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Nate Silver: Trump making huge gains on home stretch

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Snowy galvanic hunting ground whorehouse
  09/27/20
He tweeted this yesterday: Nate Silver @NateSilver538 &...
territorial lavender selfie
  09/27/20
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
cordovan supple regret
  09/27/20
...
Snowy galvanic hunting ground whorehouse
  09/27/20
"That remains our outlook today in our final forecast o...
Black histrionic gunner
  09/27/20
...
Snowy galvanic hunting ground whorehouse
  09/27/20
...
primrose boyish set international law enforcement agency
  09/27/20
So you mean Nate Silver was also the most accurate in 2016? ...
territorial lavender selfie
  09/27/20
LA times was most accurate - I checked a lot of those poll a...
Chestnut Pozpig Marketing Idea
  09/27/20
lol wtf, these are the exact same projections for Biden.
mind-boggling ebony goyim stead
  09/27/20
What's he going to be doing after the election now that Penn...
Shimmering circlehead
  09/27/20
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Snowy galvanic hunting ground whorehouse
  09/27/20
at least he has options
Chartreuse messiness hissy fit
  09/27/20
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Olive theater
  09/27/20
How can Biden even have a shot at winning?
Cerebral Dragon
  09/27/20
? Biden's killing Trump and will be the next president
deep cyan weed whacker office
  09/27/20
Date: September 27th, 2020 1:13 PM Author: :.;;.;...;; ?...
sooty lay new version
  09/27/20
same nate silver that predicted a clinton victory in 2016?
Up-to-no-good business firm filthpig
  09/27/20
Clinton got the most votes by a lot
deep cyan weed whacker office
  09/27/20
Oh I thought his job was predicting elections.
excitant really tough guy
  09/27/20
Wrong. As always.
self-centered frozen patrolman
  09/27/20
Gibberish, you got obeezy’s alternate pumo mad at you....
razzmatazz bat-shit-crazy state gaping
  09/27/20
He gave Trump a 30% chance of winning. Underdogs win occasio...
grizzly swashbuckling nibblets property
  09/27/20
sounds like we are in agreement Mr. Silver is probably wrong...
Up-to-no-good business firm filthpig
  09/27/20
it comes down to the same three states that swung the electi...
mind-boggling ebony goyim stead
  09/27/20


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Date: September 27th, 2020 9:52 AM
Author: Snowy galvanic hunting ground whorehouse



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994723)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 9:54 AM
Author: territorial lavender selfie

He tweeted this yesterday:

Nate Silver

@NateSilver538

·

15h

Overall, there's plenty of good news in here for Biden. But his lead slipping quite a bit in Florida, and also by a point or two in Pennsylvania, makes his path more treacherous than it otherwise would be.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994729)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 10:18 AM
Author: cordovan supple regret

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994808)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2020 10:40 AM
Author: Snowy galvanic hunting ground whorehouse



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994875)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:06 PM
Author: Black histrionic gunner

"That remains our outlook today in our final forecast of the year. Clinton is a 71 percent favorite to win the election according to our polls-only model and a 72 percent favorite according to our polls-plus model." (Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight, 2016)

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/11/09/the-wrongest-media-predictions-about-donald-trump/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995438)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 2:01 PM
Author: Snowy galvanic hunting ground whorehouse



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995709)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2020 10:45 AM
Author: primrose boyish set international law enforcement agency



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994895)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 12:35 PM
Author: territorial lavender selfie

So you mean Nate Silver was also the most accurate in 2016? And that he in fact predicted a systemic polling problem could mean Trump would narrowly win the swing states?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995318)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:24 PM
Author: Chestnut Pozpig Marketing Idea

LA times was most accurate - I checked a lot of those poll aggregator websites and this time they don’t have LA Times polls up anymore?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995516)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:23 PM
Author: mind-boggling ebony goyim stead

lol wtf, these are the exact same projections for Biden.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995515)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 10:20 AM
Author: Shimmering circlehead

What's he going to be doing after the election now that Penn Station half empty

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994814)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 11:03 AM
Author: Snowy galvanic hunting ground whorehouse



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994958)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2020 11:04 AM
Author: Chartreuse messiness hissy fit

at least he has options

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994960)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2020 10:41 AM
Author: Olive theater



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994883)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 11:03 AM
Author: Cerebral Dragon

How can Biden even have a shot at winning?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994957)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:13 PM
Author: deep cyan weed whacker office

? Biden's killing Trump and will be the next president

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995466)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2020 1:16 PM
Author: sooty lay new version

Date: September 27th, 2020 1:13 PM

Author: :.;;.;...;;

? Biden's killing Trump and will be the next president

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995466)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995476)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:17 PM
Author: Up-to-no-good business firm filthpig

same nate silver that predicted a clinton victory in 2016?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995482)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:19 PM
Author: deep cyan weed whacker office

Clinton got the most votes by a lot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995493)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:21 PM
Author: excitant really tough guy

Oh I thought his job was predicting elections.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995497)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:29 PM
Author: self-centered frozen patrolman

Wrong. As always.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995533)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:30 PM
Author: razzmatazz bat-shit-crazy state gaping

Gibberish, you got obeezy’s alternate pumo mad at you. He must really mean business!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995542)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:23 PM
Author: grizzly swashbuckling nibblets property

He gave Trump a 30% chance of winning. Underdogs win occasionally. Will Trump win again this year? It’s a bigger challenge but sure. He’s an underdog again.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995512)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:26 PM
Author: Up-to-no-good business firm filthpig

sounds like we are in agreement Mr. Silver is probably wrong again

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995525)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:26 PM
Author: mind-boggling ebony goyim stead

it comes down to the same three states that swung the election towards Trump. MI, WI, and PA. Trump just needs one, while Biden needs to flip MI & WI or PA.

One big difference between now and 2016 is that Biden much more likable than Hilary and he's from PA.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995522)