https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j8t9gxaDDDw&t=2193s

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3877871&forum_id=2#35289772)

says that circulation of btcp might be <20M because btc holders might not claim their btcp. but for example bitcoin gold was also a 1:1 fork and its circulation was equal to btc circulation after the fork because the major exchanges supported it (even coinbase, which doesn't give users access to their bitcoin gold but is holding it for them and says that they will distribute it once compatibility is possible - similar scenario seems plausible for btcp). no bitcoin gold was lost because people "didn't claim it". same goes for bitcoin cash it seems.

if opening circulation of btcp is 20M then it's already a top 20-25 coin. would have to reach ltc's market cap just to reach $400. people claiming it could reach something like $1000 seem to have no idea what they're talking about.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3877871&forum_id=2#35289948)

a listing on binance which is being alluded too would open floodgates since bittrex has closed registration and its one month off form fork

look at SHITcoin NXT before fork as a guide

its a consevative estimate to say BTCP at $300 at fork is more than reasonale which is 2.5x

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3877871&forum_id=2#35290090)

right now zcl is priced such that btcp is being valued at par with bitcoin gold (assuming 20M circulation of btcp). that seems pretty reasonable. even if btcp should be worth more the upside isn’t astronomical. think the absolute best case scenario over the next 2-3 months is that btcp is priced in line with monero, in which case btcp would be worth ~$210. think that would be a very optimistic scenario and i don’t think btcp can get much higher than that without a track record which will take some time. more likely is between $115-130 (given where the market is right now – could be higher if the market recovers but then you’re just getting appreciation with the rest of the market) and that’s not without risk (team seems mediocre, etc.).

i do not see where you're getting >$300 unless you're just banking on hype.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3877871&forum_id=2#35290277)

i imagine a huge sell off from BTC holders that get the fork then a run up for BCH BTG position once actual buys happen, since this coin actually offers than those shit coins

this is all pre fork #'s im talking about hitting 400-500

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3877871&forum_id=2#35290345)

tbf this one seems better publicized so i think reduced uncertainty could reduce the level of fomo, and the market already did a run-up on zcl when the fork was announced so i think people have an idea of what they're going to trade around. think we'll see some pumping but there will be a lot of well-prepared holders planning to play the fork who will have had a month to think about when and how to sell.

given that, i'd be surprised if the market let this thing go much higher than $300 - or even $200 - but i have nothing to back that up.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3877871&forum_id=2#35290463)

i imagine with very firm certainty theyll be back in pre fork to run up the price once FOMO sets in around 2 mill sats

market cap is only 370 mill which is balldust at this point

IGNIS which is a shitcoin for sure did a 180 run up before

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3877871&forum_id=2#35290814)

market cap of $370M (now $315M) is misleading though. implies a btcp market cap of $2B assuming that all zcl value derives from btcp.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3877871&forum_id=2#35297173)