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Trump 281 EVs in the RCP average
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Date: September 9th, 2024 9:33 PM Author: chestnut alcoholic field Absolutely devastating considering in the last two elections Republicans were underpolled. By far the worst polls for a Dem against Trump in 3 cycles. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068111) |
Date: September 9th, 2024 9:35 PM Author: bearded narrow-minded state Or it could be that the pollsters have finally closed the gap between likely voters and actuals after 2 straight misses (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068122) |
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Date: September 9th, 2024 9:43 PM Author: chestnut alcoholic field There's no evidence anything has changed. And even if it were true, Nate Silver has shown that the Dem disadvantage in the electoral college is worth about 2.5-3 points.
Harris is up 1.2. Even if it's bang on, it's a narrow Trump win. If it's off by anywhere between Hillary and Biden's margin of being wrong it's a Trump landslide 300+ EVs. Hth |
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Date: September 9th, 2024 10:23 PM Author: thirsty pozpig Morning consult PA poll just dropped (+3 Harris) and will move PA back to Harris column in RCP average. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068329) |
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Date: September 9th, 2024 10:24 PM Author: wonderful base you pee sitting down and fart cum from your asshole (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068332) |
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Date: September 9th, 2024 10:24 PM Author: aphrodisiac flushed piazza (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068335) |
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Date: September 9th, 2024 10:28 PM Author: thirsty pozpig Do you realize how self-defeating your posting is? You’re bumping my messages! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068357) |
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Date: September 10th, 2024 8:51 AM Author: wonderful base actually I shifted the narrative. This subthread is now about the fact that you periodically fart cum from your wife's bull as well as other guys out of your asshole and also that you sit down to urinate in a similar fashion to the way women do. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48069278) |
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Date: September 10th, 2024 1:18 PM Author: aphrodisiac flushed piazza (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48070313) |
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Date: September 9th, 2024 10:29 PM Author: Underhanded Jap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068361) |
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Date: September 9th, 2024 10:36 PM Author: Stimulating locale really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068381) |
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Date: September 9th, 2024 10:47 PM Author: startling travel guidebook (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068427) |
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Date: September 9th, 2024 10:50 PM Author: chestnut alcoholic field (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068439) |
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Date: September 9th, 2024 10:28 PM Author: chestnut alcoholic field Morning Consult is trash and has had Kamala way up. NYT Siena is far to the right of M Consult. Nobody buys that shit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068354) |
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Date: September 9th, 2024 10:32 PM Author: thirsty pozpig Trash one year and gold the next. No one knows who will be the gold standard this year. That being said, there’s five polls in the past week that show Harris tied or ahead in PA. So I doubt it’s an outlier. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068373) |
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Date: September 9th, 2024 10:35 PM Author: chestnut alcoholic field Statistically it's just as likely that you're right as that you're totally off base. So I have no idea why you're so smug about a coin toss. If your side squeaks out a win you will congratulate yourself for having been right all along. If you lose there will never be any mea culpa and your side will go right back to lying about everything all the time. This is why we hate you people. It's so tiresome. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068378) |
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Date: September 9th, 2024 10:38 PM Author: thirsty pozpig Ah ha! Coin toss. That’s correct. It’s a coin toss. But your OP and posting in this thread doesn’t reflect that at all. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068392) |
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Date: September 9th, 2024 10:44 PM Author: chestnut alcoholic field Dude everyone with any brains says this whole cycle is within the margin of error and will be a nail biter. Wtf are you smoking.
Yes the polls for Harris are significantly worse than her two predecessors and GOP advantage in the Electoral College negates Dem advantage in the popular vote. I would personally rather be in Trump's position right now.
But of course, he could lose. There are still a ton of unknowns. It's still a toss-up.
Now you admit Kamala might lose and it's a toss-up and you'd probably rather be Trump than Harris heading into November. |
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Date: September 10th, 2024 1:22 AM Author: aphrodisiac flushed piazza To be fair,
NARRATOR: "And 'Thoughtful Moderate' LTM was never seen in that thread again..." |
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Date: September 10th, 2024 9:06 AM Author: thirsty pozpig No, that’s your schtick. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48069309) |
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Date: September 10th, 2024 7:40 AM Author: thirsty pozpig With the current senate and governor polling in the swing states and abortion ballot initiatives I’d much rather be Harris. Trump needs a lot of split ticket voting to win. Polling error could go either way. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48069146) |
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Date: September 10th, 2024 10:46 AM Author: chestnut alcoholic field "Surely every man woman and child is a one issue abortion voter!"
Reeks of desperation |
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Date: September 10th, 2024 8:02 AM Author: crusty messiness With voter fraud I’d rather be queen Kamala. lol at thinking that this is some nail biter free and fair election (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48069180) |
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Date: September 9th, 2024 10:45 PM Author: Self-absorbed hyperventilating doctorate sandwich Morning Conthult! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48068424) |
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Date: September 10th, 2024 8:10 AM Author: canary harsh house karate Cope imho (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591588&forum_id=2#48069197) |