AM Author: lime site messiness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47430198) |
|
Date: May 23rd, 2024 4:51 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/is-the-biden-campaign-running-on-false-hope As FiveThirtyEight makes clear in their piece, “While the polls in a few closely watched races—like Arizona’s governorship and Pennsylvania’s Senate seat—were biased toward Republicans, the polls overall still had a bit of a bias toward Democrats. That’s because generic-ballot polls, the most common type of poll last cycle, had a weighted-average bias of D+1.9, and polls of several less closely watched races, like the governorships in Ohio and Florida, also skewed toward Democrats.”
I’m ending the interview. I’m ending the interview because what you’re doing is ridiculous.
Wait, wait—why?
Because I have definitive proof that what you’re saying is not true. And I don’t care. I know what FiveThirtyEight wrote. I live this every day. And so, the point is what you’re saying is wrong. I am on record saying that what FiveThirtyEight has written is incorrect, and I’ve given you definitive proof otherwise. So if you want to keep coming back at this, do it. But this has become one of the most ridiculous interviews that I’ve ever done my entire professional career. |
|
Date: August 26th, 2024 3:52 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48010724) |
|
Date: September 13th, 2024 11:24 PM Author: lime site messiness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48087201) |
|
Date: September 13th, 2024 11:32 PM Author: adulterous bearded fanboi One of the GOAT threads of all time (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48087224) |
|
Date: October 18th, 2024 1:46 PM Author: lime site messiness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48211967) |
|
Date: October 11th, 2024 12:45 PM Author: dead drab party of the first part blood rage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48187302) |
|
Date: November 6th, 2024 5:16 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48296972) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2025 11:30 PM Author: brindle ratface casino 538 is being shut down. This post is now complete. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48715841) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2025 11:32 PM Author: brindle ratface casino https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1897135211810545835?s=46 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48715847) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2025 11:33 PM Author: Hairraiser Light Becky Lol actually his model was right at almost every turn
*facts cum* |
|
Date: March 4th, 2025 11:37 PM Author: dead drab party of the first part blood rage The post isn't fully complete until Nate Silver passes peacefully away from full blown AIDS (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48715863) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2025 11:41 PM Author: slimy keepsake machete theater stage He has to be sucking cock at the port authority for bus fare to complete the circle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48715869) |
|
Date: March 5th, 2025 8:13 AM Author: crimson address (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48716330) |
|
Date: March 7th, 2025 11:34 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48724299) |
|
Date: March 7th, 2025 11:36 AM Author: mewling den regret 538 is now 404 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48724306) |
|
Date: March 8th, 2025 5:10 AM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor "How Trump Killed 538" https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/03/07/fivethirtyeight-nate-silver-election-polls/ |
|
Date: March 8th, 2025 7:12 AM Author: rigor university Was just thinking about this poast the other day and how much went into maeking it. Truly a work of art. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48727216) |
|
Date: March 8th, 2025 12:42 PM Author: hideous orchid stage private investor Holy shit it's all gone, they beleted everything. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48727802) |
|
Date: February 18th, 2026 11:20 PM Author: goy orbison (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#49679495) |