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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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Azure Glittery Deer Antler Temple
  07/21/18
0%
fuchsia crawly box office persian
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
Clear State
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
bipolar boistinker
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Honey-headed abusive mental disorder
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
Onyx parlor
  07/21/18
jfc
Big-titted Electric Hominid
  07/21/18
90%
Mewling buck-toothed macaca
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
bright lascivious really tough guy area
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
unhinged up-to-no-good rehab
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
Boyish business firm
  07/21/18
...
violent copper native water buffalo
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Honey-headed abusive mental disorder
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
cerise galvanic antidepressant drug dog poop
  07/21/18
45%
stimulating bawdyhouse
  07/21/18
75%
wild chad
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
nighttime hissy fit
  07/21/18
...
flickering brethren piazza
  07/21/18
80%
cerise galvanic antidepressant drug dog poop
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: Azure Glittery Deer Antler Temple



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: fuchsia crawly box office persian

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Clear State

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: bipolar boistinker

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Honey-headed abusive mental disorder

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: Onyx parlor

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Big-titted Electric Hominid

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: Mewling buck-toothed macaca

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: bright lascivious really tough guy area

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: unhinged up-to-no-good rehab

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: Boyish business firm

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: violent copper native water buffalo



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Honey-headed abusive mental disorder

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: cerise galvanic antidepressant drug dog poop

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: stimulating bawdyhouse

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: wild chad

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: nighttime hissy fit

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: flickering brethren piazza



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: cerise galvanic antidepressant drug dog poop

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)