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is Virginia the first liberal southern state of the modern era? What's next?
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Date: November 7th, 2017 9:49 PM Author: 180 parlour remember 2004 with the blue state vs. red state maps and the south was completely red?
how'd VA, home of the former Confederate capitol, get flipped into a blue state? is this the beginning of a trend? are the borders of the South slowly turning blue while parts of the Midwest turning red?
guess Maryland is technically part of the south and was blue previously |
Date: November 8th, 2017 2:30 AM Author: 180 parlour (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34632379) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 2:32 AM Author: diverse low-t immigrant church building yes I remember in 2000 it being north vs. south.
now its more the two coasts vs everything in the middle except illinois. |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 2:36 AM Author: 180 parlour lol if SC turns blue. Seems unlikely (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34632395) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 10:31 PM Author: contagious school cafeteria dysfunction And Minnesota (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786247) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 10:33 PM Author: thriller windowlicker tbf, Minnesota is probably going to go Republican eventually and I don't think the Democrats really care all that much because of the gains they'll make elsewhere. they probably view the upper midwest as a lost cause long term and are more focused on the southwest and southeast where there are way more potential electoral votes. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786270) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 2:35 AM Author: Razzle learning disabled spot reading party Because Nova is a DC suburb? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34632392) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 2:37 AM Author: diverse low-t immigrant church building seems like their winning strategy is win big city suburbs by big margins + minorities everywhere else in the state.
question is, can they replicate this in other southern states soon |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 2:38 AM Author: Razzle learning disabled spot reading party Could be Texas oddly enough (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34632400) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 2:41 AM Author: balding disrespectful box office that's absolutely the strategy. it works. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34632407) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 2:36 AM Author: Glittery clear foreskin ticket booth delaware seems pretty blue as well.
va is now pretty full of dc.
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Date: November 8th, 2017 2:40 AM Author: balding disrespectful box office delaware is an odd state. it's very small, yet the bottom part of the state is the south, and i think still pretty republican, but the top of the state is basically philly and super shitlib. but, yes, it has overall become very blue. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34632406) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 2:38 AM Author: balding disrespectful box office VA is so full of DC shitlib workers now, plus minorities, it was inevitable. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34632401) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:21 PM Author: Dashing lavender brethren (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786573) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 2:39 AM Author: diverse low-t immigrant church building if you completely removed nova from the vote tonight, I wonder what the result would have been. not sure how nova is defined though. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34632405) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 2:58 AM Author: insanely creepy cumskin Gillespie nearly lost the Virginia Beach area. I still think Northam wins. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34632447) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 8:33 PM Author: Cordovan gaped market actually I think if you removed all of NoVa then Gillespie wins by 1 point. But that's kind of pathetic for Gillespie and it's also like saying, well if you removed NYC from NY then it's a swing state. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34785309) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 10:44 PM Author: white floppy half-breed coffee pot Virginia Beach is like 75 percent nig. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786339) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 10:46 PM Author: shaky wine blood rage VB is where the white people live in Hampton Roads. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786353) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 8:34 PM Author: stimulating cruise ship new version VA has always been the swamp. it's always been the bastard child of the south. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34785323) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 10:07 PM Author: Brilliant Zippy Theatre It’d still be red if he weren’t at war with federal employees living in NoVa. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786030) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 10:27 PM Author: thriller windowlicker bullshit. even if you took every single federal employee that voted this month out of the equation, Gillespie still would have lost soundly. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786219) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 10:29 PM Author: white floppy half-breed coffee pot What about all of Arlington, Alexandria, and Fairfax Counties? Which are pretty much just extensions of dc.
A lot of these people may not be government workers but they are contractors or "non profit" workers or lawyers who live off the government teet. |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 10:32 PM Author: thriller windowlicker I haven't done the math but I don't even think that would get Gillespie to winning. But everyone there is hardly in the federal government. There are a lot of students that commute into DC in Arlington/Alexandria. There are also a lot of other industries, like tech, in Fairfax. It's a huge, diverse, sprawling area that is becoming less and less dependent strictly on the Federal Government. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786260) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 10:28 PM Author: judgmental costumed heaven theres a lot more educated ppl there now than in 2004 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786230) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 10:37 PM Author: Aphrodisiac drunken forum (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786299) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:24 PM Author: iridescent mediation (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786599) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:25 PM Author: motley brass space kitty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786607) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:25 PM Author: pearly rough-skinned electric furnace center Doesn't bachelor's degree correlate with GOP voting?
Or are you referring to graduate/professional degrees?
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:28 PM Author: Cordovan gaped market Clinton won the college educated vote and the graduate degree vote by a higher margin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786631) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:43 PM Author: pearly rough-skinned electric furnace center Yes, Clinton won college degree or higher by 4%. I think that's the first time in a while. Trump won white voters with college degree or higher.
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:50 PM Author: Cordovan gaped market Trump barely won whites with college degrees or higher. however, that group was the main swing in 2017 and Northam won whites with college degrees or higher. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786804) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 10:31 PM Author: fluffy soggy voyeur shrine austin is going to break off and becum it's own state (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786248) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 10:34 PM Author: electric citrine depressive take away SALT and you'll have more red whites in blue states (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786272) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 10:36 PM Author: thriller windowlicker GOP taking away SALT will not turn blue states red, it will just make those states even more pissed at the GOP. the GOP tax bill is suicide, they are basically pissing off the voters they need to hold in 2018 (upper income suburbanites). (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786290) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 10:41 PM Author: electric citrine depressive lol none of you matter in blue states, hth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786324) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 10:44 PM Author: electric citrine depressive btw feel free to vote DEM, they'll REALLY sympathize with you. moron. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786341) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:19 PM Author: Cordovan gaped market (literal retard who isn't aware that there are 60 or so Republican members of congress currently sitting in blue states) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786557) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:21 PM Author: electric citrine depressive how many of them are from areas where significant amounts of their voters itemize their taxes (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786570) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:22 PM Author: Cordovan gaped market are you dumb? almost all Republicans that are winning in blue states are in wealthy districts, where a huge (much higher than avg) proportion of voters itemize. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786582) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:25 PM Author: electric citrine depressive oh no PETER KING might be in trouble lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786611) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:27 PM Author: motley brass space kitty do you think his dem replacement will vote yea or nay for impeachment? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786618) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:28 PM Author: electric citrine depressive lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786630) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:27 PM Author: Cordovan gaped market ur done here (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786622) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:23 PM Author: electric citrine depressive btw, feel free to vote DEM in 2018. They are really concerned about your tax rates. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786591) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:23 PM Author: Cordovan gaped market ur done here, grow a beard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786594) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:25 PM Author: motley brass space kitty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786603) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:23 PM Author: Cordovan gaped market (wonders if voters in Orange County, Seattle Suburbs, NoVa, Long Island, NNJ, suburban Chicago itemize their taxes) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786592) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:24 PM Author: motley brass space kitty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786596) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:27 PM Author: electric citrine depressive How many votes is that? Are they going to vote DEM instead? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786620) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:27 PM Author: Cordovan gaped market now you're just doubling down on low iq schtick. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786626) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:33 PM Author: electric citrine depressive count the votes, 1 in OC, 1 in seattle suburbs, 2 in new york, 1-2 in NOVA, several in NJ, 2 chicago suburbs. So maybe 10-11? How many will be counter balanced by wins in flyover?
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:35 PM Author: Cordovan gaped market rosy predictions. there are many more republicans in California. also a Miami Beach district that is widely expected to flip. everyone knows Democrats are the favorites to take back the house.
there are few if any districts that will flip the other way because those are almost all safe Dem-packed districts. you have no clue about politics do you? |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:39 PM Author: electric citrine depressive "everyone knows Democrats are the favorites to take back the house."
https://i.imgur.com/qsBJfua.png |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 10:38 PM Author: Aphrodisiac drunken forum NC (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786301) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 10:39 PM Author: thriller windowlicker Georgia will probably drop before NC. 2008 was a weird blip for places like Indiana and NC... but the trendlines in Georgia are clearer and more accelerated. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786311) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 10:47 PM Author: white floppy half-breed coffee pot Dems are making nice gains in GA but if they even want to think about winning that state, they need to win races like Ossof's by 10-15 points. Thats how they donin similar seats in Nova. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786366) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:21 PM Author: Cordovan gaped market not really because the difference between GA and VA is that the big anchor city for VA (Washington, DC) is not part of the vote, whereas Atlanta is located inside of Georgia and that's where all the growth is (and the very near in burbs)... add to that fairly large population decline in rural GA and they probably just need to improve a couple of points in Ossof's district. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786574) |
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Date: November 6th, 2020 3:04 PM Author: 180 parlour (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#41300972) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:24 PM Author: motley brass space kitty a month ago trumpmos were saying this race was going to show that the wave is bullshit... now the storyline is that Virginia is a solid blue state. why did they have Trump robocall a solidly blue state? dumb strategy. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786601) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:34 PM Author: tantric aqua sneaky criminal OH NO NOT A ROBOCALL
you are talking as if he actively campaigned there. he did a robocall and made some tweets BFD.
my take on it - VA result was surprising mainly due to the margin of victory. at the end of the day the demographics doesnt favor GOP and for states like VA where they are underdogs they need to win the enthusiasm battle - better turnout for GOP vs DEM coalition. The reverse happened here and it could be anti-trump factor or charlottesville or whatever. so GOP lost in a resounding fashion. but this doesnt mean anything nationally for 2018 or for that matter even the next VA governor election. VA is light blue and is not CA
the libs ITT making predictions based on better than expected margin of victory are idiots. its far too early to predict what is going to happen in 2018 far less 2020 and 2024 like the lib pumo shithead is doing ITT
2024? Really? What in the flying fuck. do u think anybody would have even thought about trump in 2009? or obama in 2001? and still we have idiot libs making grandiose predictions about GOP destruction in 2024 today |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:38 PM Author: Cordovan gaped market none of you turds were claiming Virginia was a blue state earlier this year.
the margin of victory is very very ominous for Republicans. it shows that Democrats are outperforming Hillary's margins in an off year, which is unusual. there are about two dozen house members in districts Clinton won. those are all likely to flip and in fact many republicans in them have coincidentally announced their retirements.
if Dems outperform Hillary margins by 5 points nationally like they did in Virginia, an additional 25 or so house districts flip. |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:44 PM Author: tantric aqua sneaky criminal who the fuck was claiming VA to be not blue you idiot shithead? Hillary literally won that state after Obama in 2012. how the fuck can it be anything other than leaning DEM/slight blue?
"if Dems outperform Hillary margins by 5 points nationally like they did in Virginia, an additional 25 or so house districts flip."
If my aunt had a penis she would be my uncle. far too early to say what is going to happen in 2018 and VA results is irrelevant for 2018. lot will depend on the economy at that time not to mention status of healthcare, taxes etc
if the worst case scenario is GOP losing the house I will take it. Senate is needed to pack the courts for the remaining 2 years and no there will be no impeachment even with a slender dem majority in the house absent serious evidence of misbehavior by Trump. There will be enough dems (~50) who will be smart enough to know that you dont want to impeach a president as a purely partisan affair based on his politically incorrect behavior. that will just guarantee that the next dem potus is 100% getting impeached when GOP wins back the house |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:49 PM Author: Cordovan gaped market (unhinged)
question 1: most people here.
question 2: people here don't use basic logic. look back at your own posting for more on this.
point 3: we are a year away from next November, but I can predict that in a year it will be Nov. 27, 2018. Nice try though.
point 4: " There will be enough dems (~50) who will be smart enough to know that you dont want to impeach a president as a purely partisan affair based on his politically incorrect behavior" - no response to your utter delusions here. |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:50 PM Author: tantric aqua sneaky criminal lol u r dumb and retarded (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786802) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:50 PM Author: Cordovan gaped market (unhinged lower income voter) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786810) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:52 PM Author: electric citrine depressive (guy describing the democratic base) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786824) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:55 PM Author: Cordovan gaped market whites with college degrees: 51 Northam 48 Gillespie
college graduates: 60 Northam 39 Gillespie
income 100K or more: 54 Northam 45 Gillespie
non evangelical christians: 67 Northam 31 Gillespie
Republican base = poor, white, uneducated, evangelical christians. CSB |
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Date: November 28th, 2017 12:03 AM Author: mentally impaired garnet toaster party of the first part democrat base = welfare blacks and spics, WIC white sluts (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786916) |
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Date: November 28th, 2017 12:05 AM Author: thriller windowlicker gop base = alabama, mississippi, oklahoma
dem base = massachusetts, connecticut, washington
you probably live in Mississippi though, so this shouldn't be an issue. |
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Date: November 28th, 2017 12:07 AM Author: mentally impaired garnet toaster party of the first part and the lowest IQ people in each of those states vote democrat. why? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786947) |
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Date: November 28th, 2017 12:14 AM Author: Cordovan gaped market odd how Clinton and Northam both won college educated voters by double digits and people with grad/professional degrees by 20 point margins. why?
so grad/professionals have low IQ's. you a lawyer? |
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Date: November 28th, 2017 12:14 AM Author: mentally impaired garnet toaster party of the first part I'm talking about blacks and latinos. they are the most reliable part of the democrat base. why (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786975) |
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Date: November 28th, 2017 12:15 AM Author: Cordovan gaped market again, are you a lawyer? do you have a graduate degree? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786980) |
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Date: November 28th, 2017 3:14 AM Author: thriller windowlicker https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6OY50Bi9irQ
do these guys have higher IQ's than Northern Virginia folk?
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:54 PM Author: mentally impaired garnet toaster party of the first part http://www.dreamdeferred.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/US-elections-income-2004-600x653.png (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786836) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:57 PM Author: Cordovan gaped market notice the very obvious trend of low income voters from Obama to Trump. Which is the way many xo posters claim to have voted: Obama --> Trump. it's like you guys do my work for me.
notice 250K or more was basically split the last election. GOP can't even get educated voters to vote for them when offering them tax cuts. |
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Date: November 28th, 2017 12:01 AM Author: mentally impaired garnet toaster party of the first part zozo supported Romney. were you even here? trump didn't run on tax cuts. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786903) |
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Date: November 28th, 2017 12:04 AM Author: thriller windowlicker https://assets.donaldjtrump.com/trump-tax-reform.pdf (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786924) |
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Date: November 28th, 2017 12:06 AM Author: Cordovan gaped market many posters here claimed to have voted Obama then switched to Trump.
also, are you literal low iq? Trump's biggest campaign pledge was to repeal Obamacare, which would instantly cut taxes for the rich by removing the special tax on 250K+ voters. of course, you probably wouldn't be concerned with that as a personal matter. |
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Date: November 28th, 2017 12:08 AM Author: mentally impaired garnet toaster party of the first part trump's biggest campaign pledge was to build a wall to keep out more low IQ democrat voters (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786952) |
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Date: November 28th, 2017 12:15 AM Author: Cordovan gaped market http://video.foxnews.com/v/5271477266001/?#sp=show-clips
don't worry, facts don't matter anymore, just make it up as you go along trumpturd |
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Date: November 28th, 2017 12:15 AM Author: mentally impaired garnet toaster party of the first part I don't have time to watch your video brother. Unlike you, I have work tomorrow. someone has to pay for your family's food stamps (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786978) |
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Date: November 28th, 2017 12:16 AM Author: Cordovan gaped market but it won't be you because you're lower middle class :( (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786984) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:53 PM Author: thriller windowlicker are you the shitbag trumpmo that posted about me? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786833) |
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Date: November 27th, 2017 11:36 PM Author: mentally impaired garnet toaster party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34786696) |
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Date: November 28th, 2017 12:06 AM Author: Impertinent burgundy antidepressant drug black woman Gee i wonder how
*looks around and sees the Tower of Babel* |
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Date: November 28th, 2017 3:01 AM Author: thriller windowlicker dunno bro, Fox and Friends had some hard hitting analysis showing that Republicans had twice the enthusiasm as Democrats and the Virginia Beach vote would bring GILLESPIE across the finish line to a powerful victory:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P3pb4t_jPGQ |
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Date: November 28th, 2017 3:06 AM Author: thriller windowlicker Virginia hicks: we got dis!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sFUqqb5Dy6Q |
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Date: November 28th, 2017 3:07 AM Author: thriller windowlicker more hard hitting analysis from Fox and Friends interviewing at random Virginia diners: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9ppnIvp-kjo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34787604) |
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Date: November 28th, 2017 12:41 PM Author: Cordovan gaped market (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#34789405) |
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Date: June 8th, 2020 1:53 AM Author: 180 parlour (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#40374990) |
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Date: November 6th, 2020 3:08 PM Author: Titillating bistre pervert point Maryland, actually. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3789179&forum_id=2#41301011) |