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Looks like polls and prediction markets fucked up royally on Brazil/XO Bolsonaro

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here ...
Fuchsia plaza
  10/05/26
since USAID was defunded, there have been eight major top-li...
Gold Kitty Home
  10/05/26
...
smoky organic girlfriend
  10/05/26
...
Mahogany Soul-stirring Gas Station
  10/06/26
nope Bolsanaro has been leading since mid-September ht...
razzle-dazzle feces national
  10/05/26
Get used to this shape, it’s going to play in your nig...
Fuchsia plaza
  10/05/26
wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100...
Hairraiser rambunctious mental disorder pervert
  10/05/26
I see you struggle greatly with reading charts Date: Octo...
Fuchsia plaza
  10/05/26
You are a fucking retard and he is right
Mind-boggling emerald principal's office prole
  10/05/26
🥴🥴🥴 https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/210685886...
Fuchsia plaza
  10/05/26
...
razzle-dazzle feces national
  10/06/26
Dems spend big money to manipulate the betting markets too&h...
razzle-dazzle feces national
  10/05/26
no one looks at this shit you fucking loser. it's only twitt...
umber theater incel
  10/05/26
Not really, this is dumb and if you believe it you could bec...
Mind-boggling emerald principal's office prole
  10/05/26
...
Mind-boggling emerald principal's office prole
  10/05/26
The markets were right. Bolsonaro was the odds on favorite o...
Mind-boggling emerald principal's office prole
  10/05/26
They had Lula winning at 2PM yesterday. Grow a beard you fuc...
Fuchsia plaza
  10/05/26
They had him slimly winning the first round, but had Bolsona...
Mind-boggling emerald principal's office prole
  10/05/26
Here king, you dropped this *hands you your prolapsed as...
Fuchsia plaza
  10/05/26
Bolsonaro 65% chance of winning it all on election eve
Mind-boggling emerald principal's office prole
  10/05/26
OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren&rs...
razzle-dazzle feces national
  10/05/26
Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM Author: ''"'"''&...
Fuchsia plaza
  10/05/26
Polls also way off https://x.com/sethjlevy/status/2107120...
Fuchsia plaza
  10/05/26
good news you can 12x your money in just 28 days https://...
razzle-dazzle feces national
  10/05/26
https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46
Fuchsia plaza
  10/05/26
So how much you going to get on Republicans keeping the Hous...
razzle-dazzle feces national
  10/05/26
wait, so the polymarket trends crossed only in 45 minutes or...
Gold Kitty Home
  10/05/26
They switched a few hours before the polls closed. It&rsq...
Fuchsia plaza
  10/06/26
lol. that reminds me of the guy (French guy?) who bet a ton...
Gold Kitty Home
  10/06/26
Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM Author: ""''''&q...
Iridescent parlor
  10/06/26
It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the...
Fuchsia plaza
  10/06/26
Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM Author: ""''''&qu...
razzle-dazzle feces national
  10/06/26
Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM Author: ""''''&qu...
Iridescent parlor
  10/06/26
so prediction markets suck shit? Wow
Spectacular aquamarine genital piercing
  10/06/26
Weren't the shitlibs in power in brazil? I dont think that w...
Startling Sanctuary Stock Car
  10/06/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM
Author: Fuchsia plaza

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172002)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:38 AM
Author: Gold Kitty Home

since USAID was defunded, there have been eight major top-line elections in Latin America, and the "far right" candidate has won all eight.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172051)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 12:09 PM
Author: smoky organic girlfriend



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172311)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 12:36 PM
Author: Mahogany Soul-stirring Gas Station



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174169)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:46 AM
Author: razzle-dazzle feces national

nope Bolsanaro has been leading since mid-September

https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election/will-luiz-incio-lula-da-silva-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172067)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:54 AM
Author: Fuchsia plaza

Get used to this shape, it’s going to play in your nightmares for months

https://x.com/kalshipolitics/status/2106847104740343900?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172082)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:59 AM
Author: Hairraiser rambunctious mental disorder pervert

wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100% after the election itself has ballots counted wow this is crazy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172095)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:00 AM
Author: Fuchsia plaza

I see you struggle greatly with reading charts

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:59 AM

Author: Nude Karlstack (🧐)

wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100% after the election itself has ballots counted wow this is crazy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172095)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172101)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:14 AM
Author: Mind-boggling emerald principal's office prole

You are a fucking retard and he is right

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172130)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:15 AM
Author: Fuchsia plaza

🥴🥴🥴

https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/2106858865270669445?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172135)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 7:56 AM
Author: razzle-dazzle feces national



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173742)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:01 AM
Author: razzle-dazzle feces national

Dems spend big money to manipulate the betting markets too…idk…upset cons or something

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172103)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:09 AM
Author: umber theater incel

no one looks at this shit you fucking loser. it's only twitter dorks coming up with these "odds".

you seriously need to get a life or a hobby that doesn't involve the internet

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172118)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:16 AM
Author: Mind-boggling emerald principal's office prole

Not really, this is dumb and if you believe it you could become a millionaire in a couple of months.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172136)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:14 AM
Author: Mind-boggling emerald principal's office prole



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172129)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:15 AM
Author: Mind-boggling emerald principal's office prole

The markets were right. Bolsonaro was the odds on favorite on election eve.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172133)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:17 AM
Author: Fuchsia plaza

They had Lula winning at 2PM yesterday. Grow a beard you fucking waste of oxygen.

https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/2106858865270669445?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172146)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:20 AM
Author: Mind-boggling emerald principal's office prole

They had him slimly winning the first round, but had Bolsonaro as the odds on favorite to win it all. Ultimately they were less than two points apart in the first round.

https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election/will-flvio-bolsonaro-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172152)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:21 AM
Author: Fuchsia plaza

Here king, you dropped this

*hands you your prolapsed asshole*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172156)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM
Author: Mind-boggling emerald principal's office prole

Bolsonaro 65% chance of winning it all on election eve

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172157)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM
Author: razzle-dazzle feces national

OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren’t going to get wiped out in four weeks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172158)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:24 AM
Author: Fuchsia plaza

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM

Author: ''"'"''"''''"""'''

OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren’t going to get wiped out in four weeks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172158)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172162)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:25 AM
Author: Fuchsia plaza

Polls also way off

https://x.com/sethjlevy/status/2107120074834219062?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172167)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:29 AM
Author: razzle-dazzle feces national

good news you can 12x your money in just 28 days

https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026/will-the-democratic-party-control-the-house-after-the-2026-midterm-elections

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172175)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:30 AM
Author: Fuchsia plaza

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172181)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 12:05 PM
Author: razzle-dazzle feces national

So how much you going to get on Republicans keeping the House?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172291)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 3:18 PM
Author: Gold Kitty Home

wait, so the polymarket trends crossed only in 45 minutes or so on the very last day?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172792)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:23 AM
Author: Fuchsia plaza

They switched a few hours before the polls closed.

It’s all fraud.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173776)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 12:26 PM
Author: Gold Kitty Home

lol.

that reminds me of the guy (French guy?) who bet a ton of money on Trump winning all the swing states, because he thought that Polymarket was infected by groupthink.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174151)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:09 AM
Author: Iridescent parlor

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM

Author: ""''''"'

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172002)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173752)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM
Author: Fuchsia plaza

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173880)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 10:38 AM
Author: razzle-dazzle feces national

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM

Author: ""''''"'

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173989)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:08 AM
Author: Iridescent parlor

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM

Author: ""''''"'

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173880)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174037)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:23 AM
Author: Spectacular aquamarine genital piercing

so prediction markets suck shit? Wow

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174067)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 1:07 PM
Author: Startling Sanctuary Stock Car

Weren't the shitlibs in power in brazil? I dont think that will happen here tbh.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174206)