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Even fucking GREG ABBOT’S odds are tanking?

What is going on?? https://polymarket.com/event/texas-gov...
,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.
  11/02/26
🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨 🚨 this is a WLMAS acco...
lib quotemo = literally WLMAS = dumb nigger
  11/02/26
he needs to stand up and fight
AZNgirl dressed as Haley Stevens at Synagogue
  11/02/26
...
Mach Tuck HAHAURFUCKED
  11/02/26
Nothing it's all fake
MASE
  11/02/26
do you think Paxton will pull this off?
,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.
  11/02/26
Really hope not. And I can't stand dems. But there'...
Fucking Fuckface
  11/02/26
🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨 🚨 this is a WLMAS acco...
lib quotemo = literally WLMAS = dumb nigger
  11/02/26
If I had money to toss around I would bet on Hinojosa and Pa...
gentle jack jones
  11/02/26
If Dems actually take Texas that’s grounds for civil w...
,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.
  11/02/26
yes, plz put on ur pants if u can, stop furking dogs, take u...
AZNgirl dressed as Haley Stevens at Synagogue
  11/02/26
Texas should just secede from the union if Dems win
,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.
  11/02/26
🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨 🚨 this is a WLMAS acco...
lib quotemo = literally WLMAS = dumb nigger
  11/02/26
I hope this happens
gentle jack jones
  11/02/26
🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨 🚨 this is a WLMAS acco...
lib quotemo = literally WLMAS = dumb nigger
  11/02/26
People are pissed about Paxton about being corrupt and Greg ...
gentle jack jones
  11/02/26
prediction market odds just reflect who decided to pour mone...
ferengi
  11/02/26
oh wow great insight 👍
,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.
  11/02/26
it doesn't give any insight into the races
ferengi
  11/02/26
...
Historical American
  11/02/26
it’s provides better insight that pollsters and pundit...
,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.
  11/02/26
no way, because it's downstream of those, PLUS you have...
ferengi
  11/02/26
it’s an encapsulation of all of that information thoug...
,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.
  11/02/26
It's actually not though. It's been proven to be i...
Historical American
  11/02/26
...
ferengi
  11/02/26
so you think pollsters and pundits have a great track record...
,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.
  11/02/26
they're all awful ways of predicting who will win, that...
ferengi
  11/02/26
The polls are understood to be inaccurate by the people whom...
Historical American
  11/02/26
cr
ferengi
  11/02/26
It was actually doesn't lol. It's not historically...
Historical American
  11/02/26
🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨 🚨 this is a WLMAS acco...
lib quotemo = literally WLMAS = dumb nigger
  11/02/26
🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨 🚨 this is a WLMAS acco...
lib quotemo = literally WLMAS = dumb nigger
  11/02/26
I voted for both Abbott and Talarico. Abbott is a good stead...
Roblox
  11/02/26
*moderate fistbump*
German pumo
  11/02/26
would be 180 watching Dems roll his ass right out of the gov...
,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.
  11/02/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 10:27 AM
Author: ,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.


What is going on??

https://polymarket.com/event/texas-governor-winner-2026/will-the-republicans-win-the-texas-governor-race-in-2026

https://x.com/atlas_intel/status/2117089729136963626?a=a8nP2zwrt4IYlzzBCWM&s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222111)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 1:22 PM
Author: lib quotemo = literally WLMAS = dumb nigger

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(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222623)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 10:29 AM
Author: AZNgirl dressed as Haley Stevens at Synagogue

he needs to stand up and fight

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222113)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 2:47 PM
Author: Mach Tuck HAHAURFUCKED



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50223057)



Reply
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Date: November 2nd, 2026 10:29 AM
Author: MASE

Nothing it's all fake

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222114)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 10:30 AM
Author: ,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.


do you think Paxton will pull this off?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222120)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 10:44 AM
Author: Fucking Fuckface

Really hope not. And I can't stand dems. But there's honestly almost nothing worse than saying "yes" to corruption, much less brazen and obscene corruption. It's more inimical to functioning society than lunatic ideas

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222160)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 1:22 PM
Author: lib quotemo = literally WLMAS = dumb nigger

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(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222625)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 10:29 AM
Author: gentle jack jones

If I had money to toss around I would bet on Hinojosa and Paxton simply for the odds / value

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222118)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 10:33 AM
Author: ,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.


If Dems actually take Texas that’s grounds for civil war imo. At a minimum there needs to be an investigation

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222132)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 10:49 AM
Author: AZNgirl dressed as Haley Stevens at Synagogue

yes, plz put on ur pants if u can, stop furking dogs, take ur 350 pound body frames out of ur moms basement and go fight jose and pradeep and kash patel for TX. im sure it will work out!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222174)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 10:55 AM
Author: ,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.


Texas should just secede from the union if Dems win

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222188)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 1:22 PM
Author: lib quotemo = literally WLMAS = dumb nigger

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(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222628)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 2:43 PM
Author: gentle jack jones

I hope this happens

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50223037)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 1:22 PM
Author: lib quotemo = literally WLMAS = dumb nigger

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(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222626)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 2:44 PM
Author: gentle jack jones

People are pissed about Paxton about being corrupt and Greg Abbott about the h1bs. I can’t blame them but it would be tragic. It would be due to (R)s not voting though.

The race I’m really looking at is RRC

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50223041)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 1:19 PM
Author: ferengi

prediction market odds just reflect who decided to pour money into what. no more, no less.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222604)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 1:20 PM
Author: ,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.


oh wow great insight 👍

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222612)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 1:21 PM
Author: ferengi

it doesn't give any insight into the races

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222618)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 1:22 PM
Author: Historical American



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222624)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 1:25 PM
Author: ,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.


it’s provides better insight that pollsters and pundits

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222645)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 1:26 PM
Author: ferengi

no way, because it's downstream of those, PLUS you have rich people pouring in money to try to make candidates look more popular

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222656)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 2:01 PM
Author: ,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.


it’s an encapsulation of all of that information though, distilled down to a single number. much better than listing to a handful of pollsters and pundits and thinking they know anything

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222827)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 2:21 PM
Author: Historical American

It's actually not though. It's been proven to be inaccurate countless times and no one takes it seriously except gambling addicts and partisan fanatics. This is low IQ freshman logic writ large. Pumo self outs as midwit, news at 11

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222922)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 2:22 PM
Author: ferengi



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222931)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 2:28 PM
Author: ,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.


so you think pollsters and pundits have a great track record?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222953)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 2:30 PM
Author: ferengi

they're all awful ways of predicting who will win, that's why they're all wrong all the time. but at least polls are just limited to the actual people who will be voting.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222961)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 2:38 PM
Author: Historical American

The polls are understood to be inaccurate by the people whom conduct the polls. They all openly admit that they cannot reach a broad segment of the population. All polls have raw data, and then they are adjusted for entirely subjective reasons and based on guesswork, as to what the real electorate looks like. But no amount of artisanal speculation can account for the fact that millions of voters cannot be reached, like an uncontacted tribe in the Amazon. Pollsters do not know how many of these people are out there, what they're feeling, or whom they're voting for. So to that end all major polls involve a massive amount of speculation.

Factually, nearly every pollster has undercounted Republicans in the last 5 major national elections. But as Nate Silver points out, there are elections where Democrats have been undercounted as well. We simply do not know, and cannot know, until the votes are counted, what the uncontacted tribe actually did in the voting booth. It's an I for incomplete. To the extent that we can derive anything from the polls, it's that of the people they were able to reach, those people are heavily split for Democrats. So that part is real. It's that plus (mystery sum). And Polymarket certainly cannot tell us anything we don't know about what we don't know.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50223014)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 2:39 PM
Author: ferengi

cr

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50223017)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 1:29 PM
Author: Historical American

It was actually doesn't lol. It's not historically accurate.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222680)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 1:22 PM
Author: lib quotemo = literally WLMAS = dumb nigger

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(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222629)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 1:23 PM
Author: lib quotemo = literally WLMAS = dumb nigger

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(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222630)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 1:30 PM
Author: Roblox

I voted for both Abbott and Talarico. Abbott is a good steady hand for this state. But need a slight bit of blue infusion. Not too much, though.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50222689)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 2:46 PM
Author: German pumo

*moderate fistbump*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50223050)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 2:49 PM
Author: ,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.


would be 180 watching Dems roll his ass right out of the governor's mansion and just leaving sitting there in the yard

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917339&forum_id=2.#50223078)