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pensive equation explains why he has no girlfriend
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:12 PM Author: silver talking hissy fit bawdyhouse Backus reimagined the equation by inserting U.K. population figures along with the general parameters for his potential girlfriend: a woman between the age of 24 and 34, with a university degree, whom he finds attractive. Simple enough. But there are complications. First, the woman in question must find him attractive (a 1-in-20 chance, he estimated). Second, she must herself be single (50-50). Lastly, he must get along with her (1-in-10).
The result of the equation? Of the roughly 30 million women in the U.K., only 26 are potential mates for Backus. In his conclusion to the paper, Backus expresses this more depressingly: "On a given night in London, there is a 0.0000034 percent chance of meeting one of these special people." http://www.asylum.com/2010/01/11/peter-backus-mathematical-equation-that-you-shouldnt-feel-bad-if-you-dont-have/ |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:29 PM Author: Heady library Finding a mate would be utterly impossible except for the fact that the necessary traits are extremely highly correlated. For example, the 1 woman in 20 who finds him attractive is more than 10% likely to get along with him.
The Drake equation only works if the factors are independent.
This is also why (in reference to the dating thread) there are more great WOC (defined here as black, Asian, and Latina) than white women. No one is arguing that WOC are on average smarter, better looking, funnier, or nicer than white women (they might be, but I have no idea when it comes to averages). The difference is that the correlations are much stronger in WOC, so there are more women hitting the high notes. People whom one chooses to date in an upper-middle-class milieu are already pre-selected for intelligence and attractivness, so the WOC is more likely to also have a great personality. |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:31 PM Author: painfully honest sick market national security agency I would think that a WOC would have approximately a 50% chance of having a great personality. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13806910) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:35 PM Author: Heady library My experience:
Let predicates A = Attractive, I = Intellgent (125+ IQ), Q = Awesome personality, S = Shitty personality, B = Available.
P(Q | A and I, White) = 0.15 P(Q and B | A and I, White) = 0.01 P(S | A and I, White) = 0.35
P(Q | A and I, WOC) = 0.45 P(Q and B | A and I, WOC) = 0.10 P(S | A and I, WOC) = 0.02
Asians count as WOC if foreign-born and White if American-born. |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:38 PM Author: painfully honest sick market national security agency Weren't Terra and Celes in Final Fantasy white girls. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13806968) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:39 PM Author: Heady library Sample space = actual, non-fictional women. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13806983) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:40 PM Author: painfully honest sick market national security agency I had a date with a Celes-type woman the other day. You would have been horrified about how it went down. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13806991) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:42 PM Author: Heady library What happened?
How was she Celes-like? |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:47 PM Author: painfully honest sick market national security agency She had been working as an accounting drone (read: Empire) but then moved to the development department of a humanitarian organization (read: Returners). Also, she was blonde and very attractive. We talked for hours about poker strategy and I indulged her basic understanding of C++. (You understand that there were a few processes I was hoping to iterate with her, after a reasonable number of dates! I had to be a little indulgent.)
But when I mentioned I had friends in BIGLAW who had been similarly disillusioned by the Kefkaesque corporate world, she giggled and mentioned Miranda from Sex and the City. COMPLETE buzzkill. The integrity of my penis was SEVERELY compromised by her statement, you know what I mean? I don't know whether I should try and look past it or just not return her calls. |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:49 PM Author: stirring sepia telephone A girl that loves SATC in that way is definitely a turnoff. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807069) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:51 PM Author: Heady library You are a 180 poster. Keep at it.
C++ is a mediocre language. Learn Haskell or Lisp (choose any, but I prefer Clojure) now.
How do you know that she was referencing SatC's Miranda and not Maranda, on the Southern Continent?
It may not be idiomatic to FF6, but there's a proper response to a girl who mentions SatC. Indignation! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EtCiP8B2xpc |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:54 PM Author: painfully honest sick market national security agency I know a little Lisp. I'm not on your level, it's just avocational for me. I hadn't considered that she might have meant Maranda. She did mention something about Lola, but I thought she meant a song. Do you think it means she has a dead boyfriend.
Like all great philosophers, your insight raises more questions than it does answers, but now I know I have to call her back. |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 3:07 PM Author: Heady library One good bit of news regarding the SatC followers is that they all seem to be traveling toward one of Kefka's new office towers, which makes them easily identifiable. Be cautious of that tower, however. It's full of annoying and powerful magic-using, casual-sexing creatures, so don't go in unless you're prepared. You also need Life3 because the casual-sexing PimpMaster at the top does over 9000 damage with his Ultima spell when he dies. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807278) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 3:10 PM Author: painfully honest sick market national security agency I have a teammate who knows Life3, but he's highly susceptible to physical attacks and status conditions. I've been walking around with my dead cat's ashes in my backpack so I expect to get some new skills soon. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807307) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 3:17 PM Author: Heady library Should I assume that the dead cat's ashes is magicite? Supposedly, if you pour magicite on a casual sexer, his or her junk explodes. I'd imagine it's fun to watch. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807376) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 3:18 PM Author: painfully honest sick market national security agency Do you think I should try this on my Celes-girl, just to make sure she's heroic. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807392) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 3:24 PM Author: Heady library I would recommend it, but I warn you that 1 out of 256 casual sexers turns grows these-- http://www.videogamesprites.net/FinalFantasy6/Enemies/Hoover.gif -- on her breasts upon contact with magicite.
For the record, I wouldn't say that familiarity with SatC is a necessary sign of a woman being unheroic. Pretty much every woman saw that movie. My mom saw it (and found it pathetic and disgusting). It's only if a woman aspires to have Carrie Bradshaw's life that it's a problem. |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 3:27 PM Author: painfully honest sick market national security agency Thanks man. I'll keep you updated. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807459) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 3:28 PM Author: laughsome hyperactive stock car coldplay fan 180 exchange, i would have liked to see someone rock the fenixdown tho. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807470) |
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Date: January 15th, 2010 12:24 AM Author: painfully honest sick market national security agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13811576) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:40 PM Author: Crawly feces my experience has revealed more chicks like this.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gtkU2ch0sRI |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:42 PM Author: Heady library not-A, not-I (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807003) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:42 PM Author: Crawly feces wut (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807006) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:42 PM Author: Heady library http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2#13806941 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807010) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:44 PM Author: Crawly feces oh, right. i meant this was my experience with most black women. i was responding to the guy above that said that these girls have a 50% chance of having a good personality. i greatly disagree. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807019) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:53 PM Author: Heady library It's a solid estimate if you're in an educated environment.
I've met 3 T14 WOC. Two were off-the-charts great and one was above-average, personality-wise. So 67%. |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 3:19 PM Author: Crawly feces well that's a pretty fucking big if, and it cuts out a GIANT chunk of the african-american female population. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807405) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 3:25 PM Author: Heady library My definition of "educated" cuts out an enormous chunk of every population. However, it's not hard to find educated people in New York. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807445) |
Date: January 14th, 2010 2:14 PM Author: stirring sepia telephone He's not bad looking. And obviously smart. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13806776) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:17 PM Author: Confused degenerate church building there's a difference between intellectual smart and aspie smart
edit: nm, i thought you were talking about pensive. |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:19 PM Author: apoplectic boltzmann pisswyrm how is he obviously smart? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13806818) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:49 PM Author: stirring sepia telephone I'm not talking about Pensive (who's obviosly smart, but I have no idea how good looking he is nor do I care), I'm talking about the Backus guy, who's a Math phD or something. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807060) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 4:02 PM Author: tripping vivacious mad cow disease GO ONLINE DOOD. I have some important information to discuss. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807712) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 3:24 PM Author: chocolate godawful stage He's a moron if he thinks that somebody being interested in him, and somebody having a personality he enjoys are completely independent events. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807436) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 2:45 PM Author: effete opaque school cafeteria weirdos (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807027) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 3:09 PM Author: Diverse at-the-ready jap Pensive, tell me about the interview process for your finance job. Did you have a contact at the firm? Fly out to NYC to interview? How many rounds or interviews? What did they ask? Puzzles? Brainteasers? How deep were the math questions? Optimization? Probability? Programming? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807302) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 3:15 PM Author: Heady library No contact at the firm. Already lived in New York. 1 phone screen plus a single day of interviews (all day). Only obnoxious firms expect more than 1 day of in-person interviews, because job-searching is tough if you're employed.
Puzzles and brainteasers were pretty tough, but the math isn't deep in the PhD-y sense. You don't need to know math beyond the college level, but you need to have sharp problem-solving skills.
I actually invented one of the brainteasers you're likely to come across if you interview at DE Shaw. I didn't get the job, but they are using a brainteaser I discussed informally (with a guy who really liked me and fought for me to get hired). |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 3:25 PM Author: chocolate godawful stage Why not pull your BIGCARLETONFINANCE strings? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807444) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 3:33 PM Author: Diverse at-the-ready jap ty
Will ask you other questions in the future, probably. Any good resources for preparation or more information on the industry? |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 3:39 PM Author: Confused degenerate church building you're looking at quant positions? look at the forums in wilmott & quantnet. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807567) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 3:41 PM Author: Diverse at-the-ready jap If I can fight off all these Cute Outgoing Girls who won't leave my Aspie Fag ass alone, yes.
I know about Wilmott. I'll check out quantnet. |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 3:50 PM Author: Heady library De-equip the Staff of Cogwaf. Do it now. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807627) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 3:54 PM Author: Diverse at-the-ready jap LOL, I'm weak and can't avoid non-heroic women. Maybe I should while I focus on the interview process. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807654) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 3:58 PM Author: Heady library Use the Green Cherry to morph into a 5'3 balding basement virgin in the outer boroughs. It's what I do when I need to focus on a flame thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807682) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 3:47 PM Author: Heady library Also: Nuclearphynance. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807615) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 4:02 PM Author: tripping vivacious mad cow disease guy seems like a huge faggot who lacks confidence and has high standards. that's probably why he doesn't have a gf. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807706) |
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Date: January 14th, 2010 4:32 PM Author: Heady library Confidence 167. Standards 175. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#13807843) |
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Date: January 15th, 2011 11:00 AM Author: soggy crimson wrinkle dopamine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#17059082) |
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Date: February 16th, 2011 11:25 PM Author: Plum Arousing Space Bbw (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#17301866) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2026 3:23 PM Author: Historical American (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1190397&forum_id=2.#50226651) |