ROLEXmos: Do u feel the proliferation of superclones has ruined the real thing?
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Date: May 4th, 2025 12:31 PM Author: house-broken hospital filthpig
I’ve owned a bluesy submariner for a couple years now and just got on the waitlist with my AD for a pepsi GMT. The possibility of a long wait (we can get into this aspect of rolex purchasing; I will say that I don’t think it’s as bad as everyone makes it out to be) made me feel out the gray market, where I’m obviously worried about fakes, and I’ve come to realize that some of these modern fakes are (1) literally indistinguishable without opening the case back, even by experts deliberately on the lookout for authentication; (2) even when an authentication-minded expert opens the case back, can take a while to distinguish as a replica; and (3) the performance/movements are so good that they fit within rolex performance criteria, and when a maintenance (vs. authentication) expert opens the case back, they can service the watch without ever recognizing it’s a fake (this doesn’t go for rolex’s own servicing, which always aggressively authenticates as part of its servicing).
The immediate effect of this knowledge was (a) I’m never going to buy a gray-market rolex and (b) it made me happy to have a two-tone rolex, because at least the fact that it’s real gold is impossible to fake (I mean, it can obviously be faked with plating, etc., but my point is that about ~$7K of the value of my bluesy is literally just the precious-metal value, which you’re obviously not getting from a fake), to the point where it’s weird to me that the stainless steel models are still the ones everyone wants. The larger effect is making me question whether it’s worth it to buy Rolexes in general; you try to find poasts on this (kind of obvious) dilemma on the hobbyist forums or reddit or whatever and you just see 500 poasts of rolex owners getting MAF at owners of fakes and calling them names, which frankly just seems to support my point.
This problem seems most acute with rolex, specifically, where it looks to me like fakes outnumber real ones like 10:1, and are GOOD. There are clones of pateks and APs and what have you, but I’m skeptical they’re anywhere near as good as these rolex clones. But the truth is (and this probably goes for a lot of us): I have conservative tastes, and I like the way Rolexes look; I do not really like the look of these haute horology square skeletonized watches with 17 complications showing the moon phase and when you’re due for your next bowel movement. I like the look of the submariner. (There are some exceptions, and I am in the market for a relatively conservative patek dress watch… which probably has the same problems.)
Any watchmos want to weigh in?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5720299&forum_id=2#48902898) |
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Date: May 4th, 2025 1:59 PM Author: house-broken hospital filthpig
Even if your horological tastes are more sophisticated/deep, you can certainly relate to something else--cars, suits, restaurants, whatever--where you don't consider yourself a connoisseur but nonetheless like to dabble in nice shit. Can I necessarily appreciate the difference between a 3-star and 1-star restaurant? Not reliably, but I still think it's cool to eat at the french laundry. Do I have any understanding at all of fine suits? No, and I could probably look just as good spending 20% of what I spend, but I want to be on the safe side and so I drop a couple grand on my suits. My wife doesn't need the performance of porsche..., etc.
This is not an unusual space to be in in any market with luxury goods, and the only thing that really sets watch-selection apart is that the widespread proliferation of fakes has made the entire enterprise kind of risky in the signals that it sends.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5720299&forum_id=2#48903138) |
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Date: May 4th, 2025 1:15 PM Author: house-broken hospital filthpig
This is the video (which comes up as like the #2 result when you search "pepsi rolex") that made me realize oh shit:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xx32LYre0R4
He says it's a thousand dollars, but they really go for $600. Even though this guy is clearly, explicitly in the tank for Rolex (to the point of transparently lying about a handful of aspects of these fakes), his case for buying real is chillingly unconvincing.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5720299&forum_id=2#48903020) |
Date: May 4th, 2025 1:49 PM Author: Adventurous mad cow disease
Disagree that Rolex looks better than lower priced watches, until you get to the $50k tier with gold and one off color ways.
I've been tempted to get a dark side speedmaster a few times but you Rolex snobs make me not want a watch
Even Tag Heuer Formula 1 with rubber parts is more pleasing to my eye than a basic bitch Rolex
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5720299&forum_id=2#48903108) |
Date: May 4th, 2025 7:44 PM Author: Titillating Milky Set Weed Whacker
How much do the superfakes go for?
If pretty cheap, I think it exposes high end watchmaking as completely obsolete.
A watch is just a bunch of parts assembled together. If the replicas are the same materials comprising the same parts and assembled an identical way for a fracture of the price, why is anyone paying so much for a Rolex or any other high end watch?
It’s literally just vanity.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5720299&forum_id=2#48903883) |
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Date: May 4th, 2025 7:56 PM Author: house-broken hospital filthpig
The true "superclones" go for like $600, give or take. Real all-stainless rolexes (submariner and gmt, not daytona though) go for around $11.5K msrp, although for the most sought-after models there's this weird (and legendarily annoying) dynamic where the market price is actually higher, meaning that you could theoretically buy from an AD and turn around and resell immediately for a couple-grand profit, meaning in effect that the ADs (who are contractually barred from going above msrp) will only sell these models to you if you buy a bunch of other bullshit from them or are otherwise someone they want to sell to.
The effect you're describing is true of a lot of goods and services--especially if we're realistic about the personal value being imparted by qualities that are technically distinct to the luxury brand but in practice not that important (e.g., the ability of a porshe to go 0-60 in under 3 seconds)--but yes, watches, and in particular luxury non-precious metal watches, and specifically rolex, are pretty egregious offenders.
EDIT: For me personally (and my financial situation, and my like but not love of watches, and my boring tastes in watches), I don't regret having one real $18K rolex, but in a world without fakes I could imagine building a collection with the pepsi (half-red, half-blue bezel with black dial), hulk (green dial and bezel), iron man (red and red), panda daytona, etc. In the actual world where that $75K collection could be put together with convincing frauds for $3K, I'll probably just abstain altogether.
EDIT #2: I guess I should also quibble with your poast in that, true to their nature, chink fraudsters aren't *quite* as good as multigenerational swiss craftsmen. But as I said, the exteriors of the watches are in effect indistinguishable: look at the Youtube video I poasted above; the guy points out 2-3 ways that the outside of the fake is slightly inferior to (and sometimes just different from) the real one, but they're all clearly within the realm of possibility of a real one, and he's only attributing those differences to the fact of one watch being a replica after the fact once he's concluded that it's a replica, which he actually only does from pulling apart the watch interior. (He partially acknowledges this when he concedes that you can't even *identify* these differences unless you have a genuine on hand to compare to.) The interiors of the watches are also mostly clones these days, but supposedly a trained authenticator can relatively quickly notice the inferior quality of a new fake vs. a new real rolex. The x factor is that, again, new fakes perform well within the specs that rolex publishes for their watches (because those specs, obviously, cover non-new watches), so even when comparing the internal workings, it's a "well this fake will see a decrease in performance/specs at, on average, a much faster rate than a real rolex would, assuming equivalent treatment/maintenance". Which is a pretty underwhelming basis for an $11K/2000% price difference, to most people.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5720299&forum_id=2#48903906) |
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