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Nate Silver: Trump making huge gains on home stretch
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Date: September 27th, 2020 9:52 AM Author: Ultramarine step-uncle's house newt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994723) |
Date: September 27th, 2020 9:54 AM Author: razzle-dazzle forum french chef He tweeted this yesterday:
Nate Silver @NateSilver538 · 15h Overall, there's plenty of good news in here for Biden. But his lead slipping quite a bit in Florida, and also by a point or two in Pennsylvania, makes his path more treacherous than it otherwise would be. |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 10:18 AM Author: mind-boggling chapel https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994808) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 10:40 AM Author: Ultramarine step-uncle's house newt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994875) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:06 PM Author: mischievous corner background story "That remains our outlook today in our final forecast of the year. Clinton is a 71 percent favorite to win the election according to our polls-only model and a 72 percent favorite according to our polls-plus model." (Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight, 2016)
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/11/09/the-wrongest-media-predictions-about-donald-trump/ |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 2:01 PM Author: Ultramarine step-uncle's house newt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995709) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 10:45 AM Author: Adventurous sneaky criminal mood (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994895) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 12:35 PM Author: razzle-dazzle forum french chef So you mean Nate Silver was also the most accurate in 2016? And that he in fact predicted a systemic polling problem could mean Trump would narrowly win the swing states? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995318) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:24 PM Author: disturbing chartreuse organic girlfriend wagecucks LA times was most accurate - I checked a lot of those poll aggregator websites and this time they don’t have LA Times polls up anymore? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995516) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:23 PM Author: Ivory Internet-worthy Locale lol wtf, these are the exact same projections for Biden. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995515) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 10:20 AM Author: iridescent idiot What's he going to be doing after the election now that Penn Station half empty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994814) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 11:03 AM Author: Ultramarine step-uncle's house newt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994958) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 11:04 AM Author: violent sweet tailpipe marketing idea at least he has options (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994960) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 10:41 AM Author: bearded razzmatazz knife property (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994883) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 11:03 AM Author: Shivering friendly grandma How can Biden even have a shot at winning? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40994957) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:13 PM Author: Rebellious Sanctuary ? Biden's killing Trump and will be the next president (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995466) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:16 PM Author: trip dark psychic Date: September 27th, 2020 1:13 PM Author: :.;;.;...;;
? Biden's killing Trump and will be the next president
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995466) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:17 PM Author: Submissive digit ratio same nate silver that predicted a clinton victory in 2016? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995482) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:19 PM Author: Rebellious Sanctuary Clinton got the most votes by a lot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995493) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:21 PM Author: lime turdskin meetinghouse Oh I thought his job was predicting elections. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995497) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:29 PM Author: excitant house-broken lettuce Wrong. As always. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995533) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:30 PM Author: crystalline plaza Gibberish, you got obeezy’s alternate pumo mad at you. He must really mean business! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995542) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:23 PM Author: khaki coffee pot He gave Trump a 30% chance of winning. Underdogs win occasionally. Will Trump win again this year? It’s a bigger challenge but sure. He’s an underdog again. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995512) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:26 PM Author: Submissive digit ratio sounds like we are in agreement Mr. Silver is probably wrong again (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4634412&forum_id=2#40995525) |
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Date: September 27th, 2020 1:26 PM Author: Ivory Internet-worthy Locale it comes down to the same three states that swung the election towards Trump. MI, WI, and PA. Trump just needs one, while Biden needs to flip MI & WI or PA. One big difference between now and 2016 is that Biden much more likable than Hilary and he's from PA. |