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Nate Silver: Trump making huge gains on home stretch

...
Stirring Haunting Nowag Newt
  09/27/20
He tweeted this yesterday: Nate Silver @NateSilver538 &...
Bat-shit-crazy Spectacular Field Digit Ratio
  09/27/20
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Boyish wrinkle
  09/27/20
...
Stirring Haunting Nowag Newt
  09/27/20
"That remains our outlook today in our final forecast o...
lemon corner
  09/27/20
...
Stirring Haunting Nowag Newt
  09/27/20
...
hateful nudist voyeur
  09/27/20
So you mean Nate Silver was also the most accurate in 2016? ...
Bat-shit-crazy Spectacular Field Digit Ratio
  09/27/20
LA times was most accurate - I checked a lot of those poll a...
mewling step-uncle's house
  09/27/20
lol wtf, these are the exact same projections for Biden.
Lascivious obsidian chapel
  09/27/20
What's he going to be doing after the election now that Penn...
Ultramarine soul-stirring sound barrier stage
  09/27/20
...
Stirring Haunting Nowag Newt
  09/27/20
at least he has options
scarlet passionate brunch mood
  09/27/20
...
Talented misanthropic pervert
  09/27/20
How can Biden even have a shot at winning?
maroon parlour
  09/27/20
? Biden's killing Trump and will be the next president
Excitant territorial stag film
  09/27/20
Date: September 27th, 2020 1:13 PM Author: :.;;.;...;; ?...
Nubile philosopher-king abode
  09/27/20
same nate silver that predicted a clinton victory in 2016?
flatulent useless brakes business firm
  09/27/20
Clinton got the most votes by a lot
Excitant territorial stag film
  09/27/20
Oh I thought his job was predicting elections.
olive fragrant preventive strike trust fund
  09/27/20
Wrong. As always.
blue set
  09/27/20
Gibberish, you got obeezy’s alternate pumo mad at you....
Dashing base organic girlfriend
  09/27/20
He gave Trump a 30% chance of winning. Underdogs win occasio...
Primrose Legend
  09/27/20
sounds like we are in agreement Mr. Silver is probably wrong...
flatulent useless brakes business firm
  09/27/20
it comes down to the same three states that swung the electi...
Lascivious obsidian chapel
  09/27/20


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2020 9:52 AM
Author: Stirring Haunting Nowag Newt



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994723)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 9:54 AM
Author: Bat-shit-crazy Spectacular Field Digit Ratio

He tweeted this yesterday:

Nate Silver

@NateSilver538

·

15h

Overall, there's plenty of good news in here for Biden. But his lead slipping quite a bit in Florida, and also by a point or two in Pennsylvania, makes his path more treacherous than it otherwise would be.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994729)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 10:18 AM
Author: Boyish wrinkle

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994808)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2020 10:40 AM
Author: Stirring Haunting Nowag Newt



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994875)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:06 PM
Author: lemon corner

"That remains our outlook today in our final forecast of the year. Clinton is a 71 percent favorite to win the election according to our polls-only model and a 72 percent favorite according to our polls-plus model." (Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight, 2016)

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/11/09/the-wrongest-media-predictions-about-donald-trump/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995438)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 2:01 PM
Author: Stirring Haunting Nowag Newt



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995709)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 10:45 AM
Author: hateful nudist voyeur



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994895)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 12:35 PM
Author: Bat-shit-crazy Spectacular Field Digit Ratio

So you mean Nate Silver was also the most accurate in 2016? And that he in fact predicted a systemic polling problem could mean Trump would narrowly win the swing states?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995318)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:24 PM
Author: mewling step-uncle's house

LA times was most accurate - I checked a lot of those poll aggregator websites and this time they don’t have LA Times polls up anymore?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995516)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:23 PM
Author: Lascivious obsidian chapel

lol wtf, these are the exact same projections for Biden.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995515)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2020 10:20 AM
Author: Ultramarine soul-stirring sound barrier stage

What's he going to be doing after the election now that Penn Station half empty

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994814)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2020 11:03 AM
Author: Stirring Haunting Nowag Newt



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994958)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2020 11:04 AM
Author: scarlet passionate brunch mood

at least he has options

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994960)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2020 10:41 AM
Author: Talented misanthropic pervert



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994883)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2020 11:03 AM
Author: maroon parlour

How can Biden even have a shot at winning?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994957)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2020 1:13 PM
Author: Excitant territorial stag film

? Biden's killing Trump and will be the next president

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995466)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 27th, 2020 1:16 PM
Author: Nubile philosopher-king abode

Date: September 27th, 2020 1:13 PM

Author: :.;;.;...;;

? Biden's killing Trump and will be the next president

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995466)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995476)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:17 PM
Author: flatulent useless brakes business firm

same nate silver that predicted a clinton victory in 2016?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995482)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:19 PM
Author: Excitant territorial stag film

Clinton got the most votes by a lot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995493)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:21 PM
Author: olive fragrant preventive strike trust fund

Oh I thought his job was predicting elections.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995497)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:29 PM
Author: blue set

Wrong. As always.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995533)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:30 PM
Author: Dashing base organic girlfriend

Gibberish, you got obeezy’s alternate pumo mad at you. He must really mean business!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995542)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:23 PM
Author: Primrose Legend

He gave Trump a 30% chance of winning. Underdogs win occasionally. Will Trump win again this year? It’s a bigger challenge but sure. He’s an underdog again.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995512)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:26 PM
Author: flatulent useless brakes business firm

sounds like we are in agreement Mr. Silver is probably wrong again

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995525)



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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:26 PM
Author: Lascivious obsidian chapel

it comes down to the same three states that swung the election towards Trump. MI, WI, and PA. Trump just needs one, while Biden needs to flip MI & WI or PA.

One big difference between now and 2016 is that Biden much more likable than Hilary and he's from PA.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995522)