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Trump 281 EVs in the RCP average

Absolutely devastating considering in the last two elections...
Cream Startled Abode Sneaky Criminal
  09/09/24
Or it could be that the pollsters have finally closed the ga...
razzle-dazzle haunting doctorate
  09/09/24
There's no evidence anything has changed. And even if it wer...
Cream Startled Abode Sneaky Criminal
  09/09/24
Morning consult PA poll just dropped (+3 Harris) and will mo...
underhanded misanthropic shitlib
  09/09/24
you pee sitting down and fart cum from your asshole
diverse flesh candlestick maker
  09/09/24
...
Swollen geriatric partner
  09/09/24
Do you realize how self-defeating your posting is? You&rsquo...
underhanded misanthropic shitlib
  09/09/24
actually I shifted the narrative. This subthread is now abo...
diverse flesh candlestick maker
  09/10/24
...
Swollen geriatric partner
  09/10/24
...
startling shimmering sanctuary
  09/09/24
...
orchid fragrant codepig pit
  09/09/24
...
Tantric stain
  09/09/24
...
Cream Startled Abode Sneaky Criminal
  09/09/24
Morning Consult is trash and has had Kamala way up. NYT Sien...
Cream Startled Abode Sneaky Criminal
  09/09/24
Trash one year and gold the next. No one knows who will be t...
underhanded misanthropic shitlib
  09/09/24
Statistically it's just as likely that you're right as that ...
Cream Startled Abode Sneaky Criminal
  09/09/24
Ah ha! Coin toss. That’s correct. It’s a coin to...
underhanded misanthropic shitlib
  09/09/24
Dude everyone with any brains says this whole cycle is withi...
Cream Startled Abode Sneaky Criminal
  09/09/24
To be fair, NARRATOR: "And 'Thoughtful Moderate' LTM...
Swollen geriatric partner
  09/10/24
No, that’s your schtick.
underhanded misanthropic shitlib
  09/10/24
With the current senate and governor polling in the swing st...
underhanded misanthropic shitlib
  09/10/24
"Surely every man woman and child is a one issue aborti...
Cream Startled Abode Sneaky Criminal
  09/10/24
With voter fraud I’d rather be queen Kamala. lol at th...
Sapphire school cafeteria place of business
  09/10/24
Morning Conthult!
Charismatic Main People
  09/09/24
Cope imho
pale alpha gas station
  09/10/24


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Reply Favorite

Date: September 9th, 2024 9:33 PM
Author: Cream Startled Abode Sneaky Criminal

Absolutely devastating considering in the last two elections Republicans were underpolled. By far the worst polls for a Dem against Trump in 3 cycles.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068111)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 9th, 2024 9:35 PM
Author: razzle-dazzle haunting doctorate

Or it could be that the pollsters have finally closed the gap between likely voters and actuals after 2 straight misses

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068122)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 9th, 2024 9:43 PM
Author: Cream Startled Abode Sneaky Criminal

There's no evidence anything has changed. And even if it were true, Nate Silver has shown that the Dem disadvantage in the electoral college is worth about 2.5-3 points.

Harris is up 1.2. Even if it's bang on, it's a narrow Trump win. If it's off by anywhere between Hillary and Biden's margin of being wrong it's a Trump landslide 300+ EVs. Hth

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068159)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 9th, 2024 10:23 PM
Author: underhanded misanthropic shitlib

Morning consult PA poll just dropped (+3 Harris) and will move PA back to Harris column in RCP average.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068329)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 9th, 2024 10:24 PM
Author: diverse flesh candlestick maker

you pee sitting down and fart cum from your asshole

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068332)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 9th, 2024 10:24 PM
Author: Swollen geriatric partner



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068335)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 9th, 2024 10:28 PM
Author: underhanded misanthropic shitlib

Do you realize how self-defeating your posting is? You’re bumping my messages!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068357)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 10th, 2024 8:51 AM
Author: diverse flesh candlestick maker

actually I shifted the narrative. This subthread is now about the fact that you periodically fart cum from your wife's bull as well as other guys out of your asshole and also that you sit down to urinate in a similar fashion to the way women do.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48069278)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 10th, 2024 1:18 PM
Author: Swollen geriatric partner



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48070313)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 9th, 2024 10:29 PM
Author: startling shimmering sanctuary



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068361)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 9th, 2024 10:36 PM
Author: orchid fragrant codepig pit



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068381)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 9th, 2024 10:47 PM
Author: Tantric stain



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068427)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 9th, 2024 10:50 PM
Author: Cream Startled Abode Sneaky Criminal



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068439)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 9th, 2024 10:28 PM
Author: Cream Startled Abode Sneaky Criminal

Morning Consult is trash and has had Kamala way up. NYT Siena is far to the right of M Consult. Nobody buys that shit.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068354)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 9th, 2024 10:32 PM
Author: underhanded misanthropic shitlib

Trash one year and gold the next. No one knows who will be the gold standard this year. That being said, there’s five polls in the past week that show Harris tied or ahead in PA. So I doubt it’s an outlier.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068373)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 9th, 2024 10:35 PM
Author: Cream Startled Abode Sneaky Criminal

Statistically it's just as likely that you're right as that you're totally off base. So I have no idea why you're so smug about a coin toss. If your side squeaks out a win you will congratulate yourself for having been right all along. If you lose there will never be any mea culpa and your side will go right back to lying about everything all the time. This is why we hate you people. It's so tiresome.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068378)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 9th, 2024 10:38 PM
Author: underhanded misanthropic shitlib

Ah ha! Coin toss. That’s correct. It’s a coin toss. But your OP and posting in this thread doesn’t reflect that at all.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068392)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 9th, 2024 10:44 PM
Author: Cream Startled Abode Sneaky Criminal

Dude everyone with any brains says this whole cycle is within the margin of error and will be a nail biter. Wtf are you smoking.

Yes the polls for Harris are significantly worse than her two predecessors and GOP advantage in the Electoral College negates Dem advantage in the popular vote. I would personally rather be in Trump's position right now.

But of course, he could lose. There are still a ton of unknowns. It's still a toss-up.

Now you admit Kamala might lose and it's a toss-up and you'd probably rather be Trump than Harris heading into November.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068422)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 10th, 2024 1:22 AM
Author: Swollen geriatric partner

To be fair,

NARRATOR: "And 'Thoughtful Moderate' LTM was never seen in that thread again..."

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068898)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 10th, 2024 9:06 AM
Author: underhanded misanthropic shitlib

No, that’s your schtick.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48069309)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 10th, 2024 7:40 AM
Author: underhanded misanthropic shitlib

With the current senate and governor polling in the swing states and abortion ballot initiatives I’d much rather be Harris. Trump needs a lot of split ticket voting to win. Polling error could go either way.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48069146)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 10th, 2024 10:46 AM
Author: Cream Startled Abode Sneaky Criminal

"Surely every man woman and child is a one issue abortion voter!"

Reeks of desperation

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48069647)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 10th, 2024 8:02 AM
Author: Sapphire school cafeteria place of business

With voter fraud I’d rather be queen Kamala. lol at thinking that this is some nail biter free and fair election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48069180)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 9th, 2024 10:45 PM
Author: Charismatic Main People

Morning Conthult!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068424)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 10th, 2024 8:10 AM
Author: pale alpha gas station

Cope imho

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48069197)