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AI starting to see diminishing returns

It turns out scaling only gets you so far, and after that th...
Opaque Immigrant
  06/06/25
college graduate to PhD - that seems like a big jump.
clear volcanic crater
  06/06/25
It’s not as valuable as the jump from GPT 2 to 3 was. ...
Opaque Immigrant
  06/06/25
Yea it’s less of a jump but it’s still a huge im...
clear volcanic crater
  06/06/25
...
high-end cerebral twinkling uncleanness
  06/06/25
college graduate to PhD tp
Underhanded People Who Are Hurt
  06/07/25
It doesn’t wrap around proles yet. It’s still in...
talking home ceo
  06/06/25
...
Pale contagious church crotch
  06/06/25
...
clear volcanic crater
  06/06/25
...
irradiated indigo keepsake machete
  06/06/25
talk to them about weed or whatever tp
Maniacal bright fat ankles community account
  06/06/25
...
gold candlestick maker
  06/07/25
...
Maniacal bright fat ankles community account
  06/27/25
AI is a gamechanger in healthcare. Most people have no idea ...
insecure grizzly mother indian lodge
  06/06/25
Don't forget the part where UMC W2 earners are taxed to hell...
twinkling library preventive strike
  06/06/25
UMC W2 wage earners deserve to be gassed and exterminated. w...
fragrant plaza associate
  06/07/25
...
massive jet corn cake selfie
  06/06/25
...
lavender motley boiling water
  06/07/25
...
Excitant hospital
  06/07/25
...
Crystalline hot resort
  06/07/25
oh god, oh
fragrant plaza associate
  06/07/25
My prole friends literally do already ask it about weed stra...
Snowy provocative heaven
  06/07/25
...
bespoke soul-stirring space
  06/07/25
...
Blathering navy quadroon
  06/27/25
...
Ebony insanely creepy point travel guidebook
  06/27/25


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Date: June 6th, 2025 2:48 PM
Author: Opaque Immigrant

It turns out scaling only gets you so far, and after that the improvements are marginal. We all witnessed the jump from retarded (GPT 2) to not retarded (GPT 3/4) so it seemed like scaling would always give you huge improvements. Turns out that’s not the case. Now when you double your GPU cluster you just go from college graduate to PhD, which is good but not revolutionary.

If the 400,000-GPU mega datacenter OpenAI is building only delivers marginal improvement to their models then companies like Nvidia will shit the bed since their current valuation is based on the assumption that there will be huge demand for every unit they have the capacity to produce for at least the next 4-5 years.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992590)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 2:50 PM
Author: clear volcanic crater

college graduate to PhD

- that seems like a big jump.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992604)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 2:53 PM
Author: Opaque Immigrant

It’s not as valuable as the jump from GPT 2 to 3 was. Its improvement, but not the same margin of improvement, and not as valuable to the market. GPT 4-level is good enough for most companies to use and derive huge benefits from. They’re not going to pay extra to have a PhD-level LLM run their call center or customer service chats.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992614)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:18 PM
Author: clear volcanic crater

Yea it’s less of a jump but it’s still a huge improvement. Also, a lot more use cases for AI besides commercial grunt work…for high level decision making that jump and upcoming jumps will make a big difference.

More excited about that use case than taking the jobs of some min wage workers at T-Mobile

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992706)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 2:53 PM
Author: high-end cerebral twinkling uncleanness



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992615)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 10:24 AM
Author: Underhanded People Who Are Hurt

college graduate to PhD tp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48994445)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:13 PM
Author: talking home ceo

It doesn’t wrap around proles yet. It’s still internet pre smart phone

Wait till the dumbest poorest pieces of shit wrap it around their lives.

It will wake them, order their Mountain Dew breakfast, talk to them about weed or whatever, play little shows and videos for them all day, schedule their welfare etc

Right now it’s Facebook with ivy only edus

It’s gonna be huge

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992691)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:16 PM
Author: Pale contagious church crotch



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992697)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 6th, 2025 3:19 PM
Author: clear volcanic crater



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992708)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:21 PM
Author: irradiated indigo keepsake machete



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992713)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:43 PM
Author: Maniacal bright fat ankles community account

talk to them about weed or whatever tp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992766)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 8:53 AM
Author: gold candlestick maker



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48994284)



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Date: June 27th, 2025 5:08 PM
Author: Maniacal bright fat ankles community account



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#49054723)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 3:47 PM
Author: insecure grizzly mother indian lodge

AI is a gamechanger in healthcare. Most people have no idea what's coming and what it means both for themselves (awesome) and society (uh oh, many more long lived people). If I were a serious investor I'd be looking at healthcare start ups focused on AI.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992778)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 4:04 PM
Author: twinkling library preventive strike

Don't forget the part where UMC W2 earners are taxed to hell to have the AI do this for them.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992835)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 8:56 AM
Author: fragrant plaza associate

UMC W2 wage earners deserve to be gassed and exterminated. we are the supreme leeches of american society

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48994289)



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Date: June 6th, 2025 4:45 PM
Author: massive jet corn cake selfie



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48992912)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 12:26 AM
Author: lavender motley boiling water



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48993963)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 12:27 AM
Author: Excitant hospital



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48993965)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 8:52 AM
Author: Crystalline hot resort



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48994283)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 8:55 AM
Author: fragrant plaza associate

oh god, oh

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48994287)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 9:00 AM
Author: Snowy provocative heaven

My prole friends literally do already ask it about weed strains.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48994298)



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Date: June 7th, 2025 9:08 AM
Author: bespoke soul-stirring space



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#48994312)



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Date: June 27th, 2025 5:04 PM
Author: Blathering navy quadroon



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#49054715)



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Date: June 27th, 2025 5:06 PM
Author: Ebony insanely creepy point travel guidebook



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734272&forum_id=2#49054718)