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But I was assured the prediction markets don’t predict anything
| ,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,. | 11/03/26 |
| .,.,.,,.,,..,,,.,.,...,.,,.,. | 11/03/26 |
| a New York Times analysis of Reddit posts | 11/03/26 |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 7:59 PM Author: ,.,.,.,.,,.,..,:,,:,,.,:,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,. the box and that retard Historical American were particularly adamant about it (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918070&forum_id=2.#50227927) |
Date: November 3rd, 2026 7:59 PM Author: .,.,.,,.,,..,,,.,.,...,.,,.,. they are easily the most accurate measure we have (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5918070&forum_id=2.#50227932) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 8:01 PM Author: a New York Times analysis of Reddit posts The don't predict anything - they distill consensus and there is in fact wisdom in the crowds.
You can see how terrible they are at predictions in all the ones where they are whipsawing.
The should be called Consensus Markets, but that's not sexy. |